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Toward indicators of the performance of US infrastructures under climate change risks

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Abstract

Built infrastructures are increasingly disrupted by climate-related extreme events. Being able to monitor what climate change implies for US infrastructures is of considerable importance to all levels of decision-makers. A capacity to develop cross-cutting, widely applicable indicators for more than a dozen different kinds of infrastructure, however, is severely limited at present. The development of such indicators must be considered an ongoing activity that will require expansion and refinement. A number of recent consensus reports suggest four priorities for indicators that portray the impacts of climate change, climate-related extreme events, and other driving forces on infrastructure. These are changes in the reliability of infrastructure services and the implications for costs; changes in the resilience of infrastructures to climate and other stresses; impacts due to the interdependencies of infrastructures; and ongoing adaptation in infrastructures.

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Notes

  1. See https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/resilient-america-roundtable for more information.

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Acknowledgments

This paper is dedicated to the late Thomas Wilbanks, the late Michael Savonis, and the late Steven Fernandez. Tom, Mike, and Steve were valuable contributors to climate change management throughout their careers with many accomplishments. The other authors, under the leadership of Rae Zimmerman and Paul Kirshen, revised and enhanced the original text. Contributions are acknowledged from the late JoAnn Carmin, Pablo Garcia, Sherry B. Wright, and Michael D. Gerst. Wilbanks’s and Wright’s roles were supported by the Integrated Assessment Research Program of DOE’s Office of Science. Other authors were supported by various sources. The authors acknowledge valuable support provided by the late A. C. Janetos and M. A. Kenney, the leaders of the indicators development process. The comments and suggestions of the reviewers increased the value of this paper, and we thank them for that. The views expressed in this paper represent those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, USA

    Thomas J. Wilbanks

  2. New York University, New York, NY, USA

    Rae Zimmerman

  3. US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA

    Susan Julius

  4. University of Massachusetts Boston, Boston, MA, USA

    Paul Kirshen

  5. Consultant, Boulder, CO, USA

    Joel B. Smith

  6. Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA

    Richard Moss

  7. Hunter College, CUNY, New York, NY, USA

    William Solecki

  8. University of York, York, UK

    Matthias Ruth

  9. Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, USA

    Stephen Conrad

  10. Almeria Analytics, Rio Rancho, NM, USA

    Steven J. Fernandez

  11. US Department of Homeland Security, Washington, DC, USA

    Michael S. Matthews

  12. ICF International, Washington, DC, USA

    Michael J. Savonis

  13. The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, USA

    Lynn Scarlett

  14. HGS Consultants LLC, St. Louis, MO, USA

    Henry G. Schwartz Jr

  15. Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA

    G. Loren Toole

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Correspondence to Paul Kirshen.

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Wilbanks, T.J., Zimmerman, R., Julius, S. et al. Toward indicators of the performance of US infrastructures under climate change risks. Climatic Change 163, 1795–1813 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02942-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02942-9

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