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Can Financial Economics Cure Cancer? Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-04-01 Andrew W. Lo
Funding for early-stage biomedical innovation has become more difficult to secure at the same time that medical breakthroughs seem to be occurring at ever increasing rates. One explanation for this counterintuitive trend is that increasing scientific knowledge can actually lead to greater economic risk for investors in the life sciences. While the Human Genome Project, high-throughput screening, genetic
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Carry-Trade Returns and Segmented Risk Pricing Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-03-22 Gordon Schulze
The returns to carry-trades are controversially discussed. There seems to be no unifying risk-based explanation of currency returns and stock returns, while the countries’ interest rate differential plays a leading part in the carry-trade performance. Therefore, this paper addresses carry-trade returns from a risk-pricing perspective and examines if these returns can be connected to cross-country differences
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Cryptocurrency, Money Demand and the Mundell-Fleming Model of International Capital Mobility Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-03-22 Samuel Enajero
If cryptocurrencies are perceived as financial innovations that could disrupt domestic and international financial systems, it becomes imperative for economists to incorporate these virtual currencies into existing money market models. Cryptocurrencies, when fully adopted by the general public, would transmit into the financial system via money demand. Cryptocurrencies serve as money and non-money
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Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Combining Medical and Mental Health Services for Older Adults with HIV in New York City Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-03-08 Juan J. DelaCruz, Christos Giannikos, Andreas Kakolyris, Robert C. Utzinger, Stephen E. Karpiak
Older adults with the human immunodeficiency virus or HIV (OAWH), people 50 years and older, are aging with the disease and experience low quality of life. Mental health disorders trigger and worsen health inequalities with larger impacts on the quality of life of OAWH. This paper evaluated two rival health interventions using a standard decision-analytic model and quantified the cost per quality-adjusted
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Why did the United States Evolve from the Largest International Creditor in 1980 to the Largest International Debtor in 1990? Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-01-31 Robert Aliber
Remarkable transformation of the U.S. international investment position occurred over the last 40 years. U.S. net foreign assets were larger than combined net foreign assets of all other creditors. By 1990, foreign-owned U.S. securities and real assets were larger than U.S. owned foreign securities and assets. This change occurred without the U.S. Treasury borrowing in foreign currency and few U.S
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A 100 Years of Dollar Hegemony Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-02-01 Brendan Brown
The essence of monetary hegemony is the power of one monetary authority to influence monetary conditions outside its jurisdiction. Such power did not exist under the gold standard but came into existence for the U.S. Federal Reserve in the aftermath of the First World War. The basis of that power was the massive drain of gold out of Europe into the U.S. during its period of neutrality and the scope
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Survival, Attrition and Biased Decision-Making Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-01-04 Dmitriy Krichevskiy
This paper considers the persistence of earnings differentials between wage earners and the self-employed through modeling overconfidence. The model examines challenges of limited information and its impact in the decision-making process. Using a Bayesian setting and concentrating specifically on the entrepreneur’s entry decision, the model shows how limited information can lead to substantial overestimation
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Monetary Hegemony and its Implications for Small, Open Economies Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-02-10 Gylfi Zoega
The paper uses historical data on interest rates from 1920 to 2016 to explore whether a world rate of interest exists and whether a monetary hegemon affects it. The first principal component of long-term interest rates accounts for 75% of the variation in a matrix of 17 countries and proxies for the world rate of interest. The U.S. played the role of a hegemon, influencing long-term bond rates. After
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The Global Domain of the Dollar: Eight Questions Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-01-28 Robert N. McCauley
Since the late 1950s, the rest of the world has come to use the dollar to an extent that justifies speaking of the dollar’s global domain. The rest of the world denominates much debt in U.S. dollars, extending U.S. monetary policy’s sway. In addition, in outstanding foreign exchange deals, the rest of the world has undertaken to pay still more in U.S. dollars: off-balance-sheet dollar debts buried
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Selective Entry in Highway Procurement Auctions Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-11 Sabrina Peng
When participating in an auction is costly, a potential bidder has to decide whether to enter the auction or not. The extent to which the potential bidders know their private cost before making their entry decisions determines how selective the entry process is. Endogenous selective entry is common in many auctions and it has important implications for designing auctions, in particular, choosing the
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Is Violation of the Random Walk Assumption an Exception or a Rule in Capital Markets? Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-04 Ludwig O. Dittrich, Pavel Srbek
Both the efficient market hypothesis and modern portfolio theory rest on the assumptions of the Gaussian probability distribution and independence of consecutive returns. This paper provides a brief excursion into the history of capital market research. A measure of long-range dependence (Hurst exponent) was applied to daily returns of selected stock indices and individual firms. The Hurst exponent
