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Quantifying overheating risk in English schools: A spatially coherent climate risk assessment Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-13 Laura C. Dawkins, Kate Brown, Dan J. Bernie, Jason A. Lowe, Theodoros Economou, Duncan Grassie, Yair Schwartz, Daniel Godoy-Shimizu, Ivan Korolija, Dejan Mumovic, David Wingate, Emma Dyer
Climate adaptation decision making can be informed by a quantification of current and future climate risk. This is important for understanding which populations and/or infrastructures are most at risk in order to prioritise adaptation action. When assessing the risk of overheating in buildings, many studies use advanced building models to comprehensively represent the vulnerability of the building
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How do childcare centers cope with heat? – Findings of a mixed-method approach from three German cities Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-12 Antje Otto, Annegret H. Thieken
Heat poses a crucial threat to human health, and infants and young children are seen as especially vulnerable. Therefore, staff of childcare facilities are responsible for taking actions to minimize health impairments caused by heat. So far, however, little is known about the impacts of heat and how heat is dealt with in childcare facilities. To add insights on this, we used a mixed-method approach
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Defining severe risks related to mobility from climate change Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-11 Elisabeth A. Gilmore, David Wrathall, Helen Adams, Halvard Buhaug, Edwin Castellanos, Nathalie Hilmi, Robert McLeman, Chandni Singh, Ibidun Adelekan
While migration is often conceptualized as an adaptive response to climate hazards, migration can also present severe risks to people on the move. In this paper, we attempt to operationalize the Representative Key Risks (RKR) framework of the Sixth Assessment Report of Working Group II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for human mobility. First, we provide a framework for understanding
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Climate change worry in the times of the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidence from two large-scale European surveys Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-11 Ádám Stefkovics, Csilla Ágoston, Emőke Bukovenszki, Andrea Dúll, Olivér Hortay Conceptualisation, Attila Varga
Climate change beliefs drive individual actions tackling climate change and influence the support of climate change policies. In the last two years, however, humanity has faced a parallel global crisis: the COVID-19 pandemic. The widely communicated finite pool of worry theory suggests that consideration of a crisis usually decreases when another crisis is emerging. Nevertheless, according to recent
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How do irrigation district managers deal with climate change risks? Considering experiences, tipping points, and risk normalization in northern Italy Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-11 Sandra Ricart, Claudio Gandolfi, Andrea Castelletti
Agriculture is one of the most sensitive and vulnerable activities to climate variations; climate change impacts crop yield, soil processes, water availability, and pest dynamic. Farmers are on the front lines of climate change-induced stressors, shifts, and shocks, having to provide solutions as planners, performers, and innovators working under challenging and uncertain risk conditions. Extensive
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Enhancing infrastructure resilience in wildfire management to face extreme events: Insights from the Iberian Peninsula Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-11 Erica Arango, Pilar Jiménez, Maria Nogal, Hélder S. Sousa, Mark G. Stewart, José C. Matos
Factors such as human activity and climate change are contributing to an increase in the frequency and intensity of wildfires. This problem has challenged society’s knowledge, response capacity, and resilience, revealing its inadequacy to cope with the new wildfire regime characterized by extreme wildfire events (EWE). Policies on wildfire management mainly focus on suppression and managing emergencies
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Living in the ‘Blue Zone’ of a sea-level rise inundation map: Community perceptions of coastal flooding in King Salmon, California Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-09 Laurie Richmond, Kristina Kunkel
As sea-level rise (SLR) inundation maps proliferate, it is important to study their politics – both how they are created and how they act upon and shape various lives and places. This paper uses the example of King Salmon, CA – a rural, low-income residential area projected to be one of the most at risk to SLR on the US West Coast – to examine how a community responds to external projections showing
