Skip to content
Licensed Unlicensed Requires Authentication Published by De Gruyter June 28, 2019

Deciding to Apply for Federal Disaster Assistance: A Preliminary Investigation of Disaster Decision-Making using a Bounded Rationality Framework

  • Jason D. Rivera EMAIL logo

Abstract

Among disaster victims, the decision to apply for assistance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is not straight forward. It is typically affected a variety of factors beyond individual demographic characteristics. Using Texas in the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey, this study utilizes bounded rationality as a theoretical framework for exploring what may affect the decision to apply for individual assistance with FEMA. A representative sample of generally affected individuals and a subsample of individuals with home damage are used to investigate various factors thought to be important in decision-making and compare differences between the groups. As a byproduct of the analysis, it is observed that although the loss of employment and being able to rely on one’s immediate network is a significant predictor of applying for aid among individuals with home damage, these variables are not significant among those that were generally affected. Recommendations for future research are provided to enhance our understanding of decision-making in the aftermath of disasters.

References

Aldrich, D. 2012. Building Resilience: Social Capital in Post-Disaster Recovery. Chicago, IL: The University of Chicago Press.10.7208/chicago/9780226012896.001.0001Search in Google Scholar

Anderson, J. 1968. “Cultural Adaptation to Threatened Disaster.” Human Organization 27 (4): 298–307.10.17730/humo.27.4.anm4586632557246Search in Google Scholar

Brant, R. 1990. “Assessing Proportionality in the Proportional Odds Model for Ordinal Logistic Regression.” Biometrics 46: 1171–1178.10.2307/2532457Search in Google Scholar

Brunsma, D. L., D. Overfelt, and J. S. Picou. 2010. The Sociology of Katrina: Perspectives on a Modern Catastrophe, 2nd ed. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.Search in Google Scholar

Carr, L. J. 1932. “Disaster and the Sequence-Pattern Concept of Social Change.” American Journal of Sociology 38 (2): 207–218.10.1086/216030Search in Google Scholar

Cavallo, E., and I. Noy. 2010. The Economics of Natural Disasters. Inter-American Development Bank. IDB Working Paper Series No. IDB-WP-124. http://www.iadb.org/res/publications/pubfiles/pubIDB-WP-124.pdf. (Retrieved 1/8/14).Search in Google Scholar

Coffman, M., and I. Noy. 2009. “Hurricane Iniki: Measuring the Long-Term Economic Impact of a Natural Disaster Using Synthetic Control.” Environment and Development Economics 17 (2): 187–205.10.1017/S1355770X11000350Search in Google Scholar

Cutter, S., J. T. Mitchell, and M. S. Scott. 2003. “Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards.” Social Science Quarterly 84 (2): 242–246.10.1111/1540-6237.8402002Search in Google Scholar

Dynes, R. R. (1970). Organized Behavior in Disaster. Lexington, MA: D.C. Health.Search in Google Scholar

Faas, A. J., and E. C. Jones. 2017. “Social Network Analysis Focused on Individuals Facing Hazards and Disasters.” In Social Network Analysis of Disaster Response, Recovery, and Adaptation, edited by E. C. Jones and A. J. Faas, 11–23. Cambridge, MA: Elsevier Inc.10.1016/B978-0-12-805196-2.00002-9Search in Google Scholar

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). 2008. Help After Disaster: Applicant’s Guide to the Individuals & Households Program. Washington, DC: Federal Emergency Management Agency. http://www.fema.gov/pdf/assistance/process/help_after_disaster_english.pdf. Retrieved 5.19.14.Search in Google Scholar

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). 2018. Texas Hurricane Harvey (DR-4332). https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4332. Retrieved 1.23.2018.Search in Google Scholar

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). 2019. Texas Hurricane Harvey (DR-4332). https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4332. Retrieved 2.13.19.Search in Google Scholar

Fothergill, A., and L. A. Peek. 2004. “Poverty and Disasters in the United States: A Review of Recent Sociological Findings.” Natural Hazards 32 (1): 89–110.10.1023/B:NHAZ.0000026792.76181.d9Search in Google Scholar

GAO. 2001. Disaster Assistance: Improvement Needed in Disaster Declaration Criteria and Eligibility Assurance Procedures. GAO-01-837. Washington, DC: Government Accountability Office.Search in Google Scholar

Greer, A. 2015. Household Residential Decision-Making in the Wake of Disaster: Cases from Hurricane Sandy. Newark, DE: University of Delaware Doctoral dissertation .Search in Google Scholar

Grube, L. E., R. Fike, and V. H. Storr. 2017. “Navigating Disaster: An Empirical Study of Federal Assistance Following Hurricane Sandy.” Eastern Economic Journal 44 (4): 1–18.10.1057/s41302-017-0098-xSearch in Google Scholar

Janis, I. L. and L. Mann. 1977. Decision Making: A Psychological Analysis of Conflict, Choice, and Commitment. New York, NY: Free Press.Search in Google Scholar

