ABSTRACT The study investigates the short-run and long-run asymmetric effects of the global economic policy uncertainty, real oil prices, and country-specific geopolitical risk on real stock returns in Turkey by using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) framework over the pre-COVID-19 period of 1997:01–2019:12 and full-sample period of 1997:01–2020:12. The empirical findings indicate

ABSTRACT This paper constructs a large-scale computable general equilibrium model with 26 countries and regions. The model is embedded in the global value chain, trade costs are introduced, and the trade effects of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) and the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (CPTPP) under three different scenarios are simulated

ABSTRACT This paper provides new empirical evidence on the wage and leverage relationship, which supports the notion of strategic leverage. Unlike in previous papers, I use worker-firm matched data of Korea and find a significant negative relationship between wage and leverage. I argue that this negative relationship stems from Korean labor market conditions closer to the price-taking workers and price-setting

ABSTRACT We investigate how the financialization of nonfinancial corporations (NFCs) affects corporate risk-taking. We find that NFCs’ financialization has an adverse effect on corporate risk-taking, supporting the “crowding-out” effect. Short-term financial investments undermine firms’ incentives to chase risky but profitable investment projects. The negative association between NFCs’ financialization

ABSTRACT We develop a two-stage contingent claim model to evaluate a life insurer’s equity. The model sequentially determines the optimal guaranteed rate and the optimal technology choice for strategic asset-liability matching management. We show that increases in policy loans decrease the insurance businesses at a reduced guaranteed rate. The shrinking life insurance businesses discourage the insurer

ABSTRACT We identify an unexplored attribute of the CEO associated with corporate investment efficiency – military experience. We hypothesize that military experienced CEOs tend to reduce agency conflicts, are less likely to be self-interested, and have a higher tendency to take value-enhancing projects which lead to higher investment efficiency. We test our core hypotheses using a sample of Pakistani

ABSTRACT We investigate the effect of the governments’ responses to fighting the COVID-19 pandemic on the returns in the stock market index. Panel data of 20 countries are used spanning January 2 to July 21, 2020, for the dynamic panel model. The results indicate that the overall government response, containment and health, and stringency indices have a significantly positive effect on stock market

ABSTRACT This article examines the nature of time-varying systematic risk for both Islamic and non-Islamic sectoral indices during COVID-19. The novelty lies in the analysis of behavioral changes in beta as the global health crisis moved from an epidemic to a pandemic. Using daily stock market return data on 10 different industry sectors, we show that both Islamic and conventional indices depict a

ABSTRACT This research examines the impact of government ideology on fighting the COVID-19 pandemic based on the daily data of 143 countries from January 1, 2020 to January 31, 2021. By using the panel corrected standard errors model, the results show that a right-wing ruling party is linked with a greater number of new daily confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19. This impact also appears in the samples

ABSTRACT This study investigates the impact of bank concentration and financial development on economic volatility for the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) member countries. Employing dynamic panel models, we find no evidence that bank concentration is significantly related to economic volatility when it is entered independently in the models. Meanwhile, financial development lowers economic

ABSTRACT The effects of personal bankruptcy law on the activities of traditional credit markets have attracted significant interests in many studies. In this study, we focus on the online Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending market, and empirically investigate whether and to what extent personal bankruptcy law may affect the borrowing and lending activities in the P2P market. We find that state bankruptcy exemptions

ABSTRACT This paper aims to investigate whether the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) used as an exogenous information shock relates to a firm’s dividend policy as a result of the improved information environment in the emerging Korean market. More specifically, utilizing a large sample of KOSPI-listed firms over the period 2000–2018, we examine whether the propensity and the level

ABSTRACT This paper presents a multilayer and parallel-connected graph convolutional networks (MPGCNs) method to explore whether a debtor–creditor relationship network helps to detect the default risk in peer-to-peer (P2P) lending. Results show that: (1) The debtor–creditor relationship network reflects lenders’ risk preference and borrowers’ successful loan information. (2) The proposed MPGCNs method

ABSTRACT This research examines the shock of a government response to COVID-19 on the stock prices of 30 international energy enterprises spanning from January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020. Overall, the empirical results denote that a government response stringency index, containment and health index, and economic support index all have a statistically significant negative impact on their stock prices

(2021). Special Issue on the Pandemic Research. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade: Vol. 57, Research on Pandemics, pp. 1543-1546.

