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Buffering monetary and exchange rate shocks: are capital controls effective? International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-04-14 Chokri Zehri
ABSTRACT We demonstrate that capital controls can considerably mitigate the effects of monetary and exchange rate shocks and reduce the volatility of capital inflows to emerging countries. This study analyzed quarterly data of 32 emerging economies over the period between 2000 and 2019, and proposes two methods to identify capital control actions. Using panel analysis, Autoregressive Distributed Lag
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Sovereign currency and long-term interest rates International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-04-09 Hongkil Kim
ABSTRACT This paper investigates the effects of government debt and deficits on long-term interest rates in 17 advanced economies over the period 1973–2016 from the perspective of currency sovereignty. The empirical findings of this paper suggest the market penalizes non-sovereign nations for the same amount of fiscal deficit with higher interest rates than sovereigns. In addition, non-sovereign countries
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Prices and competition: evidence from a social program International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-04-09 Emilio Aguirre, Pablo Blanchard, Fernando Borraz, Joaquín Saldain
ABSTRACT We use a micro price dataset for products defined at the universal product code level to analyze the impact on prices of a social program in Uruguay that allows its beneficiaries to purchase food, beverages, and cleaning items exclusively in certain small retailers. We find that an unintended negative consequence is that the beneficiaries pay significantly higher prices to other retailers
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Determinants of social outreach of microfinance institutions International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-31 Shakil Quayes, George Joseph
ABSTRACT The paper analyzes the determinants of social outreach of microfinance institutions (MFIs), using three measures of outreach – depth of outreach, breadth of outreach, and outreach to women, and its possible complementarity with financial performance. We use an unbalanced panel of 1,219 MFIs over a period of 20 years to investigate the effect of firm-specific characteristics and the impact
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The Covid-19 pandemic and economic stimulus in India: has it been a hostage of macroeconomic complications? International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-29 Himadri Shekhar Chakrabarty, Partha Ray, Parthapratim Pal
ABSTRACT This paper analyzes the efficacy and skepticism surrounding the economic stimulus package announced by the Indian authorities in response to the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. While the end of the pandemic is yet to be on the horizon, countries across the world have been undertaking economic stimulus packages of varied nature, depth, and quantum. A scrutiny of these packages show that India has
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Financial oversight, the third flawed pillar of the European Union: the missing piece in the Arestis-Sawyer critique of EMU macropolicy design International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-08 Gary A. Dymski, Annina Kaltenbrunner
ABSTRACT This paper presents a chronological survey of the 20 academic papers that Malcolm authored or co-authored between 1997 and 2017 on the flawed design – and hence flawed implementation – of the European Monetary Union (EMU)’s macroeconomic policy pillars. We augment his analyses by pointing out a third – complementary – design flaw: the EMU’s two-tiered structure of financial regulation and
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From social choice to inequality-decomposition: in the spirit of Arrow and Atkinson by way of Sen and Shorrocks International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-03 Ben Fine, Pedro Mendes Loureiro
ABSTRACT This article forges connections between social choice theory and inequality-measurement to deliver a series of advances to the latter. It discusses the ethical and formal aspects connecting the fields, linking the roles played by the intensity of preferences and interpersonal comparability (in social choice) and, respectively, inequality-aversion and interpersonal comparability (in inequality-measurement)
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A critical analysis of the Brazilian ‘expansionary fiscal austerity’: why did it fail to ensure economic growth and structural development? International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-01 Philip Arestis, Fernando Ferrari-Filho, Marco Flávio da Cunha Resende, Fábio Henrique Bittes Terra
ABSTRACT This paper discusses the Brazilian economy since 2015. After an economic boom from 2005 to 2011, Brazil entered a downturn, which resulted in a strong recession in 2015 and 2016. The Economic Authorities understood that the cause of the crisis was due to an expansionary economic policy undertaken over the period 2009–2014; thereby the solution for the recession would be quite the opposite:
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Rethinking growth and inequality in the US: what is the role of measurement of GDP? International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-01 Remzi Baris Tercioglu
ABSTRACT Five sectors have increased their contribution to US GDP growth since 1973: professional-business services (PBS), finance, information, healthcare, and arts-entertainment. Among these, however, finance, healthcare, and PBS have questionable foundations for being regarded as final consumption of households. Contra published National Income and Product Accounts, treating expenditures on finance
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The impact of capital flow reversal shocks in South Africa: a stock- and-flow-consistent analysis International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-02-21 Konstantin Makrelov, Rob Davies, Laurence Harris
ABSTRACT South Africa has a very well-developed financial sector and high reliance on capital flows. The country saw large capital outflows as the Covid-19 crisis developed, accompanied by a large depreciation of the rand and spikes in bold yields. We employ a stock- and flow-consistent model to study the impact of capital flow reversal shocks on the South African economy. The model includes a richer
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The demand for civil justice in Germany: an empirical investigation International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-02-21 R Ippoliti, A. Sanders
