Elaboration of a Phenomena Identification Ranking Table (PIRT) for the modelling of In-Vessel Retention
Introduction
A Phenomena Identification Ranking Table (PIRT) on in-vessel retention phenomenology was developed as part of the European IVMR project within the H2020 framework. Its first objective was to identify the main relevant physical phenomena, in order to give a priority ranking of development needs for codes within the work-package WP2.2 dedicated to modelling. Soon after the start of this action, it was decided to extend the scope of this PIRT to experts outside of the IVMR project in order to gather more technical opinions and obtain a consolidated evaluation in the end. The Korean institute KAERI was involved, as well as Russian organizations (IBRAE and Kurtchatov Institute) and the U.S. NRC and the Sandia National Laboratory (MELCOR code developers) due to their expertise in IVR phenomena. It should be noted that it is the first international effort dedicated to the identification of the most important models and parameters for IVR assessment. A more general PIRT was made previously during the EURSAFE project (Magallon et al., 2005) but it was not specific to IVR and not really intended as a list of model requirements, contrary to the present PIRT. We may also mention the work performed in the ASAMPSA2 project (Raimond et al., 2013), where the IVR issue was treated with identification of phenomena needing to be addressed (but without ranking).
At first, a specific methodology was proposed for this PIRT, with the main objective of being able to identify, as simply as possible, the main processes and variables, used in the safety demonstration, which have the greatest impact on the evaluation of risks and for which the uncertainties are significant, considering a severe accident (SA) scenario for a given design. The further identification of more detailed physical phenomena or properties with high uncertainties and impact is proposed in a second step.
In addition to the first goal of code development focused on integration and implementation of models having the most significant impact on risk evaluation and the identification of those with limited impact, other benefits are also expected from this PIRT. The identification of phenomena for which complementary tests are needed will be very important in the design of new experiments. For safety analysts, this PIRT can also provide a synthesis of the main phenomena and uncertainties to be considered in the IVR evaluation.
It is important to keep in mind that the evaluated “knowledge” corresponds to what is implemented in the models of widely used codes, therefore it is what we may call the “common knowledge”: in this sense, the paper is also a critical review of this “common knowledge”. The idea is not to identify what should be included for the most detailed modelling of in-vessel retention but what the essential and necessary models are for a severe accident code, considering the degree of accuracy commonly associated with such codes. Of course, some simplifications or assumptions are made when using severe accident codes but it is important to realize that such codes have been the basis and are still the basis for evaluations of severe accidents consequences and mitigation strategies. Therefore, the identification of important models for IVR, using severe accident codes, remains crucial.
This paper intends to present the main results and outcomes of this work. First, the methodology used to develop this PIRT on IVR phenomena is described. Then, the main results are presented and discussed.
Section snippets
Methodology
The methodology for the development of the IVR PIRT results from the consideration of a few principles:
• Identifying and separating the risks with respect to which the importance of a physical process is evaluated;
• Defining physical processes or parameters which can be considered as independent of the other ones;
• Avoiding expert judgement, as much as possible, and using, instead, the results of previous analytical and experimental analyses including sensitivity studies to estimate the impact
Evaluations of uncertainties and impacts for the macro-variables
The uncertainties have been evaluated by each participant for each macro-variable. The results presented in Fig. 2 are the average values obtained. The macro-variables are grouped depending on what they are related to, i.e., the corium pool, the External Reactor Vessel Cooling (ERVC), the vessel wall or the Steam Explosion (SE) in case of vessel failure. The level of 50% is arbitrarily marked with the red line at the top of Fig. 2 and macro-variables above that level are identified as having
Ranking of parameters impacting the risks of excessive heat flux and ablation under transient situations
The detailed ranking of the parameters, which impact the risks of excessive heat flux in stabilized or in transient situations (risks 2 and 3) is presented in Table 3. The parameters are listed only when their overall impact calculated using Eq. (3) is above 10%.
Since uncertainties have been evaluated first for the macro-variables only, it is useful at this stage to distinguish in the list of significant phenomena:
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The ones associated with high uncertainties, which correspond to the main issues
Risk of vessel failure
The risk of vessel failure for a given ablated profile of the vessel wall was also investigated. Results are presented in Fig. 5 and based on the following references mentioned by the participants Chu et al., 1999, Fichot et al., 2018, Filippov et al., 2016, Lichachev et al., 1994, Mao et al., 2015, Mao et al., 2016, and Rempe et al. (1993). Regarding this risk, all the parameters appear with non-negligible impact and remain within 10–20%. This indicates that it was not enough investigated and
Conclusions
A PIRT on IVR phenomena was developed, based on the evaluations performed by the developers of the main SA codes and selected experts of IVR. It is the first time that such work is performed and the outcomes allow the identification of the main uncertainties and of the important phenomena or parameters and physical properties for the modelling of IVR. The phenomena or parameters with negligible impact were also identified.
The most important identified needs are:
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New models should be included in
CRediT authorship contribution statement
F. Fichot: Conceptualization, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Supervision, Writing - original draft. L. Carénini: Conceptualization, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Resources, Software, Supervision, Writing - original draft. N. Bakouta: Investigation, Formal analysis, Resources, Software, Writing - review & editing. H. Esmaili: Investigation, Formal analysis, Resources, Software, Writing - review & editing. L. Humphries: Investigation, Formal analysis, Resources,
Declaration of Competing Interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
Acknowledgments
The authors wish to acknowledge the contributions of R. Lee, M. Salay from US-NRC and R. Gauntt from SNL.
This work was partly funded by the European Project H2020 IVMR No. 662157.
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