Abstract
The continuous shift of shoreline boundaries due to natural or anthropogenic events has created the necessity to monitor the shoreline boundaries regularly. This study investigates the perspective of implementing artificial intelligence techniques to model and predict the realignment in shoreline along the eastern Indian coast of Orissa (now called Odisha). The modeling consists of analyzing the satellite images and corresponding reanalysis data of the coastline. The satellite images (Landsat imagery) of the Orissa coastline were analyzed using edge detection filters, mainly Sobel and Canny. Sobel and canny filters use edge detection techniques to extract essential information from satellite images. Edge detection reduces the volume of data and filters out worthless information while securing significant structural features of satellite images. The image differencing technique is used to determine the shoreline shift from GIS images (Landsat imagery). The shoreline shift dataset obtained from the GIS image is used together with the metrological dataset extracted from Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2, and tide and wave parameter obtained from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast for the period 1985–2015, as input parameter in machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict the shoreline shift. Artificial neural network (ANN), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), and support vector machine (SVM) algorithm are used as a ML model in the present study. The ML model contains weights that are multiplied with relevant inputs/features to obtain a better prediction. The analysis shows wind speed and wave height are the most prominent features in shoreline shift prediction. The model’s performance was compared, and the observed result suggests that the ANN model outperforms the KNN and SVM model with an accuracy of 86.2%.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Acharjya PP, Das R, Ghoshal D (2012) Study and comparison of different edge detectors for image segmentation. Glob J Comput Sci Technol 12:29–32
Afzal MS, Bihs H, Kumar L (2020) Computational fluid dynamics modeling of abutment scour under steady current using the level set method. Int J Sediment Res 35:355–364
Ahangarha M, Seydi ST, Shahhoseini R (2019) Hyperspectral change detection in wetland and water-body areas based on machine learning. In: International archives of the photogrammetry, remote sensing & spatial information sciences, geospatial conference 2019—joint conferences of SMPR and GI research, vol XLII-4/W18, pp 19–24
Ahmadian AS, Simons RR (2018) Estimation of nearshore wave transmission for submerged breakwaters using a data-driven predictive model. Neural Comput Appl 29(10):705–719
Alesheikh AA, Ghorbanali A, Nouri N (2007) Coastline change detection using remote sensing. Int J Environ Sci Technol 4(1):61–66
Alexakis DD, Agapiou A, Hadjimitsis DG, Retalis A (2012) Optimizing statistical classification accuracy of satellite remotely sensed imagery for supporting fast flood hydrological analysis. Acta Geophys 60(3):959–984
Altman NS (1992) An introduction to kernel and nearest-neighbor nonparametric regression. Am Stat 46(3):175–185
Arce-Medina E, Paz-Paredes JI (2009) Artificial neural network modeling techniques applied to the hydrodesulfurization process. Math Comput Model 49(1–2):207–214
Bagheri M, Ibrahim ZZ, Mansor SB, Manaf LA, Badarulzaman N, Vaghefi N (2019) Shoreline change analysis and erosion prediction using historical data of Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia. Environ Earth Sci 78(15):477
