Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Comparing farmers’ perceptions of climate change with meteorological trends and examining farm adaptation measures in hazard-prone districts of northwest Bangladesh

  • Published:
Environment, Development and Sustainability Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Consistency between farmers’ perceptions of climate change (CC) and meteorological trends leads to effective farm adaptation strategies. This study was conducted in hazard-prone districts, Kurigram (riverbank erosion-prone) and Nilphamari (drought-prone), of the northwest region of Bangladesh to compare farmers’ perceptions of CC with meteorological trends, and to examine farm adaptation measures. A total of 252 smallholder households were interviewed. Household survey, key informant interviews, focus group discussions and field observations were carried out to collect the primary data. The findings revealed that farmers’ perceptions of CC were consistent with the meteorological trends of the past 30 years (1986–2015) and showed increasing temperature parameters and decreasing rainfall parameters. Farmers perceived negative impacts were increased summer temperature and length of summer days, decreased rainfall intensity, number of rainy days and length of winter days as well as increased intensity of floods, droughts, riverbank erosion and other natural hazards. The farmers also noted significant moderate to high impact of CC on agricultural production. The practiced adaptation strategies were low to medium, and almost all the households applied traditional strategies including compost and manure in their fields and practiced crop rotation as well as homestead gardening to minimize the adverse impact of CC. The study recommends bridging information gaps between the scientific community and farmers about CC adaptation options to meet challenges posed by CC. This study also provides field-based evidence for devising CC mitigation and adaptation policies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Akanda, M. G. R., & Howlader, M. S. (2015). Coastal farmers’ perception of climate change effects on agriculture at Galachipa Upazila under Patuakhali district of Bangladesh. Global Journal of Science Frontier Research (D), 15, 31–39.

    Google Scholar 

  • Alam, K. (2015). Farmers’ adaptation to water scarcity in drought-prone environments: A case study of Rajshahi district, Bangladesh. Agricultural Water Management, 148, 196–206.

    Google Scholar 

  • Alam, G. M. M. (2016). An assessment of the livelihood vulnerability of the riverbank erosion hazard and its impact on food security for rural households in Bangladesh. PhD thesis, School of Commerce, University of Southern Queensland, Australia.

  • Alam, G. M. M. (2017). Livelihood cycle and vulnerability of rural households to climate change and hazards in Bangladesh. Environmental Management, 59, 777–791.

    Google Scholar 

  • Alam, G. M. M., Alam, K., & Mushtaq, S. (2017a). Climate change perceptions and local adaptation strategies of hazard-prone rural households in Bangladesh. Climate Risk Management, 17, 52–63.

    Google Scholar 

  • Alam, G. M. M., Alam, K., Shahbaz, M., & Clarke, M. L. (2017b). Drivers of vulnerability to climatic change in riparian char and river-bank households in Bangladesh: Implications for policy, livelihoods and social development. Ecological Indicators, 72, 23–32.

    Google Scholar 

  • Alauddin, M., & Sarker, M. A. R. (2014). Climate change and farm-level adaptation decisions and strategies in drought-prone and groundwater-depleted areas of Bangladesh: An empirical investigation. Ecological Economics, 106, 204–213.

    Google Scholar 

  • Alston, M., & Akhter, B. (2016). Gender and food security in Bangladesh: The impact of climate change. Gender, Place and Culture, 23, 1450–1464.

    Google Scholar 

  • Amadou, M. L., Villamor, G. B., Attua, E. M., & Traoré, S. B. (2015). Comparing farmers’ perception of climate change and variability with historical climate data in the Upper East Region of Ghana. Ghana Journal of Geography, 7, 47–74.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ara, I. (2018). Perceptions and responses to climate change: Understanding adaptation strategies and multi-level capacities in Northern Bangladesh using livelihood resources. Regional Problems, 3(1), 124–131.

    Google Scholar 

  • Assan, E., Suvedi, M., Olabisi, L. S., & Allen, A. (2018). Coping with and adapting to climate change: A gender perspective from smallholder farming in Ghana. Environments, 5, 86.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ayanlade, A., Radeny, M., & Morton, J. F. (2017). Comparing smallholder farmers’ perception of climate change with meteorological data: A case study from southwestern Nigeria. Weather and Climate Extremes, 15, 24–33.

