Abstract
Increasing demands to access the internet through mobile infrastructures have in turn increased demands for improved quality and speed in communication services. One possible solution to meet these demands is to use cellular traffic forecasting to improve network performance. In this paper, a model for predicting traffic at a selected cellular base station (BS) is proposed. In the model, spatiotemporal features from neighboring stations to the target BS are used, and this information is used for forecasting through a series of surfaces evolving over time and a deep learning architecture consisting of 3D convolutional networks. Experimental results showed that this method outperformed other approaches used to predict traffic data.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Alvizu R, Troia S, Maier G, Pattavina A (2017) Matheuristic with machine-learning-based prediction for software-defined mobile metro-core networks. J Opt Commun Network 9(9):D19–D30
Bican B, Yaslan Y (2014) A hybrid method for time series prediction using emd and svr. In: 2014 6th International symposium on communications, control and signal processing (ISCCSP). IEEE, pp 566–569
Chen X, Jin Y, Qiang S, Hu W, Jiang K (2015) Analyzing and modeling spatio-temporal dependence of cellular traffic at city scale. In: 2015 IEEE international conference on communications (ICC). IEEE, pp 3585–3591
Chollet F, et al. (2015) Keras. https://keras.io
Cong I, Choi S, Lukin MD (2019) Quantum convolutional neural networks. Nat Phys 15(12):1273–1278
Feng J, Chen X, Gao R, Zeng M, Li Y (2018) Deeptp: an end-to-end neural network for mobile cellular traffic prediction. IEEE Netw 32(6):108–115
Hu Z, Lu Z, Wen X, Li Q (2017) Stochastic-geometry-based performance analysis of delayed mobile data offloading with mobility prediction in dense ieee 802.11 networks. IEEE Access 5:23060–23068
Ji S, Xu W, Yang M, Yu K (2012) 3d convolutional neural networks for human action recognition. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell 35(1):221–231
Kim HY, Won CH (2018) Forecasting the volatility of stock price index: a hybrid model integrating lstm with multiple garch-type models. Expert Systems with Applications
Liu Y, Wang X, Boudreau G, Sediq AB, Abou-zeid H (2020) Deep learning based hotspot prediction and beam management for adaptive virtual small cell in 5g networks. IEEE Trans Emerg Topics Comput Intell 4:83–94
Naboulsi D, Fiore M, Ribot S, Stanica R (2015) Large-scale mobile traffic analysis: a survey. IEEE Commun Surv Tutor 18(1):124–161
Nie L, Wang X, Wan L, Yu S, Song H, Jiang D (2018) Network traffic prediction based on deep belief network and spatiotemporal compressive sensing in wireless mesh backbone networks. Wirel Commun Mob Comput 2018
Nikravesh AY, Ajila SA, Lung C-H, Ding W (2016) Mobile network traffic prediction using mlp, mlpwd, and svm. In: 2016 IEEE International congress on big data (BigData congress). IEEE, pp 402–409
Powell MJ (1964) An efficient method for finding the minimum of a function of several variables without calculating derivatives. Comput J 7(2):155–162
Qiu C, Zhang Y, Feng Z, Zhang P, Cui S (2018) Spatio-temporal wireless traffic prediction with recurrent neural network. IEEE Wireless Commun Lett 7(4):554–557
Shen F, Chao J, Zhao J (2015) Forecasting exchange rate using deep belief networks and conjugate gradient method. Neurocomputing 167:243–253
Wang X, Zhou Z, Xiao F, Xing K, Yang Z, Liu Y, Peng C (2018) Spatio-temporal analysis and prediction of cellular traffic in metropolis. IEEE Trans Mob Comput 18(9):2190– 2202
Xu F, Lin Y, Huang J, Wu D, Shi H, Song J, Li Y (2016) Big data driven mobile traffic understanding and forecasting: a time series approach. IEEE Trans Serv Comput 9(5):796–805
Yang H, Yuan C, Li B, Du Y, Xing J, Hu W, Maybank SJ (2019) Asymmetric 3d convolutional neural networks for action recognition. Pattern Recogn 85:1–12
Yu Y, Song M, Fu Y, Song J (2013) Traffic prediction in 3g mobile networks based on multifractal exploration. Tsinghua Sci Technol 18(4):398–405
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher’s Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Mejia, J., Ochoa-Zezzati, A. & Cruz-Mejía, O. Traffic Forecasting on Mobile Networks Using 3D Convolutional Layers. Mobile Netw Appl 25, 2134–2140 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11036-020-01554-y
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11036-020-01554-y