Introduction

Pedunculate and sessile oak (Quercus robur L. and Q. petraea (Matt.) Liebl.) are foundational species in European temperate forests where they support more biodiversity than most other tree species (Mölder et al. 2019; Sundberg et al. 2019). Oak forests also provide many ecosystem services including quality timber, firewood, forage, recreation, aesthetic/cultural/historical values and watershed protection (Gil-Pelegrín et al. 2017). Additionally, oak forests, because of their high resilience to disturbance and environmental stress, offer a promising alternative for inclusion into management plans addressing increasingly common extreme weather events (Kohler et al. 2020). Sustainable management of oak-dominated forests and habitats is therefore an important issue connected to environmental and land management strategies.

Oak dominance is declining in many parts of the world (Dey et al. 2019), which is particularly concerning in light of their conservation and ecosystem service values. Oak regeneration failures are regarded as central to this problem (Annighöfer et al. 2015). Insufficient natural regeneration of oak has been a concern for over a century (Watt 1919; Korstian 1927). It is well-known that pedunculate and sessile oak are light-demanding species (Röhrig et al. 2006; Ligot et al. 2013; Leuschner and Ellenberg 2018; Kohler et al. 2020). Their regeneration therefore depends on relatively open forests, forest edges or savanna-like grasslands with abundant light and natural or anthropogenic disturbances that maintain such habitats (Vera 2000; Bobiec et al. 2018; Petersson et al. 2020). Furthermore, the recruitment strategy of light-demanding temperate tree species such as oaks, growing in open habitats in the presence of thorny shrubs, may be viewed as an adaptation to now extinct large browsers and grazers (Bakker et al. 2004). A distracting fact in many European temperate forests of today is that oaks are among the most palatable tree species for ungulates (Kullberg and Bergström 2010; Petersson et al. 2019). In today’s denser and darker environments that lack protective thorny shrubs, grazing and browsing from ungulates may severely affect oak seedling growth and survival (Bobiec et al. 2018; Barrere et al. 2021; Dobrowolska et al. 2020).

Besides light availability, grazing and browsing, acorn dispersal and predation by animals are important for natural regeneration (Mellanby 1968). Scatter-hoarding birds and rodents may consume large quantities of acorns but some will survive and germinate in suitable places (Gómez et al. 2019). Birds in particular can carry acorns far from seed-bearing trees to open areas where they may develop successfully (Pesendorfer et al. 2016; Martínez-Baroja et al. 2019).

Open habitats, however, do not guarantee successful establishment in practical forestry. Interference from low-stature herbaceous and woody vegetation may severely reduce growth and survival of young oak seedlings (Jensen et al. 2011). It is often necessary to control competing vegetation using herbicides, mechanical site preparation, mulching or prescribed burning. Numerous studies show a positive correlation between these methods and growth and survival in oak seedlings (e.g., Davies 1988; Löf et al. 2006; Dey et al. 2019). In addition, in habitats with dense herbaceous vegetation, rodents such as voles can damage and consume seedlings which may further reduce survival over time (Manson et al. 2001).

In northern Europe, oak silviculture in pure stands for high-quality timber production combines relatively short rotations (ca 100–130 years) with frequent heavy thinnings and regular high pruning of epicormic branches (Carbonnier 1975; Henriksen 1988). These pure stands are often even aged, with or without an understory of other tree species (Drössler et al. 2012). For various reasons, such stands are considered difficult to regenerate naturally (Löf et al. 1998). For example, acorn removal and consumption by animals, competition from other vegetation and browsing by deer are seen as serious problems (Andersson 1991; Götmark et al. 2005; Jensen et al. 2012). When used, natural regeneration is thought to be most effective following mast years, in a uniform shelterwood system, and sometimes combined with mechanical site preparation (Almgren et al. 1984). However, there are few examples where this method of natural regeneration has been successful (Hansen 1995). Instead, such stands are often clear-cut followed by planting of bare-rooted seedlings, which probably significantly increases the regeneration costs.