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Assessing leverage points for strengthening adaptive capacity in a Global South food system: A psychometric approach Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-05 Linda M. Rosengren, Janne Kaseva, Mila Sell, Christopher M. Raymond
Despite the burgeoning literature on adaptive capacity, there is a lack of psychometric approaches for assessing the determinants of adaptive capacity, particularly in food systems in the Global South. The study addressed this knowledge gap by investigating four determinants, previously identified as leverage points, for strengthening adaptive capacity: access to finance, access to and use of information
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Updating catastrophe models to today’s climate – an application of a large ensemble approach to extreme rainfall Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-03-03 Andreas Lang, Benjamin Poschlod
As climate change unfolds, extreme weather events and natural hazards relevant for the insurance industry may change in frequency and intensity. In order to guarantee risk-adequate pricing, risk modelers have to ask themselves the question whether a certain ‘hazard’ parameter based on past observations and calibrated on past data is still valid or needs to be updated. Using the example of heavy rainfall
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A bibliometric and topic analysis of climate justice: Mapping trends, voices, and the way forward Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-02-25 Meg Parsons, Quinn Asena, Danielle Johnson, Johanna Nalau
The field of climate justice has been growing in relevance since its conception in 1997. This paper presents a comprehensive bibliometric and topic modelling analyses to examine the evolution and trajectory of the climate justice literature. We analyse 1,683 publications covering the period from 1997 to 2021, highlighting foundational works, influential authors, leading nations and institutions, and
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Roles and activities of local stakeholders facing Alpine permafrost warming: A comparative exploratory analysis of three contexts and networks of actors Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-02-23 Rafaël Weissbrodt, Sandrine Caroly, Jessica Marques Pisoeiro, Ludovic Ravanel, Xavier Bodin
Mountain permafrost warming resulting from climate change increases gravitational hazards. This interdisciplinary study compares the networks of actors involved in managing such hazards in three regions of the European Alps. Interviews were conducted with 40 people (members of local authorities, mountain professionals, and private citizens) at the foot of Mont Blanc (Chamonix, France), in the Vanoise
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Disparities between climate change facts and farmer’s awareness and perception in an arid region: A case study of the middle and lower reaches of the Heihe River Basin in northwest China Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-02-19 Benli Liu, Wanyue Peng, Yunhua Zhang
Arid areas are sensitive and vulnerable to climate change and may face more climate risks in the future under the background of global warming. The adaptability of society to future climate change impacts relies heavily on the awareness and perception of local populations. This study focuses on the middle and lower reaches of the Heihe River, which is the second-largest inland river in China, and examine
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Visiting urban green space as a climate-change adaptation strategy: Exploring push factors in a push–pull framework Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-02-18 Gwendolyn K.L. Wong, Anson T.H. Ma, Lewis T.O. Cheung, Alex Y. Lo, C.Y. Jim
Urban green space (UGS) offers users multiple ecosystem services and amenities. This study investigated whether residents used UGS visitation in summer as a sustainable measure to tackle hot weather and associated climate-change impacts in humid-subtropical Hong Kong. Attributes of the indoor residential environment, seldom examined in park-visitation studies, were evaluated as push factors to visit
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Barriers to climate adaptation in Norwegian building projects – Insights from moisture safety designers’ perspective Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-02-17 Jørn Emil Gaarder, Runar Høien Clausen, Robert Næss, Tore Kvande
To reduce the escalating maintenance costs for the Norwegian building stock, adapting new building designs to future climate changes becomes necessary. Currently, climate adaptation of moisture safety design by considering future climate loads is not mandatory in the Norwegian building code. This forces building designers to choose between adhering to existing standards and guidelines or investing
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Building resilience to extreme weather events in Phoenix: Considering contaminated sites and disadvantaged communities Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-02-06 Paramita Sinha, Meridith Fry, Susan Julius, Robert Truesdale, James Cajka, Michele Eddy, Prakash Doraiswamy, Rosanne Albright, Julie Riemenschneider, Matthew Potzler, Brian Lim, Jennifer Richkus, Maggie O'Neal
