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The environmental Kuznets curve of CO2 emissions in the manufacturing and construction industries: A global empirical analysis
Environmental Impact Assessment Review ( IF 6.122 ) Pub Date : 2019-11-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2019.106303
Yu Zhang , Xi Chen , Ya Wu , Chenyang Shuai , Liyin Shen

Abstract The manufacturing and construction industries have significantly contributed to the increase of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis is widely leveraged to analyze the peak of CO2 emissions, which is considered as a pivotal step for the effective CO2 emission reduction in previous studies. This study tests the EKC hypothesis using the data of CO2 emissions of manufacturing and construction industries from 121 countries throughout 1960–2014, and turning points (TPs) are calculated for the countries where EKC hypothesis is validated. The results show that the EKC hypothesis was validated by 95 out of 121 countries, among which, 13 countries have not reached any of the three TPs, 11 countries have reached the first-step TP (TPCI), 21 countries have reached the second-step TP (TPPC), and 50 countries have reached the third-step TP (TPTC). Moreover, the result of examination of the EKC existence at four income levels indicates the higher-income nations own a higher proportion of countries validates the EKC hypothesis and reach the TP. These findings help policy-makers analyze the TP status quo and generate step-wise strategies for national CO2 emission reduction of manufacturing and construction industries.

中文翻译:

制造业和建筑业二氧化碳排放的环境库兹涅茨曲线:全球实证分析

摘要 制造业和建筑业对二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放量的增加做出了重大贡献。环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设被广泛用于分析 CO2 排放的峰值,这被认为是先前研究中有效减少 CO2 排放的关键步骤。本研究使用 1960-2014 年 121 个国家的制造和建筑行业的 CO2 排放数据来检验 EKC 假设,并计算 EKC 假设得到验证的国家的转折点 (TP)。结果表明,121个国家中有95个国家验证了EKC假设,其中13个国家没有达到三个TP中的任何一个,11个国家达到了第一阶段TP(TPCI),21个国家达到了第二阶段。步骤TP(TPPC),50个国家达成第三步TP(TPTC)。此外,在四个收入水平上检验 EKC 存在的结果表明,高收入国家拥有更高比例的国家,验证了 EKC 假设并达到了 TP。这些发现有助于政策制定者分析 TP 现状,并为国家制造业和建筑业的二氧化碳减排制定逐步战略。
更新日期:2019-11-01
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