Abstract
The occurrence of a planet transiting in front of its host star offers the opportunity to observe the planet's atmosphere filtering starlight. The fraction of occulted stellar flux is roughly proportional to the optically thick area of the planet, the extent of which depends on the opacity of the planet's gaseous envelope at the observed wavelengths. Chemical species, haze, and clouds are now routinely detected in exoplanet atmospheres through rather small features in transmission spectra, i.e., collections of planet-to-star area ratios across multiple spectral bins and/or photometric bands. Technological advances have led to a shrinking of the error bars down to a few tens of parts per million (ppm) per spectral point for the brightest targets. The upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) is anticipated to deliver transmission spectra with precision down to 10 ppm. The increasing precision of measurements requires a reassessment of the approximations hitherto adopted in astrophysical models, including transit light-curve models. Recently, it has been shown that neglecting the planet's thermal emission can introduce significant biases in the transit depth measured with the JWST/Mid-InfraRed Instrument, integrated between 5 and 12 μm. In this paper, we take a step forward by analyzing the effects of the approximation on transmission spectra over the 0.6–12 μm wavelength range covered by various JWST instruments. We present open-source software to predict the spectral bias, showing that, if not corrected, it may affect the inferred molecular abundances and thermal structure of some exoplanet atmospheres.
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1. Introduction
The transit method has been the most successful for the detection and characterization of exoplanets to date. The CoRoT (Auvergne et al. 2009), Kepler (Borucki et al. 2010), and K2 (Howell et al. 2014) space missions have discovered nearly 3000 transiting exoplanets. Ground-based surveys, such as HATNet (Bakos et al. 2004), HATSouth (Bakos et al. 2013), WASP (Pollacco et al. 2006), and TRAPPIST (Gillon et al. 2016), have added hundreds of transiting exoplanets to the current census.
Transit photometry can reveal the size of the planet related to its host star and the orbital inclination based on the depth and duration of the drop in flux that occurs as the planet transits between the star and the observer for a fraction of its orbit. If combined with stellar spectra and radial velocity measurements, transit observations inform us about the mass, radius, mean density, and equilibrium temperature of exoplanets.
Transit spectroscopy provides insights into the atmospheres of exoplanets based on precise measurements of the transit depth at multiple wavelengths. Recently, the Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC3) on board the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) delivered dozens of low-resolution transmission spectra in the 0.8–1.7 μm range (Iyer et al. 2016; Fu et al. 2017; Fisher & Heng 2018; Tsiaras et al. 2018). The HST/WFC3 spectra revealed the presence of H2O vapor in the atmosphere of several exoplanets down to super-Earth mass (Deming et al. 2013; Damiano et al. 2017; Benneke et al. 2019b; Tsiaras et al. 2019; Edwards et al. 2020) and hints of TiO (Evans et al. 2016), He (Mansfield et al. 2018; Spake et al. 2018), FeH (Skaf et al. 2020), H− (Pluriel et al. 2020), and AlO (Chubb et al. 2020). Other HST and ground-based spectra in the UV and visible wavelengths have enabled detection of a long list of ions, atoms, haze, and clouds in some exoplanet atmospheres (Charbonneau et al. 2002; Vidal-Madjar et al. 2003, 2004; Fossati et al. 2010; Linsky et al. 2010; Parviainen et al. 2016; Chen et al. 2017, 2018). The Spitzer/InfraRed Array Camera broadband photometry at 3.6, 4.5, 5.8, and 8.0 μm has suggested the possible presence of carbon molecules (Beaulieu et al. 2011; Knutson et al. 2011; Morello et al. 2015). Combined spectra from different space- and/or ground-based instruments covering UV to infrared wavelengths have also been analyzed in the literature (Danielski et al. 2014; Sing et al. 2016; Barstow et al. 2017; Mancini et al. 2019; Pinhas et al. 2019; Luque et al. 2020).
Typical error bars in transit spectra can be a few tens to hundreds of parts per million (ppm). The upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) will provide infrared spectra with unprecedented precision down to ∼10 ppm for some targets (Beichman et al. 2014). The Ariel mission aims to perform similarly high-precision transit spectroscopy over a statistical sample of ∼1000 exoplanet atmospheres (Tinetti et al. 2018). In parallel with the improvements of instruments and observational techniques, it is necessary to develop more detailed models to adequately represent astrophysical phenomena, such as stellar limb-darkening, and magnetic activity (Micela 2015; Scandariato & Micela 2015; Morello et al. 2017; Morello 2018; Sarkar et al. 2018).
Here we discuss the impact of the "dark planet" approximation in transit spectroscopy. As the planet is orders of magnitude fainter than the host star, its flux contribution is usually neglected when modeling the transit light curves (Mandel & Agol 2002). Kipping & Tinetti (2010) pointed out that the measured transit depth tends to be underestimated due to the planetary flux acting as a self-blend. They evaluated that the bias in transit depth could be down to −100 ppm for some hot Jupiters observed in the thermal infrared. Martin-Lagarde et al. (2020b) showed that the transit depth can also be overestimated due to the variation of the emergent planetary flux with the orbital phase, the so-called "phase-blend" effect. They predicted the total bias in transit depth for a sample of exoplanets observed with the JWST/Mid-InfraRed Instrument (MIRI) to be between −100 and +550 ppm, depending on the system parameters and exoplanet atmospheric properties. They also noted that, unlike the self-blend, the phase-blend effect is degenerate with instrumental systematics that can be detrended from the data.
In this paper, we explore how self- and phase-blend biases can alter the transmission spectra of exoplanet atmospheres and consequently affect scientific inferences.
Structure of the paper—Section 2 describes the newly released ExoTETHyS.BOATS subpackage, with particular emphasis on the procedure to compute the self- and phase-blend biases. Section 3 discusses some examples of spectral biases. Section 4 presents a study of simulated spectra obtained with JWST spectrographs. Section 5 discusses the potential impact of self- and phase-blend bias in future observations with JWST, focusing on the targets that are already scheduled. Section 6 summarizes the conclusions of our study.
2. The ExoTETHyS.BOATS Subpackage
We present here a new tool designed to estimate the Bias in the Occultation Analysis of Transiting Systems (BOATS). The BOATS subpackage 5 is part of ExoTETHyS, open-source software that collects a set of tools for modeling exoplanetary transits and their host stars (Morello et al. 2020a, 2020b). All of the code within ExoTETHyS is written in python 3.
The BOATS subpackage contains several functions designed to obtain the spectra of astrophysical objects, perform specific operations on these spectra (e.g., conversions, integration over instrumental passbands, time intervals and/or areas, and composition of spectra), and compute some properties of transiting exoplanets (e.g., transit duration, atmospheric temperatures, albedo, and circulation efficiency).
