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Impact of land use/land cover change on stream flow in the Shaya catchment of Ethiopia using the MIKE SHE model

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Abstract

The impact of land use/land cover (LULC) change on the stream flow of the Shaya catchment was assessed by employing the MIKE SHE hydrological model. The digital elevation model, soil, LULC, climate, and stream flow data were used as model inputs. The LULC was analyzed from different years of satellite imageries using ERDAS IMAGINE software package and its accuracy was verified following the standard procedures. Trend and shift detection analysis were also conducted to study the effect of rainfall on stream flow using the Mann–Kendall (MK) and Pettit tests, respectively. The result showed that there is a significant expansion of settlement and agricultural area, while there was a decrease of bare land, forest, and bush land in the catchment. In contrary, rangeland was increased from the year 1987 to 2000 and then decreased from 2000 to 2015. The performance of the MIKE SHE hydrological model was very good both during model calibration and validation periods. It has been observed that rainfall did not show any significant trends and shifts, but the stream flow was increased significantly in the two decades. In this study, the effects of LULC change on the stream flow in the study area have been distinguished: the mean monthly stream flow was increased during the wet season, while it was decreased during the dry season. Therefore, we recommend concerned bodies to monitor and take appropriate control of the LULC changes, especially settlement and deforestation, before it makes acute problems of the hydrologic imbalance in the catchment.

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Acknowledgments

The authors thankfully acknowledge the Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity, National Meteorological Agency, Ethiopia, for providing the required data. We also acknowledge the USGS Earth Resources Observation portal for providing the necessary data. We acknowledge Arba Minch University for providing financial support. We would also like to appreciate and thank the anonymous reviewers for their critical comments which significantly helped to improve the manuscript.

Data availability statement

The data that support the findings of this study are available on request from the corresponding author.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Hydraulic and Water Resources Engineering, Arba Minch Water Technology Institute, Arba Minch University, P.O. Box 21, Arba Minch, Ethiopia

    Mesfin Reta Aredo

  2. Department of Water Resources and Irrigation Engineering, Institute of Technology, Madda Walabu University, P.O. Box 247, Bale Robe, Ethiopia

    Mesfin Reta Aredo

  3. Faculty of Water Resources and Irrigation Engineering, Arba Minch Water Technology Institute, Arba Minch University, P.O. Box 21, Arba Minch, Ethiopia

    Samuel Dagalo Hatiye

  4. Water Resources Research Center, Arba Minch University, P.O. Box 21, Arba Minch, Ethiopia

    Samuel Dagalo Hatiye

  5. Hydrological Investigations Division, National Institute of Hydrology, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, 247667, India

    Santosh Murlidhar Pingale

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  1. Mesfin Reta Aredo
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Correspondence to Samuel Dagalo Hatiye.

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Aredo, M.R., Hatiye, S.D. & Pingale, S.M. Impact of land use/land cover change on stream flow in the Shaya catchment of Ethiopia using the MIKE SHE model. Arab J Geosci 14, 114 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-021-06447-2

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