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Analysis of the Variation Characteristics of Runoff and Sediment in the Yellow River Within 70 Years

  • WATER RESOURCES AND THE REGIME OF WATER BODIES
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Abstract

The characteristics of the runoff and sediment in the Yellow River were analysed and predicted Based on measured data of from 1951 to 2017. Initially, the phase characteristics of runoff and sediment were analysed by the cumulative anomaly curve method. After that, the trend and catastrophe of runoff and sediment are discuessed using the Mann-Kendall methods. The results revealed that the decreasing trend of runoff and sediment was significant, and the catastrophe time was 1979 and 1992, respectively. Finally, the evolution of the runoff and sediment was predicted quantitatively by using the ARMA model. The predictions indicated that, the Yellow River is likely to remain in the stage of low runoff and sediment.

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Funding

This study partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41371517), Shandong Science and Technology Research Program (2013GSF11706), Key projects of social science planning in Shandong (18BJJJ05) and Shandong Provincial Social Science Planning Project (20AWTJ07).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Geography and Environment, Collaborative Innovation Center of Human-Nature and Green Development in Universities of Shandong, Shandong Normal University, 250014, Jinan, China

    Bin Pan, Mei Han, Fan Wei, Li Xin Tian, Yu Ting Liu & Yunlong Li

  2. Qilu Normal University, 250013, Jinan, China

    Min Wang

Authors
  1. Bin Pan
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  2. Mei Han
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  3. Fan Wei
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  4. Li Xin Tian
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  5. Yu Ting Liu
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  6. Yunlong Li
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  7. Min Wang
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Correspondence to Bin Pan or Mei Han.

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Pan, B., Han, M., Wei, F. et al. Analysis of the Variation Characteristics of Runoff and Sediment in the Yellow River Within 70 Years. Water Resour 48, 676–689 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1134/S009780782105016X

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S009780782105016X

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