In this paper, we describe how to use the BOATS subpackage to obtain estimates of the potential self- and phase-blend biases in observations of exoplanetary transits.
2.1. Input and Output
The procedure requires a configuration file to perform the full set of predetermined calculations for a given exoplanet transit or eclipse. The user can choose between several model grids with precalculated stellar spectra, use a blackbody spectrum, or read the stellar spectrum from a file. The choice for exoplanets is between blackbody and user file spectra to model their dayside and nightside emission. In the case of spectra read from user files, it is necessary to specify whether these spectra are to be rescaled by the distance and radius of the source to obtain the observed flux. The input planetary spectra can be given in absolute units or normalized with respect to the stellar spectrum, such as those typically obtained by running forward models of the secondary eclipses with NEMESIS (Irwin et al. 2008), CHIMERA (Line et al. 2013), and Tau-REx II (Waldmann et al. 2015) and III (Al-Refaie et al. 2019).
The user must request one or more instrumental passbands. Some passbands are built into the ExoTETHyS package through text files that report the photon-to-electron conversion efficiencies (PCEs) at given wavelengths. User files with the same format can also be accepted. Optionally, the passbands can be split into multiple wavelength bins, as is usual in exoplanet transit spectroscopy.
Other mandatory input information includes the area of the telescope (), the duration of the simulated observation (Δtobs), and a set of parameters of the star–planet system. The distance of the system from the Earth (d) and the telescope area can be used to rescale the template spectra in order to match the photon count rates received by the detector. We anticipate here that rescaling by d and does not affect the transit depth biases, only the nominal error bars.
The input stellar parameters are the effective temperature (T*,eff), surface gravity (), metallicity ([M/H]*), and radius (R*). The stellar models in the grids are identified by T*,eff, , and [M/H]*. The default values of and [M/H]* = 0.0 are implemented if these parameters are missing in the configuration file. The blackbody spectrum is defined by T*,eff alone. If the stellar spectrum is obtained from a user file, none of these three parameters is necessary, unless T*,eff is required to calculate the planetary spectra. Here R* is always mandatory.
The orbital period (P), semimajor axis (a), inclination (i), and planet radius (Rp ) are needed to determine the geometry of the transit. The planet's emission is modeled through two spectra from the dayside and nightside hemispheres, either blackbody or user-supplied spectra. The blackbody spectra can be defined by directly setting the dayside and nightside temperatures (Tday, Tnight) or by means of the bond albedo (Ab ) and circulation efficiency (ε).
Each physical parameter, except for temperatures and dimensionless parameters, is defined through two keywords in the configuration file to give its numerical value and the corresponding unit. The astropy.units package is used to interpret the input units and handle operations between physical quantities. Additionally, Rp and a can be expressed in units of R*, and Δtobs can be relative to the total transit duration (T1−4).
The output is a text or pickle file containing estimates of transit depth biases and error bars for the requested exoplanet systems and passbands.
2.2. Flux Conversions
The stellar model atmosphere grids consist of one file for each triple of stellar parameters (T*,eff, , [M/H]*) containing the emergent spectrum at the star surface in units of erg cm−2 s−1 Å−1. The same files also include spatially resolved intensities, which are used by other subpackages to model limb-darkening. The BOATS algorithm first calculates the spectral photon rates collected by the telescope in units of photon s−1 Å−1. In order to do so, the stellar and planetary spectra are multiplied by , where R is the object's radius. The geometric dilution factor (R/d)2 can be set to 1 for a user file spectrum by selecting the no-rescale flux option.
The next step is to compute the electron rates of detectors. This is done by multiplying the photon rates by the PCE and integrating on the passband or wavelength bin. In the following subsections, we will refer to fluxes (symbol F) as equivalent to electron rates in e− s−1, calculated as described here.
2.3. Exoplanet Phase-curve Model
The BOATS calculations rely on a toy model to describe the phase-curve modulations. The observed planet flux is
where Fday and Fnight denote the emergent flux from the two hemispheres of the planet, and ψ is the fraction of the area of the planet's projection showing the dayside. Other assumptions (valid for ExoTETHyS version 2.0.0) are that the planet lies on a circular, edge-on orbit in synchronous rotation with zero obliquity, and the dayside is centered on the substellar point. Under these hypotheses, we have
where
is the orbital phase angle, and t is the time from mid-transit. This toy model is identical to that adopted by the ExoNoodle software (Martin-Lagarde et al. 2020a, 2020b) but with one less degree of freedom relative to the centering of the dayside hemisphere with respect to the substellar point. It relies on the simplest hypotheses that enable order-of-magnitude estimates of the possible self- and phase-blend effects, solely based on the easiest-to-measure system parameters.
If Blackbody is the selected grid of planetary models, the two temperatures, Tday and Tnight, can also be determined from the atmospheric parameters Ab and ε (Cowan & Agol 2011),
where the irradiation temperature is
In general, the dayside flux is the sum of planetary intrinsic emission and reflected starlight,
where is calculated from the corresponding blackbody or user spectrum, and
with F* being the stellar flux. The nightside flux consists of a pure planetary emission component.
2.4. Phase-averaged Fluxes
The next important step is to calculate the mean flux of the planet during and out of the transit. Given the symmetry of the phase-curve model described in Section 2.3, and assuming that the observation interval is centered on the transit, it is sufficient to consider the half observation after the mid-transit point. The transit event is delimited by the external contact points; the corresponding duration is (Seager & Mallén-Ornelas 2003)
The phase angles corresponding to the end of the transit and observation are
By using Equations (1)–(3), the phase-averaged fluxes are
with
2.5. Transit Depth Bias and Error Bars
The transit depth is defined as the planet-to-star projected area ratio,
Finally, the self- and phase-blend effects are calculated as (Martin-Lagarde et al. 2020b; see their Figure 2)
and the total bias in transit depth is
In the photon noise limit, the minimum error bar depends on the number of electrons produced in and out of the transit. Ignoring the ingress, egress, and limb-darkening effects, these numbers are
The nominal error bar is
We note that the actual error bar obtained by fitting the light-curve data can be larger because of the parameter correlations and additional noise components.
3. Spectroscopic Trends
It is evident from Equations (15) and (16) that the transit depth bias due to the dark planet approximation is wavelength-dependent, being a function of stellar and planetary fluxes. Consequently, it can alter the measurements of the transmission spectra of the exoplanet atmospheres.
