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US immigration policy and brain waste

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Abstract

The US H-1B visa for highly skilled immigrant labor and the accompanying H-4 visa for their dependents lead to structural constraints that exclude dependents from the labor force. This paper investigates the economic consequences of the US immigration policy that decouples work and admission permission for H-4 visa holders. Using a pool of likely H-1B recipients who were recruited through firms’ job offers, we find that—despite labor force restrictions—the vast majority of married H-1B recipients are accompanied by their spouses. This is particularly the case for male H-1B recipients, making wives rather than husbands carry most of the burden associated labor force exclusions. Using a matched sample of married immigrants with work authorization, we estimate labor force participation probabilities and wages for the pool of likely dependent spouses if they were not facing work restrictions. We find that the policy-imposed labor force exclusion of H-4 spouses leads to substantial losses of spouses’ earnings of about (2014) US$28,000 per capita, which—in the aggregate—implies a sizeable productivity loss for the US due to its restrictive US immigration policy.

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Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful for the many invaluable and insightful comments of the editor and anonymous reviewers. Special thanks belong to Santiago M. Pinto from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Kathrine E. Richardson from San José State University, and to the participants of the Space, Health and Population Economics (SHaPE) seminar at Purdue University. They provided numerous insightful suggestions on earlier versions of the paper.

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Correspondence to Ayoung Kim.

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Appendix

Appendix

See Tables 10, 11.

Table 10 Criteria for matching process
Table 11 Summary statistics for the sample of H-4 Spouses and matched group

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Kim, A., Waldorf, B.S. & Duncan, N.T. US immigration policy and brain waste. Ann Reg Sci 66, 209–236 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-020-01017-y

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