The interplay of contaminated sites, climate change, and disadvantaged communities are a growing concern worldwide. Worsening extreme events may result in accidental contaminant releases from sites and waste facilities that may impact nearby communities. If such communities are already suffering from environmental, economic, health, or social burdens, they may face disproportionate impacts. Equitable
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Multi-criteria decision approach for climate adaptation of cultural resources along the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States: Application of AHP method Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-02-05 Abu SMG Kibria, Erin Seekamp, Xiao Xiao, Soupy Dalyander, Mitchell Eaton
Prioritizing climate adaptation actions is often made difficult by stakeholders and decision-makers having multiple objectives, some of which may be competing. Transparent, transferable, and objective methods are needed to assess and weight different objectives for complex decisions with multiple interests. In this study, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used to examine priorities in managing
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Risk governance of climate-related hazards in Longyearbyen, Svalbard: A review of risk governance approaches and knowledge gaps Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-01-07 Stig Johannessen, Holt Hancock, Siiri Wickström, Eirik Albrechtsen
Climate-related risks pose challenges to communities globally as changing climatic conditions alter the patterns of natural hazards which threaten human lives and infrastructure. In Longyearbyen, Norway, in the High Arctic Svalbard archipelago, climatic changes presently occur at rates well in excess of global means, with corresponding changes to climate-related risks requiring new and improved risk
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From fast to slow risks: Shifting vulnerabilities of flood-related migration in Lodwar, Kenya Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2024-01-07 Marina Korzenevica, Philemon Ong'ao Ng'asike, Mary Ngikadelio, Didymus Lokomwa, Peter Ewoton, Ellen Dyer
Migration triggered by climate variability or climate change is often a problematic yet nearly unavoidable adaptation measure, particularly due to the increasing severity of natural hazards. How relocation is negotiated, and risks are evaluated at different scales are still poorly understood. We discuss the temporality and complexity of risks, that are experienced and approached through socio-spatial
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The impact of livelihood capitals on farmers’ adoption of climate-smart agriculture practices: Evidence from rice production in the Jianghan Plain, China Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-12-31 Qingmeng Tong, Xinyuan Yuan, Lu Zhang, Junbiao Zhang, Wenjing Li
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Economic valuation of climate induced losses to aquaculture for evaluating climate information services in Bangladesh Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-12-31 Shammunul Islam, Peerzadi Rumana Hossain, Melody Braun, T.S. Amjath-Babu, Essam Yassin Mohammed, Timothy J. Krupnik, Anwar Hossain Chowdhury, Mitchell Thomas, Max Mauerman
Very little research has focused on climate impacts on aquaculture and the potential of climate information services (CIS) for aquaculture to support sustainable development goals 2030 (SDGs).1 This study represents an effort to bridge this gap by conducting a first ex-ante economic evaluation of CIS for aquaculture in Bangladesh by semi-automating the extraction of data on climate-induced fish losses
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Gender-based vulnerability and adaptive capacity in the disaster-prone coastal areas from an intersectionality perspective Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-12-23 A.B.M. Mainul Bari, Anika Intesar, Abdullah Al Mamun, Binoy Debnath, Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam, G.M. Monirul Alam, Md. Shahin Parvez
Households in the coastal areas are more vulnerable to various environmental, social, and economic disruptions in terms of an intersectionality point of view. As a first step in mitigating potential effects on families, knowing how susceptible they are and, ideally, fortifying themselves against existing and potential disruptions is essential. Vulnerability and adaptive capacity could not be uniformly
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Inland shipping response to discharge extremes – A 10 years case study of the Rhine Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Frederik Vinke, Bas Turpijn, Pieter Gelder, Mark Koningsveld
Inland shipping is a key modality for freight transport between the seaport of Rotterdam and the industrial areas in Germany and Switzerland. The recent droughts of 2018, 2019 and 2022 have clearly demonstrated how discharge related supply chain disruptions cause substantial economic damages in the hinterland. The IPCC predicts that climate change will increase the variability in water cycles globally
