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Local-scale heterogeneity of soil thermal dynamics and controlling factors in a discontinuous permafrost region Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Chen Wang, Ian Shirley, Stijn Wielandt, John Lamb, Sebastian Uhlemann, Amy Breen, Robert C Busey, W Robert Bolton, Susan Hubbard, Baptiste Dafflon
In permafrost regions, the strong spatial and temporal variability in soil temperature cannot be explained by the weather forcing only. Understanding the local heterogeneity of soil thermal dynamics and their controls is essential to understand how permafrost systems respond to climate change and to develop process-based models or remote sensing products for predicting soil temperature. In this study
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Inequalities in urban air pollution in sub-Saharan Africa: an empirical modeling of ambient NO and NO2 concentrations in Accra, Ghana Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Jiayuan Wang, Abosede S Alli, Sierra N Clark, Majid Ezzati, Michael Brauer, Allison F Hughes, James Nimo, Josephine Bedford Moses, Solomon Baah, Ricky Nathvani, Vishwanath D, Samuel Agyei-Mensah, Jill Baumgartner, James E Bennett, Raphael E Arku
Road traffic has become the leading source of air pollution in fast-growing sub-Saharan African cities. Yet, there is a dearth of robust city-wide data for understanding space-time variations and inequalities in combustion related emissions and exposures. We combined nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and nitric oxide (NO) measurement data from 134 locations in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA), with
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Reliable precipitation nowcasting using probabilistic diffusion models Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Congyi Nai, Baoxiang Pan, Xi Chen, Qiuhong Tang, Guangheng Ni, Qingyun Duan, Bo Lu, Ziniu Xiao, Xingcai Liu
Precipitation nowcasting is a crucial element in current weather service systems. Data-driven methods have proven highly advantageous, due to their flexibility in utilizing detailed initial hydrometeor observations, and their capability to approximate meteorological dynamics effectively given sufficient training data. However, current data-driven methods often encounter severe approximation/optimization
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Distributional impacts of fleet-wide change in light duty transportation: mortality risks of PM2.5 emissions from electric vehicles and Tier 3 conventional vehicles Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Madalsa Singh, Christopher W Tessum, Julian D Marshall, Inês M L Azevedo
Light-duty transportation continues to be a significant source of air pollutants that cause premature mortality and greenhouse gases (GHGs) that lead to climate change. We assess PM2.5 emissions and its health consequences under a large-scale shift to electric vehicles (EVs) or Tier-3 internal combustion vehicles (ICVs) across the United States, focusing on implications by states and for the fifty
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The impacts of shipping emissions on lightning: roles of aerosol-radiation-interactions and aerosol-cloud-interactions Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Ruize Sun, Xiao Lu, Meng Gao, Yu Du, Haipeng Lin, Chris Wright, Cheng He, Ke Yin
Long-term (2005–2021) observations from the World Wide Lightning Location Network reveal significantly larger flash counts over heavily trafficked shipping lanes in the northeastern Indian Ocean compared to nearby regions. Here, we use the online coupled meteorology-chemistry model WRF-Chem to examine the impact of aerosols from shipping emissions on lightning activity over one of the world’s busiest
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Mitigating drought mortality by incorporating topography into variable forest thinning strategies Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Anooja Thomas, Thomas Kolb, Joel A Biederman, Martin D Venturas, Qin Ma, Di Yang, Sabina Dore, Xiaonan Tai
Drought-induced productivity reductions and tree mortality have been increasing in recent decades in forests around the globe. Developing adaptation strategies hinges on an adequate understanding of the mechanisms governing the drought vulnerability of forest stands. Prescribed reduction in stand density has been used as a management tool to reduce water stress and wildfire risk, but the processes
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18-years of high-Alpine rock wall monitoring using terrestrial laser scanning at the Tour Ronde east face, Mont-Blanc massif Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-27 Léa Courtial-Manent, Ludovic Ravanel, Jean-Louis Mugnier, Philip Deline, Alexandre Lhosmot, Antoine Rabatel, Pierre-Allain Duvillard, Philippe Batoux
Since the end of the 20th century, each decade has been warmer than the previous one in the European Alps. As a consequence, Alpine rock walls are generally facing high rockfall activity, likely due to permafrost degradation. We use a unique terrestrial laser scanning derived rockfall catalog over 18 years (2005–2022) compared with photographs (1859–2022) to quantify the evolution of the east face