This study, conducted in southern Sweden, was designed to examine effects of fencing and regeneration technique (natural regeneration, direct seeding and planting) on the establishment of oak seedlings. To our knowledge, there is a lack of experience from studies where several regeneration techniques are compared side by side, especially for oaks. The objective is to gain practical insight into differences in establishment success using artificial- and natural-regeneration techniques for reforestation of oak stands. To meet this objective, we present findings about the effects of fencing and regeneration technique on the growth, survival, establishment rate and recruitment rate of seedlings. Additionally, we report and discuss the costs involved for the various regeneration techniques used in this study.

Material and methods

Study site and experimental design

The experiment was carried in a 2.6 ha oak (Q. robur) stand on the island Visingsö (58.03° N, 14.29° E, 94 m.a.s.l.) near Gränna in southern Sweden. The island is ca 3 km wide, 14 km long with an area of 25 km2. The experiment was initiated in May 2014 and monitored until the autumn of 2018. The stand consisted of a sparse shelter-wood of approximately 100-year-old oaks, without an understory. The mean basal area was 12 m2 ha−1 at the end of the study. This corresponds to ca 42% of above canopy light in oak forests according to Petersson et al. (2020). In the beginning of the experiment in 2014, the ground vegetation was already dominated by a dense layer of herbaceous vegetation. During the study period, this vegetation was mainly dominated by grasses, sedges and thickets of Rubus idaeus L. In addition, clusters of small naturally regenerated oak seedlings were distributed throughout the stand. These groups of naturally regenerated seedlings were evenly distributed and were estimated to occupy about one third of the area. Only a few individuals of other woody species were present in the seedling/sapling layer. The soil texture of the site is fine sandy till. During the experiment, annual precipitation varied between 331 and 501 mm, and mean air temperature was from − 2.1 to 1.8 °C in January and 15.6 to 20.4 °C in July (SMHI 2019). Most years had relatively normal rainfall and temperatures except 2018 when there was little precipitation and higher temperatures compared to the mean of the last 20 years (Table 1). Hares (Lepus timidus L. and Lepus europaeus P.) and roe deer (Capreolus capreolus L.) were abundant. There are no figures on population densities available. However, during the period 2014–2018, a yearly average of 25 roe deer were shot on the island, i.e., 10 roe deer shot per 1000 ha (Hans Christensson pers. comm.). Roe deer annual harvest is a variable positively related to population abundance (Kahlert 2015). No such figures are available for hares. To our knowledge, there were no other large mammals on the island with the potential to damage seedlings.

Table 1 Monthly precipitation (mm) and monthly mean air temperature (°C) during the 2014–2018 growing seasons at Visingsö climate station located 9.6 km north of the experimental site (SMHI 2019)

The experimental design included four randomized blocks with two treatments along with sub-treatments (split plots) in each of the blocks. Figure 1 shows the location of the site and exemplify the design of one out of four blocks (Fig. 1). Blocks were about 100 m from each other. The treatments were fencing (F) and an unfenced control (C), separated by about 10–20 m within the blocks. Each treatment plot was 8 × 24 m, and around the F treatment a 2-m-high steel wire fence was erected in May 2014 to exclude large herbivores and hares during the study. Within each block, the two treatment plots were selected so that they were as similar as possible in oak crown coverage and herbaceous species composition. In addition, they were chosen so that a cluster of naturally regenerated oak seedlings was enclosed in each of them. Thus, these naturally regenerated treatment plots were not completely randomized. Each treatment plot was then divided into three subplots (8 × 8 m): planting (PL), direct seeding (DS) and natural regeneration (NR). The NR plots had to be selected to include pre-existing clusters of oak seedlings, whereas the two other plots (PL and DS) were randomly placed in relation to the NR plots. Direct seeding (DS) was done in four rows; two of these rows were randomly selected for direct seeding using an acorn protection device resulting in sub-treatments with (DS + P) and without (DS − P) seed protection. This device costs 0.30 euro each and consisted of two hollow plastic truncated pyramids joined at the bases which physically protected acorns from removal by rodents (see Castro et al. 2015 for more details). Thus, a total of four sub-treatments were applied (PL, DS + P, DS − P and NR) (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1
figure 1

