Abstract
This study quantified the impact of future battery electric vehicle (EV) charging on the least-cost electricity generation portfolio in South Africa (RSA). This was done by performing a capacity expansion optimization of the generation fleet for the year 2040. It was assumed that there would be 2.8 million EVs by 2040, informed by global estimates. Two EV charging scenarios were tested, one using an aggregated fixed charging profile based on existing literature and another where the charging demand was optimized by the power system based on least cost. The results showed that additional capacity was required to meet the demand. For both scenarios, the least-cost capacity investment technologies chosen were the same, although the quantities differed. This indicates that the least-cost technology choice was robust against the charging profiles. The optimized charging profile led to lower system costs and a slightly higher energy share from solar relative to the fixed charging case.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Holloway JP, Mokilane P, Makhanya S, Magadla T, Koen R (2016) Forecasts for electricity demand in South Africa (2010–2050) using the CSIR sectoral regression model. Technical report CSIR/BE/SPS/ER/2015/0033/C, pp 1–29
Barton B, Schütte P (2017) Electric vehicle law and policy: a comparative analysis. J Energy Nat Resour Law 35(2):147–170
ACEA (2016) Overview of purchase and tax incentives for electric vehicles in the EU in 2016. European Automobile Manufacturers Association, Brussels, pp 1–4
Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) (2017) Electric vehicles to accelerate to 54% of new car sales by 2040. [Online] https://about.bnef.com/blog/electric-vehicles-accelerate-54-new-car-sales-2040/. Accessed 08 May 2018
Department of Transport (South Africa) (2017) Draft green transport strategy: (2017–2050). [Online]. https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/41064_gon886.pdf. Accessed 02 Apr 2018
Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd (2017) Eskom Integrated Report 2017. Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd, Johannesburg
Statistics South Africa (2018) P4141 electricity generated and available for distribution (201804). StatsSA, p Excel table from 1985 to 2000
Bowen K (2018) Renewables January 2015–December 2017 (incl Sere) (PublicRelease). Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd, South Africa, Technical report 1, p Excel table
Raczek T (2015) Paris declaration on electro-mobility and climate change and call to action: electrifying sustainable transport. In: COP21, 2015
Villamil W, Rojas C, Téllez S, Rosero J (2015) Energy demand impact due to mass use of electrical vehicles and future demand side management strategies. In: IEEE PES innovative smart grid technologies Latin America (ISGT LATAM), pp 281–285
Al-Awami AT, Sortomme E (2012) Coordinating vehicle-to-grid services with energy trading. IEEE Trans Smart Grid 3(1):453–462
Kamran M, Naderi MS, Mallaki M, Gharehpetian GB (2015) Effect of electric vehicle load and charging pattern on generation expansion planning. In: Smart grid conference (SGC), pp 28–34
Roe C, Meliopoulos P, Meisel J, Overbye T (2008) Power system level impacts of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles using simulation data. In: IEEE energy 2030 conference, pp 1–6
MOIXA (2018) How we’re putting you in the EV driving seat. [Online] http://www.moixa.com/putting-ev-owners-in-driving-seat/. Accessed 16 Jul 2018
Sun Z, Li K, Yang Z, Niu Q, Foley A (2015) Impact of electric vehicles on a carbon constrained power system: a post 2020 case study. J Power Energy Eng 03(04):114–122
Bedir A, Crisostomo N, Allen J, Wood E, Rames C (2018) California plug-in electric vehicle infrastructure projections: 2017–2025. California Energy Commission Publication Number CEC-600-2018-001
Celli G, Soma GG, Pilo F, Lacu F, Mocci S, Natale N (2014) Aggregated electric vehicles load profiles with fast charging stations. In: Power systems computation conference, PSCC, pp 1–7
Marra F, Yang GY, Traholt C, Larsen E, Rasmussen CN, You S (2012) Demand profile study of battery electric vehicle under different charging options. In: IEEE power and energy society general meeting, pp 1–12
Foley AM, Tyther B, Gallachóir BÓ (2011) A study of the 10% electric vehicles target on the single electricity market. In: Irish transport research network, pp 1–8
Markel T, Bennion K, Kramer W, Bryan J, Giedd J (2009) Field testing plug-in hybrid electric vehicles with charge control technology in the Xcel energy territory. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Technical report NREL/TP-550-46345, pp 1–18
Electric Vehicle Industry Association (EVIA) (2016) Unity in sustainable mobility: roadmap towards building a unified electro mobility industry in South Africa. In: EVIA launch conference, pp 1–16
U.S. Department of Energy (2018) Evaluating electric vehicle charging impacts and customer charging behaviors: experiences from six smart grid investment grant projects. [Online] https://www.smartgrid.gov/sites/default/files/doc/files/B3_revised_master-12-17-2014_report.pdf. Accessed 18 Mar 2018
EPRI (2007) Environmental assessment of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. Electric Power Research Institute, Technical report 1015325, vol 1, pp 1–57
Department of Energy (DoE) (2016) Integrated resource plan update: assumptions, base case results and observations (revision 1). [Online] http://www.energy.gov.za/IRP/2016/Draft-IRP-2016-Assumptions-Base-Case-and-Observations-Revision1.pdf. Accessed 20 Dec 2016
Energy Exemplar (2018) PLEXOS integrated energy model. [Online] www.energyexemplar.com. Accessed 08 May 2018
Nweke CI, Leanez F, Drayton GR, Kolhe M (2012) Benefits of chronological optimization in capacity planning for electricity markets. In: IEEE international conference on power system technology, POWERCON, 2012, pp 1–6
Bofinger S, Zimmermann B, Gerlach A-K, Bischof-Niemz T, Mushwana C (2016) Wind and solar PV resource aggregation study for South Africa. In: CSIR, South Africa, Public present results, pp 1–120
Merven B, Stone A, Hughes A, Cohen B (2012) Quantifying the energy needs of the transport sector for South Africa: a bottom-up model. University Cape Town—Energy Research Centre, South Africa, Technical report, pp 1–78.
Acknowledgements
The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial and other support from the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) and University of Pretoria which made this work possible.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Appendix
Appendix
Technology cost input assumptions
Generation technology | CAPEXa ($/kW) | FOMb ($/kW/a) | Fuelc ($/kWh) |
---|---|---|---|
Coal (pulverized fuel) | 2410.81 | 62.81 | 0.03 |
Coal (fluidized bed combustion) | 2909.99 | 42.22 | 0.02 |
Nuclear | 4109.25 | 65.81 | 0.01 |
Combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) | 610.13 | 11.22 | 0.07 |
Open cycle gas turbine (OCGT) | 555.61 | 10.94 | 0.12 |
Biomass (forestry) | 5061.18 | 112.51 | 0.03 |
Bagasse | 1211.49 | 11.69 | 0.15 |
Biogas | 5254.04 | 28.69 | 0.10 |
Landfill gas | 2110.67 | 161.32 | 0.01 |
Pumped storage | 1517.74 | 13.66 | – |
Wind | 900.75 | 33.99 | – |
Solar PV (fixed) | 628.28 | 13.60 | – |
CSP (9 h storage) | 6339.90 | 68.59 | – |
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Calitz, J.R., Bansal, R.C. The system value of optimized battery electric vehicle charging: a case study in South Africa. Electr Eng 104, 843–853 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00202-021-01345-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00202-021-01345-y