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Impacts of terrestrial vegetation on surface ozone in China: from present to carbon neutrality Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-23 Yadong Lei, Xu Yue, Zhili Wang, Chenguang Tian, Hao Zhou, Quan Liu
Despite many efforts to control anthropogenic sources, high ambient ozone (O3) concentrations remain a serious air pollution problem in China. Terrestrial vegetation can remove surface O3 through dry deposition but also enhance surface O3 through biogenic volatile organic compound (BVOC) emissions. However, the net impacts of terrestrial vegetation on surface O3 remains unclear. Here, we perform simulations
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New evidence for CH4 enhancement in the upper troposphere associated with the Asian summer monsoon Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-23 Mengchu Tao, Zhaonan Cai, Sihong Zhu, Yi Liu, Liang Feng, Shuangxi Fang, You Yi, Jianchun Bian
The Asian summer monsoon (ASM) region is a key region transporting air to the upper troposphere (UT), significantly influencing the distribution and concentration of trace gases, including methane (CH4), an important greenhouse gas. We investigate the seasonal enhancement of CH4 in the UT over the ASM region, utilizing retrievals from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), model simulations and in-situ
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Future changes in state-level population-weighted degree days in the U.S Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-23 Gesang Gesangyangji, Tracey Holloway, Daniel J Vimont, Summer Joy Acker
This study analyzes future changes in population-weighted degree-days in 48 states over the contiguous U.S. Using temperature data from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projects and population data from NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center, we computed population-weighted degree-days (PHDD and PCDD) and EDD (energy degree-days, PHDD + PCDD) over the 21st century, under a business-as-usual
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The role of repowering India’s ageing wind farms in achieving net-zero ambitions Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-23 James Norman, Amanda C Maycock, Alberto Troccoli, Suraje Dessai
India’s ambitious net-zero climate goals include plans for a four-fold increase in current levels of wind energy generation by 2030. Many existing wind farms in India occupy sites with the best wind resources nationally but use older, smaller turbines that achieve lower capacity factors compared to modern turbine designs. A strategy of replacing existing wind turbines with state-of-the-art models (termed
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A better integration of health and economic impact assessments of climate change Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-23 Anton Orlov, Jessie Schleypen, Kristin Aunan, Jana Sillmann, Antonio Gasparrini, Malcolm N Mistry
Climate change could lead to high economic burden for individuals (i.e. low income and high prices). While economic conditions are important determinants of climate change vulnerability, environmental epidemiological studies focus primarily on the direct impact of temperature on morbidity and mortality without accounting for climate-induced impacts on the economy. More integrated approaches are needed
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Human population density and blue carbon stocks in mangroves soils Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-22 Shih-Chieh Chien, Charles Knoble, Jennifer Adams Krumins
Mangrove soils provide many important ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration, yet they are vulnerable to the negative impacts brought on by anthropogenic activities. Research in recent decades has shown a progressive loss of blue carbon in mangrove forests as they are converted to aquaculture, agriculture, and urban development. We seek to study the relationship between human population density
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Impact of anthropogenic warming on emergence of extreme precipitation over global land monsoon area Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Suyeon Moon, Kyung-Ja Ha, Sun-Seon Lee
Human activities have led to a global temperature increase, and the primary objective of the Paris Agreement is to limit this rise to 1.5 °C of warming level. Understanding the impact of global warming beyond preindustrial conditions on precipitation intensity is crucial for devising effective adaptation and mitigation strategies, particularly in densely populated global land monsoon (GLM) regions
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Geographic variation in projected US forest aboveground carbon responses to climate change and atmospheric deposition Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Aspen Reese, Christopher M Clark, Jennifer Phelan, John Buckley, James Cajka, Robert D Sabo, George Van Houtven