Figure 1 shows the spectroscopic biases obtained for two systems with different values of bond albedo and circulation efficiency of the exoplanet atmospheres, assuming pure blackbody emissions. In all cases, the bias appears to be very small in the UV and visible, and it tends to be larger at wavelengths ≳1 μm. The spectrum bias has a smaller amplitude with higher albedo due to the lower temperatures of the exoplanet atmosphere, but the overall trend is weakly dependent on the albedo.
Most configurations for WASP 12 b have a positive spectrum bias; i.e., the phase-blend bias is larger than the self-blend bias. In this case, the largest bias occurs with the minimum circulation efficiency. The dominant effect for WASP 43 b depends on the circulation efficiency. If ε ∼ 0.5, the spectrum bias has both positive and negative values. In general, the phase-blend component of the bias can be largely removed with conventional detrending practices, albeit by mixing astrophysical signals with instrumental systematic effects (Martin-Lagarde et al. 2020b). It is worth pointing out that the correction of the phase-blend effect must be wavelength-dependent, as a white light-curve correction would not attenuate the spectral bias. The remaining self-blend bias increases monotonically in absolute value with the atmospheric circulation efficiency. The self-blend effect can only be corrected with full phase-curve observations or by relying on theoretical models.
Figure 2 compares the spectroscopic biases obtained with blackbody and equilibrium chemistry spectra for the exoplanet dayside and nightside. These latter spectra can introduce some molecular features in addition to the smooth trend obtained with blackbody spectra.
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Standard image High-resolution image4. Biased Retrieval Analyses
In this section, we describe the simulations aimed at characterizing the scientific impact of potential bias in the transmission spectra of exoplanet atmospheres observed with JWST. The essential steps of this study are:
- 1.creating the reference transmission spectra,
- 2.computing the spectroscopic bias and the corresponding biased spectra under different hypotheses,
- 3.performing atmospheric retrievals on the biased transmission spectra, and
- 4.comparing the retrieved atmospheric properties with those of the reference transmission spectra.
We selected two targets among those that showed potentially significant bias in infrared transit photometry according to Martin-Lagarde et al. (2020b).
- 1.
- 2.WASP 43 b can have one of the largest positive or negative biases, depending on its atmospheric circulation efficiency. It is the subject of many theoretical studies and past and future observations (Stevenson et al. 2014c, 2017; Keating & Cowan 2017; Bean et al. 2018; Mendonça et al. 2018; Morello et al. 2019; May & Stevenson 2020; Venot et al. 2020).
These planets represent hot Jupiters with ultrashort orbital periods around different types of host stars.
4.1. Reference Transmission Spectra
We took the transmission spectra observed with HST/WFC3 as starting points. In particular, we reanalyzed the low-resolution spectra at 1.1–1.7 μm reported by Tsiaras et al. (2018) using the novel Tau-REx III retrieval algorithm (Al-Refaie et al. 2019). As the narrow wavelength range limits the ability to detect molecules other than H2O, we adopted atmospheric chemical equilibrium (ACE) models (Agúndez et al. 2012; Venot et al. 2012) instead of the most popular free chemistry to include more absorbing species. The molecular absorption cross sections were computed by the ExoMol group (Chubb et al. 2021). We also included collisionally induced absorption (CIA) by H2–H2 and H2–He (Gordon et al. 2017) and Mie scattering (Lee et al. 2013). We assumed an isothermal temperature profile.
The free parameters in our retrievals were the planet radius at 10 bars, atmospheric temperature, Mie scattering cloud particle size, mixing ratio, and composition. The carbon-to-oxygen (C/O) ratio and metallicity were fixed to solar values. The best-fit solutions obtained with these settings have the same Bayesian evidence as those reported by Tsiaras et al. (2018) to within , despite using only five free parameters instead of 12 and 10 for WASP 12 b and WASP 43 b, respectively.
We calculated forward model spectra that extend the best-fit solutions over a broader wavelength range, then bin-averaged. In this way, we obtained the transmission spectra associated with three JWST instruments using the same observing modes planned for the Transiting Exoplanet Community ERS program (Bean et al. 2018):
- 1.the Near-InfraRed Imager and Slitless Spectrograph (NIRISS) with the Single-Object Slitless Spectroscopy (SOSS) mode,
- 2.the Near-InfraRed Spectrograph (NIRSpec) with the G235H and G395H gratings, and
- 3.the MIRI with the Low-Resolution Spectroscopy (LRS) slitless mode.
Table 1 reports the nominal wavelength ranges for the three instruments and the size of the spectroscopic bins. Figure 3 shows the corresponding PCEs. The PCE for each observing setup is the combined throughput from the telescope, instrument optics, detector efficiency, quantum efficiency, and filter throughput (if applicable). We adopted the reference data files from the Pandeia Exposure Time Calculator (Pontoppidan et al. 2016) and precalculated response functions for the MIRI LRS slitless (Kendrew et al. 2015) and NIRISS SOSS (Maszkiewicz 2017). The resulting PCEs are among the passbands available within the ExoTETHyS package.
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Standard image High-resolution imageTable 1. Nominal Wavelength Ranges and Choice of Bin Sizes for the Selected JWST Observing Modes
Instrument | Range λ (μm) | Bin Δλ (μm) |
---|---|---|
NIRISS SOSS | 0.60–2.80 | 0.02–0.1 a |
NIRSpec G235H | 1.66–3.17 | 0.03 |
NIRSpec G395H | 2.87–5.27 | 0.04 |
MIRI LRS | 5.0–12.0 | 0.1–0.2 b |
Notes.
a NIRISS SOSS: Δλ = 0.02 if 0.92 < λ < 1.98, Δλ = 0.03 if 0.80 < λ < 0.92 or 1.98 < λ < 2.34, Δλ = 0.04 if 2.34 < λ < 2.50, Δλ = 0.05 if 0.70 < λ < 0.80 or 2.50 < λ < 2.80, and Δλ = 0.10 if 0.60 < λ < 0.70. b MIRI LRS: Δλ = 0.1 if 5.0 < λ < 9.0, and Δλ = 0.2 if 9.0 < λ < 12.0.Download table as: ASCIITypeset image
Additionally, we considered another set of reference transmission spectra with identical parameters, except for C/O = 1.5.
4.2. Biased Transmission Spectra
We used ExoTETHyS.BOATS to calculate the bias in transit depth on the same wavelength bins as the transmission spectra. Table 2 reports the system parameters. Table 3 contains the dayside and nightside temperatures based on current estimates from observations. We modeled the emission from the two planetary hemispheres in the following ways:
- 1.assuming blackbody spectra with Tday and Tnight from Table 3 (most likely configurations) and
- 2.calculating the emission spectra with Tau-REx III, assuming ACE with solar C/O ratio (and C/O = 1.5) and metallicity, CIA, Rayleigh scattering, and temperature profiles as in Guillot (2010) with the same Tday and Tnight.
