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Perceptions of naturalness predict US public support for Soil Carbon Storage as a climate solution

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Abstract

Soil Carbon Storage has emerged as a feasible strategy for removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, raising important questions regarding whether the general public supports the strategy as a means to address climate change. We analyzed data from a national probability survey of 1222 US adults who reported believing in climate change at least “somewhat” to estimate public support for Soil Carbon Storage and how it compares to other leading Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) strategies. Overall, a majority of the sample expressed support for Soil Carbon Storage—regardless of whether the strategy involved the use of biochar (a form of charcoal made from organic matter) or not (55% and 62%, respectively)—placing Soil Carbon Storage ahead of Bioenergy plus Carbon Capture and Storage (32%) and Direct Air Capture (25%), and behind only Afforestation and Reforestation (73%), in terms of public support. In addition, perceiving Soil Carbon Storage as “natural” strongly predicted individual-level support, a pattern that held for every CDR strategy featured on the survey. Results demonstrate broad US public support for Soil Carbon Storage as a climate change mitigation strategy at a time when scientists and policymakers are actively considering the political, not just technical, feasibility of different climate solutions.

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Data availability

Data and syntax are available at: https://github.com/sks289/US-support-for-soil-carbon-CDRs.git

Notes

  1. We analyze political ideology rather than party affiliation because of our conceptual interest in political worldview rather than political identity and because of ideology’s stronger association with climate change opinions that has been documented in prior research (e.g., Fielding et al. 2012; Cruz 2017). Nevertheless, when party affiliation (Democrat, Republican, Independent/Other; dummy-coded with Republican as the referent group) is substituted for political ideology in our main regression models, the findings involving perceived naturalness and aversion to tampering with nature remain substantively unchanged.

  2. Weighted analyses revealed substantively unchanged treatment effects on both perceived naturalness (F (1,1217) = 6.98, p < .01) and support (F (1,1220) = 9.97, p < .01).

  3. Belief in anthropogenic climate change was measured immediately after respondents qualified for the survey, with the item “Do you think climate change is caused more by human activities, more by natural changes in the environment, or by both equally?” The full set of interaction terms included perceived naturalness by ATN; perceived naturalness by political ideology; perceived naturalness by belief in anthropogenic climate change; and education by political ideology.

  4. For the unadjusted bivariate relationships between key study variables, see the correlation matrix in Supplemental Table S2.

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Acknowledgements

We thank the Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability, The Nature Conservancy, and the Craig and Susan McCaw Foundation for funding this research. We also thank Dr. Kimberly Wolske for sharing materials used in the descriptions of the Carbon Dioxide Removal strategies.

Funding

David R. Atkinson Center for a Sustainable Future, Cornell University; The Nature Conservancy; Craig and Susan McCaw Foundation.

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S. Sweet and J. P. Schuldt performed the statistical analysis, wrote the initial draft, and contributed equally to the work. All co-authors contributed to the design of the survey and provided comments on subsequent drafts.

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Correspondence to Jonathon P. Schuldt.

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Sweet, S.K., Schuldt, J.P., Lehmann, J. et al. Perceptions of naturalness predict US public support for Soil Carbon Storage as a climate solution. Climatic Change 166, 22 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03121-0

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