The location of the site in southern Sweden (a) and an example of design of one out of four blocks (b). Blocks were ca 100 m apart from each other. Main treatments in each block were the fencing (F) and no fencing (c). The sub-treatments were planting (PL), direct seeding with (DS + P) and without protection (DS − P) and natural regeneration (NR)

In the PL plots, bare-rooted oak (Q. robur) seedlings were planted in May 2014. The seedlings were 2 year old, between 30 and 50 cm tall, originated from Flakulla, Sweden and had not been previously transplanted. The cost per seedling was 0.60 euro (planting procedure excluded). The seedlings were planted manually with a planting auger, at 1 × 1 m spacing. In each PL plot, between 46 and 58 seedlings were planted for a total of 419 seedlings in the experiment. The seedlings were obtained from Ramlösa nursery, Sweden.

Due to unavailability of acorns in 2014, direct seeding of Q. robur acorns in the DS plots was carried out in May 2015. Spring seeding is normal practice in the region, although autumn seeding sometimes also occurs. Acorns cost 7.95 euro per kg (planting procedure of acorns excluded), and there were around 235 acorns per kg with a vitality of 58%. Acorns were sown at a soil depth of five cm in four rows that were each six m long. We planted two acorns per seeding spot at 20 cm spacing, which resulted in 120 acorns each in the sub-treatments (two rows each) with and without protection. In total, 960 acorns were sown in the experiment. Acorns were collected in Poland (Puszcza, Barlinecka) in 2014 and stored at Levinsen Treeseed LTD, Lynge, Denmark until use.

Data collection

For all living planted seedlings, heights (from ground to shoot apex in cm) and ground level stem diameter (mm) were measured one, two and five growing seasons following planting (May and October 2015 and October 2018). Before planting, the same variables were measured on a subsample of seedlings (n = 10). Due to accidentally driving a truck over one unfenced plot with planted seedlings in 2015, some data were missing in October 2015 and 2018. For all living seedlings produced after direct seeding, heights (cm) were measured one and four growing seasons following seeding (October 2015 and 2018). If two seedlings emerged from the same seeding spot, we measured the tallest one. Heights (cm) of all living naturally regenerated seedlings were measured within one circular plot (radius 2 m) on each of the NR plots in May and October 2015 and in October 2018. For all seedlings measured in May and October 2015, we noted if they had been browsed by hares or roe deer (these species’ browsing damage is visually similar and was not distinguished). In addition, any other damage (e.g., from voles) that occurred was also noted at the treatment plot scale.

The percentage of ground vegetation (dominated by grasses, sedges and thickets of R. idaeus) cover was estimated in all subplots in 40-cm-radius circles close to all the living seedlings in PL and NR plots. In DS plots, vegetation cover was instead measured around the eight plastic sticks that marked the beginning and end of the four rows used for direct seeding. These plots were assigned to one of 11 categories, where 0 = 0%, 1 = 1–10% and 10 = 91–100% vegetation cover. These measurements were conducted in May and October 2015 and in October 2018.

Calculations and statistical analysis

Effect of fencing and regeneration technique on seedling height

Since there were different ages and origins of seedlings in the four regeneration techniques, we evaluated the effect of fencing on height separately for each technique (PL, NR, DS − P and DS + P) using linear mixed models. We included two fixed effects: fencing (factor with two modalities: fenced and unfenced) and the date (ordered factor with three levels: May 2015, October 2015 and October 2018), and an interaction between these two fixed effects. The block was included as a random effect. If the fencing date interaction was significant, we tested the differences between fenced and unfenced plots for each sampling year using Tukey’s post-hoc pairwise comparisons of estimated marginal means.