    Google Scholar 

  • BBS. (2019a). Statistical yearbook of Bangladesh 2018. Bangladesh bureau of statistics. Dhaka: Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh.

    Google Scholar 

  • BBS. (2019b). Report on agriculture and rural statistics 2018. Bangladesh bureau of statistics. Dhaka: Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bryan, E., Deressa, T. T., Gbetibouo, G. A., & Ringler, C. (2009). Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia and South Africa: Options and constraints. Environmental Science & Policy, 12, 413–426.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bryan, E., Ringler, C., Okoba, B., Koo, J., Herrero, M., & Silvestri, S. (2011). Agricultural management for climate change adaptation, greenhouse gas mitigation, and agricultural productivity: Insights from Kenya. IFPRI discussion paper No. 1098, 42 pp.

  • Dey, N. C., Alam, M. S., Sajjan, A. K., Bhuiyan, M. A., Ghose, L., Ibaraki, Y., et al. (2011). Assessing environmental and health impact of drought in the Northwest Bangladesh. Journal of Environmental Science and Natural Resources, 4, 89–97.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dhanya, P., & Ramachandran, A. (2016). Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and the proposed agriculture adaptation strategies in a semi-arid region of south India. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, 13, 1–18.

    Google Scholar 

  • FAO. (2015). The economic lives of smallholder farmers: An analysis based on household data from nine countries. Rome: FAO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ferdous, M. G., & Baten, M. A. (2011). Climatic variables of 50 years and their trends over Rajshahi and Rangpur division. Journal of Environmental Science and Natural Resources, 4, 147–150.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ferdous, Z., Datta, A., Anal, A. K., Anwar, M., & Khan, M. R. (2016). Development of home garden model for year round production and consumption for improving resource-poor household food security in Bangladesh. NJAS—Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences, 78, 103–110.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ferdous, M. R., Wesselink, A., Brandimarte, L., Slager, K., Zwarteveen, M., & Baldassarre, G. D. (2019). The costs of living with floods in the Jamuna floodplain in Bangladesh. Water, 11, 1238.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fosu-Mensah, B. Y., Vlek, P. L. G., & MacCarthy, D. S. (2012). Farmers’ perception and adaptation to climate change: A case study of Sekyedumase district in Ghana. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 14, 495–505.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gbetibouo, G. A. (2009). Understanding farmers’ perceptions and adaptations to climate change and variability: The case of the Limpopo Basin, South Africa. IFPRI discussion paper No. 00849, 52 pp.

  • Ghosh, B. C., Osmani, A. G., & Hossain, E. (2015). Perception of and adaption capacities to climate change adaption strategies by the rice farmers: A case of Rajshahi district in Bangladesh. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 6, 136–146.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilbert, R. O. (1987). Statistical methods for environmental pollution monitoring. NY: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Habiba, U., Shaw, R., & Takeuchi, Y. (2012). Farmer’s perception and adaptation practices to cope with drought: Perspectives from northwestern Bangladesh. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 1, 72–84.

    Google Scholar 

  • Habiba, U., Shaw, R., & Takeuchi, Y. (2014). Farmers’ adaptive practices for drought risk reduction in the northwest region of Bangladesh. Natural Hazards, 72, 337–359.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hageback, J., Sundberg, J., Ostwald, M., Chen, D., Yun, X., & Knutsson, P. (2005). Climate variability and land-use change in Danangou Watershed, China—examples of small-scale farmers’ adaptation. Climatic Change, 72, 189–212.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hasan, M. K., & Kumar, L. (2019). Comparison between meteorological data and farmer perceptions of climate change and vulnerability in relation to adaptation. Journal of Environmental Management, 237, 54–62.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ho, H. (2019). How can we serve you better: Customers’ perceptions of services and facilities offered in a community library. Library Leadership and Management, 33, 1–27.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hossain, M. N., Chowdhury, S., & Paul, S. K. (2016). Farmer-level adaptation to climate change and agricultural drought: Empirical evidences from the Barind region of Bangladesh. Natural Hazards, 83, 1007–1026.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hussain, A., & Thapa, G. B. (2012). Smallholders’ access to agricultural credit in Pakistan. Food Security, 4, 73–85.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hussain, A., Zulfiqar, F., & Saboor, A. (2014). Changing food patterns across the seasons in rural Pakistan: Analysis of food variety, dietary diversity and calorie intake. Ecology of Food and Nutrition, 53, 119–141.