Forest composition and ecosystem services are sensitive to anthropogenic pressures like climate change and atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N) and sulfur (S). Here we extend recent forest projections for the current cohort of trees in the contiguous US, characterizing potential changes in aboveground tree carbon at the county level in response to varying mean annual temperature, precipitation, and
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Assessing the relative importance of dry-season incoming solar radiation and water storage dynamics during the 2005, 2010 and 2015 southern Amazon droughts: not all droughts are created equal Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Shuang Liu, Tim R McVicar, Xue Wu, Xin Cao, Yi Liu
Three severe droughts impacted the Amazon in 2005, 2010, and 2015, leading to widespread above-average land surface temperature (LST) (i.e. positive thermal anomalies) over the southern Amazon in the dry season (Aug–Sep) of these years. Below-average dry-season incoming solar radiation (SW↓) and terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA) were simultaneously observed in 2005 and 2010, whereas the opposite
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Revealing trends in extreme heatwave intensity: applying the UNSEEN approach to Nordic countries Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 S Berghald, S Mayer, P Bohlinger
The increase in heatwave intensity, causing heat stress and crop failures in many regions is a concerning impact of global climate change. In northern Europe, significant interannual variability previously prevented robust assessments of trends in heat extremes. However, with a large-ensemble seasonal hindcasts and archived forecasts dataset covering 1981–2022 multiple realisations of weather patterns
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Air quality and urban climate improvements in the world’s most populated region during the COVID-19 pandemic Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Alessandro Damiani, Hitoshi Irie, Dmitry Belikov, Raul R Cordero, Sarah Feron, Noriko N Ishizaki
In this study, we assessed air quality (AQ) and urban climate during the mobility restrictions implemented in the Greater Tokyo Area, Japan, the world’s most populated region, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Observations from dense surface networks were analyzed using an interpretable machine learning approach. In parallel with a ∼50% reduction in mobility and an altered lifestyle of the population
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Globalising innovation through co-inventions–the success case of the Korean lithium-ion battery industry Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Leopold Peiseler, Ye Lin Jun, Nicolas Schmid, Paul Waidelich, Abhishek Malhotra, Tobias S Schmidt
Radical innovations can shift the global competitiveness of entire nations. While countries typically struggle to absorb knowledge about novel technologies quickly, in which knowledge tends to be spatially sticky, an important exception is the fast catch-up of the Korean Li-ion battery industry from Japan in the early 2000s. In this paper, we conduct an exploratory case study on this surprising success
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Acceleration and interannual variability of creep rates in mountain permafrost landforms (rock glacier velocities) in the European Alps in 1995–2022 Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Andreas Kellerer-Pirklbauer, Xavier Bodin, Reynald Delaloye, Christophe Lambiel, Isabelle Gärtner-Roer, Mylène Bonnefoy-Demongeot, Luca Carturan, Bodo Damm, Julia Eulenstein, Andrea Fischer, Lea Hartl, Atsushi Ikeda, Viktor Kaufmann, Karl Krainer, Norikazu Matsuoka, Umberto Morra Di Cella, Jeannette Noetzli, Roberto Seppi, Cristian Scapozza, Philippe Schoeneich, Martin Stocker-Waldhuber, Emmanuel Thibert
Cryospheric long-term timeseries get increasingly important. To document climate-related effects on long-term viscous creep of ice-rich mountain permafrost, we investigated timeseries (1995–2022) of geodetically-derived Rock Glacier Velocity (RGV), i.e. spatially averaged interannual velocity timeseries related to a rock glacier (RG) unit or part of it. We considered 50 RGV from 43 RGs spatially covering
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Site conditions determine heat and drought induced yield losses in wheat and rye in Germany Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Ludwig Riedesel, Markus Möller, Hans-Peter Piepho, Dirk Rentel, Carolin Lichthardt, Burkhard Golla, Timo Kautz, Til Feike
Heat and drought are major abiotic stressors threatening cereal yields, but little is known about the spatio-temporal yield effect of these stressors. In this study, we assess genotype (G) × environment (E) × management (M) specific weather-yield relations utilizing spatially explicit weather indices (WIs) and variety trial yield data of winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) and winter rye (Secale cereale)
