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Towards bearing failure prognostics: a practical comparison between data-driven methods for industrial applications

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Abstract

Research studies on data-driven approaches to rotating components and rolling element bearing (REB) prognostics have recently witnessed a rapid increase. These data-driven methods rely on sensor data for condition monitoring and degradation assessments; however, the problem of mining features from these sophisticated data using appropriate intelligent methods and choosing a practically reliable predictive model(s) has become a global concern. Vibration monitoring for REBs have over the years shown great effectiveness. Although monotonic statistical features serve as reliable health indicators (HIs), relying on a single feature for optimal bearing degradation assessment is inefficient. By fusing highly monotonic features using appropriate methods, a more reliable HI can be constructed and from this, various degradation states/stages and time to start prediction (TSP) can be identified by mapping known failure modes/degradation states to cluster points from clustering algorithms. Emphatically, the choice of regression algorithms for prognostics poses more concern as engineers and data scientists are faced with choosing between Bayessian machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) methods. This study presents a methodology for constructing a reliable HI for bearing prognostics, choosing a reliable TSP, and provides a comparison between ML and DL methods for bearing prognostics. As representatives of both domains, the Gaussian process regression (GPR) and the deep belief network (DBN) are introduced and compared. The results provide a reliable paradigm for prognosible feature representation for REBs and for choosing between both domains while considering their dependencies, efficiencies, and deficiencies.

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Acknowledgments

This article is based on the results of a study conducted with the support of the Agency for Defense Development (RAM specialized laboratory, UD180018AD).

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Correspondence to Jang-Wook Hur.

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Ugochukwu Ejike Akpudo received his B.Eng. degree in Mechanical and Production Engineering at Enugu State University of Science and Technology, Nigeria in 2012. While working at Maclisle Complex Limited, Enugu, Nigeria from 2015 to 2019, he familiarized himself with a wide variety of efficient and effective ways of mechanical systems maintainability, general safety engineering, reliability engineering, and loss prevention. Currently he is a graduate student and full-time researcher at Defence Reliability Laboratory, Mechanical Systems Engineering at Kumoh National Institute of Technology Gumi, South Korea. His research interests include but not limited to prognostics and health management and reliability engineering.

Jang-Wook Hur received his Ph.D. degree in Mechanical Engineering from Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan, in 1995. While serving in the Republic of Korea National Military, he, in 2011 ranked a Colonel and took part in various projects funded by the Korean Government like the DAPA KHP Project. From 2015 to 2020, he led the project team in the RAM program aimed at optimizing Reliability, Availability, and Maintainability in the Korean Defense Systems. He is currently the H.O.D. Mechanical Systems Engineering and the Director of Defense Reliability Laboratory (an Advanced Research Center supported by the Korean Government) at Kumoh National University of Science and Technology. He is currently the Vice President of the Korean Society for Prognostics and Health Management (KSPHM). His research interests are prognostics and health management and reliability engineering.

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Akpudo, U.E., Hur, JW. Towards bearing failure prognostics: a practical comparison between data-driven methods for industrial applications. J Mech Sci Technol 34, 4161–4172 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12206-020-0908-7

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