Barman NK, Chatterjee S, Khan A et al (2014) Trends of shoreline position: an approach to future prediction for Balasore shoreline, Odisha, India. Open J Mar Sci 5(01):13
Bazile R, Boucher MA, Perreault L, Leconte R (2017) Verification of ECMWF system 4 for seasonal hydrological forecasting in a northern climate. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 21(11):5747
Bosilovich MG, Chen J, Robertson FR, Adler RF (2008) Evaluation of global precipitation in reanalyses. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 47(9):2279–2299
Bosilovich MG, Robertson FR, Takacs L, Molod A, Mocko D (2017) Atmospheric water balance and variability in the MERRA-2 reanalysis. J Clim 30(4):1177–1196
Bouguerra H, Tachi SE, Derdous O, Bouanani A, Khanchoul K (2019) Suspended sediment discharge modeling during flood events using two different artificial neural network algorithms. Acta Geophys 67(6):1649–1660
Bruun P (1962) Sea-level rise as a cause of shore erosion. J Waterw Harb Div 88(1):117–132
Canny JF (1986) A theory of edge detection. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell 8:147–163
Chalabi A, Mohd-Lokman H, Mohd-Suffian I, Karamali K, Karthigeyan V, Masita M (2006) Monitoring shoreline change using ikonos image and aerial photographs: a case study of kuala terengganu area, Malaysia. In: ISPRS Commission VII mid-term symposium “Remote sensing: from pixels to processes”, Enschede, The Netherlands, pp 8–11
Chudzian P (2011) Radial basis function kernel optimization for pattern classification. In: Burduk R, Kurzyński M, Woźniak M, Żołnierek A (eds) Computer recognition systems, vol 4. Springer, Berlin, pp 99–108
Coltori M (1997) Human impact in the holocene fluvial and coastal evolution of the Marche region, central Italy. Catena 30(4):311–335
Cortes C, Vapnik V (1995) Support-vector networks. Mach Learn 20(3):273–297
Dada OA, Agbaje AO, Adesina RB, Asiwaju-Bello YA (2019) Effect of coastal land use change on coastline dynamics along the Nigerian Transgressive Mahin mud coast. Ocean Coast Manag 168:251–264
De Jong SM, Van der Meer FD (2007) Remote sensing image analysis: including the spatial domain, vol 5. Springer, Berlin
de Rosnay P, Munoz-Sabater J, Albergel C, Isaksen L, English S, Drusch M, Wigneron JP (2020) SMOS brightness temperature forward modelling and long term monitoring at ECMWF. Remote Sens Environ 237(111):424
Dee DP, Uppala SM, Simmons A, Berrisford P, Poli P, Kobayashi S, Andrae U, Balmaseda M, Balsamo G, Bauer DP et al (2011) The era-interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q J R Meteorol Soc 137(656):553–597
Dellepiane S, De Laurentiis R, Giordano F (2004) Coastline extraction from sar images and a method for the evaluation of the coastline precision. Pattern Recogn Lett 25(13):1461–1470
Di Silvio G, Nones M (2014) Morphodynamic reaction of a schematic river to sediment input changes: analytical approaches. Geomorphology 215:74–82
Dickens K, Armstrong A (2019) Application of machine learning in satellite derived bathymetry and coastline detection. SMU Data Sci Rev 2(1):1–25
Dolan R, Fenster MS, Holme SJ (1991) Temporal analysis of shoreline recession and accretion. J Coast Res 7:723–744
Dutta D, Mandal A, Afzal MS (2020) Discharge performance of plan view of multi-cycle w-form and circular arc labyrinth weir using machine learning. Flow Meas Instrum 73:101740
ECMWF (2018) European centre for medium-range weather forecasts. https://www.ecmwf.int/en/research/modelling-and-prediction/marine
Elko N, Sallenger A, Guy K, Stockdon H, Morgan K (2002) Barrier island elevations relevant to potential storm impacts: 1. Techniques. US Geological Survey Open File Report, pp 02–287
Esteves LS, Williams JJ, Dillenburg SR (2006) Seasonal and interannual influences on the patterns of shoreline changes in Rio Grande do Sul, southern Brazil. J Coast Res 22:1076–1093
