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Correction to: Evidence of climate-driven changes on atmospheric, hydrological, and oceanographic variables along the Chilean coastal zone Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-28 Patricio Winckler Grez, Catalina Aguirre, Laura Farías, Manuel Contreras-López, Ítalo Masotti
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02952-7
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Correction to: Gendered impacts of greenhouse gas mitigation options for rice cultivation in India Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-28 Hom Gartaula, Tek B. Sapkota, Arun Khatri-Chhetri, Gokul Prasad, Lone Badstue
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02950-9
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Agricultural impacts of climate change in Indiana and potential adaptations Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-28 Laura C. Bowling, Keith A. Cherkauer, Charlotte I. Lee, Janna L. Beckerman, Sylvie Brouder, Jonathan R. Buzan, Otto C. Doering, Jeffrey S. Dukes, Paul D. Ebner, Jane R. Frankenberger, Benjamin M. Gramig, Eileen J. Kladivko, Jeffrey J. Volenec
While all sectors of the economy can be impacted by climate variability and change, the agricultural sector is arguably the most tightly coupled to climate where changes in precipitation and temperature directly control plant growth and yield, as well as livestock production. This paper analyzes the direct and cascading effects of temperature, precipitation, and carbon dioxide (CO2) on agronomic and
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Correction to: The role of advanced end-use technologies in long-term climate change mitigation: the interlinkage between primary bioenergy and energy end-use Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-23 Junichi Tsutsui, Hiromi Yamamoto, Shogo Sakamoto, Masahiro Sugiyama
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02951-8
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Correction to: A climate change indicator framework for rangelands and pastures of the USA Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-22 Dennis S. Ojima, Rebecca Aicher, Steven R. Archer, Derek W. Bailey, Susan M. Casby-Horton, Nancy Cavallaro, Julian J. Reyes, John A. Tanaka, Robert A. Washington-Allen
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02948-3
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Correction to: Impacts of climate change on hurricane flood hazards in Jamaica Bay, New York Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-18 Reza Marsooli, Ning Lin
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02949-2
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Indicators and monitoring systems for urban climate resiliency Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-16 William Solecki, Cynthia Rosenzweig
Cities in the USA and around the world have begun to take an active role in responding to climate change. A central requirement for effective urban climate strategies is the capacity to understand and measure how the climate is changing, the physical, environmental, and social impacts of the changes, and whether adaptation and resiliency policies and programs put in place in response are working. The
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The albedo loss from the melting of the Greenland ice sheet and the social cost of carbon Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-16 Sandra Gschnaller
I extend the reduced Greenland ice sheet (GIS) model-module of DICE-GIS (Nordhaus, Proc Natl Acad Sci 25(116):12261–12269, 2019) by integrating snow-albedo feedback (SAF) and potential tipping of the ice sheet into the resuming DICE-GIS SAF model. The increasing global temperature no longer only results in the melting of the GIS, but also in albedo loss, which in turn impacts the strength of the SAF
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Non-analog increases to air, surface, and belowground temperature extreme events due to climate change Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-09 M. D. Petrie, J. B. Bradford, W. K. Lauenroth, D. R. Schlaepfer, C. M. Andrews, D. M. Bell
Air temperatures (Ta) are rising in a changing climate, increasing extreme temperature events. Examining how Ta increases are influencing extreme temperatures at the soil surface and belowground in the soil profile can refine our understanding of the ecological consequences of rising temperatures. In this paper, we validate surface and soil temperature (Ts: 0–100-cm depth) simulations in the SOILWAT2
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Ocean and coastal indicators: understanding and coping with climate change at the land-sea interface Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-08 Patricia M. Clay, Jennifer Howard, D. Shallin Busch, Lisa L. Colburn, Amber Himes-Cornell, Steven S. Rumrill, Stephani G. Zador, Roger B. Griffis
The U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) encompasses approximately 3.4 million square nautical miles of ocean and a coastline of over 12,300 miles. Along with the Great Lakes, this vast area generates ~US 370 billion of U.S. gross domestic product, 617 billion in sales and 2.6 million jobs each year. These ocean and coastal ecosystems also provide many important non-market services including subsistence
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How evaluation of hydrological models influences results of climate impact assessment—an editorial Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-07 Valentina Krysanova, Fred F. Hattermann, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz
This paper introduces the Special Issue (SI) “How evaluation of hydrological models influences results of climate impact assessment.” The main objectives were as follows: (a) to test a comprehensive model calibration/validation procedure, consisting of five steps, for regional-scale hydrological models; (b) to evaluate performance of global-scale hydrological models; and (c) to reveal whether the