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Estimating vegetation water content from Sentinel-1 C-band SAR data over savanna and grassland ecosystems Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Paulo N Bernardino, Rafael S Oliveira, Koenraad Van Meerbeek, Marina Hirota, Mariana N Furtado, Isabela A Sanches, Ben Somers
Studying vegetation water content (VWC) dynamics is essential for understanding plant growth, water and carbon cycles, and ecosystem stability. However, acquiring field-based VWC estimates, consistently through space and time, is challenging due to time and resource constraints. This study investigates the potential of Sentinel-1 C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data for estimating VWC in natural
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The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Laurens P Stoop, Karin van der Wiel, William Zappa, Arno Haverkamp, Ad J Feelders, Machteld van den Broek
We propose an index to quantify and analyse the impact of climatological variability on the energy system at different timescales. We define the climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) as the cumulative anomaly of a renewable resource with respect to its climate over a specific time period of interest. For this we introduce the smooth, yet physical, hourly rolling window climatology
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Prescribed burning and integrated fire management in the Brazilian Cerrado: demonstrated impacts and scale-up potential for emission abatement Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-20 Jonas Franke, Ana Carolina Sena Barradas, Kelly Maria Resende Borges, Anja A Hoffmann, Juan Carlos Orozco Filho, Rossano Marchetti Ramos, Lara Steil, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta
Fire management has proven successful in reducing deforestation, preserving biodiversity and mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. After years of zero burning policies in fire-adapted ecosystems, and resulting increases in fire hazards and risks, countries are moving towards integrated fire management (IFM) including prescribed burning (PB). With a primary focus on biodiversity, Brazilian governmental
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Associations of long-term exposure to ambient sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, ozone, and benzene with risk of incident chronic kidney disease in the UK Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Feifei Zhang, Yuhao Liu, Chao Yang, Fulin Wang, Luxia Zhang
Limited studies have examined associations of gaseous air pollutants exposure with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in Europe. This study aimed to calculate the relationships between long-term exposure to ambient sulfur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3), and benzene and CKD in the UK. We included 502 369 participants from the UK biobank cohort. Associations of SO2, CO, O3, and benzene with
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Microwave-based CO2 desorption for enhanced direct air capture: experimental validation and techno-economic perspectives Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Tae Hwan Lim, John E Foster, Brian R Ellis, Steven J Skerlos
This study explores the feasibility and potential techno-economic advantages of employing microwaves for direct air capture (DAC) applications. The experimental setup resembles an industrial-scale microwave system, utilizing a single-mode applicator and zeolite 13x beads arranged in a panel configuration. This configuration essentially represents a miniaturized version of a potential DAC plant based
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When forests hold their breath: will increasing drought further disrupt carbon sequestration? Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Yi-Ying Chen, S-Y Simon Wang, Hong-Wen Yu, Wan-Yu Liu
The 2020–2021 record drought in Taiwan halted carbon sequestration in its predominantly evergreen subtropical forests. The analysis uncovers a significant correlation between net ecosystem exchange, radiative factors, groundwater levels, and wildfires, indicating that the severity of droughts leads to a shift from carbon absorption to emission in these forests, thereby inviting a broader examination
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Westward shift of tropical cyclogenesis over the southern Indian Ocean Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Xi Cao, Masahiro Watanabe, Renguang Wu, Liang Wu, Difei Deng, Yao Ha, Mengchen Xu, Meng Yuan, Yifeng Dai, Zhencai Du
Tropical cyclones (TCs), commonly called cyclones in the southern Indian Ocean (SIO), represent one of the most devastating disasters in the oceanfront regions of Africa. The present study explores the long-term tendency of annual mean TC genesis location in the SIO. A notable westward shift is detected in the SIO TC genesis longitude since 1979, which is linked to an increase in the TC genesis frequency
