Accident modeling of toxic gas-containing flammable gas release and explosion on an offshore platform
Introduction
Leakage and explosion are major potential chain accidents with high frequency (Ramsay et al., 1994; Kalantarnia et al., 2010; BP, 2010; Ottemöller and Evers, 2010; Yang et al., 2019). Several efforts have been made to predict the consequences of leakage and explosion accidents.
In the field of evaluation of flammable gas dispersion (Gupta and Chan, 2016), conducted a study to model the leakage and dispersion of flammable gas with a time-varying leakage rate. Instantaneous variation of flammable gas cloud was obtained. And the dispersion results obtained by the time-varying leak rate were compared with those obtained using the time-averaged constant leak rate. The study confirms that using the constant leakage rate may be relatively reasonable for systems with slow depressurization rates. But it may lead to inaccurate estimation results when it comes to systems that depressurize at a high rate.
In a study conducted by (Dadashzadeh et al., 2013), FLACS was utilized to model the dispersion of blowout gas and the subsequent vapor cloud explosion (VCE) against the “Deepwater Horizon” accident. Comparing the research results with the investigation results of BP, the authors demonstrated that FLACS was applicable to predict the consequences of dangerous gas leakage and explosion.
In a study conducted by (Savvides et al., 2001), taking the offshore modules as the object, a series of experiments with different configurations were simulated by FLACS. The simulations results were compared with measured data obtained by the JIP Module Experiments. The comparison has confirmed that FLACS can predict the dispersion behavior and accumulation characteristics of released gas with good accuracy.
(Middha et al., 2009) conducted validation effort for FLACS where a series of hydrogen dispersion experiments with different leakage conditions were simulated. Subsonic jets, sonic jets, impinging jets with low and high momentum, and liquid hydrogen releases were considered, respectively. In general, the modeling results are in reasonable agreement with the experimental data.
In a study conducted by (Li et al., 2018a, 2018b), a systematic CFD-based simulation was performed to predict the consequences of a subsea release. Accidental released gas from a subsea gas pipeline releases into seawater and rises to the sea surface. Then a gas pool is generated on the sea surface. The gas pool turns into a leakage source, and the flammable gas disperses into the atmosphere. Besides, a jack-up drilling platform is assumed to be located in the downwind area of the gas pool. The impact of dispersion and deflagration on this drilling platform was discussed. The corresponding risk management measures were also recommended by (Li et al., 2018a, 2018b).
In the field of toxic gas dispersion evaluation (Lovreglio et al., 2016), proposed an integrated approach to predict the consequences of toxic gas dispersion. The approach was applied to a hypothetical scenario where the dynamic assessment results were compared with the results obtained by the static approach which ignoring the evacuation movement, and the proposed approach proved to improve the accuracy of assessment results significantly.
(Lyu et al., 2018) pointed out the importance of performing the off-site consequence analysis for all chemical dealing companies. Moreover, the effect of safety measure regarding mitigation barriers was confirmed by two representative accident scenarios.
The consequences of flammable gas or toxic gas release, dispersion and consequent explosion accidents were extensively studied by Centre for Offshore Engineering and Safety Technology of China University of Petroleum (East China) (Deng et al., 2012; Liu et al., 2015; Zhu et al., 2010; Shi et al., 2019). Different research methods, such as experiments and numerical simulations, were used. A series of accident scenarios based on different parameters or different installations were studied (Li et al., 2019; Shi et al., 2018a, Shi et al., 2018b; Wei et al., 2014; Zhang and Chen, 2010; Zhu and Chen, 2010).
However, assuming that the flammable gas containing toxic gas, and exposed to ignition, the poisoning effect and explosion effect will occur continuously. There are comprehensive studies on consequence prediction about flammable gas containing toxic gas leakage accidents. E.g., a blowout accident involving hydrogen sulfide was simulated by (Yang et al., 2017). Poisoning risk area and explosion risk area are identified separately, i.e., the poisoning effect and explosion effect are considered respectively. Also, there are some attempts focusing on the domino effect (Khakzad et al., 2013, 2018; Ni et al., 2016), predicting the cumulative adverse effects due to accident escalation. However, the theory of domino effect is of inadequacy to the current work, since the domino effect always refers to the accident starting from one unit and spreading to different units with great randomness and strong uncertainty. The current study focuses on the flammable gas containing toxic gas leakage and explosion accident, in which only a facility is involved and the cumulative adverse effects are inevitable.