Effect of fencing and regeneration technique on seedling relative growth rate

To compare growth of seedlings from the different sub-treatments with different initial heights, we computed relative growth rate (RGR) as:

$$ {\text{RGR}} = \frac{{H_{\max } \left( {{\text{Oct}}2018} \right) - H_{\max } \left( {{\text{Oct}}2015} \right)}}{{H_{\max } \left( {{\text{Oct}}2015} \right)}} \times 100 $$

Hmax is the average of the five tallest seedlings in each sub-treatment; this was used since the NR sub-treatment otherwise would have been biased by adding newly recruited (and thus relatively small) seedlings. By using only the five tallest seedlings, we ensure that no newly established seedlings were involved. We then studied the combined effect of the fencing and of the regeneration technique on the RGR with a linear mixed model. We included two fixed effects: fencing and regeneration technique (the latter is a factor with four modalities: PL, DS − P, DS + P and NR), an interaction between these two fixed effects, and the block as a random effect.

Effect of fencing and regeneration technique on survival, establishment rate and recruitment rate

In the experiment, it was not possible to compare survival rates between sub-treatments. Therefore, for each regeneration technique, we used a different response variable to represent establishment success: survival, establishment rate or recruitment rate. For planted seedlings, we computed survival in plot k, at date j as:

$$ {\text{Survival}}_{j,k} = \frac{{n_{{{\text{seedlings}}}} \left( {j,k} \right)}}{{n_{{{\text{seedlings}}}} \left( {{\text{May}}2015,k} \right)}} \times 100 $$

where nseedlings (j,k) is the number of seedlings in plot k on date j and nseedlings (May2015,k) is the number of seedlings at start of the experiment in that plot.

As mentioned earlier, in DS plots each seeding point could develop two seedlings where only the tallest was measured. Therefore, in the DS plots we calculated the establishment rate, i.e., the number of seeding points with at least one living seedling in Oct 2018 divided by the initial number of seeding points per sub-treatment in May 2015.

In the NR plots, individual seedlings were not followed. Therefore, for the naturally regenerated seedlings in the NR circular survey plots, we computed the number of new seedlings recruited per m2 on date j, in plot k (Rj,k) as:

$$ R_{{\text{j,k}}} = \frac{{n_{{{\text{seedlings}}}} \left( {j,k} \right) - n_{{{\text{seedlings}}}} \left( {{\text{May}}2015,{\text{k}}} \right)}}{{S_{{\text{k}}} }} $$

where Sk is the surface area of the plot (12.57 m2).

We then evaluated the effect of fencing on survival (PL seedlings), establishment rate (DS − P and DS + P) and recruitment (NR seedlings) with a separate linear mixed model for each regeneration technique. We included fencing, the date and the interaction between these two factors as fixed effects. In each model, the block was included as a random effect. For DS + P only, we log transformed the establishment rate to meet the assumption that the model residuals are normally distributed. If the fencing date interaction was significant in one of the models, we tested the differences between fenced and unfenced plots for each date using Tukey’s post-hoc pairwise comparisons of estimated marginal means.

Effect of regeneration technique on browsing frequency

In each block and for each date, we calculated the browsing frequency as the number of seedlings browsed divided by the total number of seedlings. We tested the influence of regeneration technique and fencing on browsing frequency with three analyses of variance (ANOVA), one per date: May 2015, October 2015 and October 2018. If the regeneration technique factor or the interaction between regeneration technique and fencing was significant, we assessed the significance of differences among the groups with Tukey’s post-hoc pairwise comparisons of estimated marginal means.

Regeneration costs

For fencing costs, we used a standard cost of 11.60 euro per meter (Skogforsk 2020) and assumed that one square-shaped hectare was fenced. In the calculations, we used a standard density of 2800 seedlings or seeding points per ha (Bogghed 2018). We assumed relatively high labour costs for the planting procedure, 1266 euro per ha, since larger bare-rooted seedlings of broadleaves are somewhat more difficult to handle than conifer seedlings (Bogghed 2018). Similarly for direct seedling, we assumed higher labour costs for seeding procedure than normal, 633 euro per ha, since the figures in Bogghed (2018) are based on direct seeding of conifers and not large-seeded species such as Quercus. Due to labour cost of putting the acorns in the protection devices, we doubled the costs when these were included in the DS + P treatment. Except for any fence, no costs were included for natural regeneration, which occupied about one third of the area.