Judd, F., A. Komiti, and H. Jackson. 2008. “How does being female assist help-seeking for mental health problems?” Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry 42 (1): 24–29.10.1080/00048670701732681Search in Google Scholar

Kahneman, D., J. L. Knetsch, and R. Thaler. 1986. “Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking: Entitlements in the Market.” American Economic Review 76 (4): 728–741.10.2307/j.ctvcm4j8j.13Search in Google Scholar

Kousky, C. 2013. “Facts about FMA Household Disaster Aid: Examining the 2008 Floods and Tornadoes in Missouri.” Weather, Climate and Society 5 (4): 332–344.10.1175/WCAS-D-12-00059.1Search in Google Scholar

Kousky, C. and L. Shabman. 2012. The Realities of Federal Disaster Aid: The Case of Floods. Issue Brief 12-02. Resources for the Future. April. http://www.rff.org/files/sharepoint/WorkImages/Download/RFF-IB-12-02.pdf. Retrieved 2.7.19.Search in Google Scholar

Kreps, G. A. 1998. “Disaster as Systemic Event and Social Catalyst: A Clarification of Subject Matter.” In What is a Disaster: Perspectives on the Question, edited by E. L. Quarantelli, 31–55. New York, NY: Routledge.Search in Google Scholar

Laurin, K., S. Shepard, and A. C. Kay. 2010. “Restricted Emigration, System Inescapability, and the Defense of the Status Quo: System-justifying Consequences of Restricted Exit Opportunities.” Psychological Science 21: 1075–1082.10.1177/0956797610375448Search in Google Scholar

Maddala, G. S. 1977. Econometrics. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Book Company.Search in Google Scholar

Manyena, S. B. 2006. “The Concept of Resilience Revisited.” Disasters 30 (4): 433–450.10.1111/j.0361-3666.2006.00331.xSearch in Google Scholar

Moore, H. E., and F. L. Bates. 1964. ... And the Winds Blew. Hogg Foundation for Mental Health.Search in Google Scholar

Moravec, E. R. 2017. “Texas Officials: Hurricane Harvey Death Toll at 82, ‘Mass Casualties have Absolutely not Happened’.” The Washington Post, September 14. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/texas-officials-hurricane-harvey-death-toll-at-82-mass-casualties-have-absolutely-not-happened/2017/09/14/bff3ffea-9975-11e7-87fc-c3f7ee4035c9_story.html?utm_term=.e597c19b3639. Retrieved 1.23.2018.Search in Google Scholar

Mullainathan, S., and E. Shafir. 2013. Scarcity: Why Having Too Little Means So Much. New York, NY: Times Books, Henry Holt and Company.Search in Google Scholar

National Weather Service. 2018. Hurricane Harvey Info. http://www.weather.gov/hgx/hurricaneharvey. Retrieved 1.23.2018.Search in Google Scholar

Norris, P., and R. Inglehart. 2004. Scared and Secular: Religion and Politics Worldwide. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.10.1017/CBO9780511791017Search in Google Scholar

Norris, F. H., M. J. Friedman, and P. J. Watson. 2002. “60,000 Disaster Victims Speak: Part II, Summary and Implications of the Disaster Mental Health Research.” Psychiatry 65 (3): 240–260.10.1521/psyc.65.3.240.20169Search in Google Scholar

Olmstead, A. L., and P. Rhode. 1985. “Rationing Without Government: The West Coast Gas Famine of 1920.” American Economic Review 75 (5): 1044–1055.Search in Google Scholar

Olshansky, R. B. 2012. “Disaster and Recovery: Processes Compressed in Time.” Natural Hazards Review 13 (3): 173–178.10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000077Search in Google Scholar

Oyedele, A. 2017. “Hurricane Harvey could be the Costliest Natural Disaster in US History – here’s how we’ll know the True Cost.” Business Insider, August 30. http://www.businessinsider.com/hurricane-harvey-economic-impact-2017-8/#the-cost-of-harvey-1. Retrieved 1.23.2018.Search in Google Scholar

Petersen, Trond. 1985. “A Comment on Presenting Results from Logit and Probit Models.” American Sociological Review 50 (1): 130–131.10.2307/2095348Search in Google Scholar

Quarantelli, E. L. 2000. “Disaster Research.” In Encyclopedia of Sociology, edited by E. Borgatta and R. Montgomery, 682–688. New York, NY: Macmillan.Search in Google Scholar

Rivera, J. D. 2014. “Resistance to Change: Understanding Why Disaster Response and Recovery Institutions are Set in Their Ways.” Journal of Critical Incident Analysis 4 (1): 44–65.Search in Google Scholar

Rivera, J. D. 2016. Acquiring Federal Disaster Assistance: Investigating Equitable Resource Distribution within FEMA’s Home Assistance Program. Doctoral dissertation. Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey.Search in Google Scholar