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The health and well-being effects of drought: assessing multi-stakeholder perspectives through narratives from the UK Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-07 Kimberly Bryan, Sarah Ward, Liz Roberts, Mathew P. White, Owen Landeg, Tim Taylor, Lindsey McEwen
The global literature on drought and health highlights a variety of health effects for people in developing countries where certain prevailing social, economic and environmental conditions increase their vulnerability especially with climate change. Despite increased focus on climate change, relatively less is known about the health-drought impacts in the developed country context. In the UK, where
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An overview of the Energy Modeling Forum 33rd study: assessing large-scale global bioenergy deployment for managing climate change Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-05 Steven K Rose, Nico Bauer, Alexander Popp, John Weyant, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlik, Marshall Wise, Detlef P van Vuuren
Previous studies have projected a significant role for bioenergy in decarbonizing the global economy and helping realize international climate goals such as limiting global average warming to 2 ˚C or 1.5 ˚C. However, with substantial variability in bioenergy results and significant concerns about potential environmental and social implications, greater transparency and dedicated assessment of the underlying
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Mass balance calibration and reservoir representations for large-scale hydrological impact studies using SWAT+ Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-04 Celray James Chawanda, Jeffrey Arnold, Wim Thiery, Ann van Griensven
Climate change (CC) has a high impact on hydrological processes which calls for reliable projections of CC hydrological impacts at large scales. However, there are several challenges in hydrological modelling at large scales. Large-scale models are often not adapted and evaluated at regional scale due to high computation time requirements or lack of information on human interactions, such as dam operations
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Past ‘peak water’ in the North Caucasus: deglaciation drives a reduction in glacial runoff impacting summer river runoff and peak discharges Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-04 Ekaterina P. Rets, Ivan N. Durmanov, Maria B. Kireeva, Andrew M. Smirnov, Viktor V. Popovnin
At the end of the 20th—early twenty-first century, mountain glaciers exhibited the most negative mass balances since the beginning of observations. The hydrological consequence of deglaciation is a rise in glacial runoff until a maximum (‘peak water’) is reached, beyond which runoff decreases as glacier extents are reduced. It is likely that the peak water of glacial runoff has already been passed
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Understanding farmers’ suicidal ideation: a structural equation modeling study in Maharashtra, India Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-03 Deepika Swami, Prashant Dave, Devanathan Parthasarathy
India is witnessing an increasing rate of farmers’ suicide, which has been attributed to indebtedness by most of the studies. Indebtedness can be attributed to multiple factors, including individual, household, community, climatic, institutional, and market-oriented factors. The majority of studies have related these factors with indebtedness in isolation, but the conflating effect of these factors
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Climate and nomadic migration in a nonlinear world: evidence of the historical China Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-03 Olivier Damette, Stephane Goutte, Qing Pei
This paper deals with climate change and nomadic migration relationships at a long-term and wide geographical scale using a statistical approach in the vein of Bai and Kung (Rev Econ Stat 93:970–981 2011). More precisely, it presents a reassessment of these relationships in a nonlinear world using threshold regressions, time varying-copula, and nonlinear causality tests. The large amount of historical
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Who is vulnerable and who is resilient to coastal flooding? Lessons from Hurricane Sandy in New York City Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-02 Malgosia Madajewicz
Social vulnerability and resilience indices identify populations who are at risk from hazards in order to guide policy to build resilience. This study investigates which of the indicators that commonly comprise the indices reflect vulnerability and resilience to coastal flooding in urban areas based on primary data that document the impacts of and recovery from Hurricane Sandy in New York City. The
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Correction to: Inviting critical political economy to the table Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-12-02 Toby Miller
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02946-5
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Projected shifts in the distribution of malaria vectors due to climate change Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-27 Maria Chara Karypidou, Vasiliki Almpanidou, Adrian M. Tompkins, Antonios D. Mazaris, Sandra Gewehr, Spiros Mourelatos, Eleni Katragkou
Climate change is postulated to alter the distribution and abundance of species which serve as vectors for pathogens and is thus expected to affect the transmission of infectious, vector-borne diseases such as malaria. The ability to project and therefore, to mitigate the risk of potential expansion of infectious diseases requires an understanding of how vectors respond to environmental change. Here
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Correction to: Drought projection in the Indochina region based on the optimal ensemble subset of CMIP5 models Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-27 Rattana Chhin, Chantha Oeurng, Shigeo Yoden
The original article has been corrected. Figure 3 in the original article has been replaced by this figure.