We conducted all analyses in the R statistical framework, version 3.6.3 (R Core Team 2020). For each model, we verified the Gaussian distribution of the residuals, and the assumption of homogeneity of variance. We performed all linear mixed models with the R package “lme4” (Bates et al. 2014). We used the “emmeans” R package for Tukey’s post-hoc pairwise comparisons of estimated marginal means (Lenth et al. 2018). We examined the significance of the fixed effects of all mixed models with a post-analysis of deviance (Wald χ2 Type II) using the ANOVA function of the R package “car” (Fox et al. 2012). We used an α = 0.05 significance level for all tests.

Results

Effects of fencing and regeneration technique on seedling height

For both PL and NR seedlings, there was a positive effect of fencing on seedling height (Fig. 2). For PL seedlings, this effect (χ2 = 37.6, df = 1, p < 0.001) increased with time (χ2 = 22.3, df = 2, p < 0.001). There was also a significant interaction between these two variables (χ2 = 38.2, df = 2, p < 0.001). By the end of the experiment in October 2018, PL seedlings were 65 cm tall on average inside fences, whereas unfenced seedlings were 39 cm tall which is only 2 cm taller than their original height at the time of planting. The same significant effects were found for stem diameter of PL seedlings (data not shown). Similar effects were also found for NR seedlings. The height of NR seedlings increased with fencing (χ2 = 6.61, df = 1, p < 0.05) and with time (χ2 = 15.79, df = 2, p < 0.001), but there was no significant interaction between the two variables (χ2 = 3.38, df = 2, p = 0.18). On average, the NR seedlings were smaller than PL seedlings, ranging between 36 (inside fence) and 26 cm (outside fence) at the end of the experiment. The DS seedlings were even smaller, between 16 and 20 cm in October 2018. Here, there was a slight but significantly negative effect of fencing on seedling height in the DS-P treatment (χ2 = 3.9, df = 1, p < 0.05; Fig. 2). Otherwise there were no other significant direct or interaction effects for height of DS seedlings.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Mean seedling heights following planting (PL), natural regeneration (NR) (top boxes), direct seeding without protection (DS − P) and with protection (DS + P) (bottom boxes) from 2014 to 2018 in fenced (F, gray dots) and unfenced (C, open dots) plots; error bars show ± SE

Effects of fencing and regeneration technique on seedling relative growth rate

Except for seedlings in the DS-P treatment, there was a trend toward higher relative growth rate (RGR) in the fenced plots from October 2015 to October 2018 (Fig. 3). This was, however, not significant at the p < 0.05 level (χ2 = 2.71, df = 1, p = 0.1), and there were no significant effects of fencing on RGR in any of the sub-treatments. Neither the effect of the regeneration technique (χ2 = 2.02, df = 3, p = 0.6), nor the fencing–regeneration technique interaction (χ2 = 4.26, df = 3, p = 0.2) were significant.

Fig. 3
figure 3

Relative growth rate (RGR) between 2015 and 2018 of the five tallest seedlings per treatment plot following planting, direct seeding and natural regeneration in fenced (gray bars) and unfenced control plots (open bars) (mean ± SE)

Effect of fencing and regeneration technique on survival, establishment rate and recruitment rate