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Air quality and public health co-benefits of 100% renewable electricity adoption and electrification pathways in Los Angeles Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Yun Li, Vikram Ravi, Garvin Heath, Jiachen Zhang, Pouya Vahmani, Sang-Mi Lee, Xinqiu Zhang, Kelly T Sanders, George A Ban-Weiss
To demonstrate how a mega city can lead in decarbonizing beyond legal mandates, the city of Los Angeles (LA) developed science-based, feasible pathways towards utilizing 100% renewable energy for its municipally-owned electric utility. Aside from decarbonization, renewable energy adoption can lead to co-benefits such as improving urban air quality from reductions in combustion-related emissions of
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On the role of interconnected mini-grids in net-zero emissions electricity system: insights from Nigeria Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Joel Yongoua Nana, Michael O Dioha
As developing countries like Nigeria strive to reduce carbon emissions while expanding energy access, mini-grids’ role has gained recognition. However, limited analysis exists regarding the role of interconnected mini-grids (IMGs) in the transition to net-zero emissions electricity generation systems. Here, we employ a bottom-up energy system optimization modeling framework to explore the techno-economic
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Quantification of active layer depth at multiple scales in Interior Alaska permafrost Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 David Brodylo, Thomas A Douglas, Caiyun Zhang
Much of Interior Alaska is underlain by permafrost that has been thawing at an unprecedented rate. Top-down expansion of the seasonally thawed ‘active layer’ and development of thermokarst features are increasing across the landscape. This can be attributed primarily due to a warming climate and disturbances like wildfires which have accelerated summer season permafrost thaw. Quantification of active-layer
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Impact of marine carbon removal on atmospheric CO2 Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Roman Nuterman, Markus Jochum
A computer simulation of Earth’s climate is used to study if marine carbon removal will lead to a reduced atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, and if there are potential secondary impacts on marine life and chemistry. We find that for stationary carbon removal plants the ocean cannot supply sufficient carbon rich water to allow a meaningful reduction of atmospheric CO2. This also means that outside
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Seasonal variability and predictability of monsoon precipitation in Southern Africa Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-16 Matthew F Horan, Fred Kucharski, Moetasim Ashfaq
Rainfed agriculture is the mainstay of economies across Southern Africa (SA), where most precipitation is received during the austral summer monsoon. This study aims to further our understanding of monsoon precipitation predictability over SA. We use three natural climate forcings, El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and the Indian Ocean Precipitation Dipole (IOPD)—the dominant
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Observed trends in timing and severity of streamflow droughts across global tropics Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Aparna Raut, Poulomi Ganguli
Drought is a recurrent climatic hazard impacting natural and built environmental systems, including human lives. Although several studies have assessed streamflow droughts and their multivariate characterization, very few studies have focused on understanding spatiotemporal changes in drought attributes, such as drought seasonality, severity and duration across global tropics. Further, the nonlinear
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A 131-year evidence of more extreme and higher total amount of hourly precipitation in Hong Kong Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Yangchen Lai, Jianfeng Li, Tsz-cheung Lee, Wai-Po Tse, Faith Ka Shun Chan, Yongqin David Chen, Xihui Gu
Based on the observations of hourly precipitation for 131 years from Hong Kong Observatory Headquarters, this study examined the long-term changes in the characteristics of hourly precipitation extremes in terms of intensity, total precipitation amount, duration, and frequency. Results show that the hourly precipitation extremes have significantly intensified by 29%–38% from 1885 to 2022. The 131-year
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Classifying climate vulnerability and inequalities in India, Mexico, and Nigeria: a latent class analysis approach Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Jessie Pinchoff, Bidhubhusan Mahapatra, Raman Mishra, Adebola Adedimeji, Sangram K Patel, Ricardo Regules
The climate crisis exacerbates social, economic, and health disparities. This study employs innovative methods to identify distinct groups affected by recent climate events. A mobile phone-based survey was conducted in April 2022 with individuals residing in multiple climate-affected states across three countries: India (n = 1020), Mexico (n = 1020), and Nigeria (n = 1021). Latent class analysis and