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Does a successful comprehensive evaluation increase confidence in a hydrological model intended for climate impact assessment? Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-27 Alexander Gelfan, Andrey Kalugin, Inna Krylenko, Olga Nasonova, Yeugeniy Gusev, Evgeny Kovalev
The objective of the study is to verify a hypothesis that a hydrological model, which successfully passed a comprehensive evaluation test (CE-test), is more suitable for climate impact study than that which failed the test. In our study, the CE-test is a specially designed model evaluation procedure, including a set of enhanced tests of model performance and robustness. The hypothesis verification
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Impacts of climate change on hurricane flood hazards in Jamaica Bay, New York Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-26 Reza Marsooli, Ning Lin
Sea level rise (SLR) and tropical cyclone (TC) climatology change could impact future flood hazards in Jamaica Bay—an urbanized back-barrier bay in New York—yet their compound impacts are not well understood. This study estimates the compound effects of SLR and TC climatology change on flood hazards in Jamaica Bay from a historical period in the late twentieth century (1980–2000) to future periods
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Toward indicators of the performance of US infrastructures under climate change risks Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-25 Thomas J. Wilbanks, Rae Zimmerman, Susan Julius, Paul Kirshen, Joel B. Smith, Richard Moss, William Solecki, Matthias Ruth, Stephen Conrad, Steven J. Fernandez, Michael S. Matthews, Michael J. Savonis, Lynn Scarlett, Henry G. Schwartz, G. Loren Toole
Built infrastructures are increasingly disrupted by climate-related extreme events. Being able to monitor what climate change implies for US infrastructures is of considerable importance to all levels of decision-makers. A capacity to develop cross-cutting, widely applicable indicators for more than a dozen different kinds of infrastructure, however, is severely limited at present. The development
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Navigating through the jungle of information. Informational self-efficacy predicts climate change-related media exposure, knowledge, and behaviour Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-25 Laura S. Loy, Karen R. S. Hamann, Gerhard Reese
Climate change is a complex issue and understanding it is not an easy endeavour. An abundance of information is available through media and a lot of research has dealt with the question of how to best communicate this issue to the public. However, uncertainty and scepticism remain. In this paper, we argue that the subjective capability of informing oneself satisfactorily about climate change (i.e.
