Skip to main content
Log in

Prediction of the concentrations of PM1, PM2.5, PM4, and PM10 by using the hybrid dragonfly-SVM algorithm

  • Published:
Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper aims to model the daily evolution for particulate matter concentrations of less than 1 μm (PM1), 2.5 μm (PM2.5), 4 μm (PM4), 10 μm (PM10), and PM-Total, based on weather factors (WF), by using the hybrid dragonfly-SVMr algorithm. Hourly data on atmospheric concentrations of PMi and WF were recorded simultaneously at an automatic air quality check station located at an urban site in Algiers, using the fine dust measurement device, Fidas® 200. The number of data collected on PM was 540 measurements. In this study, the meta-heuristic dragonfly algorithm (DA) was used in order to select the optimal hyper-parameters of the Support Vector Machine model. For this, a MATLAB® program based on the dragonfly optimization algorithm coupled with the SVM regression algorithm has been written in order to correlate for the PMi concentrations. The obtained results show that the established model has good predictive performance, with a coefficient of determination R2 = 0.98 and root of the mean square error RMSE = 1.9261.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

We used the FIDAS200 sensor from the Renewable Energy Research Center (CDER) to measure the concentrations of PM1, PM2.5, PM4, PM10, PM-Totals, as well as temperature and relative humidity. In addition, we obtained the wind speed and cumulative precipitation data from the National Meteorological Office (NMO) to create the database.

References

  • Amroune M, Bouktir T, Musirin I (2018) Power system voltage stability assessment using a hybrid approach combining dragonfly optimization algorithm and support vector regression. Arab J Sci Eng 43:3023–3036

    Google Scholar 

  • Bai Y, Li Y, Wang X, Xie J, Li C (2016) Air pollutants concentrations forecasting using back propagation neural network based on wavelet decomposition with meteorological conditions. Atmos Pollut Res 7:557–566

    Google Scholar 

  • Benimam H, Si-Moussa C, Laidi M, Hanini S (2020a) Modeling the activity coefficient at infinite dilution of water in ionic liquids using artificial neural networks and support vector machines. Neural Comput & Applic 32:8635–8653

    Google Scholar 

  • Benimam H, Si-Moussa C, Hentabli M, Hanini S, Laidi M (2020b) Dragonfly-support vector machine for regression modeling of the activity coefficient at infinite dilution of solutes in imidazolium ionic liquids using σ-profile descriptors. J Chem Eng Data 65:3161–3172

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Brokamp C, Jandarov R, Hossain M, Ryan P (2018) Predicting daily urban fine particulate matter concentrations using a random forest model. Environ Sci Technol 52:4173–4179

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Çaydaş U, Hasçalık A, Ekici S (2009) An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model for wire-EDM. Expert Syst Appl 36:6135–6139

    Google Scholar 

  • Elbayoumi M, Ramli NA, Md Yusof NFF, Yahaya ASB, Al Madhoun W, Ul-Saufie AZ (2014) Multivariate methods for indoor PM10 and PM2.5 modelling in naturally ventilated schools buildings. Atmos Environ 94:11–21

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Fan G-F, Peng L-L, Hong W-C, Sun F (2016) Electric load forecasting by the SVR model with differential empirical mode decomposition and auto regression. Neurocomputing 173:958–970

    Google Scholar 

  • Gan K, Sun S, Wang S, Wei Y (2018) A secondary-decomposition-ensemble learning paradigm for forecasting PM2.5 concentration. Atmos Pollut Res 9:989–999

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Geoba (Offers facts, statistics and information about any city or place worldwide) (2019) http://www.geoba.se/. Accessed in 2019

  • He Z, Wen X, Liu H, Du J (2014) A comparative study of artificial neural network, adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system and support vector machine for forecasting river flow in the semiarid mountain region. J Hydrol 509:379–386

    Google Scholar 

  • Heal MR, Kumar P, Harrison RM (2012) Particles, air quality, policy and health. Chem Soc Rev 41:6606–6630