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Aggregate Public-Private Remuneration Patterns in South Africa Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-03 Andreas Wörgötter, Sihle Nomdebevana
This paper investigates the public-private remuneration patterns in South Africa with time-series methods for the first time since the introduction of an inflation-targeting framework in 2000. Co-integration tests and analysis confirm that there is a stable, long-run relationship between nominal and real remuneration in the public and private sector. The adjustment to the deviations from this long-run
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Economic Regulation in the Consumer Loans Market Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-01 Nobuhiro Mori, Makoto Okamura, Takao Ohkawa
This paper models a consumer loan market with a vertical structure where an upstream monopolist supplies funds to downstream nonbanks. The nonbanks supply funds to consumers in the consumer loans market. An inverse demand function of the consumer is linear. The downstream nonbank freely enters the market as long as it earns a positive profit. First, this paper derives free-entry equilibrium without
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Technology Use: Too Much of a Good Thing? Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-11-04 Debra S. Dwyer, Rachel Kreier, Maria X. Sanmartin
There is growing evidence of risks associated with excessive technology use, especially among teens and young adults. However, little is known about the characteristics of those who are at elevated risk of being problematic users. Using data from the 2012 Current Population Survey Internet Use Supplement and Educational Supplement for teens and young adults, this study developed a conceptual framework
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Bailouts, Inflation, and Risk-Sharing in Monetary Unions Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-09-30 Matthew Greenblatt
This paper presents a new rationalization for bailouts of sovereign debt in monetary unions, such as those observed during the recent Euro crisis. It introduces a model where member countries of the monetary union are ex-ante identical, and each derives utility from consumption and disutility from the union-wide inflation rate. The union’s central bank is utilitarian and lacks commitment. Countries
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Correction to: A Model of the Optimal Tax Mix Including Capital Taxation Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-09-24 John Revesz
The initial online publication contained several typesetting errors. The original article has been corrected.
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Reaching for the Stars: Spatial Competition and Consumer Reviews Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-09-19 Josh Matti
Competition is a key feature of the market process assumed to improve market outcomes. But how strong is the relationship between competition and positive consumer experiences, and how does the relationship vary across space and type of competitor? Phoenix is a suitable setting in which to explore these questions because it is a major metropolitan area with thousands of unique restaurants rated on
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A Model of the Optimal Tax Mix Including Capital Taxation Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-09-02 John Revesz
This paper uses a three-tax linear model to study the optimal tax mix numerically. The three aggregate taxes relate to labour, capital and commodities. The most striking result is that with a linear expenditure system based on econometric estimates, indirect (i.e. commodity) taxation dominates the optimal tax mix, with over 80% of tax revenue coming from indirect taxes. The main reason for this outcome
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A Vector Error Correction Model for Japanese Real Exports Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-09-01 Yixiao Jiang, George K. Zestos, Zachary Timmerman
Japanese exports did not immediately react to the depreciations of the yen after a change in the economic policy framework in 2012, with the launching of Abenomics. This article focuses on the Japanese foreign sector and investigates the extent to which exchange rate changes affect Japanese real exports. After studying the dynamic properties of the included time series variables, a vector error correction
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Impact of Casino Gambling and Lotteries on Demand for Other ‘Sin’ Goods Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-08-29 Adrian R. Fleissig
Public policy aimed at reducing consumption of tobacco or alcohol products often results in purchases of lower-taxed alternatives. Many studies find tobacco and alcohol to be habit-forming, so taxing these commodities often has little impact in reducing purchases. There is much evidence that different alcohol and tobacco products are either substitutes or complements in use but these studies exclude
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U.S. Monetary Policy and Herding: Evidence from Commodity Markets Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-08-28 Nicholas Apergis, Chritina Christou, Tasawar Hayat, Tareq Saeed
This paper investigates the presence of herding behavior across a spectrum of commodities (i.e., agricultural, energy, precious metals, and metals) futures prices obtained from Datastream. For the first time in English-language literature, this study provides an explicit investigation of the role of deviations of U.S. monetary policy decisions from a standard Taylor-type monetary rule, in driving herding
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Full-Time and Part-Time Work and the Gender Wage Gap Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-08-13 Luiza Antonie, Laura Gatto, Miana Plesca
Using hourly and weekly wages from the Canadian Labour Force Survey from 2000 until 2018, workers were separated into full-time and part-time and the following striking observation was documented. The overall gender wage gap is larger than either the full-time pay gap or the part-time pay gap, even after controlling for detailed personal and job characteristics. This result is a consequence of two
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A Study of Major Impact: Assortative Mating and Earnings Inequality Among U.S. College Graduates Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 Daniel Alan Seiver, Dennis H. Sullivan