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Bio-energy and CO 2 emission reductions: an integrated land-use and energy sector perspective Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-24 Nico Bauer, David Klein, Florian Humpenöder, Elmar Kriegler, Gunnar Luderer, Alexander Popp, Jessica Strefler
Biomass feedstocks can be used to substitute fossil fuels and effectively remove carbon from the atmosphere to offset residual CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and other sectors. Both features make biomass valuable for climate change mitigation; therefore, CO2 emission mitigation leads to complex and dynamic interactions between the energy and the land-use sector via emission pricing policies
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Comprehensive evaluation of hydrological models for climate change impact assessment in the Upper Yangtze River Basin, China Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-24 Shanshan Wen, Buda Su, Yanjun Wang, Jianqing Zhai, Hemin Sun, Ziyan Chen, Jinlong Huang, Anqian Wang, Tong Jiang
Climate change has substantial impacts on regional hydrology in the major river basins. To figure out such latent hydrological impacts of changing climate, more reliable hydrological simulations are imperative. In this study, we evaluated the impacts of climate change on hydrological regime in the Upper Yangtze River Basin based on four downscaled and bias-corrected Global Climate Model outputs from
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Performance evaluation of global hydrological models in six large Pan-Arctic watersheds Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-24 Anne Gädeke, Valentina Krysanova, Aashutosh Aryal, Jinfeng Chang, Manolis Grillakis, Naota Hanasaki, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Yadu Pokhrel, Yusuke Satoh, Sibyll Schaphoff, Hannes Müller Schmied, Tobias Stacke, Qiuhong Tang, Yoshihide Wada, Kirsten Thonicke
Global Water Models (GWMs), which include Global Hydrological, Land Surface, and Dynamic Global Vegetation Models, present valuable tools for quantifying climate change impacts on hydrological processes in the data scarce high latitudes. Here we performed a systematic model performance evaluation in six major Pan-Arctic watersheds for different hydrological indicators (monthly and seasonal discharge
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Financial development and macroeconomic sustainability: modeling based on a modified environmental Kuznets curve Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-22 Adel Ben Youssef, Sabri Boubaker, Anis Omri
Sustainability has become an important and widely applied concept in the environmental economics literature. Despite the numerous studies employing an environmental Kuznets curve (EKC), this model has been critiqued for its incompleteness. This article builds a modified EKC model to examine the contribution of financial development for achieving sustainable development in the case of 14 selected Middle
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Gendered impacts of greenhouse gas mitigation options for rice cultivation in India Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-21 Hom Gartaula, Tek Sapkota, Arun Khatri-Chhetri, Gokul Prasad, Lone Badstue
The nexus of gender-agriculture-emissions reduction is one of the least explored areas related to agriculture and climate change. This nexus plays an important role in the areas where women’s participation in agriculture is high, and the contribution of the agricultural sector to total emission is significant. This study generates evidence on women’s labor contribution in rice cultivation and potential
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Introduction to the Indiana Climate Change Impacts Assessment: overview of the process and context Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-20 Melissa Widhalm, Jeffrey S. Dukes
The Indiana Climate Change Impacts Assessment (IN CCIA) is a collaborative effort to provide professionals, decision makers, and the public with information about how climate change affects state and local interests throughout Indiana, USA. This assessment effort has three interrelated goals: (1) analyze and document the best available climate change impacts research, (2) develop and maintain a network
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What drives relocation policies in the Maldives? Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-20 Geronimo Gussmann, Jochen Hinkel
The predominant responses to rising sea levels are in situ adaptations. However, increasing rates of sea-level rise will render ex situ adaptations—in the form of relocations—inevitable in some low-lying coastal zones. Particularly small island states like the Maldives face this significant adaptation challenge. Here, government action is necessary to move vulnerable communities out of flood-prone
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A climate change indicator framework for rangelands and pastures of the USA Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-20 Dennis S. Ojima, Rebecca Aicher, Steven R. Archer, Derek W. Bailey, Susan M. Casby-Horton, Nancy Cavallaro, Julian J. Reyes, John A. Tanaka, Robert A. Washington-Allen
Rangelands and pastures include grasslands, savannas, shrublands, and woodlands and are often maintained to support grazing animals. Rangelands and pastures cover more than one-third of the land area in the USA and a similar extent globally. The ecosystem goods and services associated with rangeland and pastureland include critical wildlife habitat, forage for livestock, amenities related to water
