Abstract
The current study explores the relationship between water resources and tourism in South Asia for the period of 1995–2017. The study employs the CIPS unit root test for stationarity of the variables and the CD test for cross-sectional dependence among cross-sectional units. As for the long-run parameters, a novel technique, known as dynamic common correlated effect (DCCE) model, is used which was recently developed by Chudik and Pesaran (J Econ 188:393–420, 2015b). The outcomes from the DCCE method suggest that water resources have a positive impact on tourism in South Asia. It is also proven that ignoring cross-sectional dependence among the cross-sectional units may bring about misleading outcomes. The findings of the study can be helpful for policymakers to understand the role of water resources in boosting tourism and contributing to the economic prosperity of South Asian countries.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
We employed principal component analysis (PCA) using reviews to construct governance index of various components of governance from World Bank data (including rule of law, government effectiveness, voice and accountability, absence of violence, political stability, regulatory quality, and control of corruption).
The study constructed infrastructure index following Palei (2015). In this study, infrastructure index was developed by using basic physical infrastructure, i.e., transport infrastructure, telecommunication infrastructure, water sanitation, and energy infrastructure.
We employed xtwest command for Westerlund cointegration.
References
Al Mamun M, Sohag K, Uddin GS, Shahbaz M (2015) Remittance and domestic labor productivity: evidence from remittance recipient countries. Econ Model 47:207–218
Aldaya MM, Chapagain AK, Hoekstra AY, Mekonnen MM (2012) The water footprint assessment manual: setting the global standard. Routledge.
Ali S, Nazar R (2017) Impact of foreign capital inflows and money supply on exchange rate: a case study of Pakistan. Rev Econ Dev Stud 3(1):83–90
Ali S, Yusop Z, Kaliappan SR, Chin L (2020) Dynamic common correlated effects of trade openness, FDI, and institutional performance on environmental quality: evidence from OIC countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res:1–12. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07768-7
Antonakakis N, Dragouni M, Filis G (2015) How strong is the linkage between tourism and economic growth in Europe? Econ Model 44:142–155
Arain H, Han L, Sharif A, Meo MS (2019) Investigating the effect of inbound tourism on FDI: the importance of quantile estimations. Tour Econ 1354816619859695
Araña JE, León CJ (2008) The impact of terrorism on tourism demand. Ann Tour Res 35(2):299–315
Baggio R, Scott N, Cooper C (2010) Improving tourism destination governance: a complexity science approach. Tour Rev 65(4):51–60
Bai J, Ng S (2004) A PANIC attack on unit roots and cointegration. Econometrica 72(4):1127–1177
Balaguer J, Cantavella-Jorda M (2002) Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case. Appl Econ 34(7):877–884
Banerjee A, Cockerell L, Russell B (2001) An I (2) analysis of inflation and the markup. J Appl Econ 16(3):221–240
Bano S, Zhao Y, Ahmad A, Wang S, Liu Y (2018) Why Did FDI Inflows of Pakistan decline? From the perspective of terrorism, energy shortage, financial instability, and political instability. Emerg Mark Financ Trade 55(1):90–104
Bassil C (2014) The effect of terrorism on tourism demand in the Middle East. Peace Econ Peace Sci Public Policy 20(4):669–684
Blackburne EF, Frank MW (2007) Estimation of nonstationary heterogeneous panels. Stata J 7(2):197–208
Chadeeand D, Mieczkowski Z (1987) An empirical analysis of the effects of the exchange rate on Canadian tourism. J Travel Res 26(1):13–17
Chang Y (2004) îBootstrap Unit root tests in panels with cross-sectional dependencyî. J Econ 120:263–293
Chi J (2015) Dynamic impacts of income and the exchange rate on US tourism, 1960–2011. Tour Econ 21(5):1047–1060
Chingarande A (2014) Does political instability affect tourism: a case of Egypt. Int J Soc Relev Concern 2(6)
Choi I (2006) Nonstationary panels, palgrave handbooks of econometrics, Vol. 1. Palgrave Macmillan, St Martin's Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York