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Country-level methane emissions and their sectoral trends during 2009–2020 estimated by high-resolution inversion of GOSAT and surface observations Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Rajesh Janardanan, Shamil Maksyutov, Fenjuan Wang, Lorna Nayagam, Saroj Kumar Sahu, Poonam Mangaraj, Marielle Saunois, Xin Lan, Tsuneo Matsunaga
Considering the significant role of global methane emissions in the Earth’s radiative budget, global or regionally persistent increasing trends in its emission are of great concern. Understanding the regional contributions of various emissions sectors to the growth rate thus has policy relevance. We used a high-resolution global methane inverse model to independently optimize sectoral emissions using
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Unravelling spatiotemporal patterns of solar photovoltaic plants development in China in the 21st century Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Zirui Wang, Zhen Hao, Xiaofeng Jia, Wenqiong Zhao, Yun Du, Feng Ling
Solar energy, as an environmentally sustainable power source, is gaining increasing popularity worldwide, driving a surge in the number of solar photovoltaic (PV) plants. China, which has a prominent role in this domain, requires continuous updates to its PV plant data for spatiotemporal analyses. However, there remains an absence of a comprehensive and timely dataset of PV plants across China, leaving
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A cross-regional analysis of red-backed shrike responses to agri-environmental schemes in Europe Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Stephanie Roilo, Rebecca Spake, James M Bullock, Anna F Cord
Agri-environmental schemes (AES) are the main policy tool to counteract farmland biodiversity declines in Europe, but their biodiversity benefit varies across sites and is likely moderated by landscape context. Systematic monitoring of AES outcomes is lacking, and AES assessments are often based on field experiments encompassing one or few study sites. Spatial analysis methods encompassing broader
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Dietary patterns and the effect of long-term PM2.5 exposure on metabolic syndrome among Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-15 Huizhen Mao, Wen Wang, Liyong Lu, Wenzhong Huang, Yu Min, Chaohui Wang, Weibin Liao, Jay Pan, Wei Lin, Ke Ju
Limited evidence exists regarding the causal effects of air pollution and metabolic syndrome (MetS), as well as the potential moderating effect of adherence to healthy dietary patterns. We recruited participants with accessible clinical characteristics, dietary patterns, and blood biomarkers data from the 2009 China Health and Nutrition Survey. Multi-biomarkers combined with physical examinations were
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Nighttime heat waves in the Euro-Mediterranean region: definition, characterisation, and seasonal prediction Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-13 Verónica Torralba, Stefano Materia, Leone Cavicchia, M Carmen Álvarez-Castro, Chloé Prodhomme, Ronan McAdam, Enrico Scoccimarro, Silvio Gualdi
The combined effect of above-normal nighttime temperatures with high humidity poses a high risk to human health by impeding the body’s recovery from daytime heat exposure. Seasonal predictions of nighttime heat waves (NHWs) can help to better anticipate these episodes and reduce their social and economic impacts. However, the ability of the seasonal forecast systems to predict NHWs has not been explored
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Satellite data for environmental justice: a scoping review of the literature in the United States Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-13 Tanya Kreutzer Sayyed, Ufuoma Ovienmhada, Mitra Kashani, Karn Vohra, Gaige Hunter Kerr, Catherine O’Donnell, Maria H Harris, Laura Gladson, Andrea R Titus, Susana B Adamo, Kelvin C Fong, Emily M Gargulinski, Amber J Soja, Susan Anenberg, Yusuke Kuwayama
In support of the environmental justice (EJ) movement, researchers, activists, and policymakers often use environmental data to document evidence of the unequal distribution of environmental burdens and benefits along lines of race, class, and other socioeconomic characteristics. Numerous limitations, such as spatial or temporal discontinuities, exist with commonly used data measurement techniques
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Vulnerable voices: using topic modeling to analyze newspaper coverage of climate change in 26 non-Annex I countries (2010–2020) Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-09 Lucy McAllister, Siddharth Vedula, Wenxi Pu, Maxwell Boykoff
News media influence how climate change is represented, understood, and discussed in the public sphere. To date, media and climate change research has primarily focused on Annex I countries, or treated non-Annex I countries as a homogenous bloc, despite the global nature of climate change and its geographically uneven impacts. This study uses a mixed-method approach, combining machine learning (topic
