Abstract
Drought limit water level has been presented to guide reservoir drought resistance for years. However, current static drought limit water levels neglected the water transfer relationship among different periods. In this study, the Yuqiao Reservoir located in Tianjin, China, was taken as the study area. To avoid the excessive subjectivity brought by the conventional typical drought-year selection method, six indicators were used to analyse inflow intra-drought-season distribution characteristics, and a hierarchical agglomeration cluster method was used to propose a classification of the dry season inflow “shape.” To associate with the reservoir inter-month water transfer relationship, a number pair “early warning period/drought limit water level” format was proposed to represent the limit water level. The early warning period turned out to be related to initial water storage, inflow process in dry season and water supply rules. To overcome the uncertainty in inflow process during the dry season, a rolling computation mechanism was applied in determining the drought limit water level, thus dynamic regulation was realized. Finally, the dynamic reservoir drought limit water level was compared with the conventional method. The results suggest that drought limit water level has broad development potential in improving reservoir drought resistance guidance practices.
Similar content being viewed by others
REFERENCES
Chang, J., Guo, A., Wang, Y., Ha, Y., Zhang, R., Xue, L., and Tu, Z., Reservoir operations to mitigate drought effects with a hedging policy triggered by the drought prevention limiting water level, Water Resour. Res., 2019, vol. 55, pp. 904–922. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017WR022090
Chen, J., Guo, S., Li, Y., Liu, P., and Zhou, Y., Joint operation and dynamic control of flood limiting water levels for cascade reservoirs, Water Resour. Manag., 2013, vol. 27, pp. 749–763.
Chen, L., Singh, VP., Guo, S., Fang, B., and Liu, P., A new method for identification of flood seasons using directional statistics, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 2013, vol. 58, pp. 28–40.
CMWR, China’s Ministry of Water Resources. Hydrologic information bulletin, 2000. http://www.mwr.gov.cn/ sj/tjgb/sqnb/201702/t20170214_860898.html.
Dai, A., Drought under global warming: a review, Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change, 2011, vol. 2, pp. 45–65.
Draper, A.J. and Lund, J.R., Optimal hedging and carryover storage value, J. Water Res. Plan. Man., 2004, vol. 130, pp. 83–87.
Esfahanian, E., Nejadhashemi, A.P., Abouali, M., Adhikari, U., Zhang, Z., Daneshvar, F., and Herman, M.R., Development and evaluation of a comprehensive drought index, J. Environ. Manag., 2017, vol. 185, pp. 31–43.
Esfahanian, E., Nejadhashemi, A.P., Abouali, M., Daneshvar, F., Ameli, A., Herman, M., and Tang, Y., Defining drought in the context of stream health, Ecol. Eng. Ecol. Eng., 2016, vol. 94, pp. 668–681.
Feng, P. and Zhu, Y., Identification of a hydrologic drought for the water supply system, J. Hydraul. Eng., 1997, pp. 72–77.
Giuliani, M., Castelletti, A., Pianosi, F., Mason, E., and Reed, P.M., Curses, tradeoffs, and scalable management: Advancing evolutionary multiobjective direct policy search to improve water reservoir operations, J. Water Res. Plan. Man., 2015, vol. 142, pp. 04015050.
Guo, Q.L., Yang, Y.S., Chang, X.S., and Chen, Z.H., Annual Variation of Heihe River Runoff during 1957–2008, Prog. Geogr., 2011, vol. 30, pp. 550–556.
Hannah, D.M., Smith, B.P.G., Gurnell, A.M., and McGregor, G.R., An approach to hydrograph classification, Hydrol. Process., 2000, vol. 14, pp. 317–338.
Harris, N.M., Gurnell, A.M., Hannah, D.M., and Petts, G.E., Classification of river regimes: a context for hydroecology, Hydrol. Process., 2000, vol. 14, pp. 2831–2848.
Heim, R.R., A review of twentieth-century drought indices used in the United States, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 2002, vol. 83, pp. 1149–1166.
Huang, W.C. and Chou, C.C., Drought early warning system in reservoir operation: Theory and practice, Water Resour. Res., 2005, vol. 41, pp. W11406.
Huang, W.C. and Yuan, L.C., A drought early warning system on real-time multi-reservoir operations, Water. Resour. Res., 2004, vol. 40, pp. W06401.
Kalkstein, L.S., Tan, G., and Skindlov, J.A., An evaluation of three clustering procedures for use in synoptic climatological classification, J. Appl. Meteorol., 1987, vol. 26, pp. 717–730.
Karamouz, M., Imen, S., and Nazif, S., Development of a demand driven hydro-climatic model for drought planning, Water Resour. Manag., 2012, vol. 26, pp. 329–357.
Manning, C., Widmann, M., Bevacqua, E., Van Loon, A.F., Maraun, D., and Vrac, M., Increased probability of compound long-duration dry and hot events in Europe during summer (1950–2013), Environ. Res. Lett., 2019, vol. 14, pp. 094006.
Peng, S., Wang, Y., Zhang Y., and Jiang G., Optimal control of drought limit water level for multi-year regulating storage reservoir, J. Hydraul. Eng., 2016, vol. 47, pp. 552–559.
Shiau, J.T., Analytical optimal hedging with explicit incorporation of reservoir release and carryover storage targets, Water Resour. Res., 2011, vol. 47, pp. W01515. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010WR009166
Tu, X., Singh, V.P., Chen, X., Chen, L., Zhang, Q., and Zhao, Y., Intra-annual Distribution of Streamflow and Individual Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities in the Dongijang River Basin, China, Water Resour. Manag., 2015, vol. 29, pp. 2677–2695.
Wang, J.X., Zhang, J.Y., Li, Y., and Zhang, S.L., Variation trends of runoffs seasonal distribution of the six larger basins in China over the past 50 years, Adv. Water Sci., 2008, vol. 19, pp. 656–661.
Wilhite, D.A. and Svoboda, M.D., Drought early warning systems in the context of drought preparedness and mitigation, in Early warning systems for drought preparedness and drought management, World Meteorological Organization: Lisboa, 2000, pp. 1–21.
WMO, World Meteorological Organization. The Global Climate 2001-2010: a decade of climate extremes. 2013. https://library.wmo.int/index.php?lvl=notice_display& id=15110/
Wu, J., Li, F., Zhao, Y., and Cao, R., Determination of drought limit water level of importing reservoir in inter-basin water transfer project under changing environment, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 2019, vol. 137, pp. 1529–1539. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2683-2
Xu, X., Li, Y., and Li, X., Evaluating the in fluence of water table depth on transpiration of two vegetation communities in a lake floodplain wetland, Hydrol. Res., 2016, vol. 47, pp. 293–312. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2016.011
Zargar, A., Sadiq, R., Naser, B., and Khan, F.I., A review of drought indices, Environ. Rev., 2011, vol. 19, pp. 333–349.
Zheng, H.X. and Liu, C.M., Changes of annual runoff distribution in the headwater of the Yellow River basin, Prog. Geogr., 2003, vol. 22, pp. 585–590.
Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den, Seneviratne, S.I., Ward, P.J., Pitman, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bresch, D.N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T., and Zhang, X., Future climate risk from compound events, Nature Clim. Change, 2018, vol. 8, pp. 469–477. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3
Funding
The authors would like to acknowledge the financial support for this work provided by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant no. 51 879 181), and the Ministry of Water Resources Special Funds for Scientific Research on Public Causes (201 401 041).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding authors
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Runxiang Cao, Li, F. & Zhao, Y. Dynamic Regulation of Reservoir Drought Limit Water Level. Water Resour 48, 194–203 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807821020147
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807821020147