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Mortality risk and long-term exposure to ultrafine particles and primary fine particle components in a national U.S. Cohort
Environment International ( IF 11.8 ) Pub Date : 2022-07-29 , DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107439
Zachari A Pond 1 , Provat K Saha 2 , Carver J Coleman 3 , Albert A Presto 2 , Allen L Robinson 2 , C Arden Pope Iii 3
Affiliation  

The objective of this study was to estimate all-cause, cardiopulmonary, and cancer mortality associations for long-term exposure to ultrafine particles (UFP) and primary PM2.5 components. We utilized high-resolution, national-scale exposure estimates for UFP (measured as particle number concentration; PNC) and three primary PM2.5 components, namely black carbon (BC), traffic-emitted organic PM2.5 (hereafter, hydrocarbon-like organic aerosols; HOA), and cooking-emitted organic PM2.5 (cooking organic aerosols; COA). Two analytic cohorts were constructed from a nationally representative U.S. health survey. The larger cohort consisted of 617,997 adults with information on a broad set of individual-level risk factors; the smaller cohort was further restricted to those with information on physical activity (n = 396,470). In single-pollutant models, PNC was significantly associated with all-cause (larger cohort HR = 1.03, 95% CI [1.02, 1.04]; smaller cohort HR = 1.02, 95% CI [1.00, 1.04]) and cancer mortality (larger cohort HR = 1.05, 95% CI [1.02, 1.08]; smaller cohort HR = 1.06, 95% CI [1.02, 1.10]). In two-pollutant models, mortality associations varied based on co-pollutant adjustment; PNC mortality associations were generally robust to controlling for PM10-2.5 and SO2, but not PM2.5. In contrast, we found some evidence that the HOA and COA mortality associations are independent of total PM2.5 mass exposure. Nevertheless, PM2.5 mass was the most robust predictor of air pollution related mortality, providing some support for current regulatory policies.



中文翻译:

美国全国队列中的死亡风险和长期暴露于超细颗粒和主要细颗粒成分

本研究的目的是评估长期接触超细颗粒物 (UFP) 和主要 PM 2.5成分与全因死亡率、心肺死亡率和癌症死亡率之间的关联。我们对 UFP(以粒子数浓度测量;PNC)和三种主要 PM 2.5成分,即黑碳 (BC)、交通排放的有机 PM 2.5(以下简称碳氢化合物类有机气溶胶)进行了高分辨率、全国范围的暴露估计; HOA) 和烹饪排放的有机 PM 2.5(烹饪有机气溶胶;COA)。根据具有全国代表性的美国健康调查构建了两个分析队列。更大的队列由 617,997 名成年人组成,他们具有广泛的个人风险因素信息;较小的队列被进一步限制在那些有身体活动信息的人群中(n = 396,470)。在单一污染物模型中,PNC 与全因(较大队列 HR = 1.03, 95% CI [1.02, 1.04];较小队列 HR = 1.02, 95% CI [1.00, 1.04])和癌症死亡率(较大队列队列 HR = 1.05, 95% CI [1.02, 1.08];较小队列 HR = 1.06, 95% CI [1.02, 1.10])。在双污染物模型中,死亡率关联因共同污染物调整而异;PNC 死亡率关联通常对控制 PM 10-2.5和 SO 2具有稳健性, 但不是 PM 2.5。相比之下,我们发现一些证据表明 HOA 和 COA 死亡率关联独立于总 PM 2.5质量暴露。尽管如此,PM 2.5质量是空气污染相关死亡率最有力的预测指标,为当前的监管政策提供了一些支持。

更新日期:2022-07-29
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