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Managing uncertainty in movement knowledge for environmental decisions
Conservation Letters ( IF 8.5 ) Pub Date : 2018-12-03 , DOI: 10.1111/conl.12620
Annabel L Smith 1 , Heini Kujala 2 , José J Lahoz-Monfort 2 , Lydia K Guja 3, 4 , Emma L Burns 5, 6 , Ran Nathan 7 , Erika Alacs 8 , Philip S Barton 5 , Sana Bau 2 , Don A Driscoll 9 , Pia E Lentini 2 , Alessio Mortelliti 10 , Ross Rowe 11 , Yvonne M Buckley 1, 12
Affiliation  

Species’ movements affect their response to environmental change but movement knowledge is often highly uncertain. We now have well‐established methods to integrate movement knowledge into conservation practice but still lack a framework to deal with uncertainty in movement knowledge for environmental decisions. We provide a framework that distinguishes two dimensions of species’ movement that are heavily influenced by uncertainty: knowledge about movement and relevance of movement to environmental decisions. Management decisions can be informed by their position in this knowledge‐relevance space. We then outline a framework to support decisions around (1) increasing understanding of the relevance of movement knowledge, (2) increasing robustness of decisions to uncertainties and (3) improving knowledge on species’ movement. Our decision‐support framework provides guidance for managing movement‐related uncertainty in systematic conservation planning, agri‐environment schemes, habitat restoration and international biodiversity policy. It caters to different resource levels (time and funding) so that species’ movement knowledge can be more effectively integrated into environmental decisions.

中文翻译:

管理环境决策中运动知识的不确定性

物种的运动会影响它们对环境变化的反应,但运动知识往往高度不确定。我们现在已经有了将运动知识整合到保护实践中的完善方法,但仍然缺乏一个框架来处理环境决策中运动知识的不确定性。我们提供了一个框架,区分受不确定性严重影响的物种运动的两个维度:关于运动的知识以及运动与环境决策的相关性。管理决策可以根据他们在知识相关性空间中的位置来制定。然后,我们概述了一个框架来支持围绕以下方面的决策:(1)增强对运动知识相关性的理解,(2)增强决策对不确定性的稳健性,以及(3)提高对物种运动的了解。我们的决策支持框架为管理系统保护规划、农业环境计划、栖息地恢复和国际生物多样性政策中与运动相关的不确定性提供了指导。它迎合不同的资源水平(时间和资金),以便物种的运动知识可以更有效地融入环境决策中。
更新日期:2018-12-03
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