Fadel S, Ghoniemy S, Abdallah M, Sorra HA, Ashour A, Ansary A (2016) Investigating the effect of different kernel functions on the performance of SVM for recognizing Arabic characters. Int J Adv Comput Sci Appl 7(1):446–450
Garg A, Huang H, Kushvaha V, Madhushri P, Kamchoom V, Wani I, Koshy N, Zhu HH (2019) Mechanism of biochar soil pore–gas–water interaction: gas properties of biochar-amended sandy soil at different degrees of compaction using knn modeling. Acta Geophys 68:207–217
Gatys LA, Ecker AS, Bethge M (2015) A neural algorithm of artistic style. arXiv:150806576
Gazi AH, Afzal MS (2020) A new mathematical model to calculate the equilibrium scour depth around a pier. Acta Geophys 68(1):181–187
Gazi AH, Afzal MS, Dey S (2019) Scour around piers under waves: current status of research and its future prospect. Water 11(11):2212
Gelaro R, McCarty W, Molod A, Suarez M, Takacs L, Todling R (2014) The NASA modern era reanalysis for research and applications, Version-2 (MERRA-2). AGUFM 2014:NG32A–01
Gelaro R, McCarty W, Suárez MJ, Todling R, Molod A, Takacs L, Randles CA, Darmenov A, Bosilovich MG, Reichle R et al (2017) The modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications, version 2 (merra-2). J Clim 30(14):5419–5454
Govindaraju RS (2000) Artificial neural networks in hydrology. i: preliminary concepts. J Hydrol Eng 5(2):115–123. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2000)5:2(115)
Govindaraju RS (2000) Artificial neural networks in hydrology. ii: hydrologic applications. J Hydrol Eng 5(2):124–137. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2000)5:2(124)
Green B (2002) Canny edge detection tutorial. Retrieved 6 Mar 2005
Gregory K (2004) River channel management. Hodder Education, London
Guerrero M, Latosinski F, Nones M, Szupiany RN, Re M, Gaeta MG (2015) A sediment fluxes investigation for the 2-d modelling of large river morphodynamics. Adv Water Resour 81:186–198
Gunawardena Y, Ilic S, Pinkerton H, Romanowicz R (2009) Nonlinear transfer function modelling of beach morphology at Duck, North Carolina. Coast Eng 56(1):46–58
Gunn SR et al (1998) Support vector machines for classification and regression. ISIS Tech Rep 14(1):5–16
Halpern BS, McLeod KL, Rosenberg AA, Crowder LB (2008) Managing for cumulative impacts in ecosystem-based management through ocean zoning. Ocean Coast Manag 51(3):203–211
Harley MD, Kinsela MA, Sánchez-García E, Vos K (2019) Shoreline change mapping using crowd-sourced smartphone images. Coast Eng 150:175–189
Hashemi M, Ghadampour Z, Neill S (2010) Using an artificial neural network to model seasonal changes in beach profiles. Ocean Eng 37(14–15):1345–1356
Houser C, Hapke C, Hamilton S (2008) Controls on coastal dune morphology, shoreline erosion and barrier island response to extreme storms. Geomorphology 100(3–4):223–240
Howarth PJ, Wickware GM (1981) Procedures for change detection using landsat digital data. Int J Remote Sens 2(3):277–291
Hsu HH, Hoskins BJ (1989) Tidal fluctuations as seen in ECMWF data. Q J R Meteorol Soc 115(486):247–264
Hsu CW, Chang CC, Lin CJ et al (2003) A practical guide to support vector classification. Department of Computer Science National Taiwan University
Hu LY, Huang MW, Ke SW, Tsai CF (2016) The distance function effect on k-nearest neighbor classification for medical datasets. SpringerPlus 5(1):1304
Jan J, Hung SL, Chi S, Chern J (2002) Neural network forecast model in deep excavation. J Comput Civ Eng 16(1):59–65
Jangir B, Satyanarayana A, Swati S, Jayaram C, Chowdary V, Dadhwal V (2016) Delineation of spatio-temporal changes of shoreline and geomorphological features of Odisha coast of India using remote sensing and gis techniques. Nat Hazards 82(3):1437–1455
