Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Nexus between natural and technical disaster shocks, resource depletion and growth-specific factors: evidence from quantile regression

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The objective of the study is to examine the impact of natural disasters on environmental resource depletion in a context of Pakistan by using a consistent time series data from 1975 to 2016. The results of quantile regression confirm that both the natural and technical disaster degrade the environment in the form of forest depletion, mineral depletion and energy resource depletion at different quantile distributions. Further, FDI inflows and per capita income deteriorate natural environment through unsustainable mode of production in a country. The results emphasized the need to make an efficient disaster management unit to minimize economic losses through large-scale information and communication technologies. The results conclude that natural resources globally are being consumed faster than the speed of restoration. Worse is the case in Pakistan. As such the Government should make a systematic methodology to identify the protectoral functions within the communities for safeguarding and reestablishing these natural resources.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Source: Self extract

Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Adeagbo A, Daramola A, Carim-Sanni A, Akujobi C, Ukpong C (2016) Effects of natural disasters on social and economic well-being: a study in Nigeria. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct 17:1–12

    Google Scholar 

  • Ahmed K, Ozturk I, Ghumro IA, Mukesh P (2019) Effect of trade on ecological quality: a case of D-8 countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26(35):35935–35944

    Google Scholar 

  • Ali SM, Khalid B, Akhter A, Islam A, Adnan S (2020) Analyzing the occurrence of floods and droughts in connection with climate change in Punjab province, Pakistan. Nat Hazards. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04095-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aswani S, Hamilton RJ (2004) Integrating indigenous ecological knowledge and customary sea tenure with marine and social science for conservation of bumphead parrotfish (Bolbometopon muricatum) in the Roviana Lagoon, Solomon Islands. Environ Conserv 31(1):69–83

    Google Scholar 

  • Awan U (2020) Industrial ecology in support of sustainable development goals. In: Leal Filho W, Azul AM, Brandli L, Özuyar PG, Wall T (eds) Responsible consumption and production. Encyclopedia of the UN sustainable development goals. Springer, Cham

    Google Scholar 

  • Awan U, Kraslawski A, Huiskonen J (2018) Governing interfirm relationships for social sustainability: the relationship between governance mechanisms, sustainable collaboration, and cultural intelligence. Sustainability 10(12):4473

    Google Scholar 

  • Benali N, Abdelkafi I, Feki R (2018) Natural-disaster shocks and government’s behavior: evidence from middle-income countries. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct 27:1–6

    Google Scholar 

  • Blaikie P, Cannon T, Davis I, Wisner B (2004) At risk: natural hazards, people’s vulnerability and disasters. Routledge, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Boustan LP, Kahn ME, Rhode PW, Yanguas ML (2020) The effect of natural disasters on economic activity in US counties: a century of data. J Urban Econ 118:103257

    Google Scholar 

  • Bowonder B (1983) Forest depletion: some policy options. Resour Policy 9(3):206–224

    Google Scholar 

  • Brown O, Crawford A, Hammill A (2006) Natural disasters and resource rights building resilience, rebuilding lives. International Institute for Sustainable Development, Winnipeg

    Google Scholar 

  • Carolwicz M (1996) Nature hazards need not lead to natural disasters. EOS 77(16):149–153

    Google Scholar 

  • Cavallo EA, Noy I (2009) The economics of natural disasters: a survey or online available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1817217. Accessed on 15 July 2018

  • Chakravarty S, Ghosh SK, Suresh CP, Dey AN, Shukla G (2012) Deforestation: causes, effects and control strategies. In: Clement AO (ed) Global perspectives on sustainable forest management. InTech, Rijeka

    Google Scholar 

  • Chandio AA, Magsi H, Ozturk I (2020) Examining the effects of climate change on rice production: case study of Pakistan. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27(8):7812–7822

    Google Scholar 

  • Chenault EA, Parsons G (1998) Drought worse than 96; cotton crop’s one of worst ever. http://agnews.tamu.edu/stories/AGEC/AugI998a.htm. Accessed on 7 Oct 2017

  • Chu TTH (2017) Natural disaster, catastrophe and environmental protection in Vietnam. J Vietnam Environ 8(1):1–3

    Google Scholar 

  • Coulibaly T, Islam M, Managi S (2020) The impacts of climate change and natural disasters on agriculture in African countries. Econ Disasters Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-019-00057-9