This research has two goals: to measure the extent of assortative (non-random) mating by college major in the United States, and to assess the extent to which assortative mating by college major increases earnings inequality among college-educated couples. Assortative mating of college graduates with other college graduates has been extensively studied, but research on assortative mating by field of
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Spread between the Moody’s Aaa-Rated Corporate Bond Yield and the Yield on Municipals: Co-integration Analysis Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 Richard J. Cebula, Don Capener, Maggie Foley, Robert Boylan
While the research linking interest rates to government deficits is extensive, the impact of other tax-related variables is uncommon. This study seeks to add to the literature on credit markets by exploring the impact of not only the budget deficit but also average effective personal income tax rates and personal income tax evasion as explanatory variables. To the best of our knowledge this study is
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Television-Induced Tourism: Evidence from Croatia Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 Craig A. Depken, Tomislav Globan, Ivan Kožić
Abstract This paper analyzes the extent to which the filming of the popular television show Game of Thrones affected tourism in the Croatian city of Dubrovnik. Using monthly data and applying difference-in-differences, the study shows that the impact of airing Game of Thrones episodes filmed in Dubrovnik corresponded to approximately 5000 additional tourism overnights per month, or approximately 59
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Corruption and Firm Tax Evasion in Transition Economies: Results from Censored Quantile Instrumental Variables Estimation Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 James E. Payne, James W. Saunoris
Abstract This study examines the relationship between firm-level tax evasion and corruption. The literature has considered the corruption-firm tax evasion nexus to some extent, however, the heterogeneous impact of bribes on tax evasion has been largely ignored. We posit that the impact of bribes on tax evasion is conditional on the prevalence of tax evasion. Using firm-level information from the Business
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Income Tax Adoption and Spatial Diffusion Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 Joshua Hall, Donald Lacombe, Maria Tackett
In recent years, a number of papers have looked at the adoption and diffusion of taxes across national, state, and local governments. Spending pressures, reductions in tax collection costs, median voter preferences, and social learning have been found to play an important role in the adoption of the income tax. Spatial econometrics were used to study the diffusions of income taxes across states from
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Who Responds? Disentangling the Effects of Audits on Individual Tax Compliance Behavior Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 James Alm, Ali Enami, Michael McKee
How does individual tax compliance respond to a change in the audit rate? Most all empirical evidence suggests that an increase in the audit rate increases the compliance rate, a result that is also consistent with standard theoretical analysis of the individual compliance decision. However, this empirical evidence is typically based on estimating an average response across all taxpayers and an average
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Markov-Switching Model of Family Income Quintile Shares Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 Nikolaos Papanikolaou
Abstract This paper examines the impact of unemployment and inflation on family income shares. Unemployment and inflation are decomposed into their structural (long-term), cyclical (short-term), anticipated and unanticipated components, respectively. I propose a new framework to analyze family income quintile shares by using a two-state Markov-switching model, also known as Hamilton’s regime-switching
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Community Banks vs. Non-Community Banks: Where is the Advantage in Local Small Business Funding? Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 Nguyen T. H. Nguyen, James R. Barth
Recent literature questions the relative advantage of community banks vs. non-community banks in small business funding. Using the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation’s definition of a community bank, the study re-examines the role of community banks in providing funding to small businesses using the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) small business lending data over the period 2003 to 2016. The empirical
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Rethinking Profit-Maximization in Second-Degree Price Discriminating Markets Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-06-01 Brendan Cushing-Daniels
Standard models of indirect price discrimination generate a separating equilibrium in which all consumers choose bundles on their demand curves. Low-demand consumers voluntarily choose to pay a higher unit price for small quantities because the discount is offered by the monopolist at prohibitively high quantity. These models implicitly assume the low-demand consumer would purchase the higher quantity
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Intimidation, Discrimination, and Retaliation: Hit-by-Pitches during the Integration of Major League Baseball Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-04-27 Bryce Kanago, David George Surdam
During the first ten seasons of integrated Major League Baseball, black batters were hit by pitches about 86% more often per plate-appearance than white batters. However, on average black players during this period were superior players. To investigate to what extent the difference in hit-by-pitch can be explained by performance and characteristics other than race, we use a fractional logit model to
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There’s Much Ruin in a Nation: An Analysis of Modern Monetary Theory Atlantic Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-04-23 Mark Skousen
This paper analyzes the first macroeconomic textbook based on modern monetary theory (MMT) written by Mitchell, Watts and Wray. MMT is a heterodox theory that a government need not worry about budget and monetary constraints and excessive inflation until a country achieves its goals of full employment, first-class healthcare for all citizens, and other desirable policies. Their textbook, Macroeconomics