Kennedy AD, Dong X, Xi B, Xie S, Zhang Y, Chen J (2011) A comparison of MERRA and NARR reanalyses with the DOE ARM SGP data. J Clim 24(17):4541–4557
Kesikoğlu MH, Çiçekli SY, Kaynak T (2020) The identification of coastline changes from landsat 8 satellite data using artificial using artificial neural networks and K-nearest neighbor. Turk J Eng 4(1):47–56
Khaledian M, Isazadeh M, Biazar S, Pham Q (2020) Simulating Caspian sea surface water level by artificial neural network and support vector machine models. Acta Geophys 68:553–563
Kim IH, Lee HS, Song DS (2013) Time series analysis of shoreline changes in Gonghyunjin and Songjiho Beaches, South Korea using aerial photographs and remotely sensed imagery. J Coast Res 65:1415–1420
Kumar TS, Mahendra R, Nayak S, Radhakrishnan K, Sahu K (2010) Coastal vulnerability assessment for Orissa State, east coast of India. J Coast Res 26:523–534
Larson M, Capobianco M, Hanson H (2000) Relationship between beach profiles and waves at Duck, North Carolina, determined by canonical correlation analysis. Mar Geol 163(1–4):275–288
Lee YK, Eom J, Do JD, Kim BJ, Ryu JH (2019) Shoreline movement monitoring and geomorphologic changes of beaches using Lidar and UAVs Images on the Coast of the East Sea, Korea. J Coast Res 90(sp1):409–414
Li R, Liu JK, Felus Y (2001) Spatial modeling and analysis for shoreline change detection and coastal erosion monitoring. Mar Geod 24(1):1–12
Markose VJ, Rajan B, Kankara R, Selvan SC, Dhanalakshmi S (2016) Quantitative analysis of temporal variations on shoreline change pattern along Ganjam district, Odisha, East Coast of India. Environ Earth Sci 75(10):929
MERRA-2 (2017) Modern era retrospective-analysis for research and applications. https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/reanalysis/MERRA-2/
Mishra M, Chand P, Pattnaik N, Kattel DB, Panda G, Mohanti M, Baruah UD, Chandniha SK, Achary S, Mohanty T (2019) Response of long-to short-term changes of the Puri coastline of Odisha (India) to natural and anthropogenic factors: a remote sensing and statistical assessment. Environ Earth Sci 78(11):338
Monalisha M, Panda G (2018) Coastal erosion and shoreline change in Ganjam coast along East Coast of India. J Earth Sci Clim Change 9:467
Montaño J, Coco G, Antolínez JA, Beuzen T, Bryan KR, Cagigal L, Castelle B, Davidson MA, Goldstein EB, Ibaceta R et al (2020) Blind testing of shoreline evolution models. Sci Rep 10(1):1–10
Morton R (1996) Geoindicators of coastal wetlands and shorelines. Geoindicators: assessment rapid environmental changes in earth systems. AA Balkema, Rotterdam, pp 207–230
Mukhopadhyay A, Mukherjee S, Mukherjee S, Ghosh S, Hazra S, Mitra D (2012) Automatic shoreline detection and future prediction: a case study on Puri Coast, Bay of Bengal, India. Eur J Remote Sens 45(1):201–213
Murthy VS, Gupta S, Mohanta D (2009) Distribution system insulator monitoring using video surveillance and support vector machines for complex background images. Int J Power Energy Convers 1(1):49–72
Nandi S, Ghosh M, Kundu A, Dutta D, Baksi M (2016) Shoreline shifting and its prediction using remote sensing and gis techniques: a case study of Sagar Island, West Bengal (India). J Coast Conserv 20(1):61–80
Nowakowski A (2015) Remote sensing data binary classification using boosting with simple classifiers. Acta Geophys 63(5):1447–1462
Peponi A, Morgado P, Trindade J (2019) Combining artificial neural networks and gis fundamentals for coastal erosion prediction modeling. Sustainability 11(4):975
Pescaroli G, Nones M, Galbusera L, Alexander D (2018) Understanding and mitigating cascading crises in the global interconnected system. Int J Disaster Risk Reduction 30:159–163