    Google Scholar 

  • IFAD. (2018). People’s Republic of Bangladesh: Smallholder agricultural competitiveness project (SACP) final project design report. Rome: Programme Management Department, Asia and the Pacific Division, IFAD.

    Google Scholar 

  • Imran, M., Shrestha, R. P., & Datta, A. (2020). Comparing farmers’ perceptions of climate change with meteorological data in three irrigated cropping zones of Punjab, Pakistan. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 22, 2121–2140.

    Google Scholar 

  • Islam, M. N., & Hossen, M. S. (2016). Farmer’s perception and agricultural adaptation of climate change in drought prone areas of Bangladesh. Journal of Environmental Science and Natural Resources, 9, 147–150.

    Google Scholar 

  • Islam, A. R. M. T., Shen, S., Hu, Z., & Rahman, M. A. (2017). Drought hazard evaluation in boro paddy cultivated areas of western Bangladesh at current and future climate change conditions. Advances in Meteorology, 2017, 3514381.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jin, J., Gao, Y., Wang, X., & Pham, K. (2015). Farmers’ risk preferences and their climate change adaptation strategies in the Yongqiao District, China. Land Use Policy, 47, 265–372.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jordan, J. C. (2015). Swimming alone? The role of social capital in enhancing local resilience to climate stress: A case study from Bangladesh. Climate and Development, 7, 110–123.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kendall, M. G. (1975). Rank correlation methods (4th ed.). London: Charles Griffin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Khan, B., Nabia, S. A., & Rahman, M. A. (2018). The effect of riverbank erosion on lives and livelihoods of rural people: A study on Nolian village, Khulna, Bangladesh. Journal of Science, Technology and Environment Informatics, 6, 466–473.

    Google Scholar 

  • Khanal, U., & Wilson, C. (2019). Derivation of a climate change adaptation index and assessing determinants and barriers to adaptation among farming households in Nepal. Environmental Science & Policy, 101, 156–165.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuwornu, J. K. M., Mensah-Bonsu, A., & Ibrahim, H. (2011). Analysis of foodstuff price volatility in Ghana: Implications for food security. European Journal of Business and Management, 3, 100–118.

    Google Scholar 

  • Li, S., Juhasz-Horvath, L., Harrison, P. A., Pinter, L., & Rounsevell, M. D. A. (2017). Relating farmer’s perceptions of climate change risk to adaptation behaviour in Hungary. Journal of Environmental Management, 185, 21–30.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mann, H. B. (1945). Non-parametric tests against trend. Econometrica, 13, 245–259.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maplecroft. (2014). Climate change and environmental risk atlas. Maplecroft Global Risk Analytics.

  • Mardy, T., Uddin, M. N., Sarker, M. A., Roy, D., & Dunn, E. S. (2018). Assessing coping strategies in response to drought: A micro level study in the north-west region of Bangladesh. Climate, 6, 23.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marshal, M. N. (1996). The key informants techniques. Family Practice, 13, 92–97.

    Google Scholar 

  • Masud, A. A., Liza, A. K., & Azad, A. K. (2014). Vulnerability of crop production to climatic variability in a water stress area of north-west region of Bangladesh: A case study in the Sapahar upazila under Naogaon district. IOSR Journal of Environmental Science, Toxicology and Food Technology, 8, 41–52.

    Google Scholar 

  • McDowell, J. Z., & Hess, J. J. (2012). Accessing adaptation: Multiple stressors on livelihoods in the Bolivian highlands under a changing climate. Global Environmental Change, 22, 342–352.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mekonnen, Z., Kassa, H., Woldeamanuel, T., & Asfaw, Z. (2018). Analysis of observed and perceived climate change and variability in Arsi Negele District, Ethiopia. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 20, 1191–1212.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miah, M. G., Abdullah, H. M., & Jeong, C. (2017). Exploring standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index for drought assessment in Bangladesh. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 189, 547.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mkonda, M. Y., He, X., & Festin, E. S. (2018). Comparing smallholder farmers’ perception of climate change with meteorological data: Experience from seven agroecological zones of Tanzania. Weather, Climate and Society, 10, 352–435.