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Co-designing a just resilience balance scorecard with experts in islands and coastal cities Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-11-30 Priscila Carvalho, Catalina Spataru
The growing focus on enhancing resilience in international humanitarian communities and vulnerable regions underscores the need for advancing theoretical and empirical tools. This research introduces a balance scorecard co-developed with users to monitor justice in disaster risk reduction and resilience (DR3) with a specific emphasis on floods, droughts and heatwaves. The goal is facilitating the integration
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Climate change impacts and adaptation efforts in different economic sectors of the Trinational Metropolitan Region Upper Rhine Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-11-18 Nicolas Scholze, Nils Riach, Rüdiger Glaser, Sarah Gruner, Gaël Bohnert, Brice Martin
The Trinational Metropolitan Region Upper Rhine (TMO3) is a polycentric and highly urbanized region in Central Europe. The impacts of climate change onto the regional enterprises are complex and differ sectorwise and according to geographical factors. In this paper, we take a differentiated look at climate change impacts and adaptation efforts in nine of the region’s most affected sectors: agriculture
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Factors affecting willingness to adopt climate insurance among smallholder farmers in Sri Lanka Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-11-18 Mohamed Aheeyar, Upali Amarasinghe, Giriraj Amarnath, Niranga Alahacoon
Drought is an almost annual phenomenon affecting many parts of Sri Lanka, causing huge damage to agriculture and losses to the broader economy in general and farmers in particular. Climate change threatens to exacerbate these risks. Risk transfer mechanisms, such as crop insurance schemes, may help buffer farmers against these hazards and has gained attention as an adaptation response to become an
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Human adaptation to climate change in the context of forests: A systematic review Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-11-17 Alexandra Paige Fischer, Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah, Alcade C. Segnon, Custodio Matavel, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Yuanyuan Shang, Maegan Muir, Rachel Kaufmann
We assessed how people adapt to climate change in the context of forests through a systematic review of the international empirical research literature. We found that drought, precipitation variability, extreme precipitation and flooding, and extreme heat were the climatic stressors to which responses were most frequently documented. Individuals and households received the most research attention,
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Living with water: Evolving adaptation preferences under increasing sea-level rise in Miami-Dade County, FL, USA Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-11-17 Nadia A. Seeteram, Elizabeth P. Anderson, Mahadev Bhat, Kevin Grove, Brett F. Sanders, Jochen E. Schubert, Farrah Hasan, Katharine J. Mach
Great uncertainty exists about household responses to intensifying sea-level rise and related flooding, especially about when residents may consider relocation. Understanding how preferences for in-situ adaptation versus climate mobility evolve through time across communities with varying capacities can help identify policy solutions suited to a range of community needs. We present an analysis of 40
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Analyzing the preferences of flood victims on post flood public houses (PFPH): Application of a hybrid choice model to the floodplains of southern Pakistan Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-11-14 Abdul Fattah Hulio, Varun Varghese, Makoto Chikaraishi
Climate change related natural hazards cause significant suffering and economic damage. The aftermath of losing one's home leaves people facing difficult decisions. Resettling those affected by flood disasters remains a complex and uncertain process. This study aims to shed light on the factors influencing the decision to choose post-flood public houses (PFPH) in flood-prone areas. Using a stated preference
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Adaptation to climate change in the UK wine sector Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-11-07 Kate Elizabeth Gannon, Declan Conway, Mark Hardman, Alistair Nesbitt, Stephen Dorling, Johannes Borchert
This research contributes to literature on private sector adaptation, examining business-level adaptation to climate change in the UK wine sector. The research adopts a temporal and relational view of adaptation, through a sector-wide, value chain lens and through considering adaptation to both climate variability and longer-term change. Using the lens of ‘a good year’ and ‘a bad year’ in the sector