Piasecki A, Jurasz J, Adamowski JF (2018) Forecasting surface water-level fluctuations of a small glacial lake in Poland using a wavelet-based artificial intelligence method. Acta Geophys 66(5):1093–1107
Pierini JO, Lovallo M, Telesca L, Gómez EA (2013) Investigating prediction performance of an artificial neural network and a numerical model of the tidal signal at Puerto Belgrano, Bahia Blanca Estuary (Argentina). Acta Geophys 61(6):1522–1537
Puskarczyk E (2019) Artificial neural networks as a tool for pattern recognition and electrofacies analysis in Polish palaeozoic shale gas formations. Acta Geophys 67(6):1991–2003
Rajawat A, Chauhan H, Ratheesh R, Rode S, Bhanderi R, Mahapatra M, Kumar M, Yadav R, Abraham S, Singh S et al (2015) Assessment of coastal erosion along the Indian Coast on 1: 25,000 scale using satellite data of 1989–1991 and 2004–2006 time frames. Curr Sci 109:347–353
Ramesh R, Purvaja R, Senthil Vel A (2011) National assessment of shoreline change: Odisha coast. NCSCM/ MoEF Report 2011-01, 57 p., available at http://www.ncscm.org/reports.php
Ramesh R, R P, Vel S (2017) A shoreline change assessment for Odisha Coast; National Centre for Sustainable Coastal Management (NCSCM). Govt. of Odisha Report. National Centre for Sustainable Coastal Management (NCSCM). Accessed on 11 Nov 2017
Reichle RH, Koster RD, De Lannoy GJ, Forman BA, Liu Q, Mahanama SP, Touré A (2011) Assessment and enhancement of merra land surface hydrology estimates. J Clim 24(24):6322–6338
Rienecker MM, Suarez MJ, Gelaro R, Todling R, Bacmeister J, Liu E, Bosilovich MG, Schubert SD, Takacs L, Kim GK et al (2011) Merra: Nasa’s modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications. J Clim 24(14):3624–3648
Ronco P, Fasolato G, Nones M, Di Silvio G (2010) Morphological effects of damming on lower Zambezi river. Geomorphology 115(1–2):43–55
Ryan T, Sementilli P, Yuen P, Hunt B (1991) Extraction of shoreline features by neural nets and image processing. Photogramm Eng Remote Sens 57(7):947–955
Saluja S, Singh AK, Agrawal S (2013) A study of edge-detection methods. Int J Adv Res Comput Commun Eng 2(1):994–999
Satapathy SC, Udgata SK, Biswal BN (2012) Proceedings of the international conference on frontiers of intelligent computing: theory and applications (FICTA), vol 199. Springer, Berlin
Schalkoff RJ (1997) Artificial neural networks, vol 1. McGraw-Hill, New York
Shen S, Ostrenga D, Vollmer B, Li A, Meyer D (2019) MERRA-2 data and analytic services at NASA GES DISC for climate extremes study. In: 16th AOGS-Annual meeting of asia oceania geosciences society, July 28, 2019–August 02, 2019, Singapore
Shen S, Ostrenga DM, Bosilovich MG, Li AW, Meyer DJ (2020) Near 40 years MERRA-2 data at NASA GES DISC-opportunity and challenge to support extremes study. In: 100th AMS Annual Meeting, January 12, 2020–January 16, 2020, Boston, United States
Shrivakshan G, Chandrasekar C (2012) A comparison of various edge detection techniques used in image processing. Int J Comput Sci Issues: IJCSI 9(5):269
Simeoni U, Corbau C (2009) A review of the delta po evolution (Italy) related to climatic changes and human impacts. Geomorphology 107(1–2):64–71
Small C, Nicholls RJ (2003) A global analysis of human settlement in coastal zones. J Coast Res 19:584–599
Sobel I, Feldman G (1968) A 3 \(\times\) 3 isotropic gradient operator for image processing. A talk at the Stanford artificial project, pp 271–272
Stockdon HF, Doran KS, Sallenger AH Jr (2009) Extraction of lidar-based dune-crest elevations for use in examining the vulnerability of beaches to inundation during hurricanes. J Coast Res 53:59–65
