Postoperative pneumonia after craniotomy: incidence, risk factors and prediction with a nomogram
Introduction
Postoperative pneumonia is the third most common postoperative complication and is associated with adverse prognosis and short-term mortality [[1], [2], [3]]. Several risk factors, including advanced age, smoking, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and functional status, have been found to be associated with postoperative pneumonia among general surgeries and cardiothoracic surgeries [4,5]. However, little is known about the incidence and effect of postoperative pneumonia after craniotomy, the most commonly performed procedure in neurosurgery. Therefore, it is essential to better understand the incidence and risk factors of pneumonia following neurosurgery, and its association with adverse outcomes in order to better inform targeted preventive measures.
A study was undertaken using the American College of Surgeons' National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database from 2005 to 2017, including a total of 57,201 craniotomies, to systematically investigate the incidence and risk factors of postoperative pneumonia after craniotomy, as well as its association with length of hospital stay. A nomogram was constructed to predict postoperative pneumonia.
Section snippets
Study population
The study population was based on the ACS-NSQIP database 2005–2017. ACS-NSQIP collects data prospectively for patients undergoing surgical procedures, and tracks the development of complications within 30 days of surgery. Data are collected by trained surgical reviewers using a uniform protocol. Data have been validated externally against physician chart review and used widely in surgical outcome studies [6,7]. In this study, patients who underwent craniotomy were identified using the current
Demographics of study population and risk factors for postoperative pneumonia
In total, 1778 cases of postoperative pneumonia were identified from 57,201 craniotomy procedures, with an incidence rate of 3.11%. The incidence rate of postoperative pneumonia decreased slightly over the study period. As shown in Table I, several risk factors were identified for postoperative pneumonia, including age 56–70 years [odds ratio (OR) 1.27, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09–1.49], age >70 years (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.24–1.75), male gender (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.49–1.82), BMI <18.5 kg/m2
Discussion
Postoperative pneumonia is the third most common complication in all surgical patients [3]. This study, utilizing a large national database, found that the incidence rate of pneumonia was 3.11% in patients who underwent craniotomy, which is the second most common complication in these patients. This study identified that age >55 years, male gender, low BMI, functional dependence, diabetes, hypertension, history of severe COPD, ventilator dependence, systemic sepsis, WBC count >12,000, emergency
Conflict of interest statement
None declared.
Funding sources
This work was supported by the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University Science Foundation (Grant No. 2015B011), the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province (Grant No. QC2015108), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 81572482) and the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2018M631964).
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D. Zhang, H. Zhuo and G. Yang contributed equally to this work.