We then added the spectroscopic bias in three forms to the pure transmission spectra to obtain the biased spectra:
- 1.total bias resulting from the self- and phase-blend effects;
- 2.total bias minus average offset, such that the sum of the biases on the wavelength bins is zero; and
- 3.self-blend bias only.
The case of total bias minus average offset may occur if a constant correction is applied at all wavelengths. For example, when the spectral light curves are divided by the white one (e.g., Tsiaras et al. 2016), if the bias in transit depth is removed for the white light curve, the spectral values will also be shifted, but they remain biased. The self-blend bias is what remains if the phase-blend effect is removed from the data for each wavelength (Martin-Lagarde et al. 2020b). Figure 4 shows the pure transmission and biased spectra considered for WASP 12 b and WASP 43 b. The biased spectra appear to have an offset and a different slope than the pure transmission ones in the NIRISS passband. The effect on the slope is smaller at the longer wavelengths, and it is negligible in the MIRI passband. The bias for WASP 12 b is much larger than the 1σ error bars in most configurations, while for WASP 43 b, it is within about 1σ.
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Standard image High-resolution imageTable 2. Adopted System Parameters
Planet | Rp (RJ) | a (au) | i (deg) | P (days) | R* (R⊙) | T*,eff (K) | d (pc) a | References |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WASP 12 b | 1.9 | 0.02339 | 83.37 | 1.0914203 | 1.657 | 6360 | 432.589 | Collins et al. (2017) |
WASP 43 b | 0.93 | 0.0142 | 82.6 | 0.813475 | 0.6 | 4400 | 86.9633 | Hellier et al. (2011) |
WASP 121 b | 1.865 | 0.02544 | 87.6 | 1.2749255 | 1.458 | 6460 | 272.013 | Delrez et al. (2016) |
WASP 18 b | 1.158 | 0.02034 | 85.0 | 0.94145181 | 1.222 | 6400 | 123.925 | Southworth (2010) |
WASP 79 b | 1.53 | 0.0519 | 86.1 | 3.662392 | 1.51 | 6600 | 248.447 | Brown et al. (2017) |
WASP 80 b | 0.999 | 0.0344 | 89.02 | 3.06785234 | 0.586 | 4143 | 49.8591 | Triaud et al. (2015) |
WASP 17 b | 1.991 | 0.0515 | 86.83 | 3.7354380 | 1.572 | 6650 | 410.408 | Anderson et al. (2011) |
WASP 39 b | 1.27 | 0.0486 | 87.83 | 4.055259 | 0.895 | 5400 | 215.295 | Faedi et al. (2011) |
WASP 69 b | 1.057 | 0.04527 | 86.71 | 3.8681382 | 0.813 | 4715 | 50.0323 | Bonomo et al. (2017) |
Wallack et al. (2019) | ||||||||
HD 189733 b | 1.138 | 0.03099 | 85.58 | 2.218573 | 0.756 | 5040 | 19.7752 | Torres et al. (2008) |
HD 209458 b | 1.359 | 0.04707 | 86.71 | 3.524746 | 1.155 | 6065 | 48.3688 | Torres et al. (2008) |
HD 149026 b | 0.654 | 0.04313 | 90.0 | 2.87588874 | 1.368 | 6160 | 76.0306 | Torres et al. (2008) |
HAT-P-1 b | 1.242 | 0.0553 | 86.11 | 4.46543 | 1.135 | 5975 | 159.706 | Torres et al. (2008) |
HAT-P-26 b | 0.565 | 0.04357 | 88.09 | 4.2345023 | 0.788 | 5011 | 142.408 | Wakeford et al. (2017) |
Wallack et al. (2019) | ||||||||
GJ 436 b | 0.3767 | 0.02872 | 86.36 | 2.6438983 | 0.464 | 3350 | 9.7559 | Torres et al. (2008) |
GJ 3470 b | 0.34615 | 0.031 | 88.88 | 3.3366487 | 0.48 | 3652 | 29.4463 | Biddle et al. (2014) |
Benneke et al. (2019a) | ||||||||
WASP 77A b | 1.21 | 0.024 | 89.4 | 1.3600309 | 0.955 | 5500 | 105.465 | Maxted et al. (2013) |
WASP 52 b | 1.27 | 0.0272 | 85.35 | 1.7497798 | 0.79 | 5000 | 175.691 | Hébrard et al. (2013) |
WASP 127 b | 1.41 | 0.0522 | 88.1 | 4.178062 | 1.33 | 5750 | 160.233 | Lam et al. (2017) |
WASP 107 b | 0.94 | 0.055 | 89.7 | 5.721490 | 0.66 | 4430 | 64.8614 | Anderson et al. (2017) |
TOI 193 b | 0.45 | 0.0169 | 75.4 | 0.7921 | 0.99 | 5222 | 80.6231 | Pearson (2019) |
GJ 1214 b | 0.254 | 0.01411 | 88.17 | 1.58040456 | 0.216 | 3026 | 14.6487 | Harpsøe et al. (2013) |
GJ 357 b | 1.217 | 0.035 | 89.12 | 3.93072 | 0.337 | 3505 | 9.4444 | Luque et al. (2019) |
GJ 1132 b | 1.16 | 0.0154 | 88.64 | 1.628930 | 0.207 | 3270 | 12.6176 | Berta-Thompson et al. (2015) |
L98-59 c | 0.12023 | 0.0324 | 89.3 | 3.690621 | 0.312 | 3367 | 10.6226 | Kostov et al. (2019) |
L98-59 d | 0.14027 | 0.052 | 88.5 | 7.45086 | 0.312 | 3367 | 10.6226 | Kostov et al. (2019) |
LP 791-18 b | 0.09992 | 0.00969 | 87.3 | 0.9480050 | 0.171 | 2960 | 26.5128 | Crossfield et al. (2019) |
Trappist-1 b | 0.101914 | 0.011534 | 89.28 | 1.51088432 | 0.1234 | 2520 | 12.4299 | Ducrot et al. (2020) |
Trappist-1 d | 0.072085 | 0.02226 | 89.65 | 4.04978035 | 0.1234 | 2520 | 12.4299 | Ducrot et al. (2020) |
Trappist-1 e | 0.084263 | 0.02924 | 89.663 | 6.09956479 | 0.1234 | 2520 | 12.4299 | Ducrot et al. (2020) |
Trappist-1 f | 0.096128 | 0.038774 | 89.666 | 9.20659399 | 0.1234 | 2520 | 12.4299 | Ducrot et al. (2020) |
Note.