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cunado J, Ferreira S (2014) The macroeconomic impacts of natural disasters: the case of floods. Land Econ 90(1):149–168

    Google Scholar 

  • Doytch N, Uctum M (2016) Globalization and the environmental impact of sectoral FDI. Econ Syst 40(4):582–594

    Google Scholar 

  • Duclos P, Sanderson LM, Lipsett M (1990) The 1987 forest fire disaster in California: assessment of emergency room visits. Arch Environ Health Int J 45(1):53–58

    Google Scholar 

  • EM-DAT (2017) The international Disaster Database. Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters—CRED. Emergency Events Database, Brussels, Belgium

  • EPA (1991) U.S. environmental protection agency: 1991 management control plan. The United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C

  • Escaleras M, Register CA (2011) Natural disasters and foreign direct investment. Land Econ 87(2):346–363

    Google Scholar 

  • Fang J, Lau CKM, Lu Z, Wu W, Zhu L (2019) Natural disasters, climate change, and their impact on inclusive wealth in G20 countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26(2):1455–1463

    Google Scholar 

  • Fischer AP (2018) Pathways of adaptation to external stressors in coastal natural-resource-dependent communities: implications for climate change. World Dev 108:235–248

    Google Scholar 

  • Freedy JR, Shaw DL, Jarrell MP, Masters CR (1992) Towards an understanding of the psychological impact of natural disasters: an application of the conservation resources stress model. J Trauma Stress 5(3):441–454

    Google Scholar 

  • Gaillard JC, Liamzon CC, Villanueva JD (2007) ‘Natural’disaster? A retrospect into the causes of the late-2004 typhoon disaster in Eastern Luzon, Philippines. Environ Hazards 7(4):257–270

    Google Scholar 

  • Gallina V, Torresan S, Critto A, Sperotto A, Glade T, Marcomini A (2016) A review of multi-risk methodologies for natural hazards: consequences and challenges for a climate change impact assessment. J Environ Manag 168:123–132

    Google Scholar 

  • Gill DA, Picou JS (1998) Technological disaster and chronic community stress. Soc Nat Resour 11(8):795–815

    Google Scholar 

  • Goldemberg J (1998) Leapfrog energy technologies. Energy Policy 26(10):729–741

    Google Scholar 

  • Gopalakrishnan S, Landry CE, Smith MD (2017) Climate change adaptation in coastal environments: modeling challenges for resource and environmental economists. Rev Environ Econ Policy 12(1):48–68

    Google Scholar 

  • Green TH (1994) Experimental studies of trace-element partitioning applicable to igneous petrogenesis—Sedona 16 years later. Chem Geol 117(1–4):1–36

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossman GM, Krueger AB (1995) Economic growth and the environment. Q J Econ 110(2):353–377

    Google Scholar 

  • Guha-Sapir D, Van Panhuis WG, Lagoutte J (2007) Patterns of chronic and acute diseases after natural disasters—a study from the International Committee of the Red Cross field hospital in Banda Aceh after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. Trop Med Int Health 12(11):1338–1341

    Google Scholar 

  • Hammill A, Brown O, Crawford A (2005) Forests, natural disasters and human security. Arborvitae (IUCN/WWF For Conserv Newsl) 27:8–9

    Google Scholar 

  • Hodges CA (1995) Mineral resources, environmental issues, and land use. Science 268(5215):1305–1312

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (2012) Determinants of risk: exposure and vulnerability. Intergovernmental panel on climate change, https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srex/SREX-Chap2_FINAL.pdf. Accessed on 21 Feb 2018

  • Israel DC, Briones RM (2012) Impacts of natural disasters on agriculture, food security, and natural resources and environment in the Philippines (No. 2012-36). PIDS discussion paper series

  • Iwata K, Ito Y, Managi S (2014) Public and private mitigation for natural disasters in Japan. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct 7:39–50

    Google Scholar 

  • Kahn ME (2005) The death toll from natural disasters: the role of income, geography, and institutions. Rev Econ Stat 87(2):271–284

    Google Scholar 

  • Kapur R (2016) Natural resources and environmental issues. J Ecosyst Ecogr 6(196):1–2

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaya M (2001) Environmental impacts of mineral resource exploitation and use. In: 17th international mining congress and exhibition of Turkey-IMCET, ISBN, pp 975–395

