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International Journal of Wildland Fire International Journal of Wildland Fire Society
Journal of the International Association of Wildland Fire
RESEARCH ARTICLE (Open Access)

Forest fires in Mexico: an approach to estimate fire probabilities

Luis Galván A C and Víctor Magaña B
+ Author Affiliations
- Author Affiliations

A Posgrado en Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City 04510, Mexico.

B Instituto de Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City 04510, Mexico.

C Corresponding author. Email: cohuatl09@gmail.com

International Journal of Wildland Fire 29(9) 753-763 https://doi.org/10.1071/WF19057
Submitted: 11 April 2019  Accepted: 2 May 2020   Published: 3 June 2020

Journal Compilation © CSIRO 2020 Open Access CC BY-NC-ND

Abstract

The probabilities of forest fires in Mexico are estimated using information on precipitation and temperature, along with data on type of vegetation, human activities near forests and fire prevention policies. The proposed model addresses the factors that account for extreme wildfire hazard, and may provide a basis for fire prevention actions, reducing vulnerability factors.

Additional keywords: climate, drought, natural hazard, vulnerability.


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