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Introduction: Climate action in the general interest Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-03-18 John Mecklin
(2021). Introduction: Climate action in the general interest. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Vol. 77, Special issue: Smoothing the transition to a renewable economy, pp. 65-66.
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Making the transition to a green economy: What is our responsibility as citizens? Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-03-18 Adam Sobel
ABSTRACT Large-scale structural change is essential if we are to decarbonize the economy rapidly enough to avert the worst of global warming. Individual actions by the well-meaning won’t be enough. Yet the two aren’t mutually exclusive, and there are both moral and pragmatic reasons to do both at the same time. Individuals must act collectively, as engaged citizens, to push governments and fossil fuel
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Tom Steyer on clean energy: It’s where the big money is going Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-03-18 Dan Drollette Jr.
ABSTRACT In this interview with the Bulletin’s Dan Drollette Jr., investor, philanthropist, and former presidential candidate Tom Steyer talks about how to make the transition to a green economy just for workers, companies, and governments – and, speaking as a billionaire, what he thinks the private sector can do.
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Interview: CalPERS’ Anne Simpson on the climate change power of investment managers Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-03-18 Dan Drollette Jr.
ABSTRACT In this interview, Anne Simpson, director of global governance at CalPERS, California’s public employees’ pension fund, explains her approach to encouraging fossil fuel companies to clean up their acts.
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In Germany, the energy transition continues Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-03-18 Peter Friederici
ABSTRACT In 2010, German Chancellor Angela Merkel followed the cue of previous national leaders in announcing that the country would reduce its overall greenhouse gas emissions by 40 percent by 2020. But consumer revolt about electricity prices, inaction by the country’s powerful auto industry, and technological hurdles made that goal look increasingly unreachable – until the COVID-19 pandemic hit
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A just transition for US workers is within reach Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-03-18 Jason Walsh
ABSTRACT We must respond to the climate crisis on the scale science demands. At the same time, working people should not suffer economically due to efforts to tackle climate change. Increasing unionization and improving job-quality in clean energy industries – including offshore wind generation and manufacturing sectors such as the electric vehicle industry – can drive climate action and ensure a just
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Russian nuclear weapons, 2021 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-03-18 Hans M. Kristensen, Matt Korda
ABSTRACT The Nuclear Notebook is researched and written by Hans M. Kristensen, director of the Nuclear Information Project with the Federation of American Scientists, and Matt Korda, a research associate with the project. The Nuclear Notebook column has been published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists since 1987. This issue’s column examines Russia’s nuclear arsenal, which includes a stockpile
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Introduction: Advice for a new administration facing difficult times Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 John Mecklin
(2021). Introduction: Advice for a new administration facing difficult times. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Vol. 77, Special issue: Expert advice for the new US president, pp. 1-2.
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Why Biden should abandon the great power competition narrative Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Sharon Squassoni
ABSTRACT Aside from a quick extension of the New START treaty, one important step the Biden administration should consider in the realm of nuclear policy is to jettison the “great power competition” narrative that Trump officials and supporters have popularized.
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An ambitious arms control agenda requires a new organization equal to the task Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 James E. Goodby, David A. Koplow
ABSTRACT An exceedingly challenging agenda of urgent, important, and diverse arms control issues awaits the incoming Biden administration. To address it, the administration should consider the creation of a new agency to focus on cooperative threat reduction; alternatively, deft reorganization of key elements of the executive branch could be pursued swiftly, without requiring legislation. An examination
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How Biden can say goodbye to “America First” on nuclear issues Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Rupal Mehta
ABSTRACT Efforts to renew international engagement with a deep bench of experts, intergovernmental organizations, and policy makers will be critical over the next four years to return to the core tenets of historical American foreign policy. There are three key areas where multilateral engagement will be needed with respect to nuclear policy: on Iran’s nuclear program, on US alliances, and on the spread
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Why Biden should push for ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Togzhan Kassenova
ABSTRACT President-elect Joe Biden has long supported the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. But three important factors have shifted the context in recent years, making US participation more important than ever. His administration should invest effort and resources into persuading the Senate to finally ratify it.