  • Khan KA, Zaman K, Shoukry AM, Sharkawy A, Gani S, Ahmad J, Khan A, Hishan SS (2019) Natural disasters and economic losses: controlling external migration, energy and environmental resources, water demand, and financial development for global prosperity. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26(14):14287–14299

    Google Scholar 

  • Khayyam U (2020) Floods: impacts on livelihood, economic status and poverty in the north-west region of Pakistan. Nat Hazards 102:1033–1056

    Google Scholar 

  • Klomp J (2016) Economic development and natural disasters: a satellite data analysis. Glob Environ Chang 36:67–88

    Google Scholar 

  • Klomp J, Hoogezand B (2018) Natural disasters and agricultural protection: a panel data analysis. World Dev 104:404–417

    Google Scholar 

  • Knez I, Butler A, Sang ÅO, Ångman E, Sarlöv-Herlin I, Åkerskog A (2018) Before and after a natural disaster: disruption in emotion component of place-identity and wellbeing. J Environ Psychol 55:11–17

    Google Scholar 

  • Koenker R, Bassett G Jr (1978) Regression quantiles. Econom J Econom Soc 46(1):33–50

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee HY, Wu HC, Wang YJ (2007) Contagion effect in financial markets after the South-East Asia Tsunami. Res Int Bus Finance 21(2):281–296

    Google Scholar 

  • Lindell MK, Prater CS (2003) Assessing community impacts of natural disasters. Nat Hazards Rev 4(4):176–185

    Google Scholar 

  • Long MA, Stretesky PB, Lynch MJ (2017) Foreign direct investment, ecological withdrawals, and natural-resource-dependent economies. Soc Nat Resour 30(10):1261–1276

    Google Scholar 

  • Mabey N, McNally R (1999) Foreign direct investment and the environment. WWF-UK, Godalming

    Google Scholar 

  • Marfai MA, King L, Singh LP, Mardiatno D, Sartohadi J, Hadmoko DS, Dewi A (2008) Natural hazards in Central Java Province, Indonesia: an overview. Environ Geol 56(2):335–351

    Google Scholar 

  • Masozera M, Bailey M, Kerchner C (2007) Distribution of impacts of natural disasters across income groups: a case study of New Orleans. Ecol Econ 63(2–3):299–306

    Google Scholar 

  • Meinert LD, Robinson GR, Nassar NT (2016) Mineral resources: reserves, peak production and the future. Resources 5(1):14. https://doi.org/10.3390/resources5010014

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miao Q, Chen C, Lu Y, Abrigo M (2020) Natural disasters and financial implications for subnational governments: evidence from China. Public Finance Rev 48(1):72–101

    Google Scholar 

  • Munang R, Thiaw I, Alverson K, Mumba M, Liu J, Rivington M (2013) Climate change and ecosystem-based adaptation: a new pragmatic approach to buffering climate change impacts. Curr Opin Environ Sustain 5(1):67–71

    Google Scholar 

  • Nel P, Righarts M (2008) Natural disasters and the risk of violent civil conflict. Int Stud Quart 52(1):159–185

    Google Scholar 

  • Neumayer E, Plümper T (2007) The gendered nature of natural disasters: the impact of catastrophic events on the gender gap in life expectancy, 1981–2002. Ann As Am Geogr 97(3):551–566

    Google Scholar 

  • Nguyen HR, Ngo QT, Nguyen ND (2018) Effects of natural disaster on rice production at farm level: new evidence from Vietnam. Agris On-Line Pap Econ Inform 10(1):37–49

    Google Scholar 

  • Ojha A, Pattnaik AK, Rout J (2018) Climate change impacts on natural resources and communities: a geospatial approach for management. Lakes Reserv Res Manag 23(1):34–42

    Google Scholar 

  • Okuyama N, Inaba Y (2017) Influence of natural disasters on social engagement and post-disaster well-being: the case of the Great East Japan Earthquake. Jpn World Econ 44:1–13

    Google Scholar 

  • Peduzzi P, Henderson W, Hartigan P, Lavori P (2002) Analysis of randomized controlled trials. Epidemiol Rev 24(1):26–38

    Google Scholar 

  • Pelling M, Uitto JI (2001) Small island developing states: natural disaster vulnerability and global change. Glob Environ Change Part B Environ Hazards 3(2):49–62