Chudik, A, and M. H. Pesaran (2015a) Large panel data models with cross-sectional dependence: A survey. In The Oxford Handbook Of Panel Data, ed. B. H. Baltagi, 2-45. Oxford: Oxford University Press
Chudik A, Pesaran MH (2015b) Common correlated effects estimation of heterogeneous dynamic panel data models with weakly exogenous regressors. J Econ 188(2):393–420
Cole S (2012) A political ecology of water equity and tourism: a case study from Bali. Ann Tour Res 39(2):1221–1241
Crouch GI (1995) A meta-analysis of tourism demand. Ann Tour Res 22(1):103–118
De Hoyos RE, Sarafidis V (2006) Testing for cross-sectional dependence in panel-data models. Stata J 6(4):482–496
Ditzen, J. (2016). xtdcce: Estimating dynamic common correlated effects in stata. SEEC Discussion Papers, 1601
Eberhardt M (2012) Estimating panel time-series models with heterogeneous slopes. Stata J 12(1):61–71
Falkenmark M (1997) Meeting water requirements of an expanding world population. Philos Trans R Soc B 352(1356):929–936
Falkenmark M, Lundqvist J, Widstrand C (1989) Macro-scale water scarcity requires micro-scale approaches: aspects of vulnerability in semi-arid development. In Natural resources forum, 13, 4, 258–267. Oxford: Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
Falkenmark M, Rockström J, Karlberg L (2009) Present and future water requirements for feeding humanity. Food Sec 1(1):59–69
Fareed Z, Meo MS, Zulfiqar B, Shahzad F, Wang N (2018) Nexus of tourism, terrorism, and economic growth in Thailand: new evidence from asymmetric ARDL cointegration approach. Asia Pac J Tour Res 23(12):1129–1141
Gan Y (2015) An empirical analysis of the influence of exchange rate and prices on tourism demand (doctoral dissertation)
Garcia C, Servera J (2003) Impacts of tourism development on water demand and beach degradation on the island of Mallorca (Spain). Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Phys Geogr 85(3–4):287–300
Getahun TB, Ayele B (2016) Impact of transportation infrastructure in tourism management in Ethiopia: Lake Tana region in focus’9 th International Conference on African Development, May27–28/2016, hosted by West Michigan University’s Center for African Development Policy Research
Ghalia T, Fidrmuc J, Samargandi N, Sohag K (2019) Institutional quality, political risk and tourism. Tour Manag Perspect 32:100576
Gossling S, Peeters P, Hall M, Ceron JP, Dubois G, Lehman LV, Scott D (2012) Tourism and water use: supply, demand, and security. An international review. Tour Manag 33:1–5
Gunn, C (1988) Tourism planning. 2nd. Revised and expanded New York
Hadjikakou M (2014) Measuring the impact of tourism on water resources: alternative frameworks (Doctoral dissertation, University of Surrey)
Hall CM (2010) Crisis events in tourism: Subjects of crisis in tourism. Curr Issue Tour 13(5):401–417
Hall CM, Stoffels M (2006) Lake tourism in New Zealand: Sustainable management issues. Lake tourism. An Integrated Approach to Lacustrine Tourism Systems:182–206
Holden A (2003) In need of new environmental ethics for tourism? Ann Tour Res 30(1):94–108
Hossain MS (2011) Panel estimation for CO2 emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and urbanization of newly industrialized countries. Energy Policy 39(11):6991–6999
Hsiao C, Tahmiscioglu AK (2008) Estimation of dynamic panel data models with both individual and time-specific effects. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 138(9):2698–2721
Im KS, Pesaran MH, Shin Y (2003) Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous Panels. J Econ 115(1):53–74
Inskeep, E. (1991). Tourism planning: an integrated and sustainable development approach: Van Nostrand Reinhold
Jalil A, Mahmood T, Idrees M (2013) Tourism–growth nexus in Pakistan: evidence from ARDL bounds tests. Econ Model 35:185–191
Kahia M, Aïssa MSB, Charfeddine L (2016) Impact of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on economic growth: new evidence from the MENA Net Oil Exporting Countries (NOECs). Energy 116:102–115
Kapetanios G, Pesaran MH, Yamagata T (2011) Panels with non-stationary multifactor error structures. J Econ 160(2):326–348
Khadaroo J, Seetanah B (2007) Transport infrastructure and tourism development. Ann Tour Res 34(4):1021–1032