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Facing drought: exposure, vulnerability and adaptation options of extensive livestock systems in the French Pre-Alps Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-10-28 Claire Deléglise, Hugues François, Grégory Loucougaray, Emilie Crouzat
Extensive livestock farming is a key activity in the Alpine region, contributing to the economy and maintaining typical landscapes, high biological and cultural diversity. With climate change, recent and unprecedented multi-year droughts are threatening these extensive production systems and the positive externalities they deliver. This study aims to better understand the local exposure and vulnerability
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Defining affordability and adaptation resource prioritisation Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-10-29 Paul Hudson, Thomas Thaler
Across Europe there is an increasing behavioural turn in flood risk management, focussing on individual behaviour and responsibilities. For example, a greater focus on implementing property-level resilience measures. A conclusion from this trend is that there are additional burdens being placed on the residents of flood-prone areas, in the hope of reducing their overall burden; therefore, we must understand
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Systemic risk and compound vulnerability impact pathways of food insecurity in Somalia Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-10-27 Lisa Thalheimer, Franziska Gaupp, Christian Webersik
In a strongly interconnected world, extreme and compound events pose systemic risks to food security and populations already vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Pre-existing vulnerabilities can also compound, interfering with adaptation strategies and affecting human migration patterns. While some drivers of compound vulnerability are known on a normative level, there remains a critical gap
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Unpacking the theory-practice gap in climate adaptation Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-10-15 Estefania Arteaga, Johanna Nalau, Robbert Biesbroek, Michael Howes
Climate change adaptation (CCA) is an urgent global challenge that requires transdisciplinary efforts to deliver effective, aligned, useful, and sustainable outcomes. Current approaches and tools have been slow to translate into robust action, however, leading to a widening gap between adaptation theory and actual on the ground implementation. This theory–practice gap is a fundamental factor that is
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Effects of information exposure on risk perception and worry about ocean acidification: Evidence from Norway and the UK Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-10-11 Rouven Doran, Charles A. Ogunbode
This paper reports on an investigation in which risk perception and worry were assessed before and after information about possible consequences of ocean acidification was presented in the form of short-written messages. Study 1 (N = 289, Norway sample) found no support for a causal effect of a message incorporating simple factual information, yet a vivid information message was associated with increased
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A Delphi assessment of climate change risks in southern Africa in the 21st century Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-10-06 Robert J. Scholes, Kaera L. Coetzer, Ruwadzano Matsika, Bernard W.T. Coetzee, Yolandi Ernst, Anita Etale, Nzalalemba Serge Kubanza, Khangelani Moyo, Bright Nkrumah, Francois A. Engelbrecht, Mulala Danny Simatele, Coleen H. Vogel
Climate change is acknowledged as one of the greatest environmental and development challenges society faces. Many organisations are now encouraged to conduct assessments of the climate risks they will be exposed to over the next decades. The Global Change Institute (University of Witwatersrand, South Africa) conducted such an assessment for the southern Africa region, to identify some of the main
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Assessment of adaptation practices for risk minimization to drought in semi-arid environments Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-10-05 J.V.N.S. Prasad, N. Akila, C. Sharmila Bharathi, S. Alagudurai, C.A. Rama Rao, B.M.K. Raju, K.V. Rao, A.V.M. Subba Rao, R. Rejani, D.B.V. Ramana, S. Kundu, Ibrahim Kaleel, C.M. Pradeep, B.V.S. Kiran, J.V. Prasad, Ch Srinivasa Rao, K. Sammi Reddy, V.K. Singh, S. Bhaskar, S.K. Chaudhari, A.K. Singh
India is one of the most drought prone countries in the world and droughts are impacting agricultural production and livelihoods. Building resilience of agriculture has become important in view of the large-scale impacts of climate change and quantification of resilience is essential for objective assessment of technologies and systems for their performance. The focus of the study is to assess the
