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The geography of science in 12 European countries: a NUTS2-level analysis

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Abstract

Europe has a long history as a global center of scientific research, but not all European regions are alike. Regions such as Île de France and the corridor that stretches from Cambridge to Oxford via London produce a disproportionate share of Europe’s science output. An econometric analysis sheds light on the factors that explain the spatial distribution of European science. One result is that the regional volume of Web of Science publications depends on the regional number of researchers in higher education institutions. This is however not the only cause of high output. Universities and their surrounding regions are slowly evolving institutional structures. Some regions host universities that are more than 500 years old. A second key result is that an increase in the age of a region’s oldest university is associated with greater output, other things being equal. Third, interregional accessibility via road, rail, and air networks is important for small regions, but not for large ones. Conversely, regional high-tech R&D employment is important for large but not for small regions.

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Notes

  1. On average the OECD countries spent 2.2% of GDP on R&D in the 2008 to 2011 period (OECD Science and Technology Indicators 2012, see Andersson et al. 2015a)

  2. These results refer to regions that have at least one fractionalized publication. The results were similar when we included outliers in the regressions.

  3. The U.S. data refer to Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) and the Chinese data to prefectures. European NUTS2 regions are sometimes comparable to U.S. MSAs and/or Chinese prefectures (e.g. Ile de France and other French regions), but sometimes they are smaller (e.g. regions in southeast England).

  4. The transmission of knowledge depends on social as well as geographical proximity. In studies of scientific co-authorships, it is common to find a substantially greater volume of co-authorships than is accounted for by regional research volumes and spatial distance if co-authors share a native language or a past colonizing country (Andersson and Persson 1993; Andersson 2001). Likewise, the popular expression “the wrong side of the tracks” refers to the social barriers that are often associated with a railroad track or freeway in U.S. metropolitan areas. In contrast, we deem it unlikely that university or industry scientists residing in the same geographical region would experience social barriers that are high enough to reduce scientific knowledge dissemination within the same occupational group in the same region.

  5. The vintage effect on scientific productivity, for which we use the age-of-oldest-university variable, is in reality more complex. Hence our variable is akin to a multidimensional index which reflects factors such as path dependency, changes in remuneration and other funding, and a wide array of relevant political influences. The age variable is thus a compact proxy for the consequences of all these different efficiency factors. It corresponds to the time parameter in economic growth models.

  6. Following the approach of Bonaccorsi and Daraio (2005) and Grossetti et al. (2016), we also estimated a less elaborate function with only research personnel in universities, industrial R&D employment, and regional per capita income as explanatory variables (see Tables 9, 10 in “Appendix 2”). However, the income variable may be associated with endogeneity problems. Using slowly changing variables is therefore preferable. Accessibility and age of the oldest university are examples of such slowly changing variables. Both variables change by much less than 1% per year and are independent of scientific output fluctuations. For the interested reader, we provide functions for all regions in the two time periods with income measured as a 3-year moving average (Tables 11, 12) and publications per HEI researcher as a function of the age of the oldest university.

  7. Statistical significance thresholds are different depending on whether there is an expected sign or not. If there is an expected sign associated with the variable, we use one-tailed tests. If there is no expected sign, two-tailed tests are appropriate.

  8. The accessibility variable consists of three components: “population living in surrounding regions weighted by travel time along motorways,” “population living in surrounding regions weighted by travel time along railways,” and “daily number of passenger flights accessible within 90 [minutes’] drive” (Annoni and Dijkstra 2013, p. 46).

  9. This finding is consistent with the conclusion that governance quality is more important than research expenditures for the attraction and retention of highly cited researchers (cf. Bauwens et al. 2011).

  10. We use the median value of the total population as the cut-off point for distinguishing between small and large NUTS2 regions. As the majority (193 out of 227) of the NUTS2 regions experienced population growth during our sample period, using the median value instead of a static population threshold can better accommodate the dynamic nature of our panel data.

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Vardan Hovsepyan for allocating some of his substantial computer programming skills to our project and for his help in the time-consuming task of allocating publications to NUTS2 regions. In addition, we would like to thank two anonymous referees for numerous constructive suggestions and critical comments. We think that the three of them had the joint effect of helping us improve the quality and persuasiveness of this paper.

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Correspondence to David Emanuel Andersson.

Appendices

Appendix 1: Residual mapping

See Figs. 2 and 3.

Appendix 2

See Tables 9 and 10.

Table 9 Regional production function for science output in EU NUTS2 regions for 2001–2006
Table 10 Regional production function for science output in EU NUTS2 regions for 2007–2012

Appendix 3

See Tables 11 and 12.

Table 11 Publications per HEI researcher as a function of AGE, 2001–2012
Table 12 Regional production function for science output in EU NUTS2 regions for 2007–2012, INC measured as 3-year moving average

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Andersson, D.E., Andersson, Å.E., Hårsman, B. et al. The geography of science in 12 European countries: a NUTS2-level analysis. Scientometrics 124, 1099–1125 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-020-03510-9

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