Abstract
Climate is a critical factor considered in predicting the potential distributions of species. However, the distribution of susceptible host plants is another important constraint in retrospective and predictive analyses of invasive insect pests, particularly for wood-boring insects. In the present study, we first modeled the geographic distribution of the invasive emerald ash borer (EAB), Agrilus planipennis Fairmaire (Coleoptera: Buprestidae), and its susceptible host trees using MaxEnt. We then compared the differences between the predicted and actual distribution of EAB in its native (China) and invaded (the United States and Canada) ranges by incorporating the distribution of its susceptible host plants. Results from our models indicate that: (1) in addition to climatic factors, the presence of susceptible host tree species plays a major role in delineating the pest’s distribution; (2) it is more accurate to project EAB’s potential range distribution by considering the suitability of potential areas for its susceptible host plants; and (3) there is a high risk of EAB expanding its current distribution areas in both its native and invasive ranges. The inclusion of susceptible host plant presence as a factor enables more effective predictive modeling and risk assessment for biological invasions, especially for oligophagous insects.
Similar content being viewed by others
Availability of data and material
Distribution data points of EAB and its susceptible ash trees were collected from http://www.gbif.org/, literature in www.lknet.ac.cn/sztsg.htm (Supplementary Materials: Supplementary 1 for EAB and Supplementary 2 for ash trees), field investigations (Supplementary Materials: Table S1 for EAB and Table S2 for ash trees), and https://www.baidu.com/ for ash trees. Climatic variables were downloaded from http://www.worldclim.org/.
Code availability
Not applicable.
References
Arthur FH, Morrison WR, Morey AC (2019) Modeling the potential range expansion of larger grain borer, Prostephanus truncatus (Coleoptera: Bostrichidae). Sci Rep 9:6862. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-42974-5
Barlow LA, Cecile J, Bauch CT, Anand M (2014) Modelling interactions between forest pest invasions and human decisions regarding firewood transport restrictions. PLoS ONE 9:e90511. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0090511
Carnegie AJ, Matsuki M, Haugen DA, Hurley BP, Ahumada R, Klasmer P, Sun JH, Iede ET (2006) Predicting the potential distribution of Sirex noctilio (Hymenoptera: Siricidae), a significant exotic pest of Pinus plantations. Ann For Sci 63:119–128. https://doi.org/10.1051/forest:2005104
Chen YH (2016) Crop domestication, global human-mediated migration, and the unresolved role of geography in pest control. Elementa Sci Anthrop 4:000106. https://doi.org/10.12952/journal.elementa.000106
Cipollini D, Rigsby CM, Peterson DL (2017) Feeding and development of emerald ash borer (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) on cultivated olive, Olea europaea. J Econ Entomol 110:1935–1937. https://doi.org/10.1093/jee/tox139
DeSantis RD, Moser WK, Gormanson DD, Bartlett MG, Vermunt V (2013) Effects of climate on emerald ash borer mortality and the potential for ash survival in North America. Agric For Meteorol 178–179:120–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.04.015
Discua Duarte SA (2013) Characterizing prepupal diapause and adult emergence phenology of emerald ash borer. Master’s dissertation, The Ohio State University
Duman JG (1984) Change in overwintering mechanism of the Cucujid beetle, Cucujus clavipes. J Insect Physiol 30:235–239. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1910(84)90008-8
Edward FG, Dennis GW (1993a) Fraxinus americana, white ash. Fact Sheet ST-261, Environmental Horticulture Department, Florida Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida. https://hort.ifas.ufl.edu/database/documents/pdf/tree_fact_sheets/fraamea.pdf
Edward FG, Dennis GW (1993b) Fraxinus excelsior, common ash. Fact Sheet ST-264, Environmental Horticulture Department, Florida Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida. http://hort.ufl.edu/database/documents/pdf/tree_fact_sheets/fraexca.pdf
Edward FG, Dennis GW (1993c) Fraxinus pennsylvanica, green ash. Fact Sheet ST-266, Environmental Horticulture Department, Florida Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida. https://hort.ifas.ufl.edu/database/documents/pdf/tree_fact_sheets/frapena.pdf
Edward FG, Dennis GW (1993d) Fraxinus velutina, velvet ash. Fact Sheet ST-271, Environmental Horticulture Department, Florida Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida. http://hort.ufl.edu/database/documents/pdf/tree_fact_sheets/fravela.pdf