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The president needs to hit the ground running on climate Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Michael Mann
ABSTRACT The first 100 days of the presidency could help determine the state of our planet’s climate for the next 10,000 years. The president will have to win over potential allies in the middle, yet remain unafraid to play hardball with the Congresspeople who are captured by the fossil fuel industry.
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Water recommendation for the new administration Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Peter H. Gleick
ABSTRACT The author lays out four key water-related priorities for the new Biden administration.
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To build climate progress on time scales that matter, Biden should be Biden Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Andrew Revkin
ABSTRACT During the 1980s, conservatives tied themselves in knots worrying about how to handle their man in the White House, before finally deciding to “Let Reagan be Reagan.” In the 2020s, progressives should “Let Biden be Biden.”
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Climate change should be recognized for what it is: An issue of national security Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Rod Schoonover
ABSTRACT President-Elect Biden should make climate change and ecological instability vital national security priorities.
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How Joe Biden can use confidence-building measures for military uses of AI Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Michael C. Horowitz, Lauren Kahn
ABSTRACT Autonomous naval ships, algorithms to interpret drone video footage – the US military and other armed forces around the world are thinking about how to incorporate applications of artificial intelligence systems into their operations. The Biden administration has an opportunity to foster international cooperation on military AI to reduce the risk of inadvertent conflict while still pursuing
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Dear President Biden: You should save, not revoke, Section 230 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Eric Goldman
ABSTRACT Politicians from both major US parties want to reform a more than 20-year-old law that gives internet companies broad protection from liability over third-party content. The left sees Section 230 reform as key to reducing the harm of online disinformation and other ills; the right sees reform as way to prevent censorship. In a “memo” to the president-elect, law professor Eric Goldman asks
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How can the Biden administration reduce scientific disinformation? Slow the high-pressure pace of scientific publishing Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Matt Field
ABSTRACT For years now, the pressure in academia to publish in journals has been intense; getting articles published in prestigious journals is good for one’s career, and it’s important in winning grant funding. But high productivity isn’t necessarily synonymous with high quality. The COVID-19 pandemic and the absolute flood of scientific articles it has unleashed underscore that point. To tamp down
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Memo to the president: Reimaging public health preparedness and response Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Daniel M. Gerstein
ABSTRACT The Biden administration must reevaluate the emergency response doctrine that proved so fragile during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the crisis, the federal government was not the backstop many expected it would be when states were desperately competing with each other for emergency supplies. A chronically underfunded public health system and a presidential administration that did not heed
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United States nuclear weapons, 2021 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2021-01-26 Hans M. Kristensen, Matt Korda
ABSTRACT The Nuclear Notebook is researched and written by Hans M. Kristensen, director of the Nuclear Information Project with the Federation of American Scientists, and Matt Korda, a research associate with the project. The Nuclear Notebook column has been published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists since 1987. This issue examines the status of the US nuclear arsenal. The US nuclear arsenal
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An innovative and determined future for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 John Mecklin
(2020). An innovative and determined future for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Vol. 76, Now, then, and the future: The Bulletin turns 75, pp. 277-279.
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Buckle up: We are in for a bumpy ride. An interview with Royal Astronomer Martin Rees Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Rachel Bronson
(2020). Buckle up: We are in for a bumpy ride. An interview with Royal Astronomer Martin Rees. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Vol. 76, Now, then, and the future: The Bulletin turns 75, pp. 280-284.
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Nobel chemistry laureate Jennifer Doudna on the promise and peril of the genetic editing revolution Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 John Mecklin
(2020). Nobel chemistry laureate Jennifer Doudna on the promise and peril of the genetic editing revolution. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Vol. 76, Now, then, and the future: The Bulletin turns 75, pp. 285-289.
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How a US defense secretary came to support the abolition of nuclear weapons Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 William J. Perry
ABSTRACT A personal history of how former US Defense Secretary William J. Perry’s thinking on nuclear weapons has evolved from Hiroshima to the present time.