The above studies did not consider the dual consequences against flammable gas containing toxic gas release and explosion accident, i.e., the poisoning effect and the explosion effect were considered respectively. A combination of these two kinds of effects is imperative because the poisoning effect and explosion effect are inevitable during flammable gas containing toxic gas leakage and explosion accident. Accordingly, comprehensive consideration of the explosion effect and the poisoning effect is emphasized, and a systematic approach is proposed against similar accidents. Then the proposed approach is presented through a hypothetical scenario concerning H2S-containing natural gas leakage and explosion chain accidents on an offshore platform. The main innovation of the current study is that the explosion effect and the poisoning effect are considered comprehensively, while the previous studies take these two hazard effects into account separately. The dispersion of the released gas and the subsequent VCE are predicted by FLACS. FLACS is a leading 3D CFD software which has been widely used in process industry (Huser and Kvernvold, 2000; Qiao and Zhang, 2010; Li et al., 2014; Huang et al., 2017; Shi et al., 2018a, Shi et al., 2018b), and the availability and accuracy of the tool have been validated against numerous experiments with different scales and different scenarios (Savvides et al., 2001; Middha et al., 2009; Hansen et al., 2010; Bleyer et al., 2012).
Section snippets
Review of past accidents
In 2007, a natural gas containing hydrogen sulfide leakage accident occurred in the Kab-121 platform in the Gulf of Mexico (Yang et al., 2019). Then a fire accident followed due to the contact between an unknown source of ignition and the vapor cloud. The consequences caused by fire and hydrogen sulfide were 21 deaths.
In January 2018, a tanker collision accident between bulk freighter CF Crystal and tanker Sanchi happened in the East China Sea (Li et al., 2018a, 2018b), which caused a cargo
Integrated methodology
Fig. 1 introduces the proposed methodology for toxic gas-containing flammable gas leakage and explosion accident consequence modeling. The detailed procedure is described below.
The first step is geometric modeling. In this step, the geometric modeling is conducted by the pre-processor of FLACS. All structural components can be converted into primitives, such as boxes, cylinders, ellipsoids, generally truncated cones, and complex polyhedrons. However, in general, only the basic primitives,
Turbulence model
The gas dispersion process satisfies the continuity equation, the laws of mass conservation, momentum conservation, and energy conservation. The dispersion process also satisfies mixture fraction and fuel mass fraction transport equation considering the multiple compositions in released gas. All these conversation equations can be represented in general as (GexCon, 2015):where ϕ represents the general variable, including variables such as mass, momentum,
Case study
The proposed methodology is applied to a hypothetical H2S-containing natural gas leakage and explosion accident on an offshore platform. The offshore platform consists of a process module and an accommodation module. There are three decks in the process module, i.e., the main deck, the middle deck, and the lower deck. Process equipment is mainly concentrated on the middle deck and the lower deck, including power device, compressor, fuel gas device, acid gas, dehydration & mercury removal
Poisoning assessment
The monitored data for the concentration of H2S of each monitoring point is extracted, and the concentration of H2S at every moment is of concern, i.e., the H2S concentration-time curve at each coordinate is expected rather than the maximum concentration. Then the probit variables of toxic gas can be calculated according to Eq. (2). Converting the probit variables into probabilities of fatality (Eq. (3)), then the risk index of the poisoning effect based on the probit model can be estimated
Conclusions
Toxic gas-containing flammable gas leakage is very dangerous, and catastrophic accidents may be induced if the gas is exposed to an ignition source. Both the poisoning effect and explosion effect do indeed exist and cannot be neglected in the chain accident. Moreover, these two hazard effects have nothing with the domino effect.
An integrated approach is proposed to fill the gap that the poisoning effect and explosion effect are considered separately in the current efforts. To evaluate the
CRediT authorship contribution statement
Dongdong Yang: Writing - review & editing, Writing - original draft, Investigation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Conceptualization. Guoming Chen: Supervision, Project administration, Funding acquisition. Ziliang Dai: Validation, Data curation.
Acknowledgments
The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support provided by the National Key R&D Program of China (No: 2017YFC0804501).
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