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Future Water Use Planning by Water Evaluation and Planning System Model

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Abstract

Assessment of future water availability is a challenging task under changing climatic conditions and anthropogenic interventions. The current research focuses on future water resources scenario generation for contributing areas of proposed hydraulic structures generated from the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) System model. The proposed methodology was implemented for the Dwarakeswar-Gandherswari river basin (India) which needs a long-term future water use plan. Bias-corrected Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) data were used for climate change analysis through a hydrological model. Different simulation model outputs [e.g. Dynamic Conversion of Land-Use and its Effects (Dyna-CLUE), Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), Modular Finite-Difference Flow Model (MODFLOW)] were utilized in water evaluation model for a generation of future water resources scenarios. Four scenarios (2010–2030–2050-2080) were generated for the sustainability of limited water resources management strategies. SWAT simulated results show an increase in river discharge for 2030 or 2080 and a decrease for 2050. MODFLOW simulated results show a visible groundwater storage change for 2030 but minimal change for 2050 and 2080 scenarios. The results also show a decrease in agricultural land and an increase in population for the contributing areas of three hydraulic structures during 2010–2030–2050-2080. These results provide a piece of valuable information for decision-makers in future water management plan preparation.

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Acknowledgments

The author thanks Irrigation and Waterways Directorate, Government of West Bengal, India for providing necessary support for this research work. The author also thanks Regional Director, Central Ground Water Board (CGWB) for providing necessary data for this research work.

Funding

This paper is supported by the Centre for Advanced Modelling and Geospatial Information Systems, UTS and Researchers Supporting Project number RSP-2020/14, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Centre for Environment, Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati, Guwahati, India

    Satiprasad Sahoo

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, India

    Anirban Dhar

  3. Department of Civil Engineering, Jadavpur University, Kolkata, India

    Anupam Debsarkar

  4. The Centre for Advanced Modelling and Geospatial Information Systems (CAMGIS), Faculty of Engineering and IT, University of Technology Sydney, 15 Broadway, Ultimo, NSW, 2007, Australia

    Biswajeet Pradhan

  5. Department of Energy and Mineral Resources Engineering, Sejong University, Choongmu-gwan, 209 Neungdong-ro, Gwangjin-gu, Seoul, 05006, Republic of Korea

    Biswajeet Pradhan

  6. Earth Observation Center, Institute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM, Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia

    Biswajeet Pradhan

  7. Department of Geology & Geophysics, College of Science, King Saud University, P.O. Box 2455, Riyadh, 11451, Saudi Arabia

    Abdullah M. Alamri

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  1. Satiprasad Sahoo
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Correspondence to Biswajeet Pradhan.

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Sahoo, S., Dhar, A., Debsarkar, A. et al. Future Water Use Planning by Water Evaluation and Planning System Model. Water Resour Manage 34, 4649–4664 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-020-02680-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-020-02680-8

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