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Contending with climate change: The next 25 years Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Robert H. Socolow
ABSTRACT Any successful effort to address climate change over the next 25 years will involve a “credible swap” that greatly reduces greenhouse gas emissions from the burning of fossil fuels, provides energy in entirely different ways, and also reduces demand for energy. On the demand side, the next quarter century offers abundant high-leverage opportunities to reduce future emissions via intelligent
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How to protect the world from ultra-targeted biological weapons Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Filippa Lentzos
ABSTRACT As genomic technologies develop and converge with AI, machine learning, automation, affective computing, and robotics, an ever more refined record of our biometrics, emotions, and behaviors (https://www.npr.org/sections/13.7/2018/02/28/589477976/biometric-data-and-the-rise-of-digital-dictatorship) will be captured and analyzed. These game-changing developments will deeply impact how we view
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Siegfried Hecker on remembering history while planning the future of nuclear arms control Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 John Mecklin
(2020). Siegfried Hecker on remembering history while planning the future of nuclear arms control. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Vol. 76, Now, then, and the future: The Bulletin turns 75, pp. 309-314.
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The edge of our existence Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Yangyang Cheng
ABSTRACT Scientists, in the public imagination, are intrepid explorers. They stand at the edge of human knowledge and carve out new territory, break down barriers and rewrite the rules. Nature has no political ideology and carries no passport. Science, at its best, also espouses such cosmopolitan ideals. That data is neutral, and science is apolitical, makes for an alluring narrative. By clinging to
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Science diplomacy: The essential interdisciplinary approach Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Rose Gottemoeller
ABSTRACT Interdisciplinary efforts by scientists have shaped successful nuclear initiatives both in and out of government, but to succeed in avoiding catastrophe in the future, scientists must be allowed to interact with their peers not only in other national organizations, but also in other countries. The author uses her past experience to illustrate why this is so important.
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Transforming our nuclear future with ridiculous ideas Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Emma Belcher
ABSTRACT Success in achieving the goals of reducing and eventually eliminating nuclear weapons will rely on several interrelated factors: A revitalized nuclear policy field that recognizes the power that comes from greater diversity in all its forms, new partners willing to share their knowledge and expertise, and bold new ideas – some of which, by design, will appear ridiculous at first.
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Facts and opinions about climate change Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Richard C. J. Somerville
ABSTRACT In this essay, the author summarizes the facts established by the science of climate change and then gives some opinions about what people and governments should do about the climate problem.
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Beatrice Fihn: How to implement the nuclear weapons ban treaty Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 John Mecklin
(2020). Beatrice Fihn: How to implement the nuclear weapons ban treaty. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Vol. 76, Now, then, and the future: The Bulletin turns 75, pp. 336-340.
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1946: Can air or water be exploded? Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 H.A. Bethe
ABSTRACT There has been much public discussion as to whether or not atomic bombs can start a nuclear chain reaction in the atmosphere. Similarly, since the planning of Navy atomic tests, many thoughtful scientists have expressed concern about the possibility of a chain reaction in water. It appears that atomic bombs of present construction are safe by enormous margins against igniting either the atmosphere
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1947: How the American people feel about the atomic bomb Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Sylvia Eberhart
ABSTRACT Early in 1946 the Committee on the Social Aspects of Atomic Energy, of the Social Science Research Council, proposed a study of “the thinking of the American public on matters relating to the development of the atomic bomb and its effect on attitudes on international relations.” A sub-committee was formed for the planning of such a study, and funds were provided through Cornell University
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1950: What the scientists are saying Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Albert Einstein, Edward Teller
ABSTRACT These companion articles were originally published in the March 1950 issue of the Bulletin, in the wake of President Harry Truman’s announcement that the United States would pursue a hydrogen bomb. They are republished here as part of our special issue commemorating the 75th year of the Bulletin.
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1952: Ten years after Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Eugene Rabinowitch
ABSTRACT Ten years after the first sustained nuclear chain reaction, the author surveys a bleak landscape in which few beneficial applications of nuclear power have been achieved but many resources have been devoted to new and more powerful nuclear weapons.
