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A Stress Release Model in Egypt

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Abstract

The complexity of seismogenesis calls for probabilistic rather than deterministic model. Towards that direction, the stress release models transpose the elastic rebound theory in a stochastic framework, where the stress level in a region increases gradually between earthquakes due to constant tectonic loading and is released suddenly when an event occurs. The data are modeled through point processes and particularly by means of the hazard function. The application is performed using moderate earthquakes (M ≥ 4.8) occurred in Egypt and the model is compared with the Poisson model by means of information criteria.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors are very grateful to Egyptian National Seismic Network and Aswan Earthquake Research Center, the Department of Seismology, National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics (NRIAG; Cairo, Egypt) for kindly supporting us with data and providing us with all scientific facilities to perform this study and Geophysics Department, School of Geology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (Greece) for providing all facilities during this work. The authors are grateful to the Reviewers for their suggestions from which the manuscript benefited a lot.

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Correspondence to Kh. A. Omar.

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Omar, K.A., Mangira, O. A Stress Release Model in Egypt. Geotecton. 54, 106–112 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0016852120010082

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