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Combating food insecurity in a rapidly changing mountain climate environment: insights from Lesotho Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-20 G. Mukwada, S. J. Taylor, D. Manatsa, P. Mahasa, G. Robinson
This paper assesses the options that developing countries have in ensuring food security in an environment where key climate parameters are changing rapidly. Based on a case study of Lesotho, the paper utilizes the Global Climate Model ensemble to determine future precipitation and temperature projections using data from Climate Explorer. The results indicate that in Lesotho, maximum temperature is
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From needs to actions: prospects for planned adaptations in high mountain communities Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-20 Graham McDowell, Leila Harris, Michele Koppes, Martin F. Price, Kai M.A. Chan, Dhawa G. Lama
Adaptation needs in high mountain communities are increasingly well documented, yet most efforts to address these needs continue to befall mountain people who have contributed little to the problem of climate change. This situation represents a contravention of accepted norms of climate justice and calls attention to the need for better understanding of prospects for externally resourced adaptation
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Women’s empowerment and farmland allocations in Bangladesh: evidence of a possible pathway to crop diversification Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-20 Alessandro De Pinto, Greg Seymour, Elizabeth Bryan, Prapti Bhandari
Climate change will likely affect several of the dimensions that determine people’s food security status in Bangladesh, from crop production to the availability and accessibility of food products. Crop diversification is a form of adaptation to climate change that reduces exposure to climate-related risks and has also been shown to increase diet diversity, reduce micronutrient deficiencies, and positively
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Warmer incubation temperature influences sea turtle survival and nullifies the benefit of a female-biased sex ratio Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-19 Samir Martins, Elton Silva, Elena Abella, Nuno de Santos Loureiro, Adolfo Marco
Climate change plays a key role in the development and survival of oviparous ectotherms such as sea turtles. Higher environmental temperatures are expected to lead to increased production of female hatchlings and potential feminization of many populations, as well as reduced hatching success and hatchling fitness. We investigated how different sand temperatures affect sea turtle embryo mortality, hatchling
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Effects of model calibration on hydrological and water resources management simulations under climate change in a semi-arid watershed Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-18 Hagen Koch, Ana Lígia Chaves Silva, Stefan Liersch, José Roberto Gonçalves de Azevedo, Fred Fokko Hattermann
Semi-arid regions are known for erratic precipitation patterns with significant effects on the hydrological cycle and water resources availability. High temporal and spatial variation in precipitation causes large variability in runoff over short durations. Due to low soil water storage capacity, base flow is often missing and rivers fall dry for long periods. Because of its climatic characteristics
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Eco-reproductive concerns in the age of climate change Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-17 Matthew Schneider-Mayerson, Kit Ling Leong
Media reports and public polls suggest that young people in many countries are increasingly factoring climate change into their reproductive choices, but empirical evidence about this phenomenon is lacking. This article reviews the scholarship on this subject and discusses the results of the first empirical study focused on it, a quantitative and qualitative survey of 607 US-Americans between the ages
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Snowpack affects soil microclimate throughout the year Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-16 Geoffrey Wilson, Mark Green, John Brown, John Campbell, Peter Groffman, Jorge Durán, Jennifer Morse
Variations in snow depth have complex effects on soil microclimate. Snow insulates soil and thus regulates, along with air temperature, the nature, and extent of soil freezing. There is great uncertainty about the main drivers of soil freezing, which have important effects on ecosystem carbon and nitrogen cycling processes and might change as climate warms and snowfall decreases as part of climate
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Potential impacts of climate change on wind and solar electricity generation in Texas Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-14 Ignacio Losada Carreño, Michael T. Craig, Michael Rossol, Moetasim Ashfaq, Fulden Batibeniz, Sue Ellen Haupt, Caroline Draxl, Bri-Mathias Hodge, Carlo Brancucci
Wind and solar energy sources are climate and weather dependent, therefore susceptible to a changing climate. We quantify the impacts of climate change on wind and solar electricity generation under high concentrations of greenhouse gases in Texas. We employ mid-twenty-first century climate projections and a high-resolution numerical weather prediction model to generate weather variables in the future
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The effects of spatiotemporal patterns of atmospheric CO 2 concentration on terrestrial gross primary productivity estimation Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-14 Zhongyi Sun, Xiufeng Wang, Haruhiko Yamamoto, Hiroshi Tani, Tangzhe Nie
