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Deciphering the factors associated with adoption of alternative fuel vehicles in California: An investigation of latent attitudes, socio-demographics, and neighborhood effects
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice ( IF 6.4 ) Pub Date : 2023-01-06 , DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2022.10.012
Xiatian Iogansen, Kailai Wang, David Bunch, Grant Matson, Giovanni Circella

Promoting the use of alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs) has become a long-term transportation strategy in California, which can bring a broad range of social, economic, and environmental benefits. Based on a sample of 3260 California residents from the 2018 California Panel Survey, this study explores the impacts of latent attitudes, socio-demographic characteristics, and neighborhood effects on consumers’ current vehicle fuel type choice and their interest in purchasing or leasing an AFV in the future. One joint integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) model is estimated to understand the taste heterogeneity within different population segments. The results suggest that latent attitudes towards environment, new technologies, car-utilitarianism, and residential location preference play critical roles in individuals’ adopting new vehicle technologies. A range of socio-demographics, including age, race, gender, student status, education level, income level, household size, housing tenure, housing type and residential parking also make effects. Exposure to BEVs in both residential location and worksite has positive influence on AFV adoption, although public EV charging stations were not found to be essential factors since our respondents may mainly rely on home chargers. Moreover, the study suggests that individual’s current user experience with AFVs has positive effect on their future interest in AFV. Overall, we predict the maximum market penetration of AFVs could be 41% of adult population. The findings offer detailed guidance on crafting California’s transport policy to promote AFV, regarding the heterogeneity of the population's preferences and attitudes.



中文翻译:

解读与加州采用替代燃料汽车相关的因素:对潜在态度、社会人口统计和邻里效应的调查

推广使用替代燃料汽车 (AFV) 已成为加州的一项长期交通战略,可以带来广泛的社会、经济和环境效益。本研究以 2018 年加州面板调查中的 3260 名加州居民为样本,探讨了潜在态度、社会人口特征和邻里效应对消费者当前车辆燃料类型选择的影响,以及他们购买或租赁 AFV 的兴趣未来。估计了一种联合综合选择和潜在变量 (ICLV) 模型,以了解不同人群中的口味异质性。结果表明,对环境新技术汽车功利主义住宅区位偏好在个人采用新的车辆技术方面发挥着关键作用。一系列社会人口统计数据,包括年龄、种族、性别、学生身份、教育水平、收入水平、家庭规模、住房保有权、住房类型和住宅停车位也会产生影响。在住宅区和工作场所接触 BEV 对采用 AFV 有积极影响,尽管公共 EV 充电站未被发现是重要因素,因为我们的受访者可能主要依赖家用充电器。此外,该研究表明,个人当前使用 AFV 的用户体验对其未来对 AFV 的兴趣有积极影响。总体而言,我们预测 AFV 的最大市场渗透率可能是成年人口的 41%。研究结果为制定加州促进 AFV 的交通政策提供了详细指导,

更新日期:2023-01-07
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