Khadaroo J, Seetanah B (2008) The role of transport infrastructure in international tourism development: a gravity model approach. Tour Manag 29(5):831–840
Kim YR, Saha S, Vertinsky I, Park C (2018) The impact of national institutional quality on international tourism inflows: a cross-country evidence. Tour Anal 23(4):533–551
Lee C-C, Chang C-P (2008) Tourism development and economic growth: a closer look at panels. Tour Manag 29(1):180–192
Lee HS, Sin Yee LEE, Har WM (2020) Roles of institutional quality on the relationship between tourism and economic development in Malaysia. Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques 8(1):119–124
Levin A, Lin CF, Chu CSJ (2002) Unit root test in panel data: asymptotic and finite sample Propertiesî. J Econ 108:1–24
Maddala GS, Wu S (1999) A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 61(S1):631–652
Meo MS, Chowdhury MAF, Shaikh GM, Ali M, Masood Sheikh S (2018) Asymmetric impact of oil prices, exchange rate, and inflation on tourism demand in Pakistan: new evidence from nonlinear ARDL. Asia Pac J Tour Res 23(4):408–422
Moon HR, Perron B (2004) Testing for a unit root in panels with dynamic factors. J Econ 122(1):81–126
Mustafa AMM (2019) The impact of infrastructure on tourism: the case of Sri Lanka. Asian Soc Sci 15(7):174. https://doi.org/10.5539/ass.v15n7p174
Oh C-O (2005) The contribution of tourism development to economic growth in the Korean economy. Tour Manag 26(1):39–44
Ohlsson L, Appelgren B (1998) Water and social resource scarcity. Food and Agricultural Organization, Rome
Oki T, Kanae S (2006) Global hydrological cycles and world water resources. Science 313(5790):1068–1072
Önder AÖ, Candemir A, Kumral N (2009) An empirical analysis of the determinants of international tourism demand: the case of Izmir. Eur Plan Stud 17(10):1525–1533
Pablo-Romero M d P, Molina JA (2013) Tourism and economic growth: a review of empirical literature. Tour Manag Perspect 8:28–41
Tatyana Palei (2015) Assessing the impact of infrastructure on economic growth and global competitiveness. 2nd GLOBAL CONFERENCE on BUSINESS, ECONOMICS, MANAGEMENT and TOURISM, 30–31 October 2014, Prague, Czech Republic
Patsouratis V, Frangouli Z, Anastasopoulos G (2005) Competition in tourism among the Mediterranean countries. Appl Econ 37(16):1865–1870
Pedroni P (1997) Cross sectional dependence in cointegration tests of purchasing power parity in panels. Indiana University, WP Department of Economics
Pedroni P (2004) Panel cointegration: Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis. Econometric Theory 20(3):597–625
Perron P (1991) Test consistency with varying sampling frequency. Econometric Theory 7(3):341–368
Persyn D, Westerlund J (2008) Error-correction-based cointegration tests for panel data. Stata J 8(2):232–241
Pesaran, M. Hashem (2004) General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels’ IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240
Pesaran MH (2006) Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure. Econometrica 74(4):967–1012
Pesaran MH (2007) A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross section dependence. J Appl Econ 22:265–312
Pesaran MH, Smith R (1995) Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Econ 68(1):79–113
Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RP (1999) Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Am Stat Assoc 94(446):621–634
Quadri DL, Zheng T (2010) A revisit to the impact of exchange rates on tourism demand: the case of Italy. The Journal of Hospitality Financial Management 18(2):47–60
Rasheed R, Meo MS, Awan RU, Ahmed F (2019) The impact of tourism on deficit in balance of payments of Pakistan: an application of bounds testing approach to cointegration. Asia Pac J Tour Res 24(4):325–332
Raskin I, Smith RD, Salt DE (1997) Phytoremediation of metals: using plants to remove pollutants from the environment. Curr Opin Biotechnol 8(2):221–226
Rasul G, Manandhar P (2009) Prospects and problems in promoting tourism in South Asia: a regional perspective. South Asia Economic Journal 10(1):187–207
Rico-Amoros AM, Olcina-Cantos J, Saurí D (2009) Tourist land use patterns and water demand: evidence from the Western Mediterranean. Land Use Policy 26(2):493–501