Rivera, Jason D. 2017. “Accessing Disaster Recovery Resource Information: Reliance on Social Capital in the Aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.” In Responses to Disasters and Climate Change: Understanding Vulnerability and Fostering Resilience, edited by Michèle Companion and Miriam Chaiken, 60–70. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.10.1201/9781315315928-7Search in Google Scholar

Rodriguez-Oreggia, E., A. de la Fuente, R. de la Torre, H. Moreno, and C. Rodriguez. 2010. The Impact of Natural Disasters on Human Development and Poverty a the Municipal Level in Mexico. Center for International Development at Harvard University. CID Working Paper No. 43. http://www.hks.harvard.edu/var/ezp_site/storage/fckeditor/file/pdfs/centers-programs/centers/cid/publications/student-fellows/wp/043.pdf. Retrieved 1/8/14.Search in Google Scholar

Schneider, S. 2008. “Who’s to Blame?(Mis) Perceptions of the Intergovernmental Response to Disasters.” Publius: The Journal of Federalism 38 (4): 715–738.10.1093/publius/pjn019Search in Google Scholar

Selten, R. 2001. “What Is Bounded Rationality?” In Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox, edited by G. Gigerenzer and R. Selten, 13–36. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Search in Google Scholar

Simon, H. A. 1955. “A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 69 (1): 99–118.10.2307/1884852Search in Google Scholar

Simon, H. A. 1956. “Rational Choice and the Structure of the Environment.” Psychological Review 63 (2): 129.10.1037/h0042769Search in Google Scholar

Simon, H. A. 2000. “Bounded Rationality in Social Science: Today and Tomorrow.” Mind & Society 1 (1): 25–39.10.1007/BF02512227Search in Google Scholar

Stallings, R. A. 1998. “Disaster and the Theory of Social Order.” In What is a Disaster: Perspectives on the Question, edited by E. L. Quarantelli, 127–145. New York, NY: Routledge.Search in Google Scholar

Starcke, K., and M. Brand. 2012. “Decision Making Under Stress: A Selective Review.” Neuroscience and Biobehavioral Reviews 36 (4): 1228–1248.10.1016/j.neubiorev.2012.02.003Search in Google Scholar

Strobl, E. 2008. The Economic Growth Impact of Hurricanes: Evidence from U.S. Coastal Counties. IZA Discussion Paper Series No. 3619. http://ftp.iza.org/dp3619.pdf. Retrieved 1/8/14.10.2139/ssrn.1198689Search in Google Scholar

Sylves, R. 2008. Disaster Policy & Politics: Emergency Management and Homeland Security. Washington, DC: CQ Press.10.4135/9781483330761Search in Google Scholar

Tabachnick, B. G., and L. S. Fidell. 2007. Using Multivariate Statistics. New York, NY: Pearson/Ally & Bacon.Search in Google Scholar

Thaler, R. 1980. “Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice.” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 1 (1): 39–60.10.1017/CBO9780511803475.016Search in Google Scholar

Tierney, K. 2006. “Social Inequity, Hazards, and Disasters” In On Risk and Disaster: Lessons from Hurricane Katrina, edited by R. J. Daniels, D. F. Kettl, and H. Kunreuther, 109–128. Philadephia, PA: University of Pennsylvania Press.10.9783/9780812205473.109Search in Google Scholar

Tversky, A., and D. Kahneman. 1981. “The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 211 (4481): 453–458.10.1126/science.7455683Search in Google Scholar

Tversky, A., and D. Kahneman. 1991. “Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 106 (4): 1039–1061.10.1017/CBO9780511803475.008Search in Google Scholar

van der Toorn, J., T. R. Tyler, and J. T. Jost. 2010. “More than Fair: Outcome Dependence, System Justification, and the Perceived Legitimacy of Authority Figures.” Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 47: 127–138.10.1016/j.jesp.2010.09.003Search in Google Scholar

Van Deth, J. W. 2008. “Measuring Social Capital.” In The Handbook of Social Capital, edited by D. Castiglione, J. W. Van Deth, and G. Wolleb, 150–176. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.Search in Google Scholar

Vigdor, J. 2008. “The Economic Aftermath of Hurricane Katrina.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 22 (4): 135–154.10.1257/jep.22.4.135Search in Google Scholar

Warner, R. M. 2008. Applied Statistics: From Bivariate Through Multivariate Techniques. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.Search in Google Scholar

Wenger, D. E., and J. M. Weller. 1973. Disaster Subcultures: The Cultural Residues of Community Disasters. Newark, DE: Disaster Research Center, University of Delaware Preliminary Paper No. 4.Search in Google Scholar

Zhang, Y., and W. G. Peacock. 2009. “Planning for Housing Recovery? Lessons Learned From Hurricane Andrew.” Journal of the American Planning Association 76 (1): 5–24.10.1080/01944360903294556Search in Google Scholar

Published Online: 2019-06-28

© 2019 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

Downloaded on 18.4.2024 from https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/jhsem-2018-0039/html
Scroll to top button