ABSTRACT The demand for civil justice in Germany has shrunk over the last decades, although we can observe a high level of heterogeneity, with increasing and decreasing trends depending on specific case matters. The present work investigates this phenomenon, analyzing the aggregate demand for civil justice between 2008 and 2017 at the regional level, and focusing on the courts. We study the propensity
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Building back better? International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-02-03 Jonathan Michie, Maura Sheehan
ABSTRACT A global health and economic crisis was created by the spread of Covid-19 across the world during the course of 2020 and into 2021. This Special Issue of the International Review of Applied Economics brings together papers analysing various aspects of this twin crisis. The crisis led to massive intervention by governments, both to tackle the health crisis - through lock-downs; social distancing
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Health risk and the efficient market hypothesis in the time of COVID-19 International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-12-27 Evangelos Vasileiou, Aristeidis Samitas, Maria Karagiannaki, Jagadish Dandu
ABSTRACT In this note, we show that the stock markets do not always incorporate all the available information because in many cases they slowly evaluate the news. Using simple statistical analysis, we show that the response of the markets to the available information in certain time periods is irrational and inefficient. The COVID-19 outbreak gives financial economists an example of health risk underestimation
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Behavioral finance and market efficiency in the time of the COVID-19 pandemic: does fear drive the market? International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-12-28 Evangelos Vasileiou
ABSTRACT In this study, we examine the efficiency of the US stock markets during the COVID-19 outbreak using a fundamental financial analysis approach, the constant growth model and a behavioral model including a Google-based Index. We juxtapose the released news and the performance of the US stock market during the COVID-19 outbreak and we show that during some periods the health risk was significantly
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Analysis of containment measures and economic policies arising from COVID-19 in the European Union International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-01-21 Javier Cifuentes-Faura
ABSTRACT The crisis caused by COVID-19 differs from previously crises due to its particularities. Many countries have been affected by the pandemic, although not all have acted in the same way or imposed the same level of restrictions. This paper analyses the virus containment measures carried out by some of the European countries most affected by the pandemic. It concludes that those that acted early
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Covid 19: Ramifications for progress towards the sustainable development goals (SDGs) in Nigeria International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-01-05 O’Raye Dicta Ogisi, Toritseju Begho
ABSTRACT This paper examines whether the impact of COVID-19 at the household level is an obstacle to achieving the sustainable development goals of no poverty (SDG1), zero hunger (SDG2), good health and wellbeing (SDG3) and decent work and economic growth (SDG8). We limit our investigation to farm households given their precarious situation. We analyse data from the World Bank National Longitudinal
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The political risk factors of COVID-19 International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-01-06 J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés
ABSTRACT This paper analyses a broad range of macro variables to assess the effects they have on the number of cases and deaths due to COVID-19. We consider 23 explanatory variables on health, political, and economic factors for 94 countries. Given the vast number of explanatory variables analysed, the paper employs advanced statistical tools for the analysis. We use regularised regression and dimension
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A green new deal and debt sustainability for the post COVID-19 world International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-02-01 Juan Rafael Ruiz, Patricia Stupariu
ABSTRACT This paper explores the design and impact on public finances of a global investment plan directed at supporting post-COVID19 reconstruction efforts by investing in climate change mitigation. We analyse current macroeconomic conditions in both developed and emerging economies and, subsequently, simulate various growth scenarios and observe the impact on public debt sustainability of implementing
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Managed exchange rate regimes and monetary independence: an empirical appraisal International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-02-10 G Pantelopoulos
ABSTRACT Under the impossible trinity, it is alleged that attempts to maintain both monetary independence and an undervalued domestic exchange rate whilst being exposed to global capital flows will culminate in macroeconomic instability. To analyse the validity of the impossible trinity in the instance of a balance of payments surplus, we first employ a number of ARDL models to investigate the potential
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Economic policy uncertainty: are there regional and country correlations? International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-01-18 Dr Peterson K. Ozili
ABSTRACT This study examines the correlation of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) across countries and regions. Using correlation analysis, the findings reveal that some countries have a positive EPU correlation while other countries have a negative EPU correlation. The economic policy uncertainty index is positively correlated and jointly significant for EU member-countries. There is evidence of cross-regional
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On the long-run relationship between immigration and growth: empirical evidence from European countries International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2021-01-03 Sébastien Charles
ABSTRACT This paper has a main ambition. It evaluates the impact of immigration on GDP per worker for ten European countries in order to fill the gap with numerous studies focusing on variables other than growth (wages, unemployment, innovation or public finances). We show that there is no obvious relationship between growth and immigration for a majority of economies. It is only when we allow for
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The psychological consequences of COVID-19 lockdowns International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-12-03 Kien Le, My Nguyen