    Google Scholar 

  • Qureshi MI, Yusoff RM, Hishan SS, Alam AF, Zaman K, Rasli AM (2019) Natural disasters and Malaysian economic growth: policy reforms for disasters management. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26(15):15496–15509

    Google Scholar 

  • Rajapaksa D, Islam M, Managi S (2017) Natural capital depletion: the impact of natural disasters on inclusive growth. Econ Disasters Climate Change 1(3):233–244

    Google Scholar 

  • Reed MS (2008) Stakeholder participation for environmental management: a literature review. Biol Conserv 141(10):2417–2431

    Google Scholar 

  • Rehman MA, Hashmi N, Siddiqui BN, Afzal A, Zaffar A, Masud K, Adeel M, Khan MR, Dawood KM, Shah SAA (2017) Climate change and its effect on crop and livestock productivity: farmers’ perception of Rajanpur, Pakistan. Int J Adv Res Biol Sci 4(4):30–36

    Google Scholar 

  • Richardson B (1994) Socio-technical disasters: profile and prevalence. Disaster Prev Manag Int J 3(4):41–69

    Google Scholar 

  • Robinson TD, Oliveira TM, Kayden S (2017) Factors affecting the United Nations’ response to natural disasters: what determines the allocation of the Central Emergency Response Fund? Disasters 41(4):631–648

    Google Scholar 

  • Rubonis AV, Bickman L (1991) Psychological impairment in the wake of disaster: the disaster–psychopathology relationship. Psychol Bull 109(3):384–399

    Google Scholar 

  • Rudnick H (2011) Impact of natural disasters on electricity supply [guest editorial]. IEEE Power Energy Mag 9(2):22–26

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharif A, Dogan E, Aman A, Khan HHA, Zaighum I (2020) Rare disaster and renewable energy in the USA: new insights from wavelet coherence and rolling-window analysis. Nat Hazards. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04100-x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Siwedza S, Shava S (2020) Insurance, increasing natural disaster risks and the SDGs: a focus on Southern Africa. In: Nhamo G, Odularu G, Mjimba V (eds) Scaling up SDGs implementation. Springer, Cham, pp 129–138

    Google Scholar 

  • Skidmore M, Toya H (2002) Do natural disasters promote long-run growth? Econ Inq 40(4):664–687

    Google Scholar 

  • Sodhi MS (2016) Natural disasters, the economy and population vulnerability as a vicious cycle with exogenous hazards. J Oper Manag 45:101–113

    Google Scholar 

  • Suda CA (2000) Natural disaster preparedness, environmental degradation and sustainable development in Kenya. Afr Study Monogr 21(3):91–103

    Google Scholar 

  • Townsend F (2006) The federal response to Hurricane Katrina: lessons learned. U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Toya H, Skidmore M (2007) Economic development and the impacts of natural disasters. Econ Lett 94(1):20–25

    Google Scholar 

  • Tyler J (2016) Sustainable hazard mitigation: exploring the importance of green infrastructure in building disaster resilient communities. Consilience 15:134–145

    Google Scholar 

  • Ward P (2006) Out of thin air: dinosaurs, birds, and Earth’s ancient atmosphere. National Academies Press, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Watson JT, Gayer M, Connolly MA (2007) Epidemics after natural disasters. Emerg Infect Dis 13(1):1–5

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilhite DA (2000) Chapter 1 Drought as a natural hazard: concepts and definitions. Drought Mitigation Center Faculty Publications, 69. http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/droughtfacpub/69. Accessed on 20 July 2018

  • World Bank (2017) World development indicator. World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang S, Hu T, Li J, Cheng C, Song M, Xu B, Baležentis T (2019) The effects of energy price, technology, and disaster shocks on China’s Energy-Environment-Economy system. J Clean Prod 207:204–213

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhou L, Wu X, Xu Z, Fujita H (2018) Emergency decision making for natural disasters: an overview. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct 27:567–576

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

Researchers Supporting Project Number (RSP-2020/87), King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Khalid Zaman.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Akhter, W., Zaman, K., Nassani, A.A. et al. Nexus between natural and technical disaster shocks, resource depletion and growth-specific factors: evidence from quantile regression. Nat Hazards 104, 143–169 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04163-w

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04163-w

Keywords

Navigation