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Effects of Global Climate Changes on Boreal Forests of the Northwestern Pacific. A Landscape–Environmental Prognosis

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Abstract—The paper presents a quantitative analysis of the responses of forest ecosystems located in various sectors of the Pacific Ocean megaecotone in northern Eurasia to climate changes forecasted for the next 50–200 years with E GISS and HadCM3 global prediction models. The produced environmental scenarios were compared with similar predictions for intracontinental regions of eastern Europe. Two possible predictive climatic trends were examined: cold–arid and thermoarid. The Mendeleev insular arc ecoregion (Kunashir Island) features an exceptionally high rate of functional absorption of habitat areas of almost all basic plant communities by extrazonal objects; this escalates the climatogenic transformation of the biogeocoenologic structure of insular arc geo(eco)systems to the regional scale. In the marginally continental, low-mountain, lower part of the Amur River basin, buffer forest communities are actively developing amid similar, although less intense, phytocoenologic transformations.

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Funding

This work was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, project no. 14-05-00032-a.

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  1. Institute of Ecology of the Volga River Basin, Russian Academy of Sciences, 445003, Togliatti, Russia

    E. G. Kolomyts

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  1. E. G. Kolomyts
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Correspondence to E. G. Kolomyts.

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Translated by L. Emeliyanov

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Kolomyts, E.G. Effects of Global Climate Changes on Boreal Forests of the Northwestern Pacific. A Landscape–Environmental Prognosis. Biol Bull Rev 9, 315–332 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1134/S2079086419040054

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