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Hong W-C (2011) Electric load forecasting by seasonal recurrent SVR (support vector regression) with chaotic artificial bee colony algorithm. Energy 36:5568–5578

    Google Scholar 

  • Hong W-C, Fan G-F (2019) Hybrid empirical mode decomposition with support vector regression model for short term load forecasting. Energies 12:1093

    Google Scholar 

  • Hong W-C, Dong Y, Zheng F, Lai C-Y (2011) Forecasting urban traffic flow by SVR with continuous ACO. Appl Math Model 35:1282–1291

    Google Scholar 

  • Hong W-C, Dong Y, Zhang WY, Chen L-Y, Panigrahi KB (2013) Cyclic electric load forecasting by seasonal SVR with chaotic genetic algorithm. Int J Electr Power Energy Syst 44:604–614

    Google Scholar 

  • Izhar S, Goel A, Chakraborty A, Gupta T (2016) Annual trends in occurrence of submicron particles in ambient air and health risk posed by particle bound metals. Chemosphere 146:582–590

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Jovašević-Stojanović M, Bartonova A, Topalović D, Lazović I, Pokrić B, Ristovski Z (2015) On the use of small and cheaper sensors and devices for indicative citizen-based monitoring of respirable particulate matter. Environ Pollut 206:696–704

    Google Scholar 

  • Keskes S, Hanini S, Hentabli M, Laidi M (2020) Artificial intelligence and mathematical modelling of the drying kinetics of pharmaceutical powders. Kemija u Industriji 69:137–152

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Kurt A, Oktay AB (2010) Forecasting air pollutant indicator levels with geographic models 3 days in advance using neural networks. Expert Syst Appl 37:7986–7992

    Google Scholar 

  • Li X, Zhang X (2019) Predicting ground-level PM2.5 concentrations in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: a hybrid remote sensing and machine learning approach. Environ Pollut 249:735–749

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Li X, Li L, Zhang B, Guo Q (2013) Hybrid self-adaptive learning based particle swarm optimization and support vector regression model for grade estimation. Neurocomputing 118:179–190

    Google Scholar 

  • Li R, Mao H, Wu L, He J, Ren P, Li X (2016) The evaluation of emission control to PM concentration during Beijing APEC in 2014. Atmos Pollut Res 7:363–369

    Google Scholar 

  • Li M-W, Geng J, Hong W-C, Zhang L-D (2019a) Periodogram estimation based on LSSVR-CCPSO compensation for forecasting ship motion. Nonlinear Dyn 97:2579–2594

    Google Scholar 

  • Li N, Han W, Wei X, Shen M, Sun S (2019b) Chemical characteristics and human health assessment of PM1 during the Chinese Spring Festival in Changchun, Northeast China. Atmos Pollut Res 10:1823–1831

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Li Z, Xie Y, Li X, Zhao W (2019c) Prediction and application of porosity based on support vector regression model optimized by adaptive dragonfly algorithm. Energy Sources A 1–14

  • Lin G-F, Lin H-Y, Wu M-C (2012) Development of a support-vector-machine-based model for daily pan evaporation estimation. Hydrol Process 27:3115–3127

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu H, Dong S (2020) A novel hybrid ensemble model for hourly PM2.5 forecasting using multiple neural networks: a case study in China. Air Qual Atmos Health

  • Liu T, Wu MP, Zhang KD, Liu Y, Zhong J (2014) Correlation analysis and control scheme research on PM2.5. Appl Mech Mater 590:888–894

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Liu H, Zheng J, Qu C, Zhang J, Wang Y, Zhan C, Yao R, Cao J (2017) Characteristics and source analysis of water-soluble inorganic ions in PM10 in a typical mining city, Central China. Atmosphere 8:74

    Google Scholar 

  • Mafarja M, Heidari AA, Faris H, Mirjalili S, Aljarah I (2020) Dragonfly Algorithm: theory, literature review, and application in feature selection. In: Mirjalili S, Song Dong J, Lewis A (eds) Nature-Inspired Optimizers. Studies in Computational Intelligence. Springer, Cham, pp 47–67