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1956: Science and our times Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 J. Robert Oppenheimer
ABSTRACT An essay on two among many of the ways in which the growth of science in the early atomic age had created new problems for society.
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1958: Only world government can prevent the war nobody can win Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Bertrand Russell
ABSTRACT This is a speech that was to have been given to a nuclear disarmament campaign conference which was banned by the Swiss government. It was instead published in the September 1958 issue of the Bulletin. It is republished here as part of a special issue commemorating the 75th year of the Bulletin.
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1959: Science and art Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Martyl Langsdorf, Cyril Stanley Smith
ABSTRACT This article is an introduction to the February 1959 issue of the Bulletin, assembled under the joint editorship of Martyl Langsdorf, a Chicago artist who served as art editor of the Bulletin for many years, and Cyril Stanley Smith, professor of metallurgy at the Institute for the Study of Metals, University of Chicago. It is republished here as part of a special issue commemorating the 75th
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1960: Science and party politics Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Richard M. Nixon, John F. Kennedy
ABSTRACT These two companion articles were originally published in June 1960. They are republished here as part of a special issue commemorating the 75th year of the Bulletin.
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1961: The neutron bomb Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Freeman Dyson
ABSTRACT In this essay, the author says he does not believe that neutron bombs are militarily advantageous to the United States, or that they would alleviate any of the country’s military problems. On the contrary, he asserts, neutron bombs, like hydrogen bombs, will in the long run only complicate human lives, increase human insecurity, and possibly facilitate the extermination of the human race.
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1975: All in our time: A foul and awesome display Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Kenneth T. Bainbridge
ABSTRACT Kenneth Bainbridge recounts his role during the first nuclear bomb test in July 1945. This is the second and final installment of his account of the test. It also concludes a series of reminiscences of 12 nuclear pioneers begun in the Bulletin in April 1974.
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1978: Is mankind warming the Earth? Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 William W. Kellogg
ABSTRACT This report is based on a monograph the author prepared for the World Meteorological Organization in Geneva, Switzerland.
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1992: What is to be done? Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Arthur C. Clarke
ABSTRACT This time, the “unthinkable” could mean the end of nuclear weapons. Arthur C. Clarke kicks off the discussion. Clarke, best known as the author of 2001: A Space Odyssey, writes about how to re-purpose the financial and human resources that the world expended on the nuclear weapons race of the Cold War.
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1992: Keep peace by pooling armies Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Randall Forsberg
ABSTRACT Peace researcher Randall Forsberg shares her plan to take advantage of the end of the Cold War to rethink armed forces, military spending, and arms exports. She proposes that countries reduce nuclear and conventional forces, adopting limited militaries that could participate in multilateral peacekeeping operations should the need arise but could not engage in offensive war.
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1995: Hiroshima Memories: One sunny day, a young girl learned about darkness Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Hideko Tamura Friedman
ABSTRACT The Bulletin originally published “Hiroshima Memories” in its May/June 1995 issue. The author was a child in Hiroshima when the city was destroyed in 1945 by an atom bomb. She came to the United States in 1952, after finishing high school. The article is republished here as part of a special issue commemorating the 75th year of the Bulletin.
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2000: North Korea: No bygones at Yongbyon Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Robert Alvarez
ABSTRACT A first-person account of a visit to North Korea’s Yongbyon reactor, and the role it would play following the collapse of the 1994 Agreed Framework.
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2002: Nuclear gamblers Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Pervez Hoodbhoy
ABSTRACT What makes Pakistan and India such extraordinarily bold nuclear gamblers, playing close to the brink with fiery nuclear rhetoric?
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2004: City on fire Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Lynn Eden
ABSTRACT By ignoring the fire damage that would result from a nuclear attack and taking into account blast damage alone, US war planners were able to demand a far larger nuclear arsenal than necessary.
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2005: The bioterrorist cookbook Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Malcolm Dando
ABSTRACT The chances of a massive bioterrorism attack remain low. It’s the small-scale attacks that warrant real concern.