ABSTRACT This paper empirically analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on economic sentiment by constructing an econometric model using monthly data from 36 countries from December 2019 to October 2020. The results of this study show: (1) After the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, economic sentiment fluctuated greatly, and even turned pessimistic. (2) It has a significant negative impact on

ABSTRACT This study adds to the inconclusive debate on safe-haven properties of cryptocurrencies during Covid-19 by analyzing the use of wavelet coherence framework on the global Covid-19 fear index, cryptocurrency implied volatility index (VCRIX), and cryptocurrency returns. Our findings show that a non-financial market-based proxy of market stress that represents fear of households and retail investors

ABSTRACT This research examines the short- or long-term relationship between epidemics and atmospheric quality via panel data of 69 countries over the period 1990–2019. By employing the panel univariate LM unit root test, panel cointegration tests with multiple structural breaks, and FMOLS estimations as well as the panel vector error correction model (VECM), we find that a bi-directional relationship

ABSTRACT Unlike the dominant theories based on the rigid assumption that “technology standards must contain only essential patents”, this paper discusses the standard alliances that are engaged in their cumulative innovation. Its focus is particularly on a more realistic setting that a standard alliance should contain both the essential and the non-essential patents. We use the essential-patent’s ratio

ABSTRACT Using balanced panel data of 62 countries (regions) from 1995 to 2011, we explore the linkage between a country’s participation in global value chains (GVC) and its carbon emissions using spatial panel econometric models. We find: First, positive spatial dependency does exist between countries. Second, forward and backward GVC participation has different spatial spillover effects, with the

ABSTRACT This paper investigates the impact of deep preferential trade agreements (PTAs) on total and global value chain (GVC) trade flows. We employ an augmented gravity equation that includes three-dimensional fixed effects, using a panel dataset covering the 1995–2015 period that includes newly available data for the policy areas covered by existing PTAs. Results show that the presence of PTAs has

ABSTRACT This paper tests the superimposed negative market reaction of listed companies with high-level share pledging by controlling shareholders to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and finds that it is alleviated in the pharmaceutical industry and when the share pledge funds are obtained from a brokerage firm or flow back to the listed companies. Furthermore, a low-quality information

ABSTRACT Through a survey of literature in the measurement of financial integration (FI), this study explores the historical footprints on the measurement of financial integration, key issues, and challenges. We document the evolution of measurements during 1980–2018 and extend the measurement classification with specific criteria associated with the measurements. Furthermore, this study identifies

ABSTRACT The rapid accumulation of private debt is widely viewed as a major risk to financial and economic stability. This article systematically and comprehensively assesses the effect of private debt buildup on economic growth. In the spirit of the existing study that separately examines the effects of two types of private debt – household debt and corporate debt – on growth in advanced economies

ABSTRACT This paper investigates the presence of asymmetry in correlations, betas and covariances between the market excess return and the excess return on each of the eleven industry, ten size, ten momentum and ten book-to-market portfolios. We arrive at three main findings. First, there is strong evidence of asymmetric covariance while the evidence for asymmetric correlations is weakest during COVID-19

ABSTRACT This article investigates how the COVID-19 pandemic affected home and host countries’ FDI margins. Heckman estimation of monthly bilateral FDI data indicates the following: (1) The pandemic reduced both the FDI margins. (2) COVID-19 mortality in home countries reduced extensive FDI margin. (3) FDI was more sensitive to host countries’ pandemic situation for both OECD and emerging countries;

ABSTRACT This paper studies the impact of terrorist attacks on the returns and volatility of Colombian stock returns using an event study methodology in a GARCH model framework. It also investigates the impact of the 2016 peace accord between the Colombian government and the FARC, an army of leftist narco-guerrillas, on the same characteristics of the financial market. Results show that the COLCAP

ABSTRACT This paper explores the dynamic relationship between global economic factors and emerging stock returns within a factor-augmented VAR model. I find that favorable global growth and stock market shocks have significant positive effects on emerging equity returns, whereas global uncertainty and US dollar exchange rate shocks cause a substantial fall in the returns. Global oil shocks lead to