A quantitative understanding of the global gross primary productivity (GPP) and its responses to increasing CO2 levels is critical for quantifying the feedbacks of ecosystems to climate change. This study applied the daily boreal ecosystem productivity simulator (BEPSd) model to estimate the global GPP from 2000 to 2015, compare the estimated GPP with flux tower measurements and other GPP products
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Catastrophic climate change, population ethics and intergenerational equity Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-12 Aurélie Méjean, Antonin Pottier, Marc Fleurbaey, Stéphane Zuber
Climate change threatens irreversible and dangerous impacts, possibly leading to extinction. The most relevant trade-off then may not be between present and future consumption but between present consumption and the mere existence of future generations. To investigate this trade-off, we build an integrated assessment model that explicitly accounts for the risk of extinction of future generations. Using
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Comparison of two model calibration approaches and their influence on future projections under climate change in the Upper Indus Basin Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-10 Muhammad Fraz Ismail, Bibi S. Naz, Michel Wortmann, Markus Disse, Laura C. Bowling, Wolfgang Bogacki
This study performs a comparison of two model calibration/validation approaches and their influence on future hydrological projections under climate change by employing two climate scenarios (RCP2.6 and 8.5) projected by four global climate models. Two hydrological models (HMs), snowmelt runoff model + glaciers and variable infiltration capacity model coupled with a glacier model, were used to simulate
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Potentials and critiques of building a Southeast Asian interdisciplinary knowledge community on critical geoengineering studies Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-10 Laurence L. Delina
Geoengineering has generally been a research province of the Global North. Developing countries, especially climate-vulnerable regions such as Southeast Asia, have made few contributions to a critical understanding of geoengineering. To deliver more climate action, we need to amplify Global South voices in this debate. This essay summarizes the deliberations of a workshop that sought to build an inter-
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Correction to: Deliberative framing: opening up discussions for local-level public engagement on climate change Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-10 Rebecca Romsdahl
Part of the reference section on the article was included as Supplementary Material with the article online. The full reference section for the article is included here.
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Financial precautions, carbon dioxide leakage, and the European Directive 2009/31/EC on carbon capture and storage (CCS) Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-10 Manuel Wifling
The phenomenon of anthropogenic climate change has been identified as a threat multiplier for many human-related concerns. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) can, in combination with several other mitigation technologies, alleviate global warming by reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Reducing climate change-related risks via CCS creates another risk, smaller in extent: the risk that some of the
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Identifying decision-relevant uncertainties for dynamic adaptive forest management under climate change Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-09 Naomi Radke, Klaus Keller, Rasoul Yousefpour, Marc Hanewinkel
The decision on how to manage a forest under climate change is subject to deep and dynamic uncertainties. The classic approach to analyze this decision adopts a predefined strategy, tests its robustness to uncertainties, but neglects their dynamic nature (i.e., that decision-makers can learn and adjust the strategy). Accounting for learning through dynamic adaptive strategies (DAS) can drastically
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Correction to: Preparing to adapt: are public expectations in line with climate projections? Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-09 Carley M. Eschliman, Emma Kuster, Joseph Ripberger, Adrienne M. Wootten
The article Preparing to adapt: are public expectations in line with climate projections? written by Carley M. Eschliman, Emma Kuster, Joseph Ripberger & Adrienne M. Wootten.
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Extreme weather and climate opinion: evidence from Australia Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-09 Llewelyn Hughes, David M. Konisky, Sandra Potter
Extreme weather patterns can be linked to the effects of anthropogenic climate change with increasing confidence. Evidence from the USA suggests a weak relationship between individuals’ experiences of many types of weather events and concern about climate change. Using data from Australia, we investigate the effects of experiences of increases in mean temperatures and drought on a range of measures
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Correction to: Farmers’ perceptions and matching climate records jointly explain adaptation responses in four communities around Lake Tana, Ethiopia Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-07 András Darabant, Birgit Habermann, Kibruyesfa Sisay, Christopher Thurnher, Yonas Worku, Selamawit Damtew, Mara Lindtner, Leisa Burrell, Abrham Abiyu
The original article has been corrected. Unfortunately, the original publication contained a mistake in one of the author names. The correct name is Kibruyesfa Sisay.
