Open Access
December 2020 Structured discrepancy in Bayesian model calibration for ChemCam on the Mars Curiosity rover
K. Sham Bhat, Kary Myers, Earl Lawrence, James Colgan, Elizabeth Judge
Ann. Appl. Stat. 14(4): 2020-2036 (December 2020). DOI: 10.1214/20-AOAS1373

Abstract

The Mars rover Curiosity carries an instrument called ChemCam to determine the composition of the soil and rocks via laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). Los Alamos National Laboratory has developed a simulation capability that can predict spectra from ChemCam, but there are major-scale differences between the prediction and observation. This presents a challenge when using Bayesian model calibration to determine the unknown physical parameters that describe the LIBS observations. We present an analysis of LIBS data to support ChemCam based on including a structured discrepancy model in a Bayesian model-calibration scheme. This is both a novel application and an illustration of the importance of setting scientifically informed and constrained discrepancy models within Bayesian model calibration.

Citation

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K. Sham Bhat. Kary Myers. Earl Lawrence. James Colgan. Elizabeth Judge. "Structured discrepancy in Bayesian model calibration for ChemCam on the Mars Curiosity rover." Ann. Appl. Stat. 14 (4) 2020 - 2036, December 2020. https://doi.org/10.1214/20-AOAS1373

Information

Received: 1 November 2019; Revised: 1 July 2020; Published: December 2020
First available in Project Euclid: 19 December 2020

MathSciNet: MR4194259
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/20-AOAS1373

Keywords: Bayesian model calibration , discrepancy modeling , MARS , simulations , spectroscopy

Rights: Copyright © 2020 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.14 • No. 4 • December 2020
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