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The sacred and climate change: Local perceptions from KaNyaka island in Mozambique Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-09-30 Marlino Eugénio Mubai, Salomão Olinda Bandeira, Dactivo José Combane, Tim Daw, Taís Gonzalez, Elizabeth Maria Drury O'Neill, Maria Mancilla Garcia
Small islands are highly dependent on their natural endowments. Because of this dependency, they are more vulnerable to climate change. This paper builds on the assumption that a better understanding of the meaning of climate change in specific local contexts (from localized perspectives) opens up possibilities for climate change adaptations. Based on literature reviews, semi-structured interviews
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Exploring the cooling effect of shading for climate change adaptation in coffee areas Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-09-28 Leonel Lara-Estrada, Livia Rasche, Uwe A. Schneider
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Living with climate and state fragility in a “chaotic paradise:” securitizing livelihoods in the Philippines’ Cotabato River Basin Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-09-09 Laurence L. Delina, Nicolo Paolo P. Ludovice, Jon Gaviola, Rufa Cagoco-Guiam
The Cotabato River Basin, located on the island of Mindanao in the Philippines, holds paramount importance for local communities and the national economy. However, over the past few decades, the region has been severely affected by the consequences of climate change, such as flooding and drought, along with long-standing socio-political conflicts that threaten livelihood security. This article analyzes
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Risk spillover between climate variables and the agricultural commodity market in East Africa Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-09-12 Jean-Luc Mubenga-Tshitaka, John W. Muteba Mwamba, Johane Dikgang, Dambala Gelo
This paper assesses the effect of extreme weather variability in predicting the impact on two agricultural crop-related variables: yield and production. We use a Markov-Switching time-varying copula to describe the joint dependence structure between extreme weather variability and crops in East Africa during the period 1961–2018. Understanding the risk associated with weather variability on agricultural
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The institutional support index: A pragmatic approach to assessing the effectiveness of institutions' climate risk management support-A case study of farming communities in Pakistan Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-09-11 Nasir Abbas Khan, Ataharul Chowdhury, Ashfaq Ahmad Shah, Palwasha Khan, Bader Alhafi Alotaibi
The effects of climate change are global and will worsen in the future. People face uncontrollable large-scale events due to the crisis. To manage climate-induced risks, understanding all threats is crucial. A country's governance system is responsible for risk management. Pakistan is highly vulnerable to climatic disasters, making its governance system crucial. To achieve climate risk resilience,
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Advancing participatory backcasting for climate change adaptation planning using 10 cases from 3 continents Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-09-09 Tom van der Voorn, Jaco Quist, Åsa Svenfelt, Kasper Kok, Robin Hickman, Stephen Sheppard, Annika Carlsson Kanyama, David Banister
In the face of climate change, a major challenge is to inform and guide long-term climate change adaptation planning under deep uncertainty, while aiming at transformative change. Normative futures studies approaches, such as participatory backcasting, visioning and transition management, are increasingly applied, but their potential for climate change adaptation research and practice remains undervalued
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Myth or reality? The Digitalization of Climate-Smart Agriculture (DCSA) practices in smallholding agriculture in the Bono East Region of Ghana Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-31 Philip Tetteh Quarshie, Abdul-Rahim Abdulai, Emily Duncan, Krishna Bahadur KC, Robin Roth, Adam Sneyd, Evan D.G Fraser
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Rainfall shocks and inequality have heterogeneous effects on farmers' seed purchase decisions in East Africa Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-31 Clifton Makate, Arild Angelsen, Stein Terje Holden, Ola Tveitereid Westengen
Weather shocks and poverty worsen seed and food insecurity in smallholder farming. Here we use rich and representative household-level data for Ethiopia, Malawi, and Tanzania, combined with historical monthly weather data to examine the effects of prior drought exposure and wealth (asset endowment) inequality on seed purchase decisions. We find that between a third and half of the farmers purchase
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Strategic land acquisition for efficient and equitable flood risk reduction in the United States Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-26 Jiyang Zhang, Haochi Zheng, Xiaodong Zhang, Zhulu Lin, Jeffrey VanLooy, Aaron Kennedy
