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2017, vol. 12, br. 2, str. 237-253
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Analiza budžetskog deficita zemalja kandidata za članstvo u EU
Analysis of budget deficit in the candidate countries for EU membership
aUniverzitet u Kragujevcu, Ekonomski fakultet, Srbija bUniverzitet u Beogradu, Tehnički fakultet u Boru, Srbija
e-adresa: ddurkalic@tfbor.bg.ac.rs
Sažetak
Problemi deficita i duga tradicionalno predstavljaju pokretače recesija u prošlosti. Zbog visokih uticaja budžetskog deficita na povećanje zaduženosti i pogoršanje makrekonomskih performansi, Evropska unija je Mastrihtskim ugovorom, a kasnije i Paktom o stabilnosti i rastu strogo definisala fiskalne kriterijume kojih bi zemlje članice trebalo da se pridržavaju. Fiskalni kriterijumi su naročito važni kada su u pitanju zemlje kandidati za članstvo u Evropskoj uniji. Cilj ovog rada je da, kroz teorijsku i empirijsku osnovu izvrši komparativnu analizu budžetskog deficita zemalja Evropske unije i kandidata za članstvo u Evropsku uniju, da rangira ove 34 zemlje prema kriterijumu javnih finansija i da ukaže na kauzalitet između zemalja kandidata za članstvo u EU i članica EU.
Abstract
The problems of deficit and debt are the traditional drivers of the recession in the past. Due to the high impact of the budget deficit to increase in indebtedness and deterioration of a macroeconomic performance, the European Union in Maastricht Treaty and later in the Pact of Stability and Growth strictly defined fiscal criteria which the member states should adhere to. Fiscal criteria are particularly important when it comes to candidate countries for EU membership. The aim of this paper is that, through theoretical and empirical basis perform a comparative analysis of the budget deficit in EU countries and candidates for membership in the EU, to rank the 34 countries according to the criteria of public finances and to show the causality between the candidate countries for membership of the EU and EU member states.
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