    Google Scholar 

  • Murad, H., & Islam, A. K. M. S. (2011). Drought assessment using remote sensing and GIS in north-west region of Bangladesh. In Paper presented at the 3rd international conference on water and flood management (ICWFM-2011), 8–10 January 2011, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Retrieved June 15, 2020, from https://akmsaifulislam.buet.ac.bd/publication/ICWFM2011_full_paper_27.pdf.

  • Ndamani, F., & Watanabe, T. (2016). Determinants of farmers’ adaptation to climate change: A micro level analysis in Ghana. Scientia Agricola, 73, 108–201.

    Google Scholar 

  • Niles, M. T., & Mueller, N. D. (2016). Farmer perceptions of climate change: Associations with observed temperature and precipitation trends, irrigation, and climate beliefs. Global Environmental Change, 39, 133–142.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nury, A. H., & Hasan, K. (2016). Analysis of drought in northwestern Bangladesh using standardized precipitation index and its relation to southern oscillation index. Environmental Engineering Research, 21, 58–68.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nyumba, T. O., Wilson, K., Derrick, C. J., & Mukharjee, N. (2018). The use of focus group discussion methodology: Insights from two decades of application in conservation. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 20–32.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ochieng, J., Kirimi, L., & Mathenge, M. (2016). Effects of climate variability and change on agricultural production: The case of small scale farmers in Kenya. NJAS—Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences, 77, 71–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Panda, A. (2016). Exploring climate change perceptions, rainfall trends and perceived barriers to adaptation in a drought affected region in India. Natural Hazards, 84, 777–796.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pandit, A., Jain, A., Singha, R., Suting, A., Jamir, S., Pradhan, N. S., et al. (2016). Community perceptions and responses to climate variability: Insights from the Himalayas. In N. Salzmann, et al. (Eds.), Climate change adaptation strategies—an upstream-downstream perspective (pp. 179–194). Switzerland: Springer International Publishing.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sen, P. K. (1968). Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63, 1379–1389.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shahid, S. (2010). Impact of climate change on irrigation water demand of dry season boro rice in northwest Bangladesh. Climatic Change, 105, 433–453.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shahid, S., Harun, S. B., & Katimon, A. (2012). Changes in diurnal temperature range in Bangladesh during the time period 1961–2008. Atmospheric Research, 118, 260–270.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shrestha, R. P., & Nepal, N. (2016). An assessment by subsistence farmers of the risks to food security attributable to climate change in Makwanpur, Nepal. Food Security, 8, 415–425.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tanvir Rahman, M. A. T. M., Islam, S., & Rahman, S. H. (2015). Coping with food and riverbank erosion caused by climate change using livelihood resources: A case study of Bangladesh. Climate and Development, 7, 185–191.

    Google Scholar 

  • Taylor, J. G., Stewart, T. R., & Downton, M. (1988). Perceptions of drought in the Ogallala Aquifer region. Environment and Behavior, 20, 150–175.

    Google Scholar 

  • Uddin, M. N., Bokelmann, W., & Entsminger, J. S. (2014). Factors affecting farmers’ adaptation strategies to environmental degradation and climate change effects: A farm level study in Bangladesh. Climate, 2, 223–241.

    Google Scholar 

  • United Nations Environment Programme. (2006). Raising awareness of climate change: A handbook for government focal points. Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yamane, T. (1967). Statistics. An introductory analysis (2nd ed.). New York: Harper and Row.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zug, S. (2006). Monga—seasonal food insecurity in Bangladesh—bringing the information together. The Journal of Social Studies, 111, 1–14.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zulfiqar, F., Datta, A., & Thapa, G. (2017). Determinants and resource use efficiency of “better cotton”: An innovative cleaner production alternative. Journal of Cleaner Production, 166, 1372–1380.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zulfiqar, F., & Thapa, G. B. (2016). Is ‘Better cotton’ better than conventional cotton in terms of input use efficiency and financial performance? Land Use Policy, 52, 136–143.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The first author is grateful to the Centre for Development Innovation, Wageningen UR, the Netherlands, and the Interdisciplinary Centre for Food Security, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Bangladesh and the Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand, for providing financial support for this study through a Master scholarship granted to him.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Avishek Datta.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Roy, D., Datta, A., Kuwornu, J.K.M. et al. Comparing farmers’ perceptions of climate change with meteorological trends and examining farm adaptation measures in hazard-prone districts of northwest Bangladesh. Environ Dev Sustain 23, 8699–8721 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00989-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00989-3

Keywords

Navigation