Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-gtxcr Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-24T14:33:58.870Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Labor Earnings Inequality in Manufacturing during the Great Depression

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 April 2020

Felipe Benguria
Affiliation:
Assistant Professor, University of Kentucky, 550 South Limestone, Lexington, KY40506. E-mail: fbe225@uky.edu
Chris Vickers
Affiliation:
Associate Professor, Auburn University, 133 Miller Hall, Auburn, AL36849. E-mail: czvickers@gmail.com
Nicolas L. Ziebarth
Affiliation:
Associate Professor, Auburn University, 133 Miller Hall, Auburn, AL36849, and National Bureau of Economics, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA02138. E-mail: nicolas.lehmannziebarth@gmail.com

Abstract

We study labor earnings inequality during the Great Depression using establishment-level information from the Census of Manufactures (COM). Inequality, as measured by the interquartile range in earnings per worker, declines by 10 log points between 1929 and 1933. However, by 1935, this difference has recovered to its 1929 level. In a decomposition, this decline and then rise in inequality is entirely explained by returns to observable factors, most notably the skill premium and regional differentials. The exit of establishments plays an important role in the initial decline in inequality but barely any role in the recovery.

Type
Article
Copyright
© The Economic History Association 2020

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

We thank participants at the NBER SI 2015 DAE, Census Bureau, William & Mary, UW–La Crosse, Florida State, Gettysburg College, Northwestern University, EBHS 2017, the Washington Area Economic History Seminar, the University of Michigan, and the University of Guelph for useful comments. We thank Dave Donaldson, Rick Hornbeck, and Jamie Lee for providing county-level data for the 1929 Census of Manufactures. We thank Miguel Morin for providing some of the published totals for the 1935 Census of Manufactures. The National Science Foundation (SES #1122509 and #1459263) and the University of Iowa provided funding.