a The distances of the systems have been taken from the Gaia Data Release 2 catalog (Gaia Collaboration et al. 2018).Download table as: ASCIITypeset image
Table 3. Adopted Tday, Tnight, Ab , and ε Based on the Available Observations and/or for the Extreme Cases that Maximize the Phase- and Self-blend, Respectively
Most Likely Configurations | Extreme Configurations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Planet | Obs. Type a | Tday/Tnight (K) | Ab , ε | References | Tday (Tnight = 0 K) | Tday = Tnight (K) |
Ab = 0, ε = 0 | Ab = 0, ε = 1 | |||||
WASP12 b | Phase curve | 2850/1350 | 0.40, 0.12 | Bell et al. (2019) | 3299 | 2581 |
WASP43 b | Phase curve | 1600/850 | 0.23, 0.19 | Morello et al. (2019) | 1762 | 1379 |
WASP121 b | Phase curve | 2950/1170 | 0.044, 0.064 | Daylan et al. (2019) | 3014 | 2358 |
WASP18 b | Phase curve | 2890/480 | 0.20, 0.002 | Arcangeli et al. (2019) | 3057 | 2392 |
WASP79 b | Eclipse | 1950/1510 | 0.0, 0.60 | Garhart et al. (2020) | 2194 | 1717 |
WASP80 b | Eclipse | 890/770 | 0.0, 0.77 | Triaud et al. (2015) | 1054 | 825 |
WASP17 b | Eclipse | 1730/1730 | 0.091, 1.0 | Anderson et al. (2011) | 2264 | 1772 |
WASP39 b | Eclipse | 1130/1110 | 0.0, 0.97 | Kammer et al. (2015) | 1428 | 1117 |
WASP69 b | Eclipse | 940/940 | 0.094, 1.0 | Wallack et al. (2019) | 1231 | 964 |
HD189733 b | Phase curve | 1250/990 | 0.27, 0.63 | Knutson et al. (2009, 2012) | 1534 | 1200 |
HD209458 b | Phase curve | 1500/970 | 0.44, 0.36 | Zellem et al. (2014) | 1851 | 1449 |
HD149026 b | Phase curve | 1800/1030 | 0.41, 0.24 | Zhang et al. (2018) | 2138 | 1673 |
HAT-P-1 b | Eclipse | 1500/1120 | 0.0, 0.55 | Todorov et al. (2010) | 1668 | 1305 |
HAT-P-26 b | Eclipse | 700/700 | 0.78, 1.0 | Wallack et al. (2019) | 1313 | 1028 |
GJ436 b | Eclipse | 790/480 | 0.0, 0.28 | Stevenson et al. (2010) | 830 | 649 |
GJ3470 b | Eclipse | 510/510 | 0.71, 1.0 | Benneke et al. (2019a) | 886 | 693 |
WASP77A b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 2138 | 1673 |
WASP52 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 1660 | 1299 |
WASP127 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 1788 | 1400 |
WASP107 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 946 | 740 |
TOI193 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 2463 | 1927 |
GJ1214 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 730 | 571 |
GJ357 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 670 | 524 |
GJ1132 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 739 | 578 |
L98-59 c | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 644 | 504 |
L98-59 d | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 508 | 398 |
LP791-18 d | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 766 | 600 |
Trappist-1 b | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 508 | 397 |
Trappist-1 d | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 366 | 286 |
Trappist-1 e | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 319 | 250 |
Trappist-1 f | None | ⋯ | ⋯ | ⋯ | 277 | 217 |
Note.
a Type of observations used to estimate Tday and Tnight (most likely configurations). Whereas multiple observations were available, we took the arithmetic average of the brightness temperatures reported in the reference paper. The eclipse observations provide Tday only; the corresponding Tnight was calculated by assuming the maximum circulation efficiency compatible with the eclipse data.Download table as: ASCIITypeset image
4.3. Atmospheric Retrievals
We performed atmospheric retrievals on the pure and biased transmission spectra using Tau-REx III. The free fitting parameters were the planet radius, the isothermal temperature, three Mie scattering parameters, and the abundances of all of the molecules used by the ACE module to compute the transmission spectra. We take the approximation of uniform chemical distribution with height for the retrievals, neglecting the pressure dependence of the input models.
4.4. Biases in Retrieval Results
In all cases, the retrieval algorithm found a solution that provides an excellent match to the simulated spectrum, albeit with different than input parameters. Figure 5 compares the atmospheric parameters retrieved from pure and biased transmission spectra with their underlying values and/or intervals from the input models. The spectrum bias can affect the H2O abundance measured on WASP 12 b by orders of magnitude, the temperature by ∼500 K, and the planet radius by 2%–3%. In some cases, the measured discrepancies may include the effect of parameter degeneracies, which are discussed below. The largest effects occur with JWST/NIRISS, for which the biased spectra have a significantly different slope than the pure transmission ones. We obtained similar trends using blackbody or ACE spectra for planetary emission, but it is possible to have larger differences in the presence of more pronounced molecular features. The constant offsets change only the apparent radius of the planet, not the other atmospheric parameters.
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Standard image High-resolution imageUnsurprisingly, the parameters obtained for WASP 43 b are not significantly affected by the modest spectroscopic bias. If the phase-blend effect is corrected, the self-blend bias is negligible for both WASP 12 b and WASP 43 b.
We note that, in some cases, the retrieved parameters do not match the underlying values, even in the absence of spectrum bias. These discrepancies can only be partially explained by the approximation of constant gas profiles adopted in the retrievals (Changeat et al. 2019). The error bars obtained from atmospheric retrievals can sometimes be underestimated, not accounting for the full parameter degeneracies (Rocchetto et al. 2016). Performing retrievals over the broader wavelength range covered by the three instruments should help to significantly reduce the degeneracies between the planet's radius and atmospheric parameters (Chapman et al. 2017; Welbanks & Madhusudhan 2019). A discussion of the robustness of the retrievals themselves is beyond the scope of this paper.
5. Predicted Impact on Future Observations
We calculated the bias spectra for all exoplanets that will be observed in the JWST GTO and ERS programs as described in Section 4.2 with blackbody emission spectra. Table 2 reports the system parameters. Table 3 reports the dayside and nightside temperatures based on current estimates from observations and their theoretical limits. Tables 4 and 5 show the mean offsets and peak-to-peak amplitudes of the spectroscopic bias for the different configurations. For most planets, the spectroscopic bias is smaller than the 1σ error bars. The only JWST GTO and ERS targets showing a potential bias larger than 3σ with a single visit are WASP 121 b, WASP 18 b, WASP 77A b, WASP 43 b, and HD 189733 b (see Table 5). It is worth noting that the phase blend is the dominant bias component for four out of five planets, which can be largely removed by appropriate data detrending. Furthermore, the full phase curves of WASP 121 b and WASP 43 b will be observed. The only target with a potentially significant self-blend bias is HD 189733 b, but it should not affect the secondary eclipse observations that are currently scheduled.