Survival in PL-seedlings decreased (χ2 = 27.4, df = 2, p < 0.001) so that survival was ca. 51% five growing seasons after planting, but there was no effect of fencing (χ2 = 0, df = 1, p = 0.99) on survival of these seedlings (Fig. 4). Across both DS treatments, the average establishment rate in October 2018 was 21%. However, for the DS − P treatment there were no significant effects of fencing or time, and no significant interaction between the two variables. In contrast, the DS + P treatment showed a significant interaction between fencing and time (χ2 = 6.86, df = 1, p < 0.01). In October 2018, the establishment rate was higher in fenced plots than in unfenced plots (Tukey’s post hoc test, p < 0.01). From October 2015 to October 2018, we observed a slight trend of increased recruitment of naturally regenerated seedlings (χ2 = 2.72, df = 1, p = 0.1; Fig. 4). However, there was no effect of fencing on recruitment (χ2 = 0.23, df = 1, p = 0.63). In October 2018, there were on average 1.9 naturally regenerated seedlings per m2 in our fenced and non-fenced experimental plots (data not shown).

Fig. 4
figure 4

Mean establishment success represented by different variables for each regeneration technique: survival percentage of planted seedlings (PL) from May 2015 to Oct 2018 (top box), establishment rate in Oct 2015 and 2018 following direct seeding in May 2015 (middle boxes, without and with acorn protection) and number of new naturally regenerated seedlings per square meter during the same period (bottom box). Gray dots show fenced plots and open dots represent unfenced control plots; error bars show standard errors. See Material and Methods for calculations

Effect of regeneration technique on browsing frequency

Browsing damage from roe deer and hare was mainly observed in the unfenced plot. In May 2015, browsing frequency was higher in C compared to F plots (F = 48.7, df = 1, p < 0.01), and with a significant interaction between fencing and regeneration technique: PL seedlings suffered more browsing than NR seedlings (F = 7.1, df = 1, p < 0.05; Fig. 5). In October 2015, there was a similar but non-significant trend between C and F plots (F = 3.8, df = 1, p = 0.06) but without any interaction or effect of regeneration technique. Browsing frequency was higher in May (on average 38%) compared to October 2015 (on average 11%). In the two first years (2014 and 2015), the lower stems parts of many seedlings were damaged by voles. In addition, we observed many small seedlings established from direct seeding (both inside and outside fences, and from both DS − P and DS + P treatments) that were clipped ca 1 cm above the ground, probably by voles.

Fig. 5
figure 5

Mean browsing frequency on planted (PL), directly seeded (DS) and naturally regenerated seedlings (NR) in May (left box) and Oct (right box) 2015. The DS-P and DS + P seedlings were not yet established in May 2015, so they aren’t shown in the first box. Fenced (gray) and unfenced control plots (open). Error bars show standard errors, and small letters indicate significant differences at p < .05

Throughout the monitoring period of this experiment, there was a high cover (81–90%) of ground vegetation in all plots (data not shown).

Regeneration costs

Irrespective of regeneration technique, costs per hectare increased substantially when fencing was included (Table 2). Planting bare-rooted seedlings inside a fence was the most expensive regeneration technique in our study, whereas natural regeneration without fencing cost the least (i.e., no costs). The per-hectare cost of direct seeding without acorn protection or fencing was 28% of the cost of planting. However, when acorn protection devices were used, the costs increased to 78% that of planting.

Table 2 Costs (euro ha−1) in the various treatments and sub-treatments including plant and seed material, any acorn protection devices and fencing and labor costs for planting and direct seeding procedure. For planting and direct seeding, 2 800 seedlings or seeding points per hectare have been used for calculations. For description of treatments and costs, see text

Discussion

Our results indicate that fencing has a strong positive effect on height growth during the first five years after installation of the experiment, and we found similar trends for diameter growth and relative growth rate (Figs. 2 and 3). This is in line with several other studies on the subject in Europe and elsewhere (e.g. Jensen et al. 2012, Churki et al. 2016, Dey et al. 2019, Ramirez et al. 2020, Petersson et al. 2020, Barrere et al. 2021). In the long run, however, the protective effect from fences can be complicated by competition from other woody vegetation (Leonardsson et al. 2015). Compared to oak seedlings, other woody and faster-growing species that are also protected from browsing inside the fences may then out-compete the young oaks. Thus, growth and survival can also be reduced inside fences. Therefore, and in addition to fencing, management interventions such as pre-commercial thinning may be needed, but in our case few naturally regenerated individuals of other woody species were present.