ABSTRACT The aim of this empirical study was to estimate and compare the term structure of risk factor premiums in developed and emerging markets. Most studies use dividend and variance swap data, but as that information is not available for all markets, we use wavelet decomposition of the observed return to calculate sensitivity to risk factors and obtain a term structure for risk factor premiums

ABSTRACT In this study, we examine the relation between corruption and corporate cash holding policy using data from 35,288 firms in 44 countries. The results indicate a non-linear relation between corruption and corporate cash holdings with a negative coefficient of the cubic term of corruption. Specifically, in developed (frontier) countries with low (high) level of corruption, we find a negative

ABSTRACT This study examines the implications of board interlocks on stock liquidity using a sample of listed Brazilian firms. The instrumental variable two-stage least squares estimation is used to minimize endogeneity concerns. This study provides evidence that board interlocks are positively related to stock liquidity. Our cross-sectional study findings reveal that the impact of board interlocks

ABSTRACT We run an experiment to test how consumers of banking services value stress tests performed by their banks. We query respondents about the extent to which they would be willing to trade profitability if banks conduct stress tests, maybe for greater bank financial stability. Our paper connects and innovates in the banking literature by providing empirical evidence of the value of communicating

ABSTRACT The article aims to explore the heterogeneous feature in the determination of Bitcoin volatility using a Markov regime-switching model and test its forecasting ability. The forecasting methodology of the risk measurement of Bitcoin’s returns is based on the Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk models (CAViaR) approach. Our results show that Bitcoin’s volatility is significantly related

ABSTRACT This article examines the association between media attention and debt financing through a number of channels associated with information asymmetry reduction and whether this relationship changes with cross-country institutional environment characteristics. Focusing on a comprehensive international dataset, we find that overall media coverage is negatively related to firm leverage levels.

ABSTRACT This study investigates whether ownership concentration improves or impedes firm innovation using a sample of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) spanning 95 countries worldwide. We find that higher ownership concentration is associated with a lower likelihood of introducing innovative activities. Further, results reveal that concentrated ownership has detrimental impacts on innovation

(2021). Guest Editor’s Introduction - Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Fiscal Decentralization, and the Gender Wealth Gap: Policy Implications for Vietnam. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade: Vol. 57, No. 1, pp. 1-4.

ABSTRACT We employ time series data to empirically determine the causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty and the GDP growth rates of seven emerging market economies while controlling for the effect of oil price, interest rates, and the CPI. Due to differences in sampling frequencies between the GDP series and other variables, a multi-horizon mixed frequency VAR model is specified. This

ABSTRACT Using cross-country data for 1999–2019, we investigate how bank capital structure and institutional environment affect bank competition. Banks with a higher Tier 1 ratio have greater market power, and lowering activity restrictions and bank entry requirements enhances competition. Banking systems with greater capital stringency and official supervisory power tend to be more competitive. During

(2020). Part A: Special Section on COVID-19 Research. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade: Vol. 56, No. 15, pp. 3551-3553.

ABSTRACT This article investigates the performance of the industrial structure in different emerging markets under exogenous shocks during the COVID-19. Based on the ICIO database, we use System Dynamics to simulate the evaluation of the economic system under different types of exogenous shocks (instantaneous shocks like entertainment restrictions, and continuous shocks like trade controls). We find

ABSTRACT This research aims at investigating the response of the stock market to the WHO announcement on 11th of March 2020 which officially declares the spread of the COVID-19 virus as a global pandemic. A total of 77 countries’ major indices have been examined by this research. The results show that (1) the pandemic announcement provides considerable negative shock on the global stock market; (2)

ABSTRACT Missing data has become an increasingly serious problem in credit risk classification. A one-hot encoding-based data preprocessing method is proposed to solve the missing data problem in credit classification. In this paradigm, the proposed missing-data preprocessing method is first used to deal with missing values to fill in the incomplete dataset. Then the classification and regression tree

ABSTRACT This article develops a new index to monitor financial stability in South Africa over the period 1995–2017. Rather than selecting indicators based on deemed relevance, the novelty of our index lies in the selection and aggregation of financial indicators based on their incremental informational content, achieving the best balance between parsimony and efficacy. In addition, market sub-indices