    Google Scholar 

  • MEER (Ministry of the Environment and Renewable Energies) (2019) http://www.meer.gov.dz/a/?page_id = 173/. Accessed in 2019

  • Mehdipour V, Stevenson DS, Memarianfard M, Sihag P (2018) Comparing different methods for statistical modeling of particulate matter in Tehran, Iran. Air Qual Atmos Health 11:1155–1165

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Min J, Lee Y (2005) Bankruptcy prediction using support vector machine with optimal choice of kernel function parameters. Expert Syst Appl 28:603–614

    Google Scholar 

  • Mirjalili S (2016) Dragonfly algorithm: a new meta-heuristic optimization technique for solving single-objective, discrete, and multi-objective problems. Neural Comput & Applic 27:1053–1073

    Google Scholar 

  • Niu M, Wang Y, Sun S, Li Y (2016) A novel hybrid decomposition-and-ensemble model based on CEEMD and GWO for short-term PM2.5 concentration forecasting. Atmos Environ 134:168–180

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • ONM (National Meteorological Office) (2019) https://www.meteo.dz/historique.php/. Accessed in 2019

  • Palas (Fine dust measurement device Fidas® 200) (2020) https://www.palas.de/en/product/fidas200s. Accessed in 2020

  • Pio C, Cerqueira M, Harrison RM, Nunes T, Mirante F, Alves C, Oliveira C, Sanchez de la Campa A, Artíñano B, Matos M (2011) OC/EC ratio observations in Europe: re-thinking the approach for apportionment between primary and secondary organic carbon. Atmos Environ 45:6121–6132

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Qi C, Zhou W, Lu X, Luo H, Pham BT, Yaseen ZM (2020) Particulate matter concentration from open-cut coal mines: a hybrid machine learning estimation. Environ Pollut 263:114517

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Racherla PN, Adams PJ (2006) Sensitivity of global tropospheric ozone and fine particulate matter concentrations to climate change. J Geophys Res 111:1–11

    Google Scholar 

  • Ranjini SKS, Murugan S (2017) Memory based hybrid dragonfly algorithm for numerical optimization problems. Expert Syst Appl 83:63–78

    Google Scholar 

  • Sarti E, Pasti L, Scaroni I, Casali P, Cavazzini A, Rossi M (2017) Determination of n-alkanes, PAHs and nitro-PAHs in PM2.5 and PM1 sampled in the surroundings of a municipal waste incinerator. Atmos Environ 149:12–23

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sayed GI, Tharwat A, Hassanien AE (2019) Chaotic dragonfly algorithm: an improved metaheuristic algorithm for feature selection. Appl Intell 49:188–205

    Google Scholar 

  • Scholkopf B, Smola AJ (2001) Learning with kernels: support vector machines, regularization, optimization, and beyond. The MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Shen GF, Yuan SY, Xie YN, Xia SJ, Li L, Yao YK, Qiao YZ, Zhang J, Zhao QY, Ding AJ, Li B, Wu HS (2014) Ambient levels and temporal variations of PM 2.5 and PM 10 at a residential site in the mega-city, Nanjing, in the western Yangtze River Delta, China. J Environ Sci Health A 49:171–178

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sun W, Sun J (2017) Daily PM 2.5 concentration prediction based on principal component analysis and LSSVM optimized by cuckoo search algorithm. J Environ Manag 188:144–152

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Suresh V, Sreejith S (2017) Generation dispatch of combined solar thermal systems using dragonfly algorithm. Computing 99:59–80

    Google Scholar 

  • Suykens JAK, Vandewalle J (1998) Nonlinear Modeling. Springer, US

    Google Scholar 

  • Talbi A, Kerchich Y, Kerbachi R, Boughedaoui M (2018) Assessment of annual air pollution levels with PM1, PM2.5, PM10 and associated heavy metals in Algiers, Algeria. Environ Pollut 232:252–263