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2011: Chernobyl 25 years later: Many lessons learned Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Mikhail Gorbachev
ABSTRACT We must continue to seriously examine the long-term public health and environmental consequences of the Chernobyl accident to better understand the relationship between radiation, both low- and high-level, and human life. The twenty-fifth anniversary of the accident is an important historic milestone to remind ourselves of this solemn duty. It is also the perfect time to address four key and
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2012: An elemental force: Uranium production in Africa, and what it means to be nuclear Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Gabrielle Hecht
ABSTRACT Uranium from Africa was, and remains, a major source of fuel for atomic weapons and power plants throughout the world. Uranium for the Hiroshima bomb, for example, came from the Belgian Congo. During any given year of the Cold War, between 20 percent and 50 percent of the Western world’s uranium came from African places: Congo, Niger, South Africa, Gabon, Madagascar, and Namibia. Today, there
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2016: Putin: The one-man show the West doesn’t understand Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-12-10 Fiona Hill
ABSTRACT The West is at an inflection point in its relations with Russia; the stakes for having an accurate understanding of its president, Vladimir Putin, have never been higher. A misreading of this man – now one of the most consequential international political figures and challengers to the US-led world order since the end of the Cold War – could have catastrophic consequences. Russia’s 8,000 nuclear
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However the pandemic unfolds, it’s time for oil use to peak—and society to prepare for the fallout Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-09-02 Yonatan Strauch, Angela Carter, Thomas Homer-Dixon
ABSTRACT The decline of oil’s dominance will start with a peak in demand. Reaching that peak quickly is an essential goal, even if things will likely spin out of control from there. If humanity is to avoid staggering harm from climate change, carbon emissions must fall sharply very soon, which implies that humanity’s use of fossil fuels must start to decline soon. As people grasp this imperative, they’ll
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Climate change action requires … actual action Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-09-02 John Mecklin
Of late, the news has been full of stories in which governments, businesses, scientists, environmentalists, and journalists assert the need to reduce the world’s carbon dioxide emissions to “net ze...
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Nuclear war, public health, the COVID-19 epidemic: Lessons for prevention, preparation, mitigation, and education Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-09-02 Andrew Futter, Samuel I. Watson, Peter J. Chilton, Richard J. Lilford
ABSTRACT The current COVID-19 pandemic has focused attention on the vulnerability of the human race in the face of communicable disease. But the pandemic also serves as a wake-up call to the cataclysmic impact that would befall the world if nuclear weapons were ever to be used again. Overwhelming pressure on health-services, considerable disruption to normal life, difficult choices regarding suspension
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Over the hump: Have we reached the peak of carbon emissions? Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-09-02 Daniel M. Kammen
ABSTRACT Recent news reports have focused on the so-called collapse of coal, which indeed is in free-fall in many nations. And it’s not limited to the news media; an International Energy Agency report said “… Only renewables are holding up during the previously unheard-of slump in electricity use.” Coal use is down to record low-levels in the United States. This decrease is also underway for oil and
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Nuclear forensics: How science helps stop the trafficking of nuclear materials Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-09-02 Gary R. Eppich
ABSTRACT Nuclear forensics is an essential activity in support of national counter-nuclear smuggling operations, as it can be used to provide unique and useful data to law enforcement for the prosecution of criminal nuclear smugglers and traffickers. Nuclear forensics can also be used to determine the origin of nuclear materials that have fallen out of regulatory control, allowing for the identification
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Why US-Saudi Arabia relations will continue to be close, even when climate action reduces demand for oil Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (IF 1.367) Pub Date : 2020-09-02 Jean-Francois Seznec
ABSTRACT The old paradigm of oil-for-security as the cornerstone of Saudi-US relationship will increasingly become moot when renewables start replacing oil. However, the relationship between the two countries will continue for two main reasons. The first is that the role of oil as the base of security decreases, but it becomes replaced by the fear of Iran, viewed by both Saudi Arabia and the United
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