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Spatial flows of ecosystem services under future climate and land-use changes Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-09 Xiaodong Chen, Chenyang Zou, Yan Zhang
Increasing global pressure on natural capital requires sustainable solutions to ensure long-term provision of ecosystem services (ES) which have complex flow dynamics. Although the importance of ES flows has been increasingly recognized during the past years, little is known about how they will be affected by future climate and land-use changes. Here, we integrated ES flows into a scenario-based assessment
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Strong increase in mortality attributable to ozone pollution under a climate change and demographic scenario Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-09 Dimitris Akritidis, Sara Bacer, Prodromos Zanis, Aristeidis K Georgoulias, Sourangsu Chowdhury, Larry W Horowitz, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M O’Connor, James Keeble, Philippe Le Sager, Twan van Noije, Putian Zhou, Steven Turnock, J Jason West, Jos Lelieveld, Andrea Pozzer
Long-term exposure to ambient ozone (O3) is associated with excess respiratory mortality. Pollution emissions, demographic, and climate changes are expected to drive future ozone-related mortality. Here, we assess global mortality attributable to ozone according to an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenario applied in Coupled Model Intercomparison
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Projection of the precipitation-induced landslide risk in China by 2050 Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Shilong Ge, Jun Wang, Chao Jiang
China is highly susceptible to landslides and debris flow disasters as it is a mountainous country with unique topography and monsoon climate. In this study, an efficient statistical model is used to predict the landslide risk in China under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 by 2050, with the precipitation data from global climate models (GCMs) as the driving field. Additionally, for the
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Simulated responses and feedbacks of permafrost carbon under future emissions pathways and idealized solar geoengineering scenarios Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Yangxin Chen, John C Moore, Duoying Ji
The carbon-rich northern high-latitude permafrost is a potential climate tipping point. Once triggered, its thawing and release of carbon dioxide and methane might unleash irreversible changes in the Earth’s climate system. We investigate the response of permafrost under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) with no mitigation (SSP5-8.5), moderate mitigation (SSP2-4.5) and delayed mitigation (SSP5-3
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Society’s material stocks as carbon pool: an economy-wide quantification of global carbon stocks from 1900–2015 Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Lisa Kaufmann, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Zhi Cao, Michaela Clarissa Theurl, Christian Lauk, André Baumgart, Simone Gingrich, Helmut Haberl
Societal activities massively alter the global carbon (C) cycle, thereby driving global climate heating. Socioeconomic material stocks - e.g. in buildings and infrastructures - have been identified as a C pool that can potentially store increasing amounts of C, thereby keeping C away from the atmosphere. However, little is known about the size, composition, distribution and development of global socioeconomic
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Quantifying vehicle restriction related PM2.5 reduction using field observations in an isolated urban basin Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Yumin Guo, Pengfei Tian, Mengqi Li, Zeren Yu, Xin Song, Jinsen Shi, Yi Chang, Lei Zhang
Vehicle (related particulate matter) emissions, including primary vehicle (related particulate matter) emissions, secondary nitrate, and road dust, have become an important source of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in many cities across the world. The relationship between vehicle emissions and PM2.5 during vehicle restrictions has not yet been revealed using field observational data. To address this
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Causal analysis of Canada’s environment-growth nexus for inclusive development metrics Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Sochi Iwuoha, Joseph I Onochie
Little is known about the relevance of alternative measures of growth in environmental and developmental economic analyses. In Canada, for example, no literature exists on whether there is a causal link between the level of environmental performance and alternative measures of economic progress (which are argued to better capture the overall economic wellbeing than the gross domestic product—GDP).