Land acquisition and subsequent prevention of future development in flood-prone areas offers high economic potential in reducing flood damage. However, there is an urgent need to evaluate the social outcome of this flood adaptation policy given the unequal exposure of vulnerable populations to flood impacts. Here, we use two additional evaluation criteria – equity of benefit distribution and population
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Drought governance: A cross-level governance analysis in Botswana Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-30 Kulthoum Omari Motsumi, Gina Ziervogel, Mark New
Drought, a growing climate change hazard, is a multilevel problem that affects and is affected by decisions that are made at multiple levels of governance (local, district, and national). Understanding the characteristics of governance that might enable effective drought management can greatly enhance the design of drought responses and adaptation measures. Using the case of Botswana, an in-depth analysis
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Satellite monitoring for coastal dynamic adaptation policy pathways Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-28 Benjamin D. Hamlington, Anjali Tripathi, David R. Rounce, Matthew Weathers, Kyra H. Adams, Carmen Blackwood, Jamie Carter, Renee C. Collini, Laura Engeman, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Robert E. Kopp
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Assessing the Dynamics of Agropastoral farmers’ Adaptive Capacity to Drought in Uganda’s Cattle Corridor Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-16 James Mbaziira, Anthony Egeru, Yazidhi Bamutaze, Yeeko Kisira, Martha Nabiroko
Adaptive capacity provides a pivotal role in resilience building for socio-ecological systems to overcome both natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Persistent droughts increasingly cause abrupt changes in communities’ ability to mobilize scarce resources, anticipate or respond to perceived or current effects over time. This paper examines the factors influencing agropastoral farmers’ adaptive capacity
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Assessing the impact of sowing dates and ENSO in a drought index-based insurance for soybean Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-16 Daniel Perondi, Clyde W. Fraisse, Jonathan A. Watson, Kenneth J. Boote, Lincoln Zotarelli, Ray G. Huffaker
Crop insurance has been an important mechanism used by farmers to protect the economic and yield losses produced by extreme weather events. Alternatively, index-based insurance (IBI) has been evaluated in many parts of the world as a mechanism to avoid moral hazard and adverse selection from traditional crop insurance products. However, there is a lack of knowledge on how the sowing date impacts the
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Climate change impacts on staple crops: Assessment of smallholder farmers’ adaptation methods and barriers Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-07 Isaac Ayo Oluwatimilehin, Ayansina Ayanlade
Crops in Sub-Saharan African countries are generally more vulnerable to climate change with considerable impacts on yields. In this study, the impacts of climate change on selected root crops, cereals and vegetables were examined with the practice of adaptation as well as barriers hindering the adoption of selected adaptation options in selected farming communities in Ogun state, Nigeria. The climate
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‘Community-based adaptive entrepreneurship’ addressing climate and ecosystem changes: Evidence from a riparian area in Bangladesh Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-08 A.K.M. Shahidullah
Community-based entrepreneurs have a great dependence on the local ecosystems for their entrepreneurial needs. As ecosystems change due to various climatic and anthropogenic drivers, entrepreneurs face challenges to continue with traditional modes of ecosystem-dependent operations. This research sought to understand how changes in ecosystems affect practices of entrepreneurs and their subsequent entrepreneurial
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The financial value of seasonal forecast-based cultivar choice: Assessing the evidence in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-08-08 Samuel Elias Kayamo, Christian Troost, Habtamu Yismaw, Thomas Berger
Among many other options, seasonal weather forecasts and the use of cultivars that are better adapted to local climate and climate variability have been discussed as two potential supporting measures to assist farmer adaptation to climatic variability and change. In this article, we evaluate the potential benefit of combining these two measures, i.e., choosing specific crop varieties based on seasonal
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Determinants of heterogeneous farmers’ joint adaptation strategies to irrigation-induced landslides on the Loess Plateau, China Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-07-29 Jue Wang, Juelin Feng
