Aggression and Violent Behavior ( IF 4.874 ) Pub Date : 2022-06-30 , DOI: 10.1016/j.avb.2022.101761 Miguel Basto-Pereira , David P. Farrington
Meta-analyses have provided major findings about developmental predictors of offending. However, there has been little focus on their relative ability to predict offending behaviour. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review of meta-analyses with two aims: 1) to summarize all well-established knowledge about developmental (explanatory) predictors of offending, and 2) to sort those predictors according to their effect size. The strongest predictors of general offending were related to family/parental dimensions. Delinquent peers, school/employment problems, family problems, certain types of mental health problems, and alcohol/substance abuse were the most important predictors of persistence in crime. Our findings suggest the crucial role of family-related developmental predictors in preventing offending. The predictors of persistence in crime highlight the multisystemic nature of persistent antisocial behaviour.
中文翻译:
犯罪和持续犯罪的发展预测因素:荟萃分析的系统评价
荟萃分析提供了关于犯罪发展预测因素的主要发现。然而,很少有人关注他们预测犯罪行为的相对能力。因此,我们对荟萃分析进行了系统回顾,其目的有两个:1)总结所有关于犯罪的发展(解释)预测因素的成熟知识,以及 2)根据其影响大小对这些预测因素进行分类。一般犯罪的最强预测因素与家庭/父母维度有关。犯罪同龄人、学校/就业问题、家庭问题、某些类型的心理健康问题以及酒精/药物滥用是持续犯罪的最重要预测因素。我们的研究结果表明与家庭相关的发育预测因子在预防犯罪中的关键作用。