ABSTRACT This study investigates the associations between investment efficiency and both the existence of a board investment committee (IC) and its expertise. Using a sample of industrial firms from six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries across the 2005–2018 period, we find that IC existence reduces both under- and overinvestment by these firms. We also find that financial expertise among committee

ABSTRACT This study investigates the relation between firm-specific attributes and future equity returns in 23 emerging markets. Equal-weighted portfolio returns reveal strong evidence of short-term momentum (rather than reversal) and medium-term return momentum. We also find evidence that market beta, book-to-market ratio and downside risk metrics predict equity returns, however, these relations get

ABSTRACT This article analyzes the effect of oil prices on real stock returns in the MENA countries. We use a panel of stock indexes from nine MENA countries: Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Egypt, Tunisia, Israel, Jordan, and Morocco. We employ extended version of the arbitrage pricing theory by using the linear and nonlinear panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models, and the data consist

ABSTRACT Motivated by the rise of state capitalism, the paper investigates the relationship between ownership identity and the performance of firms in terms of profitability and solvency. Using cross-sectional data covering over 25,000 firms worldwide and by employing various empirical methods, we find robust evidence that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) tend to be less profitable than private-owned

ABSTRACT The issue of banks’ loss-absorbing capacity (LAC) has been extensively discussed in recent years. That debate was triggered by the idea of a “bail in”: the use of certain bank’s liabilities to cover losses and recapitalization when it is failing or likely to fail. The objective of this article is to determine the volume of a bank’s equity and liabilities available for bail in that would ensure

ABSTRACT We empirically prove that the negative listing effect of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) is more pronounced in target countries with high gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate uncertainty than in countries without such uncertainty. We examine a sample of 343 non-financial firms that disclosed cross-border M&A between 2000 and 2019 in the Korea Exchange stock market and 49 countries where

ABSTRACT We investigate the valuation effects of debt issues on the issuing firms’ common stock using a sample of Turkish issuers. For the sample of non-financial firms, we find no significant wealth effects for debt issues around the announcement dates. However, market reactions are more positive when information asymmetry between firm managers and outside investors is low, agency costs are high,

(2020). Research on Pandemics Special Issue of the Journal Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade: Vol. 56, Special Issue: Research on Pandemics, pp. 2133-2137.

ABSTRACT We investigate the impact of COVID-19 on the Indian financial market and compare it with the outcomes of two recent structural changes of the Indian economy: demonetization and implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST). Using daily stock return, net foreign institutional investment, and exchange rate data from January 3, 2003 to April 20, 2020, we find negative stock returns for all

ABSTRACT As the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has amplified so has country responses to it. With COVID-19 taking its toll on humans, as reflected in the number of people infected by, and deaths from, COVID-19, countries responded by locking down economic activity and peoples movement, imposing travel bans, and implementing stimulus packages to cushion the unprecedented slowdown in economic activity

ABSTRACT This paper offers two main innovations. First, we construct a global fear index (GFI) for the COVID-19 pandemic to support economic, financial, and policy analyses in this area. Second, we demonstrate the application of the index to stock return predictability using OECD data. The panel data predictability results reveal the significance of the index as a good predictor of stock returns during

ABSTRACT This paper studies the impact of fear sentiment caused by the coronavirus pandemic on Bitcoin price dynamics. We construct a new proxy for coronavirus fear sentiment using hourly Google search queries on coronavirus-related words. The results show that market volatility has been exacerbated by fear sentiment as the result of an increase in search interest in coronavirus. Moreover, we find

ABSTRACT In this study, we focus on two dimensions of COVID-19 pandemic and their impact on liquidity in emerging equity markets, the real human costs and the government response. Using a sample of 23 emerging markets across three regions, our findings suggest that decreasing (increasing) trend in the number of confirmed coronavirus cases is associated with improving (deteriorating) liquidity in financial

ABSTRACT We provide novel evidence that disease outbreaks contain valuable information that can be used to enhance exchange rate return and volatility predictions. Our analysis exploits the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak as a good experimental setup to test our intuition. Data show that the COVID-19 outbreak has been rapid and deadly. Using the total number of infections per million, we demonstrate