References

REFERENCES

Atack, Jeremy, Bateman, Fred, and Robert, A. Margo. “Skill Intensity and Rising Wage Dispersion in Nineteenth-Century American Manufacturing.” Journal of Economic History 64, no. 1 (2004): 172–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baily, Martin N.The Labor Market in the 1930’s.” In Macroeconomics, Prices, and Quantities, edited by Tobin, James, 2162. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1983.Google Scholar
Barth, Erling, Alex Bryson, James C. Davis, and Freeman, Richard. “It’s Where You Work: Increase in Earnings Dispersion across Establishments and Individuals in the U.S.” Journal of Labor Economics 34 (2016): S67S97.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beney, M. Ada. Wages, Hours and Employment in the United States, 1914–1936. New York: National Industrial Conference Board, 1936.Google Scholar
Benguria, Felipe, Vickers, Chris, and Nicolas, L. Ziebarth. “Replication: Labor Earnings Inequality in Manufacturing during the Great Depression.” Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2020-02-29. https://doi.org/10.38886/E117926V2.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, Ben S.Employment, Hours, and Earnings in the Depression: An Analysis of Eight Manufacturing Industries.” American Economic Review 76, no. 1 (1986): 82109.Google Scholar
Bernanke, Ben S., and Martin, L. Parkinson. “Procyclical Labor Productivity and Competing Theories of the Business Cycle: Some Evidence from Interwar U.S. Manufacturing Indus- tries.” Journal of Political Economy 99, no. 3 (1991): 439–59.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, Ben S., and James, L. Powell. “The Cyclical Behavior of Industrial Labor Markets: A Comparison of the Prewar and Postwar Eras.” In The American Business Cycle, edited by Robert, J. Gordon, 583638. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1986.Google Scholar
Bertin, Amy L., Bresnahan, Timothy, and Daniel, M. G. Raff. “Localized Competition and the Aggregation of Plant-Level Increasing Returns: Blast Furnaces, 1929–1935.” Journal of Political Economy 104, no. 2 (1996): 241–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bresnahan, Timothy, and Daniel, M. G. Raff. “Intra-Industry Heterogeneity and the Great Depression: The American Motor Vehicles Industry, 1929–1935.” Journal of Economic History 51, no. 2 (1991): 317–31.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Card, David, Heining, Jörg, and Kline, Patrick. “Workplace Heterogeneity and the Rise of West German Wage Inequality.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 128, no. 3 (2013): 9671015.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chicu, Mark, Vickers, Chris, and Nicolas, L. Ziebarth. “Cementing the Case for Collusion under the NRA.” Explorations in Economic History 50 (2013): 487507.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Creamer, Daniel, and Merwin, Charles. “State Distribution of Income Payments, 1929–1946.” Survey of Current Business (1942): 1826.Google Scholar
Darby, Michael R.Three-and-a-Half Million U.S. Employees Have Been Mislaid: Or, an Explanation of Unemployment, 1934-1941.” Journal of Political Economy 84, no. 1 (1978): 116.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davis, Steve J., and Haltiwanger, John. “Wage Dispersion between and within U.S. Manufacturing Plants, 1963–86.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1991): 115200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dunlop, John T.Wage Determination under Trade Unions. New York: Macmillan, 1944.Google Scholar
Dunne, Timothy, Haltiwanger, John, and Kenneth, R. Troske. “Technology and Jobs: Secular Changes and Cyclical Dynamics.” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 46 (1997): 107–78.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dunne, Timothy, Mark, J. Roberts, and Samuelson, Larry. “The Growth and Failure of U.S. Manufacturing Plants.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 104, no. 4 (1989): 671–98.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fleck, Robert K.The Marginal Effect of New Deal Relief Work on County-Level Unemployment Statistics.” Journal of Economic History 59, no. 3 (1999): 659–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Foster, Lucia, Haltiwanger, John, and Syverson, Chad. “Reallocation, Firm Turnover, and Efficiency: Selection on Productivity or Profitability?American Economic Review 98, no. 1 (2008): 394425.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldin, Claudia, and Lawrence, F. Katz. “The Origins of Technology-Skill Complementarity.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, no. 3 (1998): 693732.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldin, Claudia, and Robert, A. Margo. “The Great Compression: The Wage Structure in the United States at Mid-Century.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, no. 1 (1992): 134.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldsmith, Selma, Jaszi, George, Kaitz, Hyman, and Liebenberg, Maurice. “Size Distribution of Income since the Mid-Thirties.” Review of Economics and Statistics 36, no. 1 (1954): 132.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hanes, Christopher. “Nominal Wage Rigidity and Industry Characteristics in the Downturns of 1893, 1929, and 1981.” American Economic Review 90, no. 5 (2000): 1432–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hanna, Frank A.State Income Differentials, 1919–1954. Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 1954.Google Scholar
Hansen, Mary E., and Nicolas, L. Ziebarth. “Credit Relationships and Business Bankruptcies during the Great Depression.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 9, no. 2 (2017): 228–55.Google Scholar