Sadorsky P (2013) Do urbanization and industrialization affect energy intensity in developing countries? Energy Econ 37:52–59
Seckler DW (1998) World water demand and supply, 1990 to 2025: scenarios and issues. International Water Management Institute, Colombo
Seetanah B, Juwaheer T, Lamport M, Rojid S, Sannassee R, Subadar A (2011) Does infrastructure matter in tourism development? Univ Maurit Res J 17(1):89–108
Shiller, R. J., & Perron, P. (1985). Testing the random walk hypothesis: power versus frequency of observation
Shin Y, Pesaran MH, Smith RP (1999) Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Am Stat Assoc 94:621–634
Smith LV, Leybourne S, Kim TH, Newbold P (2004) More powerful panel data unit root tests with an application to mean reversion in real exchange rates. J Appl Econ 19(2):147–170
Tang CF, Tan EC (2015) Does tourism effectively stimulate Malaysia's economic growth? Tour Manag 46:158–163
Tortella BD, Tirado D (2011) Hotel water consumption at a seasonal mass tourist destination. The case of the island of Mallorca. J Environ Manag 92(10):2568–2579
Travel & Tourism Economic Impact (2019). World Travel & Tourism Council, London, UK. https://www.wttc.org/-/media/files/reports/economic-impact-research/regions-2019/world2019.pdf Assessed 10-5-2019
Turkay M (2017) Heterogeneity across emerging market central bank reaction functions. Central Bank Review 17(3):111–116
United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO). (2015). Tourism highlights. Madrid, Spain. https://www.e-unwto.org/doi/pdf/10.18111/9789284416899 Assessed 15-5-2019
Urbain JP, Westerlund J (2006) Spurious regression in nonstationary panels with cross-unit cointegration. METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organizations
Vörösmarty CJ, Green P, Salisbury J, Lammers RB (2000) Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth. Science 289(5477):284–288
Westerlund J (2007) Testing for error correction in panel data. Ox Bull Econ Stat 69(6):709–748
Westerlund J, Edgerton DL (2007) A panel bootstrap cointegration test. Econ Lett 97(3):185–190
Westerlund J, Edgerton DL (2008) A simple test for cointegration in dependent panels with structural breaks. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 70(5):665–704
Yap G, Saha S (2013) Do political instability, terrorism, and corruption have deterring effects on tourism development even in the presence of UNESCO heritage? A cross-country panel estimate. Tour Anal 18(5):587–599
Yu M (2016) Research on the impact of infrastructure construction on tourism industry: evidence from the “Wuhan-Guangzhou high-speed rail”. Open J Soc Sci 4(01):126
Acknowledgments
We would like to acknowledge the contributions of research participants to this paper.
Contribution
All the authors contributed equally.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Responsible editor: Eyup Dogan
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Highlights
1. The current study explored the relationship between water availability, governance, infrastructure, exchange rate, and tourism in the south Asian context.
2. The study has employed CIPS unit root test and CD test for cross-sectional dependence, while for long-run parameters, a novel technique known as Dynamic common correlated effect (DCCE) model, is used which is recently developed by Chudik and Pesaran (2015b).
3. The DCCE model accommodates heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependence, and stationarity, which is not possible in other long period based econometrical models.
4. It is confirmed from the results that there is a negative relationship between exchange rate and tourism. However, governance, infrastructure, and water availability have a positive relationship with tourism in the South Asian context.
5. It also proves that ignoring cross-sectional dependence among the cross-sectional units may cause misleading outcomes.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Meo, M.S., Sabir, S.A., Arain, H. et al. Water resources and tourism development in South Asia: an application of dynamic common correlated effect (DCCE) model. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27, 19678–19687 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08361-8
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08361-8