Suanez S, Cariolet JM, Cancouët R, Ardhuin F, Delacourt C (2012) Dune recovery after storm erosion on a high-energy beach: Vougot Beach, Brittany (France). Geomorphology 139:16–33
The Indian Tide Tables-Part 1,1995: Indian and Selected Foreign Ports (1994) Surveyor general of India, printed by survey of India, Dehradun
Tsekouras GE, Trygonis V, Maniatopoulos A, Rigos A, Chatzipavlis A, Tsimikas J, Mitianoudis N, Velegrakis AF (2018) A hermite neural network incorporating artificial bee colony optimization to model shoreline realignment at a reef-fronted beach. Neurocomputing 280:32–45
USGS (2017) United states geological survey. https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov
Valiela I (2004) Global coastal change. Blackwell, Oxford
Valipour M, Tian D (2018) Comparing soil moisture dynamics in climate reanalyses, land surface models, and remote sensing retrievals over the continental united states. In: AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
Valipour M, Banihabib M, Behbahani S (2012) Monthly inflow forecasting using autoregressive artificial neural network. J Appl Sci 12(20):2139–2147
Valipour M, Banihabib ME, Behbahani SMR (2013) Comparison of the arma, arima, and the autoregressive artificial neural network models in forecasting the monthly inflow of dez dam reservoir. J Hydrol 476:433–441
Vapnik V (1963) Pattern recognition using generalized portrait method. Autom Remote Control 24:774–780
Vapnik VN, Chervone AY (1965) On a class of pattern-recognition learning algorithms. Autom Remote Control 25(6):838
Varrani A, Nones M, Gupana R (2019) Long-term modelling of fluvial systems at the watershed scale: examples from three case studies. J Hydrol 574:1042–1052
Vijayarani S, Vinupriya M (2013) Performance analysis of Canny and Sobel edge detection algorithms in image mining. Int J Innov Res Comput Commun Eng 1(8):1760–1767
Vincent OR, Folorunso O et al (2009) A descriptive algorithm for sobel image edge detection. In: Proceedings of informing science & IT education conference (InSITE), vol 40. Informing Science Institute California, pp 97–107
Wang J, Li B, Gao Z, Wang J (2019) Comparison of ECMWF significant wave height forecasts in the China sea with buoy data. Weather Forecast 34(6):1693–1704
White K, El Asmar HM (1999) Monitoring changing position of coastlines using Thematic Mapper imagery, an example from the Nile Delta. Geomorphology 29(1–2):93–105
Zhang X, Wang Z (2010) Coastline extraction from remote sensing image based on improved minimum filter. In: 2010 second IITA international conference on geoscience and remote sensing, vol 2. IEEE, pp 44–47
Acknowledgements
We thank Mr. Sobhit and Mr. Satish Yadav (B. Tech students of IIT Kharagpur) for the assistance in writing code. This work was carried out as a part of the project titled “Predictive Tool for Arctic Coastal Hydrodynamics and Sediment Transport” funded by the National Centre for Polar and Ocean Research (NCPOR). Authors also acknowledge support by SRIC, IIT Kharagpur, under the ISIRD project titled ”3D CFD Modeling of the Hydrodynamics and Local Scour Around Offshore Structures Under Combined Action of Current and Waves.”
Funding
Funding was provided by Sponsored Research and Industrial Consultancy (Grant No. IIT/SRIC/CE/MOS/2017-18/200) and Ministry of Earth Sciences (Grant No. NCPOR/2019/PACER-POP/OS-02).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest in the current paper.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Kumar, L., Afzal, M.S. & Afzal, M.M. Mapping shoreline change using machine learning: a case study from the eastern Indian coast. Acta Geophys. 68, 1127–1143 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-020-00454-9
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-020-00454-9