ABSTRACT COVID-19 outbreak has resulted in the largest number of lockdowns worldwide in history. While lockdowns may reduce the spread of COVID-19, the downside costs of this approach could be dreadful. By exploiting the differential timing of lockdown implementation across the United States within a difference-in-differences framework, we find that the pandemic lockdowns are associated with a variety
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Some new insights on financialization and income inequality: evidence for the US economy, 1947–2013 International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-12-02 Marwil J. Dávila Fernández, Lionello F. Punzo
ABSTRACT In this article, we study the relationship between income distribution and financialization in the United States between 1947 and 2013. Financialization is introduced as a two-fold process. On the one hand, it implies an increase in the contribution of the financial sector in the composition of production. On the other hand, it is related to an increase in the importance of financial assets
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COVID-19: effectiveness of socioeconomic factors in containing the spread and mortality International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-12-02 Joshua Ping Ang, Fang Dong, Jason Patalinghug
ABSTRACT This paper presents a study on 80 countries that evaluates the socioeconomic factors in containing the spread and mortality of COVID-19. Our results show that the long-term social factors such as lower personal freedom, better education in science, and past coronavirus outbreak experience are more effective than the economic factors such as higher healthcare-associated factors per 1000 population
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Long-term development of Kenya’s growth potential International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-12-02 Basil Oberholzer
ABSTRACT This analysis of balance-of-payments-constrained growth according to Thirlwall’s law shows that Kenya’s growth has been balance-of-payments-constrained in the long term. The basic version of the law does not fit the data since actual growth was above the rate suggested by a balanced trade account. However, the extended version is confirmed because of a partial improvement of Kenya’s terms
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Challenges to neo-liberalism in the United States International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-12-02 Samuel Rosenberg
ABSTRACT With the significant changes in the economy and the society occurring under neo-liberalism as a base, this paper analyzes the extent to which government policies, including federal, state, and local, and labor activism since the Great Recession constitute challenges to neo-liberalism in the United States. It investigates the legacy of neo-liberalism including the ineffective federal governmental
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Understanding the economy at the micro and macro levels International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-11-29 Jonathan Michie
(2021). Understanding the economy at the micro and macro levels. International Review of Applied Economics: Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 1-2.
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Government expenditure and economic growth: a post-Keynesian analysis International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-11-09 Pintu Parui
ABSTRACT In a post-Keynesian growth model with positive saving propensity out of wages, this paper analyses the implication of different kinds of government expenditures on aggregate demand and economic growth. We distinguish between government expenditure on consumption and investment. The basic idea is that certain kinds of government investment expenditure influences labour productivity. In a formal
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Re-examining the causal relationships among FDI, economic growth and financial sector development in Africa International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-11-08 Muazu Ibrahim, Abraham Mensah Acquah
ABSTRACT Studies on the causal relationships among foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth and financial sector development are far from being conclusive, a reflection of the different methodologies and country-settings employed. In this study, we depart from the use of single country cases to relying on a panel data comprising 45 African countries over the period 1980 to 2016 in examining
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Do public banks reduce monetary policy power? Evidence from Brazil based on state dependent local projections (2000–2018) International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-10-27 Nikolas Passos, André de Melo Modenesi
ABSTRACT We test the hypothesis that public banks reduce monetary policy power. Previous studies have shown that companies with access to government-driven credit present smaller fall in investment and production after a contractionary monetary policy shock. Nevertheless, these studies are based on microeconomic data and ignore macroeconomic effects, especially the cost-push effects, of monetary policy
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Rail versus inland water transport: a comparative costs study based on the movement of coal in India International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-10-26 Mohd Hussain Kunroo, M. Absar Alam
ABSTRACT This paper makes an attempt to fill some of the gaps present in the literature related to various modes of transport in India. It presents a comparative cost study of rail and Inland Water Transport (IWT) in the Indian context. The case of railway transport is based on the existing construction and operation norms of Indian Railways. In contrast, IWT cost parameters are based on discussions
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Real exchange rate management and economic growth: export performance in Kazakhstan, 2009–2019 International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-10-21 Zhandos Ybrayev
ABSTRACT This study contributes to the literature on the evaluation of the effects of the stable and competitive real exchange rate management (SCRER) on economic growth by studying the exporting performance of the tradable sector in Kazakhstan between 2009 and 2019. We also aim to capture the impact of a significant change in the behavior of the exchange rate in August of 2015, following the introduction
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Financialisation, industrial strategy and the challenges of climate change and environmental degradation International Review of Applied Economics Pub Date : 2020-10-15 Malcolm Sawyer
ABSTRACT The paper discusses the nature of the present era of financialisation, outlining the changes in the financial sector and its relations with the real sector which are particularly relevant for the climate emergency. The relationship between growth of the financial sector (‘financial development’) and economic growth is reviewed, and the relevant of recent empirical findings for the