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Climatically Driven Minimum of Energy Demand for Heating in Cities at the Center of the European Part of Russia

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Abstract

The minimum energy consumption in cities of the Russian Plain is largely determined by climatic conditions, because residential heating in winter is a vital necessity. Therefore, the specific heat demand (SHD)—an estimate for the climatically driven minimum energy demand for heating 1 m2 of living space—is proposed as an economically significant indicator of regional climate change. Calculated SHD values obtained from numerical experiments with the INM-CM5.0 climate model indicate a possible downward trend in SHD observed in cities of the Russian Plain in 1950–2014. The proposed indicator makes it possible to estimate the scale of the problem arising from the need to adapt urban energy systems to reduced energy consumption for heating, using data from numerical experiments with climate system models.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This study was conducted under the scientific supervision of A.S. Ginzburg.

Funding

The study was supported by the Russian Science Foundation, project no. 16-17-00114.

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Correspondence to G. G. Alexandrov.

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Translated by V. Arutyunyan

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Alexandrov, G.G. Climatically Driven Minimum of Energy Demand for Heating in Cities at the Center of the European Part of Russia. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 56, 613–617 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1134/S000143382006002X

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S000143382006002X

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