Elith J, Phillips SJ, Hastie T, Dudík M, Chee YE, Yates CJ (2011) A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Divers Distrib 17:43–57. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2010.00725.x
Feng YQ, Xu LL, Li WB, Xu ZC, Cao M, Wang JL, Tao J, Zong SX (2016) Seasonal changes in supercooling capacity and major cryoprotectants of overwintering Asian longhorned beetle (Anoplophora glabripennis) larvae. Agric For Entomol 18:302–312. https://doi.org/10.1111/afe.12162
Flø D, Krokene P, Økland B (2014) Importing deciduous wood chips from North America to northern Europe-the risk of introducing bark- and wood-boring insects. Scand J For Res 29:77–89. https://doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2013.863380
Flø D, Krokene P, Økland B (2015) Invasion potential of Agrilus planipennis and other Agrilus beetles in Europe: Import pathways of deciduous wood chips and MaxEnt analyses of potential distribution areas. EPPO Bull 45:259–268. https://doi.org/10.1111/epp.12223
Ireland KB, Bulman L, Hoskins AJ, Pinkard EA, Mohammed C, Kriticos DJ (2018) Estimating the potential geographical range of Sirex noctilio: comparison with an existing model and relationship with field severity. Biol Invasions 20:2599–2622. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-018-1721-4
Li H, Li PJ, Li HQ, Li G, Cheng XH, Minawaer Ding M (2001) Technology of a large-scale afforestation in autumn in the windy and arid area of Karamay. Xinjiang Agric Sci 38:318–319 (in Chinese)
Li AN, Wang JW, Wang RL, Yang H, Yang W, Yang CP, Jin Z (2019a) MaxEnt modeling to predict current and future distributions of Batocera lineolata (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) under climate change in China. Écoscience 27:23–31. https://doi.org/10.1080/11956860.2019.1673604
Li CC, Wang LX, Ren LL, Li HD, Luo YQ (2019b) Effects of temperature adaptation of symbiotic wood-decay fungus Amylostereum areolatum on potential distribution area of Sirex noctilio. J Northeast For Univ 47:112–117 (in Chinese)
Liang L, Fei SL (2014) Divergence of the potential invasion range of emerald ash borer and its host distribution in North America under climate change. Clim Change 122:735–746. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1024-9
Lovett GM, Weiss M, Liebhold AM, Holmes TP, Leung B, Lambert KF, Orwig DA, Campbell FT, Rosenthal J, McCullough DG, Wildova R, Ayres MP, Canham CD, Foster DR, LaDeau SL, Weldy T, Pan Y (2016) Nonnative forest insects and pathogens in the United States: Impacts and policy options. Ecol Appl 26:1437–1455. https://doi.org/10.1890/15-1176
Mahan N, Yue CY, Maimaiti A, Chen JJ (2013) Occurrence, damage and biological characteristics of Trachypteris picta in Karamay Forest District. Jiangsu Agric Sci 41:124–126 (in Chinese)
Martínez-Abraín A, Jiménez J (2019) Dealing with growing forest insect pests: The role of top-down regulation. J Appl Ecol 56:2574–2576. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13418
Meurisse N, Rassati D, Hurley BP, Brockerhoff EG, Haack RA (2019) Common pathways by which non-native forest insects move internationally and domestically. J Pest Sci 92:13–27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-018-0990-0
Muirhead JR, Leung B, van Overdijk C, Kelly DW, Nandakumar K, Marchant KR, MacIsaac HJ (2006) Modelling local and long-distance dispersal of invasive emerald ash borer Agrilus planipennis (Coleoptera) in North America. Divers Distrib 12:71–79. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1366-9516.2006.00218.x
Nielsen DG, Muilenburg VL, Herms DA (2011) Interspecific variation in resistance of Asian, European, and North American birches (Betula spp.) to bronze birch borer (Coleoptera: Buprestidae). Environ Entomol 40:648–653. https://doi.org/10.1603/EN10227
Pan ZG, You YT (1994) Growing exotic trees in China. Beijing Science & Technology Press, Beijing (in Chinese)
Pellissier L, Bråthen KA, Pottier J, Randin CF, Vittoz P, Dubuis A, Yoccoz NG, Alm T, Zimmermann NE, Guisan A (2010) Species distribution models reveal apparent competitive and facilitative effects of a dominant species on the distribution of tundra plants. Ecography 33:1004–1014. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06386.x
Peterson DL, Cipollini D (2017) Distribution, predictors, and impacts of emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) infestation of white fringetree (Chionanthus virginicus). Environ Entomol 46:50–57. https://doi.org/10.1093/ee/nvw148
Phillips SJ (2017) A brief tutorial on Maxent. http://biodiversityinformatics.amnh.org/open_source/maxent/. Accessed 18 Nov 2019
