Abstract
Results from an analysis of the frequency of tropical cyclones, the probability of their transformation into extratropical cyclones, and their trends in different oceanic basins of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres on the basis of observations over the period from 1970 to 2019 are presented. Significant trends in the increase in the transformation frequency of tropical cyclones into extratropical for the Earth as a whole have been noted. The specific features of different oceanic basins of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres are manifested. In particular, a significant increase in the frequency of the transformation events was observed for the northwestern water area of the Pacific Ocean, where the cyclones hit in the coastal extratropical regions of Eurasia, including the Far East. Against the background of this general trend, significant variations are manifested for different phases of the El Niño phenomenon.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Similar content being viewed by others
REFERENCES
Hydrometeorological Hazards, Ed. by G. S. Golitsyn and A. A. Vasil’ev (KRUK, Moscow, 2001) [in Russian].
G. S. Golitsyn, P. F. Demchenko, I. I. Mokhov, and S. G. Priputnev, Dokl. Earth Sci. 366 (4), 537–543 (1999).
E. M. Dobryshman and M. E. Makarova, Meteorol. Gidrol., No. 6, 49–58 (2004).
Intense Atmospheric Vortices and Their Dynamics, Ed. by I. I. Mokhov, M. V. Kurgansky, and O. G. Chkhetiani (GEOS, Moscow, 2018) [in Russian].
P. M. Klein, P. A. Harr, and R. L. Elsberry, Weather Forecasting 15, 373–395 (2000).
S. C. Jones, P. A. Harr, J. Abraham, L. F. Bosart, P. J. Bowyer, J. L. Evans, D. E. Hanley, B. N. Hanstrum, R. E. Hart, F. Lalaurette, M. R. Sinclair, R. K. Smith, and C. Thorncroft, Weather Forecasting 18 (6), 1052–1092 (2003).
N. Kitabatake, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. 89 (4), 309–325 (2011).
I. I. Mokhov, E. M. Dobryshman, and M. E. Makarova, Dokl. Earth Sci. 454 (2), 59–64 (2014).
C. Evans, K. M. Wood, S. D. Aberson, et al., Mon. Weather Rev. 145, 4317–4344 (2017).
M. Liu, G. A. Vecchi, J. A. Smith, and H. Murakami, J. Clim. 30, 2739–2756 (2017).
A. I. Neushkin, N. S. Sidorenkov, A. T. Sanina, T. B. Ivanova, T. V. Berezhnaya, N. V. Pankratenko, and M. E. Makarova, Monitoring of General Atmospheric Circulations. Northern Hemisphere. Handbook (All-Russ. Res. Inst. Hydrometeorol. Inform.—World Data Centre, Obninsk, 2012) [in Russian].
T. G. Ivanidze, M. E. Makarova, and T. V. Berezhnaya, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 41 (5), 652 (2005).
B. Wang and J. C. L. Chan, J. Clim. 15 (13), 1643–1658 (2002).
I. I. Mokhov, A. V. Eliseev, and D. V. Khvorostyanov, Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 36 (6), 681–691, (2000).
I. I. Mokhov, D. V. Khvorostyanov, and A. V. Eliseev, Int. J. Climatol. 24, 401–414 (2004).
Funding
The study of the transition of tropical to extratropical cyclones was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, project no. 17-29-05098. The study of tropical cyclones in connection to El Niño events was supported by the Russian Science Foundation, project no. 19-17-00240.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Translated by V. Krutikova
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Mokhov, I.I., Makarova, M.E. & Poroshenko, A.G. Tropical Cyclones and Their Transformation into Extratropical: Estimates of the Half-Century Trends. Dokl. Earth Sc. 493, 552–557 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X20070107
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X20070107