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Annual risk of falls resulting in emergency department and hospital attendances for older people: an observational study of 781,081 individuals living in Wales (United Kingdom) including deprivation, frailty and dementia diagnoses between 2010 and 2020
Age and Ageing ( IF 6.7 ) Pub Date : 2022-08-06 , DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afac176
Robyn Hollinghurst 1 , Neil Williams 2 , Rebecca Pedrick-Case 1 , Laura North 1 , Sara Long 1 , Richard Fry 1 , Joe Hollinghurst 1
Affiliation  

Background falls are common in older people, but associations between falls, dementia and frailty are relatively unknown. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on falls admissions has not been studied. Aim to investigate the impact of dementia, frailty, deprivation, previous falls and the differences between years for falls resulting in an emergency department (ED) or hospital admission. Study Design longitudinal cross-sectional observational study. Setting older people (aged 65+) resident in Wales between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2020. Methods we created a binary (yes/no) indicator for a fall resulting in an attendance to an ED, hospital or both, per person, per year. We analysed the outcomes using multilevel logistic and multinomial models. Results we analysed a total of 5,141,244 person years of data from 781,081 individuals. Fall admission rates were highest in 2012 (4.27%) and lowest in 2020 (4.27%). We found an increased odds ratio (OR [95% confidence interval]) of a fall admission for age (1.05 [1.05, 1.05] per year of age), people with dementia (2.03 [2.00, 2.06]) and people who had a previous fall (2.55 [2.51, 2.60]). Compared with fit individuals, those with frailty had ORs of 1.60 [1.58, 1.62], 2.24 [2.21, 2.28] and 2.94 [2.89, 3.00] for mild, moderate and severe frailty respectively. Reduced odds were observed for males (0.73 [0.73, 0.74]) and less deprived areas; most deprived compared with least OR 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]. Conclusions falls prevention should be targeted to those at highest risk, and investigations into the reduction in admissions in 2020 is warranted.

中文翻译:

每年跌倒导致老年人急诊和住院的风险:一项对居住在威尔士(英国)的 781,081 人的观察性研究,包括 2010 年至 2020 年间的剥夺、虚弱和痴呆症诊断

背景跌倒在老年人中很常见,但跌倒、痴呆和虚弱之间的关联相对未知。尚未研究 COVID-19 大流行对跌倒入学的影响。旨在调查痴呆症、虚弱、剥夺、以前跌倒的影响以及跌倒导致急诊室 (ED) 或住院的年份之间的差异。研究设计纵向横断面观察研究。设定 2010 年 1 月 1 日至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间居住在威尔士的老年人(65 岁以上)。方法我们创建了一个二元(是/否)指标,用于表示每人每年。我们使用多级逻辑和多项式模型分析了结果。结果我们分析了来自 781,081 个人的总共 5,141,244 人年的数据。秋季入学率在 2012 年最高 (4.27%),在 2020 年最低 (4.27%)。我们发现秋季入院的比值比(OR [95% 置信区间])增加了年龄(每岁 1.05 [1.05, 1.05])、痴呆症患者 (2.03 [2.00, 2.06]) 和患有前一个秋天 (2.55 [2.51, 2.60])。与健康个体相比,虚弱者轻度、中度和重度虚弱的 OR 分别为 1.60 [1.58, 1.62]、2.24 [2.21, 2.28] 和 2.94 [2.89, 3.00]。观察到男性 (0.73 [0.73, 0.74]) 和较贫困地区的几率降低;最贫困与最贫困相比 OR 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]。结论 跌倒预防应针对风险最高的人群,并且有必要对 2020 年入院人数减少情况进行调查。我们发现秋季入院的比值比(OR [95% 置信区间])增加了年龄(每岁 1.05 [1.05, 1.05])、痴呆症患者 (2.03 [2.00, 2.06]) 和患有前一个秋天 (2.55 [2.51, 2.60])。与健康个体相比,虚弱者轻度、中度和重度虚弱的 OR 分别为 1.60 [1.58, 1.62]、2.24 [2.21, 2.28] 和 2.94 [2.89, 3.00]。观察到男性 (0.73 [0.73, 0.74]) 和较贫困地区的几率降低;最贫困与最贫困相比 OR 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]。结论 跌倒预防应针对风险最高的人群,并且有必要对 2020 年入院人数减少情况进行调查。我们发现秋季入院的比值比(OR [95% 置信区间])增加了年龄(每岁 1.05 [1.05, 1.05])、痴呆症患者 (2.03 [2.00, 2.06]) 和患有前一个秋天 (2.55 [2.51, 2.60])。与健康个体相比,虚弱者轻度、中度和重度虚弱的 OR 分别为 1.60 [1.58, 1.62]、2.24 [2.21, 2.28] 和 2.94 [2.89, 3.00]。观察到男性 (0.73 [0.73, 0.74]) 和较贫困地区的几率降低;最贫困与最贫困相比 OR 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]。结论 跌倒预防应针对风险最高的人群,并且有必要对 2020 年入院人数减少情况进行调查。55 [2.51, 2.60])。与健康个体相比,虚弱者轻度、中度和重度虚弱的 OR 分别为 1.60 [1.58, 1.62]、2.24 [2.21, 2.28] 和 2.94 [2.89, 3.00]。观察到男性 (0.73 [0.73, 0.74]) 和较贫困地区的几率降低;最贫困与最贫困相比 OR 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]。结论 跌倒预防应针对风险最高的人群,并且有必要对 2020 年入院人数减少情况进行调查。55 [2.51, 2.60])。与健康个体相比,虚弱者轻度、中度和重度虚弱的 OR 分别为 1.60 [1.58, 1.62]、2.24 [2.21, 2.28] 和 2.94 [2.89, 3.00]。观察到男性 (0.73 [0.73, 0.74]) 和较贫困地区的几率降低;最贫困与最贫困相比 OR 0.75 [0.74, 0.76]。结论 跌倒预防应针对风险最高的人群,并且有必要对 2020 年入院人数减少情况进行调查。
更新日期:2022-08-06
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