Skip to main content
Log in

Regional ground-motion prediction equations for western Saudi Arabia: merging stochastic and empirical estimates

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Two regional ground-motion models are available at present for western Saudi Arabia, a region that is characterized by considerable seismic activity due to the spreading in the Red Sea and continental volcanism. The first model was created by Sokolov and Zahran (Arab J Geosci 11:38, 2018) using the stochastic simulation technique (Boore in Pure Appl Geoph 160(3):635–676, 2003) and it was reported in tabular form for moment magnitudes (M) from 5 to 7. The second model was developed by Kiuchi et al. (Bull Seismol Soc Am 109:2722–2737, 2019) as mathematical expression (empirical ground motion prediction equation, GMPE) on the basis of records from regional earthquakes with local magnitudes from ML 3 to 5.4. In this work, we first construct a GMPE using stochastic simulation data. This stochastic GMPE considers magnitude, distance and stress drop as input parameters. Second, we compare these two independently developed regional ground-motion models and employ a scheme for the modification of the empirical GMPE up to M 7.5 using the stochastic GMPE as the reference model. The revised GMPEs presented here provide regional ground motion models (PGA and spectral amplitudes at natural periods 0.2 s and 1.0 s) that may be used in logic tree scheme for assessment of seismic hazard in western Saudi Arabia.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10

Similar content being viewed by others

Availability of data and material

Results of stochastic simulations (ground motion data for different combinations of input parameters) can be requested from Saudi Geological Survey (SGS).

Code availability

Custom FORTRAN codes created by V. Sokolov.

References

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by Saudi Geological Survey and in part by the US Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program. Constructive comments from Eric Thompson, Gabriele Ameri and anonymous reviewer are gratefully acknowledged.

Funding

This work was supported by Saudi Geological Survey and in part by the US Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Vladimir Sokolov.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

None.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Sokolov, V., Kiuchi, R., Mooney, W.D. et al. Regional ground-motion prediction equations for western Saudi Arabia: merging stochastic and empirical estimates. Bull Earthquake Eng 19, 1663–1686 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01048-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01048-6

Keywords

Navigation