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Invasive potential of golden and zebra mussels in present and future climatic scenarios in the new world

  • INVASIVE SPECIES III
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Abstract

Biological invasions and climate change are important drivers of biodiversity loss. In freshwater ecosystems, golden and zebra mussels are two highly aggressive invasive species that have caused ecological and economic damages in South and North America, respectively. Here, we used ecological niche models (ENMs) to investigate the invasive potential of golden and zebra mussels in present and future scenarios of global warming in the New World. We found two main patterns in the distribution of suitable areas for golden and zebra mussels. First, the distribution of potentially suitable areas, both in present and future scenarios, is different between mussel species: zebra mussel has areas that are more suitable in temperate regions, while suitable areas for golden mussel are concentrated in tropical and subtropical regions. Second, suitable habitats for golden mussel will increase more in future global warming scenarios compared to suitable habitats for zebra mussel. Indeed, there are experimental indications that zebra mussel has a lower tolerance to high temperatures compared to golden mussel, which is in agreement with our findings. We recommend that the future monitoring of both golden and zebra mussels in the New World should consider areas of highest thermic suitability for current and future scenarios.

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) for granting DKP postdoctoral funding (PDJ/CNPq, no 409077/2017-8) and Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES/MEC) for granting MMP and TM PhD scholarships. LGR thanks the support from the National Institutes for Science and Technology (INCT) in Ecology, Evolution and Biodiversity Conservation (EECBio), founded by MCTIC/CNPq (Grant #465610/2014-5) and FAPEG (proc. 201810267000023). We would also like to thank Yuri Zubek for helping in the search for geographic coordinates of the zebra mussel.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Núcleo de Pesquisa em Limnologia, Ictiologia e Aqüicultura (Nupélia), Universidade Estadual de Maringá, Maringá, PR, 87020-900, Brazil

    Danielle Katharine Petsch, Tatiane Mantovano, Mikaela Marques Pulzatto, Gisele Daiane Pinha & Sidinei Magela Thomaz

  2. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia de Ambientes Aquáticos Continentais (PEA), Universidade Estadual de Maringá, Maringá, Paraná, Brazil

    Danielle Katharine Petsch, Tatiane Mantovano, Mikaela Marques Pulzatto & Sidinei Magela Thomaz

  3. Programa de Pós-graduação em Ecologia e Evolução, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, GO, 74001-970, Brazil

    Luiz Guilherme dos Santos Ribas

  4. Laboratório de Ecologia Teórica e Síntese, Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, GO, 74001-970, Brazil

    Luiz Guilherme dos Santos Ribas

  5. Laboratório de Ecologia Bentônica, Instituto de Biologia & CIENAM, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, BA, 40170-115, Brazil

    Andreia Teixeira Alves

Authors
  1. Danielle Katharine Petsch
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  2. Luiz Guilherme dos Santos Ribas
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  3. Tatiane Mantovano
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  4. Mikaela Marques Pulzatto
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  5. Andreia Teixeira Alves
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  6. Gisele Daiane Pinha
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  7. Sidinei Magela Thomaz
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Danielle Katharine Petsch.

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Guest editors: Katya E. Kovalenko, Fernando M. Pelicice, Lee B. Kats, Jonne Kotta & Sidinei M. Thomaz / Aquatic Invasive Species III

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Petsch, D.K., Ribas, L.G., Mantovano, T. et al. Invasive potential of golden and zebra mussels in present and future climatic scenarios in the new world. Hydrobiologia 848, 2319–2330 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-020-04412-w

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-020-04412-w

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