Table 4. Transit Depth Biases and Error Bars Estimated for the Most Likely Configurations (See Table 3)
Total Bias | Self-blend Bias | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Planet | Instrument | Offset | Amplitude | Offset | Amplitude | Error Bar |
NIRISS | +170 | 242 | −4 | 9 | 42 | |
WASP 12 b | NIRSpec | +275 | 119 | −12 | 17 | 57 |
MIRI | +303 | 13 | −27 | 13 | 131 | |
NIRISS | +20 | 52 | −1 | 5 | 55 | |
WASP 43 b | NIRSpec | +58 | 58 | −10 | 25 | 65 |
MIRI | +69 | 25 | −46 | 44 | 143 | |
NIRISS | +157 | 241 | −4 | 9 | 29 | |
WASP 121 b | NIRSpec | +266 | 127 | −13 | 19 | 40 |
MIRI | +298 | 14 | −32 | 18 | 93 | |
NIRISS | +85 | 138 | −9e-1 | 1 | 19 | |
WASP 18 b | NIRSpec | +159 | 108 | −2 | 1 | 26 |
MIRI | +217 | 28 | −3 | 2 | 60 | |
NIRISS | +2 | 3 | −1 | 5 | 23 | |
WASP 79 b | NIRSpec | +1 | 5 | −6 | 11 | 31 |
MIRI | −6 | 7 | −16 | 8 | 73 | |
NIRISS | −2e-1 | 2 | −4e-1 | 3 | 26 | |
WASP 80 b | NIRSpec | −7 | 22 | −8 | 25 | 30 |
MIRI | −48 | 58 | −53 | 60 | 64 | |
NIRISS | −6 | 18 | −6 | 18 | 33 | |
WASP 17 b | NIRSpec | −22 | 32 | −22 | 32 | 46 |
MIRI | −47 | 20 | −47 | 20 | 106 | |
NIRISS | −1 | 7 | −1 | 7 | 47 | |
WASP 39 b | NIRSpec | −12 | 26 | −12 | 26 | 60 |
MIRI | −42 | 31 | −42 | 31 | 137 | |
NIRISS | −4e-1 | 3 | −4e-1 | 3 | 16 | |
WASP 69 b | NIRSpec | −5 | 14 | −5 | 14 | 19 |
MIRI | −25 | 22 | −25 | 22 | 43 | |
NIRISS | +2e-1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 7 | |
HD 189733 b | NIRSpec | −6 | 19 | −11 | 27 | 9 |
MIRI | −36 | 37 | −46 | 39 | 19 | |
NIRISS | +2 | 4 | −3e-1 | 1 | 7 | |
HD 209458 b | NIRSpec | +4 | 3 | −3 | 8 | 9 |
MIRI | −2 | 9 | −13 | 12 | 21 | |
NIRISS | +1 | 3 | −1e-2 | 6e-2 | 9 | |
HD 149026 b | NIRSpec | +3 | 3 | −1e-1 | 2e-1 | 12 |
MIRI | +5 | 4e-1 | −4e-1 | 3e-1 | 27 | |
NIRISS | +2e-1 | 6e-1 | −4e-1 | 2 | 25 | |
HAT-P-1 b | NIRSpec | −2 | 6 | −4 | 8 | 33 |
MIRI | −10 | 9 | −14 | 10 | 76 | |
NIRISS | +3e-2 | 3e-2 | −4e-3 | 3e-2 | 39 | |
HAT-P-26 b | NIRSpec | −9e-2 | 4e-1 | −1e-1 | 4e-1 | 49 |
MIRI | −1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 110 | |
NIRISS | +1e-2 | 6e-2 | −4e-4 | 4e-3 | 13 | |
GJ 436 b | NIRSpec | +1e-1 | 3e-1 | −4e-2 | 2e-1 | 13 |
MIRI | −4e-2 | 1 | −8e-1 | 2 | 27 | |
NIRISS | +2e-2 | 4e-3 | −4e-4 | 4e-3 | 24 | |
GJ 3470 b | NIRSpec | −1e-2 | 1e-1 | −3e-2 | 1e-1 | 26 |
MIRI | −6e-1 | 1 | −6e-1 | 1 | 54 |
Note. The offset is the mean value of the bias over the wavelength bins. The amplitude is the difference between the maximum and minimum bias over the wavelength bins. Numbers in bold denote bias values greater than three times the nominal error bar and greater than 30 ppm.
A machine-readable version of the table is available.