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Communicating the hidden: toward a framework for drought risk communication in maritime climates Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-07 Emma Weitkamp, Lindsey McEwen, Patty Ramirez
This paper explores stakeholder perspectives on the drought discourse in the UK, where climate change is predicted to increase drought risk. This study took a co-productive, mixed-methods approach to investigate drought risk communication issues through repeated engagements with local advisory groups in seven catchments across Britain and a national stakeholder competency group. These data were enriched
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Assessing the past and adapting to future floods: a hydro-social analysis Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-06 Rohini Devkota, Utsav Bhattarai, Laxmi Devkota, Tek Narayan Maraseni
Floods are extreme events affecting millions of people worldwide and causing loss worth billions. The magnitude and frequency of floods are likely to increase with altered climate, and developing countries tend to suffer the most because of low resilience and adaptive capacity. This research aimed to analyze existing and preferred future flood adaptation strategies in a flood-prone West Rapti River
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Heat stress risk and vulnerability under climate change in Durban metropolitan, South Africa—identifying urban planning priorities for adaptation Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-06 Meryl Jagarnath, Tirusha Thambiran, Michael Gebreslasie
There is an urgent need to map the geographic location of climate change risks and vulnerability, especially for cities in sub-Saharan Africa, which are experiencing the greatest urban development challenges and vulnerability to climate change impacts. The aim of this study is to investigate current and projected future heat risk, expressed as a heat stress exposure index using high-resolution climate
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Evidence of climate-driven changes on atmospheric, hydrological, and oceanographic variables along the Chilean coastal zone Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-06 Patricio Winckler Grez, Catalina Aguirre, Laura Farías, Manuel Contreras-López, Ítalo Masotti
The Chilean coastal zone (CCZ) is subjected to a complex spectrum of anthropogenic, geophysical, biogeochemical, and climate-driven perturbations. Potentially affected variables including atmospheric sea level pressure (Pa), alongshore wind, sea surface temperature (SST), chlorophyll-a, rainfall, river discharge, relative mean sea level (RMSL), and wave climate are studied using in situ and satellite
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Integrating archival analysis, observational data, and climate projections to assess extreme event impacts in Alaska Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-05 Nathan P. Kettle, John E. Walsh, Lindsey Heaney, Richard L. Thoman, Kyle Redilla, Lynneva Carroll
Understanding potential risks, vulnerabilities, and impacts to weather extremes and climate change are key information needs for coastal planners and managers in support of climate adaptation. Assessing historical trends and potential socio-economic impacts is especially difficult in the Arctic given limitations on availability of weather observations and historical impacts. This study utilizes a novel
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Key problems in early wine-spirit thermometers and the “true Réaumur” thermometer Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-04 Dario Camuffo
The main problems of early wine-spirit thermometers, with special reference to the eighteenth century, are considered with a holistic approach based on historical sources, physical mechanisms, and mathematical relationships. Thermometers were hardly comparable and were vulnerable at extreme temperatures, including calibration. Wine-spirit and the vapor pressure exerted at different temperatures, especially
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Projection of vegetation impacts on future droughts over West Africa using a coupled RegCM-CLM-CN-DV Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-02 Muhammad Shafqat Mehboob, Yeonjoo Kim, Jaehyeong Lee, Myoung-Jin Um, Amir Erfanian, Guiling Wang
This study investigates the projected effect of vegetation feedback on drought conditions in West Africa using a regional climate model coupled with the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Land Model, carbon–nitrogen (CN) module, and dynamic vegetation (DV) module (RegCM4.3.4-CLM-CN-DV). The role of vegetation feedback is examined based on simulations with and without the DV module.
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Seasonality of biological and physical systems as indicators of climatic variation and change Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-11-02 Jake F. Weltzin, Julio L. Betancourt, Benjamin I. Cook, Theresa M. Crimmins, Carolyn A. F. Enquist, Michael D. Gerst, John E. Gross, Geoffrey M. Henebry, Rebecca A. Hufft, Melissa A. Kenney, John S. Kimball, Bradley C. Reed, Steven W. Running
Evidence-based responses to climate change by society require operational and sustained information including biophysical indicator systems that provide up-to-date measures of trends and patterns against historical baselines. Two key components linking anthropogenic climate change to impacts on socio-ecological systems are the periodic inter- and intra-annual variations in physical climate systems
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Effective sample size for precipitation estimation in atmospheric general circulation model ensemble experiments: dependence on temporal and spatial averaging scales Clim. Change (IF 4.134) Pub Date : 2020-10-27 Kenshi Hibino, Izuru Takayabu
The accuracy of climate projections is improved by increasing the number of samples from ensemble experiments, leading to a decrease in the confidence interval of a target climatological variable. The improvement in the accuracy depends on the degree of independence of each ensemble member in the experiments. When the members of ensemble experiments are dependent on each other, the introduction of
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