Although we tested the effect of fencing on height separately for each regeneration technique, our study indicated that the growth benefit of fencing was somewhat stronger for the planted seedlings, which were taller than the naturally regenerated and especially direct-seeded plants. In October 2018, the height differences between seedlings in fenced and unfenced plots were 26, 10 and 3 cm for planted, naturally regenerated and direct-seeded seedlings, respectively. Similar results for oaks were found by Kittredge and Ashton (1995) and Götmark et al. (2005) although their research included browsing from other ungulates. In addition to browsing by roe deer, browsing by moose (Alces alces L.) and to a lesser extent red and fallow deer (Cervus elaphus L., Dama dama L.) occurred in the study of Götmark et al. (2005). They found that young oaks shorter than 20 cm were much less frequently browsed than taller individuals. In addition, roe deer, as most cervid species, have been shown to preferentially browse near their shoulder's height, i.e., around 75 cm (Duncan et al. 1998; Nichols et al. 2015) which often results in the observation that small seedlings are less frequently browsed by cervids (Hartley et al. 1997; Renaud et al. 2003). This correlates with our findings in May 2015 of lower browsing frequencies on the small seedlings following natural regeneration (Fig. 5). One important implication from this could be that fencing is not necessary during the first few years of regeneration techniques that initially produce small seedlings, i.e., natural regeneration and direct seeding. However, more research is needed before any practical recommendations could be given.

In addition, and in line with previous research in the same region (Petersson et al. 2020), more seedlings in our study seemed to have been browsed during the winter and spring (included in the May measurements) than in the summer and autumn (included in the October measurements). Short et al. (1975) found that the digestibility and nutrient content are optimal during the early spring, which might explain why deer preferentially browse deciduous shoots at that time. However, we only measured browsing frequency during two occasions in 2015, and therefore more observations are needed to support this result.

In contrast to seedling growth, there was little effect of fencing on survival of planted seedlings, establishment rate following direct seeding or on recruitment rate of new naturally regenerated seedlings (Fig. 4). Although oak seedlings in many places are preferentially browsed by ungulates, they are also considered browsing-tolerant because they can survive moderate browsing through re-sprouting (Harmer 2001; Bergqvist et al. 2018; Bobiec et al. 2018). Our experiment was, however, rather short (five years). In the long run, we could probably expect that browsing will reduce survival and establishment and ultimately prevent unprotected seedlings from growing into the overstory (Churki et al. 2016, Dey et al. 2019). Despite the fact that roe deer may eat large quantities of acorns (Barrere et al. 2020), there was no effect of fencing on the recruitment rate of naturally regenerated seedlings. However, deer mainly consume acorns placed above the soil surface (Garcia et al. 2002). In natural regeneration of oaks, scatter-hoarding animals are often responsible for the dispersal and burial of acorns, and buried acorns face less risk to be consumed by other animals, or to desiccate during dry weather (Watt 1919, Garcia et al. 2002, Bogdziewicz et al. 2020). This may explain why fencing had little effect in our study since small scatter-hoarding animals may search for food and bury acorns both inside and outside fences.

From the start of the experiment herbaceous vegetation cover was close to 90% in all treatments. Therefore, our results for growth, survival and establishment rates of oak seedlings are heavily influenced by interference from herbaceous vegetation. When oak seedlings of similar initial heights following planting and direct seeding are grown in treatments where herbaceous vegetation is controlled, and in relatively open conditions, they grow taller than in the present study (Davies 1985; Löf et al. 2004). The height of seedlings is, however, not the best indicator of biomass accumulation under these circumstances and most likely underestimates growth reductions due to competition. For example, open-grown oak seedlings tend to invest more resources in roots, branches and leaves compared to height (Jensen et al. 2011). Most likely, seedlings in all our study treatments would have been larger without competing herbaceous vegetation.