Download table as: DataTypeset image
Table 5. Transit Depth Biases and Error Bars Estimated for the Extreme Configurations (See Table 3)
Total Bias | Self-blend Bias | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Planet | Instrument | Offset | Amplitude | Offset | Amplitude | Error Bar |
NIRISS | +257/−19 | 354/36 | −4/−19 | 6/36 | 42 | |
WASP 12 b | NIRSpec | +423/−41 | 229/34 | −7/−41 | 4/34 | 57 |
MIRI | +549/−61 | 75/13 | −9/−61 | 1/13 | 131 | |
NIRISS | +30/−10 | 80/34 | −9e-1/−10 | 2/34 | 55 | |
WASP 43 b | NIRSpec | +95/−47 | 118/79 | −3/−47 | 3/79 | 65 |
MIRI | +179/−117 | 61/59 | −5/−117 | 2/59 | 143 | |
NIRISS | +171/−21 | 271/45 | −3/−21 | 5/45 | 29 | |
WASP 121 b | NIRSpec | +312/−51 | 203/49 | −6/−51 | 4/49 | 40 |
MIRI | +428/−82 | 71/21 | −8/−82 | 1/21 | 93 | |
NIRISS | +98/−7 | 152/14 | −1/−7 | 2/14 | 19 | |
WASP 18 b | NIRSpec | +175/−16 | 110/15 | −2/−16 | 1/15 | 26 |
MIRI | +238/−26 | 38/6 | −3/−26 | 4e-1/6 | 60 | |
NIRISS | +7/−2 | 17/7 | −9e-2/−2 | 2e-1/7 | 23 | |
WASP 79 b | NIRSpec | +19/−9 | 21/13 | −2e-1/−9 | 3e-1/13 | 31 |
MIRI | +34/−19 | 10/8 | −4e-1/−19 | 1e-1/8 | 73 | |
NIRISS | +7e-1/−6e-1 | 3/4 | −2e-2/−6e-1 | 1e-1/4 | 26 | |
WASP 80 b | NIRSpec | +6/−11 | 13/32 | −2e-1/−11 | 5e-1/32 | 30 |
MIRI | +21/−62 | 16/65 | −7e-1/−62 | 6e-1/65 | 64 | |
NIRISS | +16/−6 | 36/19 | −3e-1/−6 | 7e-1/19 | 33 | |
WASP 17 b | NIRSpec | +41/−24 | 43/33 | −8e-1/−24 | 8e-1/33 | 46 |
MIRI | +69/−49 | 19/20 | −1/−49 | 4e-1/20 | 106 | |
NIRISS | +1/−1 | 5/7 | −4e-2/−1 | 1e-1/7 | 47 | |
WASP 39 b | NIRSpec | +7/−12 | 13/27 | −2e-1/−12 | 3e-1/27 | 60 |
MIRI | +19/−43 | 10/31 | −5e-1/−43 | 2e-1/31 | 137 | |
NIRISS | +5e-1/−5e-1 | 2/3 | −1e-2/−5e-1 | 4e-2/3 | 16 | |
WASP 69 b | NIRSpec | +3/−6 | 6/15 | −7e-2/−6 | 1e-1/15 | 19 |
MIRI | +10/−26 | 6/23 | −2e-1/−26 | 1e-1/23 | 43 | |
NIRISS | +4/−3 | 12/14 | −1e-1/−3 | 3e-1/14 | 7 | |
HD 189733 b | NIRSpec | +16/−22 | 24/44 | −4e-1/−22 | 7e-1/44 | 9 |
MIRI | +36/−68 | 16/44 | −1/−68 | 4e-1/44 | 19 | |
NIRISS | +4/−2 | 12/8 | −7e-2/−2 | 2e-1/8 | 7 | |
HD 209458 b | NIRSpec | +14/−11 | 19/20 | −2e-1/−11 | 3e-1/20 | 9 |
MIRI | +28/−29 | 10/15 | −5e-1/−29 | 2e-1/15 | 21 | |
NIRISS | +2/−1e-1 | 5/4e-1 | −6e-3/−1e-1 | 1e-2/4e-1 | 9 | |
HD 149026 b | NIRSpec | +6/−5e-1 | 7/7e-1 | −2e-2/−5e-1 | 2e-2/7e-1 | 12 |
MIRI | +11/−1 | 3/4e-1 | −3e-2/−1 | 8e-3/4e-1 | 27 | |
NIRISS | +1/−1 | 4/4 | −2e-2/−1 | 6e-2/4 | 25 | |
HAT-P-1 b | NIRSpec | 5/−6 | 7/12 | −7e-2/−6 | 1e-1/12 | 33 |
MIRI | +11/−18 | 5/11 | −2e-1/−18 | 7e-2/11 | 76 | |
NIRISS | +2e-1/−6e-2 | 1/3e-1 | −2e-3/−6e-2 | 6e-3/3e-1 | 39 | |
HAT-P-26 b | NIRSpec | +1/−6e-1 | 3/2 | −9e-3/−6e-1 | 2e-2/2 | 49 |
MIRI | +4/−3 | 2/2 | −2e-2/−3 | 1e-2/2 | 110 | |
NIRISS | +1e-2/−7e-3 | 9e-2/6e-2 | −1e-4/−7e-3 | 7e-4/6e-2 | 13 | |
GJ 436 b | NIRSpec | +2e-1/−3e-1 | 6e-1/9e-1 | −2e-3/−3e-1 | 5e-3/9e-1 | 13 |
MIRI | +1/−2 | 1/3 | −9e-3/−2 | 9e-3/3 | 27 | |
NIRISS | +3e-2/−6e-3 | 2e-1/5e-2 | −2e-4/−6e-3 | 1e-3/5e-2 | 24 | |
GJ 3470 b | NIRSpec | +4e-1/−2e-1 | 1/6e-1 | −3e-3/−2e-1 | 7e-3/6e-1 | 26 |
MIRI | +2/−1 | 2/2 | −1e-2/−1 | 1e-2/2 | 54 | |
NIRISS | +35/−7 | 79/21 | −7e-1/−7 | 2/21 | 24 | |
WASP 77A b | NIRSpec | +90/−26 | 94/38 | −2/−26 | 2/38 | 31 |
MIRI | +152/−56 | 42/23 | −3/−56 | 8e-1/23 | 71 | |
NIRISS | +10/−6 | 30/26 | −3e-1/−6 | 9e-1/26 | 58 | |
WASP 52 b | NIRSpec | +36/−37 | 51/69 | −1/−37 | 2/69 | 73 |
MIRI | +76/−104 | 31/60 | −2/−104 | 1/60 | 164 | |
NIRISS | +4/−1 | 12/5 | −6e-2/−1 | 2e-1/5 | 18 | |
WASP 127 b | NIRSpec | +14/−7 | 19/13 | −2e-1/−7 | 3e-1/13 | 24 |
MIRI | +29/−19 | 11/10 | −4e-1/−19 | 1e-1/10 | 55 | |
NIRISS | +1e-1/−1e-1 | 6e-1/9e-1 | −2e-3/−1e-1 | 1e-2/9e-1 | 24 | |
WASP 107 b | NIRSpec | +1/−3 | 3/10 | −3e-2/−3 | 7e-2/10 | 29 |
MIRI | +5/−21 | 5/26 | −1e-1/−21 | 1e-1/26 | 63 | |
NIRISS | +4/−2e-1 | 7/6e-1 | −9e-3/−2e-1 | 2e-2/6e-1 | 30 | |
TOI 193 b | NIRSpec | +8/−7e-1 | 6/8e-1 | −2e-2/−7e-1 | 1e-2/8e-1 | 39 |
MIRI | +11/−1 | 2/4e-1 | −3e-2/−1 | 6e-3/4e-1 | 88 | |
NIRISS | +3e-2/−1e-2 | 2e-1/1e-1 | −5e-4/−1e-2 | 3e-3/1e-1 | 53 | |
GJ 1214 b | NIRSpec | +6e-1/−6e-1 | 2/2 | −1e-2/−6e-1 | 3e-2/2 | 49 |
MIRI | +4/−8 | 5/12 | −7e-2/−8 | 8e-2/12 | 99 | |
NIRISS | +3e-4/−2e-5 | 2e-3/2e-4 | −3e-7/−2e-5 | 3e-6/2e-4 | 14 | |
GJ 357 b | NIRSpec | +9e-3/−2e-3 | 3e-2/7e-3 | −1e-5/−2e-3 | 4e-5/7e-3 | 15 |
MIRI | +7e-2/−3e-2 | 1e-1/5e-2 | −9e-5/−3e-2 | 1e-4/5e-2 | 31 | |
NIRISS | +3e-3/−3e-4 | 3e-2/3e-3 | −1e-5/−3e-4 | 7e-5/3e-3 | 45 | |
GJ 1132 b | NIRSpec | +7e-2/−2e-2 | 2e-1/8e-2 | −2e-4/−2e-2 | 7e-4/8e-2 | 45 |
MIRI | +5e-1/−2e-1 | 6e-1/4e-1 | −1e-3/−2e-1 | 2e-3/4e-1 | 92 | |
NIRISS | +3e-4/−3e-5 | 3e-3/3e-4 | −5e-7/−3e-5 | 5e-6/3e-4 | 19 | |