Hausman, Joshua. “What Was Bad for General Motors Was Bad for America: The Auto Industry and the 1937–38 Recession.” Journal of Economic History 76, no. 2 (2016): 427–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Juhn, Chinhui, Kevin, M. Murphy, and Pierce, Brooks. “Wage Inequality and the Rise in Returns to Skill.” Journal of Political Economy 101, no. 3 (1993): 410–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kuznets, Simon. Shares of Upper Income Groups in Income and Savings. Cambridge, MA: NBER, 1953.Google Scholar
Lebergott, Stanley. “Wage Rigidity in the Depression: Concept or Phrase?Unpublished Manuscript, Wesleyan University, 1989.Google Scholar
Lee, Changkeun. “Was the Great Depression Cleansing? Evidence from the American Automobile Industry, 1929–1935.” Unpublished Manuscript, University of Michigan, 2014.Google Scholar
Margo, Robert A.The Microeconomics of Depression Unemployment.” Journal of Economic History 51, no. 2 (1991): 333–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Margo, Robert A.Employment and Unemployment in the 1930s.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 7, no. 2 (1993): 4159.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Margo, Robert A.Economies of Scale in Nineteenth Century American Manufacturing Revisited: A Solution to the ‘Entrepreneurial Labor Input Problem’.” In Enterprising America: Businesses, Banks, and Credit Markets in Historical Perspective, edited by Collins, William and Robert, A. Margo, 215245. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2015.Google Scholar
Mendershausen, Horst. Changes in Income Distribution during the Great Depression. Cambridge, MA: NBER, 1946.Google Scholar
Morin, Miguel. “The Labor Market Consequences of Technology Adoption: Concrete Evidence from the Great Depression.” Unpublished Manuscript, Cambridge University, 2015.Google Scholar
Neumann, Todd C., Price, V. Fishback, and Kantor, Shawn. “The Dynamics of Relief Spending and the Private Urban Labor Market during the New Deal.” Journal of Economic History 70, no. 1 (2010): 195220.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Richardson, Gary, and Troost, William. “Monetary Intervention Mitigated Banking Panics during the Great Depression: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Federal Reserve District Border, 1929–1933.” Journal of Political Economy 117, no. 6 (2009): 1031–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenbloom, Joshua L., and William, A. Sundstrom. “The Sources of Regional Variation in the Severity of the Great Depression: Evidence from US Manufacturing, 1919–1937.” Journal of Economic History 59, no. 3 (1999): 714–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schmitz, Mark, and Price, V. Fishback. “The Distribution of the Income in the Great Depression: Preliminary State Estimates.” Journal of Economic History 43, no. 1 (1983): 217–30.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Scott, Peter M., and Nicolas, L. Ziebarth. “The Determinants of Plant Survival in the U.S. Radio Equipment Industry during the Great Depression.” Journal of Economic History 75, no. 4 (2013): 1097–127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shister, Joseph. “A Note on Cyclical Wage Rigidity.” American Economic Review 34, no. 1 (1944): 110–16.Google Scholar
Solon, Gary, Barsky, Robert, and Jonathan, A. Parker. “Measuring the Cyclicality of Real Wages: How Important Is Composition Bias?Quarterly Journal of Economics 109, no. 1 (1994): 125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Song, Jae, David, J. Price, Guvenen, Fatih, Bloom, Nicholas, and von Wachter, Till. “Firming Up Inequality.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 134, no. 1 (2019): 150.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stockman, Alan C.Aggregation Bias and the Cyclical Behavior of Real Wages.” Unpublished Manuscript, University of Rochester, 1983.Google Scholar
Sundstrom, William A.Last Hired, First Fired? Unemployment and Urban Black Workers during the Great Depression.” Journal of Economic History 52, no. 2 (1992): 415–29.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Taylor, Jason E.Work-Sharing during the Great Depression: Did the ‘President’s Reemployment Agreement’ Promote Reemployment?Economica 78, no. 309 (2011): 133–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tucker, Rufus. “The Distribution of Income among Income Taxpayers in the United States, 1863–1935.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 52, no. 4 (1938): 547–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vickers, Chris, and Nicolas, L. Ziebarth. “Did the NRA Foster Collusion? Evidence from the Macaroni Industry.” Journal of Economic History 74, no. 3 (2014): 831–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vickers, Chris, and Nicolas, L. Ziebarth. “United States Census of Manufactures, 1929–1935. ICPSR37114-v1.” Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2018.Google Scholar
Vickers, Chris, and Nicolas, L. Ziebarth. “The Census of Manufactures: An Overview.” In Handbook of Cliometrics, vol. 2, edited by Diebolt, Claude and Michael, J. Haupert, 1697–720. New York: Springer, 2019.Google Scholar
Wallis, John Joseph.The Political Economy of New Deal Spending Revisited, Again: With and without Nevada.” Explorations in Economic History 35, no. 2 (1998): 140–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wright, Gavin. Old South, New South: Revolutions in the Southern Economy Since the Civil War. Baton Rouge, LA: LSU Press, 1997.Google Scholar
Ziebarth, Nicolas L.The Great Depression through the Eyes of the Census of Manufactures.” Historical Methods 48, no. 4 (2015): 185–94.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Benguria et al. supplementary material

Online Appendix

Download Benguria et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 4.6 MB