Pureswaran DS, Roques A, Battisti A (2018) Forest insects and climate change. Curr For Rep 4:35–50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40725-018-0075-6
Selikhovkin AV, Popovichev BG, Mandelshtam MY, Vasaitis R, Musolin D (2017) The frontline of invasion: the current northern limit of the invasive range of emerald ash borer, Agrilus planipennis Fairmaire (Coleoptera: Buprestidae), in European Russia. Balt For 23:309–315
Silva DP, Gonzalez VH, Melo GAR, Lucia M, Alvarez LJ, De Marco P Jr (2014) Seeking the flowers for the bees: integrating biotic interactions into niche models to assess the distribution of the exotic bee species Lithurgus huberi in South America. Ecol Modell 273:200–209. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.11.016
Simões MVP, Peterson AT (2018) Importance of biotic predictors in estimation of potential invasive areas: the example of the tortoise beetle Eurypedus nigrosignatus, in Hispaniola. PeerJ 6:e6052. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.6052
Sobek S, Rajamohan A, Dillon D, Cumming RC, Sinclair BJ (2011) High temperature tolerance and thermal plasticity in emerald ash borer Agrilus planipennis. Agric For Entomol 13:333–340. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-9563.2011.00523.x
Sobek-Swant S, Kluza DA, Cuddington K, Lyons DB (2012) Potential distribution of emerald ash borer: What can we learn from ecological niche models using Maxent and GARP? For Ecol Manag 281:23–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2012.06.017
Song HM, Xu RM (2006) Global potential geographical distribution of Monochamus alternatus. Chin Bull Entomol 43:535–539 (in Chinese)
Sutin A, Yakubovskiy A, Salloum HR, Flynn TJ, Sedunov N, Nadel H (2019) Towards an automated acoustic detection algorithm for wood-boring beetle larvae (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae and Buprestidae). J Econ Entomol 112:1327–1336. https://doi.org/10.1093/jee/toz016
Urbani F, D’Alessandro P, Biondi M (2017) Using Maximum Entropy Modeling (MaxEnt) to predict future trends in the distribution of high altitude endemic insects in response to climate change. Bull Insectol 70:189–200
USDA (2020) United States Department of Agriculture, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, Emerald ash borer. https://www.aphis.usda.gov/aphis/ourfocus/planthealth/plant-pest-and-disease-programs/pests-and-diseases/eme. Accessed 8 Jan 2020
Wang ZM, Pi ZQ, Hou B (2006) Monochamus alternatus was found in Jilin Province. For Pest Dis 25:35 (in Chinese)
Withrow J, Smith EL, Koch FH, Yemshanov D (2015) Managing outbreaks of invasive species-A new method to prioritize preemptive quarantine efforts across large geographic regions. J Environ Manag 150:367–377. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.11.001
Zhang HL, Guo YL, Gao B (2016) Multi-model suitability assessment of construction land in Tsinling mountains based on the niche theory: A case study of Shangzhou, Shangluo. Geogr Geo-Inf Sci 32:83–89 (in Chinese)
Zhu GP, Bu WJ, Gao YB, Liu GQ (2012) Potential geographic distribution of Brown Marmorated Stink Bug invasion (Halyomorpha halys). PLoS ONE 7:e31246. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0031246
Zhu GP, Liu C, Li M, Liu Q (2014) Potential geographical distribution of Sinoxylon japonicum (Coleoptera: Bostrichidae) in China based on Maxent and GARP models. Acta Entomol Sin 57:581–586 (in Chinese)
Zou Y, Zhang LJ, Ge XZ, Guo SW, Li X, Chen LH, Wang T, Zong SX (2020) Prediction of the long-term potential distribution of Cryptorhynchus lapathi (L.) under climate change. Forests 11:5. https://doi.org/10.3390/f11010005
Acknowledgements
We thank Mr. Jonathan M. Schmude (USDA Forest Service, Agricultural Research Service, Newark, DE) and Ms. Yu Tian (Research Institute of Forest Ecology, Environment and Protection, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing) for their comments on the early version of manuscript. This work was supported by the National Key R & D Program of China (2018YFC1200400), National Natural Science Foundation of China (31971666) and Fundamental Research Funds of Chinese Academy of Forestry (CAFYBB2017ZF002).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Communicated by Antonio Biondi.
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Dang, YQ., Zhang, YL., Wang, XY. et al. Retrospective analysis of factors affecting the distribution of an invasive wood-boring insect using native range data: the importance of host plants. J Pest Sci 94, 981–990 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-020-01308-5
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-020-01308-5