L98-59 c | NIRSpec | +1e-2/−3e-3 | 4e-2/1e-2 | −2e-5/−3e-3 | 7e-5/1e-2 | 19 |
MIRI | +1e-1/−5e-2 | 1e-1/9e-2 | −2e-4/−5e-2 | 2e-4/9e-2 | 39 | |
NIRISS | +3e-6/−2e-6 | 4e-5/4e-5 | −7e-9/−2e-6 | 8e-8/4e-5 | 24 | |
L98-59 d | NIRSpec | +3e-4/−1e-3 | 1e-3/5e-3 | −8e-7/−1e-3 | 3e-6/5e-3 | 25 |
MIRI | +5e-3/−4e-2 | 1e-2/9e-2 | −1e-5/−4e-2 | 2e-5/9e-2 | 51 | |
NIRISS | +1e-2/−1e-3 | 8e-2/1e-2 | −4e-5/−1e-3 | 3e-4/1e-2 | 163 | |
LP 791-18 b | NIRSpec | +2e-1/−5e-2 | 6e-1/2e-1 | −8e-4/−5e-2 | 2e-3/2e-1 | 150 |
MIRI | +1/−6e-1 | 1/8e-1 | −5e-3/−6e-1 | 5e-3/8e-1 | 299 | |
NIRISS | +3e-4/−5e-5 | 4e-3/8e-4 | −3e-6/−5e-5 | 3e-5/8e-4 | 138 | |
Trappist-1 b | NIRSpec | +3e-2/−2e-2 | 1e-1/1e-1 | −2e-4/−2e-2 | 1e-3/1e-1 | 107 |
MIRI | +4e-1/−6e-1 | 8e-1/2 | −4e-3/−6e-1 | 6e-3/2 | 202 | |
NIRISS | +5e-7/−6e-8 | 9e-6/1e-6 | −2e-9/−6e-8 | 4e-8/1e-6 | 119 | |
Trappist-1 d | NIRSpec | +3e-4/−2e-4 | 2e-3/2e-3 | −1e-6/−2e-4 | 8e-6/2e-3 | 92 |
MIRI | +2e-2/−3e-2 | 4e-2/1e-1 | −6e-5/−3e-2 | 2e-4/1e-1 | 174 | |
NIRISS | +5e-8/−6e-9 | 9e-7/2e-7 | −2e-10/−6e-9 | 5e-9/2e-7 | 111 | |
Trappist-1 e | NIRSpec | +7e-5/−9e-5 | 5e-4/7e-4 | −4e-7/−9e-5 | 3e-6/7e-4 | 86 |
MIRI | +6e-3/−3e-2 | 2e-2/1e-1 | −4e-5/−3e-2 | 1e-4/1e-1 | 163 | |
NIRISS | +2e-9/−4e-10 | 5e-8/1e-8 | −2e-11/−4e-10 | 4e-10/1e-8 | 105 | |
Trappist-1 f | NIRSpec | +1e-5/−2e-5 | 9e-5/2e-4 | −9e-8/−2e-5 | 7e-7/2e-4 | 82 |
MIRI | +2e-3/−2e-2 | 8e-3/1e-1 | −2e-5/−2e-2 | 6e-5/1e-1 | 154 |
A machine-readable version of the table is available.
Figures 6 and 7 provide color maps to highlight regions of the parameter space from which the exoplanet spectra observed with JWST are more likely to be affected by the self- and phase-blend effects. In general, we can have spectral biases larger than 10 ppm for Neptune-sized or larger planets. The phase-blend bias can be up to hundreds of ppm for hot Jupiters with periods shorter than 2 days. The self-blend bias is more weakly dependent on the orbital period, but it rarely exceeds 100 ppm. Numbers in bold denote bias values greater than three times the nominal error bar and greater than 30 ppm.
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Standard image High-resolution imageDownload figure:
Standard image High-resolution imageFuture transmission spectra taken with the Ariel mission can also be affected by the dark planet approximation. The general trends inferred for the JWST spectra can be extended to the Ariel ones, with some quantitative differences due to the specific instruments. Ariel will simultaneously cover the spectral region 0.5–7.8 μm, thus comprising the wavelength range of JWST/NIRSpec and partly also that of NIRISS and MIRI. The Ariel spectra will have lower resolution, especially at wavelengths shorter than 2 μm. Due to the different telescope apertures, the Ariel mission will require multiple visits to achieve the same signal-to-noise ratio that would be obtained with a single JWST visit.
6. Conclusions
In this paper, we studied the impact of the common dark planet approximation in transit spectroscopy. We adopted the novel ExoTETHyS.BOATS subpackage to calculate the transit depth bias on simulated spectra with the JWST. This newly released software relies on the formulae derived by Martin-Lagarde et al. (2020b; the core algorithm was already used in that study). We find that, in some cases, these biases can significantly affect the parameters obtained from atmospheric retrievals, including gas temperature and mixing ratios. These effects are more important for large-radius, short-period planets. The color dependence appears to be stronger in near-infrared spectra and/or when combining UV/visible with mid-infrared spectra. Our retrospective reanalysis for observations already planned within the JWST GTO and ERS programs did not reveal any critical issues, either because the bias is negligible or because it should be detrendable from the data. We also provide precalculated tables and color maps as quick-look tools to assess the potential impact of self- and phase-blend biases on specific targets. Knowing in advance an estimate of the bias can guide the selection of targets and/or the choice of the type of observation.
We thank the anonymous referee for helpful suggestions. G.M. thanks Q. Changeat, C. Cossou, D. Dicken, and I. P. Waldmann for useful discussions. This work was supported by the LabEx P2IO, the French ANR contract 05-BLANNT09-573739, and the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme (grant agreement No. 776403). T.Z. has been funded by the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme (grant agreement No. 679030/WHIPLASH).