Understanding the determinants of farmers’ disaster adaptation is significant for risk reduction. This study explores farmers’ willingness and influencing factors to adopt various agricultural and non-agricultural adaptation measures to mitigate irrigation-induced landslides on the Loess Plateau, northern China. Multivariate probit models are applied to address the joint decision-making of multiple
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Effect of climate smart agriculture technologies on crop yields: Evidence from potato production in Kenya Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-07-25 P. Andati, E. Majiwa, M. Ngigi, R. Mbeche, J. Ateka
Climate change is one of the current global issues of concern given that it is affecting agricultural production. Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), which frequently experiences severe weather and natural disasters, is particularly vulnerable to climate change. Even though numerous measures are being promoted to mitigate climate change in SSA, little evidence exists regarding the adoption of climate-smart agriculture
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Further understanding “severe” climate risk Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-07-21 A.K. Magnan, B.C. O'Neill, M. Garschagen
What makes one climate risk more “severe” or “dangerous” than others? Acknowledging that the notion of dangerousness can substantially vary from one sociocultural context to another, this Perspective paper builds on recent literature to explore three notions that are estimated to be foundational to climate risk severity: the physical, ecological and social thresholds leading to transformational and
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The Feasibility and Governance of Cyclone Interventions Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-07-16 Jack Miller, Aaron Tang, Thao Linh Tran, Roslyn Prinsley, Mark Howden
Climate change is worsening cyclone disaster risk. Current risk reduction responses focus on reducing vulnerability and exposure. However, these approaches are not keeping up with climate change. Intervening in the cyclone hazard itself has the potential to prevent deaths and destruction, and reduce the costs of disaster recovery. We provide a technical review of these interventions. This unifies an
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The role of smartphone-based weather information acquisition on climate change perception accuracy: Cross-country evidence from Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia and Uzbekistan Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-07-15 Begaiym Emileva, Lena Kuhn, Ihtiyor Bobojonov, Thomas Glauben
Individual perception about climate risks is critical for adopting mitigation and adaptation measures, yet international experience shows that individual perception might fundamentally deviate from objective changes. So far, little attention has been paid in the literature to understanding the role of ICTs in improving the accuracy of farmers' perceptions of actual drought occurrence. Therefore, this
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Quantifying the extent of climate inequality in China Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-07-11 Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo, Shuai Chen, Hai-Jian Ye
Using individual-level panel data representative of Chinese residents, this study examines in detail the relationship between temperature and subjective well-being (SWB). We first find that a 1 °C increase in temperature anomalies (difference between current and historical temperature) causes a 0.02 decrease in SWB (2% of 1 S.D.). Second, we present evidence of climate inequality along socioeconomic
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A reality check for the applicability of comprehensive climate risk assessment and management: Experiences from Peru, India and Austria Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-06-28 I. Hagen, S. Allen, C. S. Bahinipati, H. Frey, C. Huggel, V. Karabaczek, S. Kienberger, R. Mechler, L. Petutschnig, T. Schinko
Climate-related risks are a major threat to humanity, affecting the lives and livelihoods of communities globally. Even with adaptation, climate change is projected to increase the severity of risks, leading to impacts and residual risks, also termed losses and damages. Frameworks and approaches using Climate Risk Management (CRM), an integration of Disaster Risk Reduction, Climate Change Adaptation
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Developing adaptation outcome indicators to urban heat risks Clim. Risk Manag. (IF 4.4) Pub Date : 2023-06-21 Julia Tuomimaa, Janina Käyhkö, Sirkku Juhola, Aleksi Räsänen
Climate scenarios predict that temperatures will rise and the subsequent heat periods that negatively impact human well-being will increasingly become common. The impact of heat in cities can be adapted to through urban planning, economic investments and other measures. The outcomes of adaptation should be monitored, for example, through indicators. However, adaptation outcome indicators are lacking