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tang Z, Chai M, Cheng J, Jin J, Yang Y, Nie Z, Huang Q, Li Y (2017) Contamination and health risks of heavy metals in street dust from a coal-mining city in eastern China. Ecotoxicol Environ Saf 138:83–91

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tao Y, Yan H, Gao H, Sun Y, Li G (2019) Application of SVR optimized by modified simulated annealing (MSA-SVR) air conditioning load prediction model. J Ind Inf Integr 15:247–251

    Google Scholar 

  • Tharwat A, Gabel T, Hassanien A E (2018) Parameter optimization of support vector machine using dragonfly algorithm. Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Advanced Intelligent Systems and Informatics, September 9-11, 2017, Cairo, Egypt, pp 309–319

  • Tsai P-J, Young L-H, Hwang B-F, Lin M-Y, Chen Y-C, Hsu H-T (2020) Source and health risk apportionment for PM2.5 collected in Sha-Lu area, Taiwan. Atmos Pollut Res 11:851–858

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Vapnik VN (1995) The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory. Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Vapnik VN (1998) Statistical learning theory. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Ventura LMB, de Oliveira Pinto F, Soares LM, Luna AS, Gioda A (2019) Forecast of daily PM2.5 concentrations applying artificial neural networks and Holt–Winters models. Air Qual Atmos Health 12:317–325

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Wang W, Ren L, Zhang Y, Chen J, Liu H, Bao L, Fan S, Tang D (2008) Aircraft measurements of gaseous pollutants and particulate matter over Pearl River Delta in China. Atmos Environ 42:6187–6202

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang Z, Hong W-C (2019) Electric load forecasting by complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition adaptive noise and support vector regression with quantum-based dragonfly algorithm. Nonlinear Dyn 98:1107–1136

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang X, Wang P, Liang D, Fan C, Li C (2015) A soft self-repairing for FBG sensor network in SHM system based on PSO–SVR model reconstruction. Opt Commun 343:38–46

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang L, Lin J, Qiu R, Hu X, Zhang H, Chen Q, Tan H, Lin D, Wang J (2018) Trend analysis and forecast of PM2.5 in Fuzhou, China using the ARIMA model. Ecol Indic 95:702–710

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang A, Zhang P, Feng Y (2019a) Short-term load forecasting for microgrids based on DA-SVM. COMPEL Int J Comput Math Electr Electron Eng 38:68–80

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang Z, Ding S, Jia W (2019b) A hybrid optimization algorithm based on cuckoo search and differential evolution for solving constrained engineering problems. Eng Appl Artif Intell 85:254–268

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang Z, Ding S, Sun Y (2020) A support vector regression model hybridized with chaotic krill herd algorithm and empirical mode decomposition for regression task. Neurocomputing 410:185–201

    Google Scholar 

  • Zheng Z, Xu G, Li Q, Chen C, Li J (2019) Effect of precipitation on reducing atmospheric pollutant over Beijing. Atmos Pollut Res 10:1443–1453

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhu S, Lian X, Wei L, Che J, Shen X, Yang L, Qiu X, Liu X, Gao W, Ren X, Li J (2018) PM2.5 forecasting using SVR with PSOGSA algorithm based on CEEMD, GRNN and GCA considering meteorological factors. Atmos Environ 183:20–32

    CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Abdellah Ibrir.

Ethics declarations

Conflicts of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Code availability

We used the MATLAB software for modeling fine particulate matter (PM) concentrations through our dragonfly code coupled with Support Vector Machine (DA-SVM).

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Electronic supplementary material

ESM 1

(DOCX 2354 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ibrir, A., Kerchich, Y., Hadidi, N. et al. Prediction of the concentrations of PM1, PM2.5, PM4, and PM10 by using the hybrid dragonfly-SVM algorithm. Air Qual Atmos Health 14, 313–323 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11869-020-00936-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11869-020-00936-1

Keywords

Navigation