Abstract
This paper investigates the cyclicality of Islamic banking relative to conventional banking. It examines whether loan growth and profitability have a different sensitivity to economic growth for Islamic banks and for conventional banks. We used panel data from 525 banks covering 16 countries with dual banking systems spanning the period from 2008 to 2018. We found no difference in lending cyclicality: Islamic banks and conventional banks both have procyclical lending behavior. Profitability, on the other hand, is procyclical for Islamic banks but not for conventional banks. Our findings support the view that Islamic banking presence does not contribute to strengthened economic stability.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
Muhammad Chapra, a leading scholar in Islamic economics, observes that the Islamic financial system may “not be able to be a genuine reflection of Islamic teachings if it fails to realize the vision of Islam by actualizing justice, which is one of the primary objectives of Islam” (2007, p. 325).
Iran and Sudan have full-fledged Islamic financial systems. As we wanted to compare Islamic banks to conventional banks in dual economies, we did not include these countries in our dataset.
Random effects are required because we have a dummy variable (Islamic bank) in our estimations.
References
Abedifar, P., P. Molyneux, and A. Tarazi. 2013. Risk in Islamic Banking. Review of Finance 17: 2035–2096.
Albertazzi, U., and L. Gambacorta. 2009. Bank Profitability and the Business Cycle. Journal of Financial Stability 5: 393–409.
Alexakis, C., M. Izzeldin, J. Johnes, and V. Pappas. 2019. Performance and Productivity in Islamic and Conventional Banks: Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis. Economic Modelling 79: 1–14.
Allen, F., K. Jackowicz, O. Kowalewski, and Ł. Kozłowski. 2017. Bank Lending, Crises, and Changing Ownership Structure in Central and Eastern European Countries. Journal of Corporate Finance. 42: 494–515.
Arellano, M., and S. Bond. 1991. Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. Review of Economic Studies 58: 277–297.
Arellano, M., and O. Bover. 1995. Another Look at the Instrumental-Variable Estimation of Error-Components. Journal of Econometrics. 68: 29–52.
Aysan, A., and H. Ozturk. 2018. Does Islamic Banking Offer a Natural Hedge for Business Cycles? Evidence from a Dual Banking System. Journal of Financial Stability 36: 22–38.
Beck, T., A. Demirgüç-Kunt, and O. Merrouche. 2013. Islamic vs Conventional Banking: Business Model, Efficiency and Stability. Journal of Banking and Finance 37 (2): 433–447.
Behr, P., D. Foos, and L. Norden. 2017. Cyclicality of SME Lending and Government Involvement in Banks. Journal of Banking & Finance 77: 64–77.
Bertay, A.C., A. Demirgüç-Kunt, and H. Huizinga. 2015. Bank Ownership and Credit over the Business Cycle: Is Lending by State Banks Less Procyclical? Journal of Banking & Finance 50: 326–339.
Blundell, R., and S. Bond. 1998. Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics. 87: 115–143.
Bolt, W., L. de Haan, M. Hoeberichts, M. van Oordt, and J. Swank. 2012. Bank Profitability during Recession. Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (9): 2552–2564.
Chapra, M.U. 2007. Challenges facing the Islamic Financial Industry. In Handbook of Islamic Banking, ed. M. Kabir Hassan and M. Lewis, 325–357. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Ferri, G., P. Kalmi, and E. Kerola. 2014. Does Bank Ownership Affect Lending Behavior? Evidence from the Euro Area. Journal of Banking & Finance 48: 194–209.
Gheeraert, L., and L. Weill. 2015. Does Islamic Banking Development Favor Macroeconomic Efficiency? Economic Modelling 47: 32–39.
Hasan, Z. 2004. Measuring the Efficiency of Islamic Banks: Criteria, Methods and Social Priorities. Review of Islamic Economics 8 (2): 5–30.
Ibrahim, M.H. 2016. Business Cycle and Bank Lending Procyclicality in a Dual Banking System. Economic Modelling 55: 127–134.
Imam, P., and K. Kpodar. 2016. Islamic Banking: Good for Growth? Economic Modelling 59: 387–401.
Islamic Financial Services Board. 2019. Industry Stability Report, Islamic Financial Services Board.
Olson, D., and T. Zoubi. 2008. Using Accounting Ratios to Distinguish between Islamic and Conventional Banks in the GCC Region. International Journal of Accounting 43 (1): 45–65.
Olson, D., and T. Zoubi. 2011. Efficiency and Bank Profitability in MENA Countries. Emerging Markets Review 12 (2): 94–110.
Visser, H. 2009. Islamic Finance: Principles and Practice. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Windmeijer, F. 2005. A Finite Sample Correction for the Variance of Linear Efficient Two-Step GMM Estimators. Journal of Econometrics. 126: 25–51.
Zins, A., and L. Weill. 2018. Cyclicality of Lending in Africa: The Influence of Bank Ownership. Emerging Markets Review 37: 164–180.
Acknowledgements
We acknowledge the comments from the two anonymous referees.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Weill, L., Zins, A. Is Islamic Banking More Procyclical? Cross-Country Evidence. Comp Econ Stud 63, 318–335 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41294-020-00143-y
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41294-020-00143-y