The survival rate of planted seedlings at the end of the experiment was only about 50% (Fig. 4). Similar results have been found in previous research when oak seedlings are planted into already established herbaceous vegetation (Löf et al. 2006). If some form of vegetation control had been applied, the survival would probably have been higher. Abundant natural ground vegetation may decrease soil water content and nutrient availability while exacerbating initial water stress that seedlings undergo following planting (Löf et al. 1998). Thus, competing ground vegetation probably weakened the seedlings and partly explains the low survival even though precipitation during the first years following planting was normal. Furthermore, we observed extensive vole damage, possibly causing high mortality during the first years following planting. Earlier research on broadleaved seedling survival and establishment in herbaceous environments has shown that a substantial number of seedlings can be damaged or consumed by rodent herbivores, and thus disappear over time (Lüpke 1987; Manson et al. 2001; Hytönen and Jylhä 2005).

Similar to survival of planted seedlings, the number of established seedlings following direct seeding was rather low. Establishment rates following direct seeding vary due to differences in rodent populations (mice and voles) and the presence of habitats that provide them shelter (Birkedal et al. 2009, 2010). For example, removal rates of buried acorns by rodents correlate with the amount of herbaceous vegetation at the regeneration site (Villalobos et al. 2020). Since we had a high coverage of herbaceous vegetation, it is probable that many acorns were removed before they could germinate. Surprisingly, there was no effect of the acorn protection device. In contrast, Castro et al. (2015) and Leverkus et al. (2015) found that the same device reduced removal significantly to almost zero. Our establishment rates in both DS-treatments were, however, much influenced by the fact that many small seedlings established by direct seeding were clipped about 1 cm above the ground which even out any differences. This was probably caused by voles since dense herbaceous vegetation is a suitable habitat for voles which feed on plants, seeds and insects (O´Brien 1994, Manson et al. 2001). Especially during winter, they may feed on woody vegetation (Chitty et al. 1968). Therefore, the effect of acorn protection was negligible in this study. Most likely, the acorn protection device would have worked much better in combination with vegetation control or where herbaceous vegetation is not yet established.

What regeneration technique in this study was the most cost effective? (Table 2) When roe deer and hare populations cannot be reduced within a reasonable timeframe, it seems difficult to regenerate oak without fencing. In unfenced areas, seedling height growth was negligible in this study. Thus, and in this region, investing in fences is expensive but necessary as soon as seedlings reach browsing height. The per-hectare cost of direct seeding without acorn protection or fencing was 28% of the cost of planting. This is somewhat lower compared to figures in Grossnickle and Ivetic (2017). Cost comparisons can differ much depending on the amount of seedlings and acorns used for reforestation. For example and compared to our numbers, many more seedlings and seeding points are often used in central Europe, whereas there are normally much fewer in North America (Röhrig et al. 2006; Dey et al. 2008). In addition, cost comparisons differ due to a number of other factors such as size of seedlings, type of fences and the regeneration conditions such as any need of site preparation and inclination in the terrain etc. Anyway, five years after the start of this experiment, in areas fenced to exclude browsers, planting, direct seeding (without an acorn protection device) and natural regeneration resulted in 1375, 467 and 6333 seedlings per ha, respectively. Not only did natural regeneration produce the highest density of seedlings, it had the lowest cost per ha of any treatment, making it by far the most cost-effective regeneration method. Since many seedlings and saplings eventually die for various reasons, it is important to start with many seedlings during regeneration of oak stands (Kohler et al. 2020). However, in our study the naturally regenerated seedlings were somewhat smaller than the planted ones, and clustered over the area, potentially prolonging the regeneration phase. In addition, where there is more competing woody vegetation, the planted seedlings would likely be more competitive in the beginning. Furthermore, the outcome of planting and direct seeding depend heavily on vegetation control measures. A small additional investment in, for example, mechanical site preparation, might have improved the planting and direct seeding methods.