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Does ERA5-land capture the changes in the terrestrial hydrological cycle across the globe? Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Riya Dutta, Yannis Markonis
Changes in the terrestrial hydrological cycle determine the future water availability across the globe with profound impacts in different facets of society. Precise estimation of such changes is vital for the effective implementation of water management policies. Among the numerous data products that describe the hydrological cycle components, ERA5-Land is one of the most increasingly used dataset
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Elevated diversity of the supply chain boosts global food system resilience Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Junwen Jia, Weiqiang Yang, Fang Wu, Xuefeng Cui
Food supply shock is defined as a drastic shortage in food supply, which would likely threaten the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals 2: zero hunger. Traditionally, highly-connected global food supply system was deemed to help overcome shortages easily in response to food supply shock. However, recent studies suggested that overconnected trade networks potentially increase exposure to external
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Increasing influence of evapotranspiration on prolonged water storage recovery in Germany Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-08 Friedrich Boeing, Thorsten Wagener, Andreas Marx, Oldrich Rakovec, Rohini Kumar, Luis Samaniego, Sabine Attinger
Central Europe, including Germany, has faced exceptional multi-year terrestrial water storage (TWS) deficits since 2018, negatively impacting various sectors such as forestry, energy production, and drinking water supply. Currently, the understanding of the recovery dynamics behind such extreme events is limited, which hampers accurate water management decisions. We used a simulation of the mesoscale
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Leveraging patent analysis to measure relatedness between technology domains: an application on offshore wind energy Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-06 Yiwen Wang, Erin Baker, Anna Goldstein
As the global energy sector transitions towards a cleaner and more sustainable future, observational evidence suggests that many new energy technologies share a close relationship with well-established technologies. Yet, the topic of how closely technologies are related has not been addressed rigorously, rather it has been the purview of practitioner know-how and informal expert opinion. In this study
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Wildfires exacerbate inequalities in indoor pollution exposure Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-06 Benjamin Krebs, Matthew Neidell
Wildfires lead to dramatic increases in fine particulate matter pollution concentrations. Based on the premise that higher-income households purchase more defensive investments to reduce the degree to which outdoor pollution infiltrates indoors, in this study, we investigate how income contributes to outdoor–indoor pollution infiltration rates during wildfire events. Using crowd-sourced data from the
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First estimation of hourly full-coverage ground-level ozone from Fengyun-4A satellite using machine learning Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-06 Ling Gao, Han Zhang, Fukun Yang, Wangshu Tan, Ronghua Wu, Yi Song
Ground-level ozone (O3), renowned for its adverse impacts on human health and crop production, has garnered significant attention from governmental and public sectors. To address the limitations posed by sparse and uneven ground-level O3 observations, this study proposes an innovative method for hourly full-coverage ground-level O3 estimation using machine learning. Meteorological data from National
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Reversibility of Greenland ice sheet mass loss under artificial carbon dioxide removal scenarios Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-06 Dennis Höning, Matteo Willeit, Andrey Ganopolski
With ongoing anthropogenic CO2 emissions, the Greenland ice sheet (GIS) approaches critical thresholds of inevitable, long-term mass loss. Future technologies might be able to efficiently remove CO2 from the atmosphere and thereby cool down our planet. We explore whether and to what extent a realization of this concept could lead to a regrowth of the GIS once it has partly melted. Using the fully coupled
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Using high resolution climate models to explore future changes in post-tropical cyclone precipitation Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-06 Erica Bower, Kevin A Reed
One of the most costly effects of climate change will be its impact on extreme weather events, including tropical cyclones (TCs). Understanding these changes is of growing importance, and high resolution global climate models are providing potential for such studies, specifically for TCs. Beyond the difficulties associated with TC behavior in a warming climate, the extratropical transition (ET) of
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Policy as a catalyst in shaping mobility sector transition for developing countries Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-02 Muhammad Huzaifa Butt, Joyashree Roy, Shreya Some
This paper presents a modified technology innovation system (MTIS) approach applicable to developing countries. Evidence collected over three decades 1992–2022, shows how policy plays a catalytic role in managing multidimensional low-emission mobility transitions in developing countries such as Pakistan. This paper follows policy and the network of actors, institutions and technology in compressed
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Modelling the daily probability of wildfire occurrence in the contiguous United States Environ. Res. Lett. (IF 6.7) Pub Date : 2024-02-02 Theodore Keeping, Sandy P Harrison, I Colin Prentice
The development of a high-quality wildfire occurrence model is an essential component in mapping present wildfire risk, and in projecting future wildfire dynamics with climate and land-use change. Here, we develop a new model for predicting the daily probability of wildfire occurrence at 0.1° (∼10 km) spatial resolution by adapting a generalised linear modelling (GLM) approach to include improvements