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Uncertainty representation and information measurement of grey numbers

Nanlei Chen (College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China)
Naiming Xie (College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China)

Grey Systems: Theory and Application

ISSN: 2043-9377

Article publication date: 20 May 2020

Issue publication date: 16 October 2020

183

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to propose an uncertainty representation and information measurement method for characterizing grey numbers, estimating their internal laws and solving how to generate them based on available information data in the real world.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper attempts to present a new mathematical methodology in the field of grey numbers. The generalized grey number is defined at first with the concept of information elements and information samples. Then, the probability function of a grey number is proposed to describe the internal law of the grey number. By finding the feasible information elements from information samples, the probability calculation method for the true value of a grey number is presented. Finally, some numerical examples and comparisons are carried out to assess the efficiency and performance.

Findings

The results show that the uncertainty representation and information measurement method is effective in characterizing and quantifying grey numbers based on available information data.

Practical implications

Uncertain information is widespread in practical applications. In this manuscript, the grey number is represented and its information is measured through some existing data in discrete or interval forms, which provides a grey information concept that utilizes information elements to represent uncertainty in the real world.

Originality/value

The proposal presents a novel data-driven method to generate a grey number representation from available data rather than the classical whitening weight function constructed from experience, and the dynamic evolution process of a grey number is measured by the increase of information samples.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant 71671090, Joint Research Project of Both the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Royal Society of UK under grant 71811530338, China Scholarship Council, Aeronautical Science Foundation of China under grant 2016ZG52068, Qinglan Project for excellent youth or middle-aged academic leaders in Jiangsu Province, China, and Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities of China under grant NP2018466.

Citation

Chen, N. and Xie, N. (2020), "Uncertainty representation and information measurement of grey numbers", Grey Systems: Theory and Application, Vol. 10 No. 4, pp. 495-512. https://doi.org/10.1108/GS-01-2020-0009

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited

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