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Performance of the RegCM-MITgcm Coupled Regional Model in Simulating the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

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Abstract

An effort is made to evaluate the performance of an atmosphere–ocean coupled regional model in simulating the Indian summer monsoon rainfall during the years 1995–2015. The RegCM and MITgcm models are taken as the atmospheric and oceanic components of the coupled model, respectively. It is found that the coupling helps to improve the SST of the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal regions of the model domain. The air–sea coupling also improves the wind speed simulation. The RegCM-MITgcm coupled model correctly represents the intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall as compared to the RegCM stand-alone model. It is shown that the very high and extreme rainfall intensity events are correctly simulated by the RegCM-MITgcm coupled model, whereas the RegCM stand-alone model underestimates the precipitation intensities. It is argued that the atmosphere–ocean coupling helps to increase the predictability skill of the Indian monsoon rainfall. For example, the limit of predictability of the Indian monsoon rainfall obtained from the coupled model (22 days) is closer to that obtained from the IMD observation (24 days). The corresponding limit of predictability from the stand-alone model is 20 days.

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Acknowledgements

We thank two anonymous reviewers and the Editor for their constructive comments and suggestions, which have helped us improve the overall quality of the paper. AKM is thankful to the DST for providing the junior research fellowship. SD is thankful to the DST, Govt. of India, for financial assistance in the form of a research project and the University of Allahabad for granting the sabbatical leave. The authors are thankful to the ICTP for providing the regional climate model setup. Thanks are also due to the respective agencies of the IMD, HadISST, and ECMWF ERA-Interim data products for making available these data sets.

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  1. K Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies and M N Saha Centre of Space Studies, University of Allahabad, Allahabad, UP, 211002, India

    Alok Kumar Mishra & Suneet Dwivedi

  2. Earth System Physics Section, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy

    Fabio Di Sante

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Mishra, A.K., Dwivedi, S. & Di Sante, F. Performance of the RegCM-MITgcm Coupled Regional Model in Simulating the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall. Pure Appl. Geophys. 178, 603–617 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-020-02648-0

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