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An iterative updating heuristic search strategy for groundwater contamination source identification based on an ACPSO–ELM surrogate system

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Abstract

The simulation-random statistics (SRS) method is one of the effective approaches to solving groundwater contamination source identification (GCSI) challenges. In this paper, we applied a heuristic search iterative process (HSIP) based on SRS to provide interval estimation and probability distribution for an unknown variable to enhance our understanding of the unknown variable. Posterior distribution has been a subject of interest in HSIP; therefore, it is imperative to update prior distributions using final iterations obtained from posterior distributions, which has been seldom considered in previous research. This paper first proposed such updates and subsequently designed an updating HSIP (UHSIP). This paper first proposed a feedback correction step and incorporated it into UHSIP to achieve feedback improvements and simultaneous updates of an unknown variable and prior distribution. In UHSIP, a surrogate system such as extreme learning machine (ELM) is usually established for a numerical simulation model to reduce computational cost. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm has been demonstrated to optimize input weights and hidden layer biases in ELM. However, the PSO algorithm is prone to premature convergence and its calculation accuracy does not satisfy precision requirements when optimizing complex functions. To enhance accuracy, this paper first proposed a new adaptive chaotic PSO (ACPSO) algorithm to establish ACPSO–ELM surrogate system. The two newly proposed approaches were tested in two case studies based on groundwater inorganic and organic contaminations. Results reveal that UHSIP can effectively enhance identification accuracy, and ACPSO–ELM surrogate system has a higher approximation accuracy to the simulation model than PSO–ELM. Overall, the two main innovations in this paper (UHSIP and ACPSO–ELM surrogate system) present promising and effective solutions to GCSI challenge.

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Acknowledgements

This research was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2018YFC1800405) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41972252), the Graduate Innovation Fund of Jilin University (Nos. 101832020CX246, 101832020CX201).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun, 130021, China

    Han Wang, Wenxi Lu & Zhenbo Chang

  2. Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun, 130021, China

    Han Wang, Wenxi Lu & Zhenbo Chang

  3. College of New Energy and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun, 130021, China

    Han Wang, Wenxi Lu & Zhenbo Chang

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  1. Han Wang
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  2. Wenxi Lu
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Correspondence to Wenxi Lu.

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Wang, H., Lu, W. & Chang, Z. An iterative updating heuristic search strategy for groundwater contamination source identification based on an ACPSO–ELM surrogate system. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 35, 2153–2172 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-021-01994-2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-021-01994-2

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